mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.97 1.26 0.56 0.00 2.28 1161.58 1.00 E0 50.78 46.22 36.84 0.15 115.61 351.07 1.00 H0 1.57 1.68 1.04 0.00 3.57 1448.05 1.00 I0 31.70 18.93 27.88 6.95 55.26 216.48 1.00 beta0 2.44 0.48 2.37 1.74 3.17 28.05 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.42 0.06 0.41 0.33 0.51 1271.92 1.00 death_dispersion 0.39 0.03 0.39 0.35 0.44 1555.91 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 1056.01 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.07 0.10 697.65 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.41 1668.33 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1598.94 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1837.00 1.00 rw[0] 0.17 0.99 0.18 -1.32 1.94 326.20 1.00 rw[1] 0.38 1.31 0.38 -1.84 2.44 192.59 1.00 rw[2] 0.71 1.57 0.74 -1.81 3.20 104.74 1.00 rw[3] 1.01 1.69 1.02 -1.78 3.59 76.28 1.00 rw[4] 1.32 1.82 1.41 -1.58 4.23 67.84 1.00 rw[5] 1.60 1.94 1.68 -1.56 4.66 61.12 1.00 rw[6] 1.86 2.02 2.02 -1.28 5.30 54.69 1.00 rw[7] 1.95 2.11 2.07 -1.27 5.62 47.26 1.00 rw[8] 1.75 2.20 1.89 -1.94 5.26 44.16 1.00 rw[9] 1.37 2.24 1.54 -2.47 4.73 41.27 1.00 rw[10] 0.81 2.30 0.88 -2.90 4.58 40.96 1.00 rw[11] 0.19 2.29 0.27 -3.94 3.60 38.33 1.01 rw[12] -0.59 2.27 -0.49 -3.73 3.68 36.83 1.00 rw[13] -1.39 2.32 -1.37 -4.91 2.70 34.89 1.01 rw[14] -2.31 2.34 -2.29 -6.09 1.42 36.16 1.00 rw[15] -3.19 2.33 -3.10 -7.24 0.25 36.30 1.00 rw[16] -4.14 2.35 -4.02 -8.25 -0.66 37.78 1.00 rw[17] -5.10 2.32 -5.03 -9.03 -1.56 38.21 1.00 rw[18] -6.09 2.33 -5.97 -9.67 -2.24 38.14 1.00 rw[19] -7.15 2.32 -7.09 -10.87 -3.43 38.43 1.00 rw[20] -8.23 2.34 -8.18 -11.76 -4.35 39.39 1.00 rw[21] -9.33 2.39 -9.32 -13.42 -5.59 41.80 1.00 rw[22] -10.49 2.36 -10.51 -14.47 -6.69 39.89 1.00 rw[23] -11.63 2.35 -11.51 -15.34 -7.70 40.36 1.00 rw[24] -12.77 2.35 -12.72 -16.19 -8.61 37.87 1.00 rw[25] -13.89 2.39 -13.88 -17.98 -10.15 39.67 1.00 rw[26] -14.93 2.37 -14.87 -18.91 -11.26 42.94 1.00 rw[27] -15.89 2.35 -15.73 -19.82 -12.19 45.49 1.00 rw[28] -16.85 2.41 -16.77 -20.80 -12.94 44.95 1.00 rw[29] -17.76 2.41 -17.70 -21.61 -13.86 43.13 1.00 rw[30] -18.59 2.45 -18.52 -22.65 -14.76 45.02 1.00 rw[31] -19.30 2.43 -19.22 -23.30 -15.43 45.85 1.00 rw[32] -19.92 2.49 -19.92 -24.56 -16.38 48.35 1.00 rw[33] -20.47 2.52 -20.49 -24.51 -16.43 45.36 1.00 rw[34] -20.93 2.57 -20.81 -24.94 -16.40 47.07 1.00 rw[35] -21.28 2.59 -21.15 -25.56 -17.24 46.58 1.00 rw[36] -21.59 2.53 -21.52 -25.74 -17.49 49.54 1.00 rw[37] -21.83 2.54 -21.79 -25.70 -17.43 49.79 1.00 rw[38] -21.89 2.54 -21.81 -26.33 -18.10 50.31 1.00 rw[39] -21.99 2.57 -21.93 -26.01 -17.69 54.45 1.00 rw[40] -22.04 2.61 -21.84 -26.56 -18.21 53.43 1.00 rw[41] -22.04 2.56 -21.83 -26.63 -18.35 48.72 1.00 rw[42] -21.97 2.59 -21.96 -26.42 -18.11 49.40 1.00 rw[43] -21.87 2.59 -21.85 -25.86 -17.46 46.84 1.00 rw[44] -21.75 2.58 -21.61 -26.45 -18.05 51.06 1.00 rw[45] -21.60 2.57 -21.53 -26.05 -17.65 51.92 1.00 rw[46] -21.47 2.60 -21.44 -25.95 -17.53 51.33 1.00 rw[47] -21.36 2.63 -21.27 -25.33 -16.82 54.10 1.00 rw[48] -21.18 2.64 -21.12 -25.41 -16.97 54.06 1.00 rw[49] -21.01 2.65 -21.00 -25.31 -16.46 50.16 1.00 rw[50] -20.84 2.62 -20.78 -24.96 -16.47 46.67 1.00 rw[51] -20.68 2.57 -20.61 -24.74 -16.48 48.61 1.00 rw[52] -20.46 2.58 -20.38 -24.21 -15.98 46.15 1.00 rw[53] -20.31 2.59 -20.18 -24.04 -15.58 47.50 1.00 rw[54] -20.11 2.60 -20.08 -24.33 -15.93 45.76 1.00 rw[55] -19.93 2.55 -19.89 -23.68 -15.32 46.92 1.00 rw[56] -19.76 2.58 -19.75 -23.74 -15.34 45.02 1.00 rw[57] -19.60 2.58 -19.57 -24.08 -15.48 42.65 1.01 rw[58] -19.46 2.54 -19.47 -23.53 -15.17 42.53 1.01 rw[59] -19.28 2.55 -19.32 -22.83 -14.43 41.36 1.01 rw[60] -19.14 2.53 -19.18 -23.21 -14.98 42.72 1.01 rw[61] -19.06 2.51 -19.16 -23.48 -15.33 43.58 1.01 rw[62] -18.92 2.47 -18.87 -23.15 -15.30 45.24 1.01 rw[63] -18.79 2.48 -18.66 -22.76 -14.75 49.17 1.01 rw[64] -18.65 2.48 -18.64 -22.96 -15.10 48.62 1.00 rw[65] -18.55 2.46 -18.51 -22.57 -14.51 49.03 1.00 rw[66] -18.41 2.47 -18.38 -22.51 -14.45 48.96 1.00 rw[67] -18.27 2.48 -18.27 -21.94 -13.97 48.82 1.01 rw[68] -18.16 2.50 -18.08 -22.29 -14.16 50.48 1.00 rw[69] -18.02 2.56 -18.01 -21.75 -13.51 48.14 1.00 rw[70] -17.91 2.50 -17.83 -21.82 -13.68 49.05 1.00 rw[71] -17.80 2.57 -17.76 -22.29 -13.83 48.48 1.00 rw[72] -17.71 2.58 -17.62 -21.97 -13.45 45.80 1.00 rw[73] -17.69 2.58 -17.62 -21.55 -13.05 49.76 1.00 rw[74] -17.60 2.56 -17.58 -21.99 -13.65 49.71 1.00 rw[75] -17.51 2.58 -17.50 -21.87 -13.26 51.55 1.00 rw[76] -17.44 2.54 -17.37 -21.39 -13.05 48.31 1.00 rw[77] -17.33 2.56 -17.31 -21.59 -13.30 47.07 1.00 rw[78] -17.28 2.56 -17.23 -21.40 -13.12 48.08 1.00 rw[79] -17.29 2.57 -17.22 -21.73 -13.50 49.40 1.00 rw[80] -17.25 2.54 -17.22 -21.35 -13.25 52.60 1.00 rw[81] -17.26 2.55 -17.16 -22.00 -13.68 52.17 1.00 rw[82] -17.20 2.60 -17.08 -21.24 -12.86 56.31 1.00 rw[83] -17.24 2.56 -17.15 -21.63 -13.29 54.53 1.00 rw[84] -17.22 2.61 -17.15 -21.40 -13.10 52.33 1.00 rw[85] -17.14 2.57 -17.02 -21.37 -12.95 53.27 1.00 rw[86] -17.17 2.58 -17.08 -21.54 -13.30 55.32 1.00 rw[87] -17.21 2.54 -17.04 -21.40 -13.16 58.79 1.00 rw[88] -17.18 2.51 -17.09 -21.33 -13.20 54.09 1.00 rw[89] -17.16 2.47 -17.07 -21.07 -13.09 57.51 1.00 rw[90] -17.20 2.46 -17.17 -21.41 -13.43 56.41 1.00 rw[91] -17.15 2.50 -17.18 -21.26 -13.33 55.31 1.00 rw[92] -17.19 2.45 -17.21 -21.11 -13.24 55.25 1.00 rw[93] -17.12 2.45 -17.11 -21.51 -13.50 57.15 1.00 rw[94] -17.11 2.47 -17.06 -20.75 -12.73 55.33 1.00 rw[95] -17.09 2.50 -17.01 -21.40 -13.34 49.74 1.00 rw[96] -16.93 2.49 -16.79 -21.01 -13.02 47.25 1.00 rw[97] -16.90 2.45 -16.75 -21.11 -13.17 48.18 1.00 rw[98] -16.76 2.42 -16.62 -20.82 -13.19 48.14 1.00 rw[99] -16.71 2.43 -16.55 -20.38 -12.59 45.92 1.00 rw[100] -16.61 2.50 -16.50 -20.40 -12.34 42.02 1.00 rw[101] -16.47 2.51 -16.46 -20.46 -12.42 43.60 1.00 rw[102] -16.37 2.51 -16.42 -20.28 -12.19 44.00 1.00 rw[103] -16.26 2.50 -16.31 -20.26 -12.29 42.59 1.00 rw[104] -16.17 2.50 -16.18 -19.87 -11.94 40.60 1.00 rw[105] -16.11 2.47 -16.13 -19.97 -12.09 42.68 1.00 rw[106] -15.97 2.50 -16.08 -19.84 -11.91 41.01 1.00 rw[107] -15.87 2.49 -15.86 -19.82 -11.87 39.04 1.00 rw[108] -15.72 2.50 -15.66 -19.66 -11.60 39.86 1.00 rw[109] -15.62 2.47 -15.59 -19.70 -11.67 40.57 1.00 rw[110] -15.51 2.47 -15.41 -19.44 -11.34 38.90 1.00 rw[111] -15.42 2.48 -15.20 -19.61 -11.50 39.28 1.00 rw[112] -15.36 2.45 -15.24 -19.34 -11.38 40.24 1.00 rw[113] -15.37 2.46 -15.25 -19.41 -11.38 42.96 1.00 rw[114] -15.36 2.52 -15.23 -19.25 -11.29 44.86 1.00 rw[115] -15.36 2.44 -15.35 -18.98 -11.22 46.22 1.01 rw[116] -15.37 2.38 -15.19 -19.11 -11.41 45.99 1.01 rw[117] -15.42 2.42 -15.35 -19.36 -11.54 45.95 1.01 rw[118] -15.49 2.42 -15.42 -19.15 -11.21 48.00 1.01 rw[119] -15.53 2.39 -15.56 -19.61 -11.71 49.43 1.01 rw[120] -15.60 2.40 -15.62 -19.32 -11.62 48.60 1.01 rw[121] -15.74 2.38 -15.74 -19.57 -11.89 50.80 1.00 rw[122] -15.79 2.36 -15.67 -19.09 -11.29 50.20 1.00 rw[123] -15.85 2.34 -15.76 -19.61 -11.79 46.92 1.00 rw[124] -15.88 2.41 -15.96 -19.77 -12.03 44.83 1.00 rw[125] -15.90 2.44 -15.79 -19.75 -11.73 47.87 1.00 rw[126] -15.98 2.41 -15.92 -19.58 -11.85 48.99 1.00 rw[127] -15.97 2.43 -15.88 -19.97 -12.13 46.91 1.00 rw[128] -16.05 2.40 -15.99 -19.87 -12.25 47.77 1.00 rw[129] -16.08 2.42 -16.04 -20.16 -12.27 47.47 1.00 rw[130] -16.16 2.43 -16.12 -20.20 -12.15 50.24 1.00 rw[131] -16.20 2.39 -16.17 -19.93 -12.20 48.08 1.00 rw[132] -16.27 2.41 -16.23 -20.02 -12.22 46.36 1.00 rw[133] -16.34 2.40 -16.36 -20.07 -12.08 45.16 1.00 rw[134] -16.30 2.33 -16.28 -20.20 -12.77 45.63 1.00 rw[135] -16.36 2.32 -16.33 -20.29 -12.85 44.70 1.00 rw[136] -16.42 2.36 -16.38 -20.15 -12.62 43.58 1.00 rw[137] -16.47 2.37 -16.41 -20.35 -12.75 44.36 1.00 rw[138] -16.42 2.36 -16.37 -20.67 -12.87 44.09 1.00 rw[139] -16.36 2.38 -16.33 -20.07 -12.60 42.96 1.00 rw[140] -16.34 2.35 -16.32 -19.90 -12.35 43.70 1.00 rw[141] -16.31 2.37 -16.20 -20.36 -12.61 41.72 1.00 rw[142] -16.26 2.41 -16.16 -19.75 -12.03 41.49 1.00 rw[143] -16.21 2.39 -16.13 -20.22 -12.60 41.74 1.00 rw[144] -16.13 2.40 -16.10 -20.17 -12.21 41.15 1.00 rw[145] -16.04 2.43 -16.05 -20.32 -12.33 39.81 1.00 rw[146] -15.92 2.40 -15.92 -19.78 -11.84 43.33 1.00 rw[147] -15.86 2.39 -15.86 -20.03 -12.34 43.31 1.00 rw[148] -15.79 2.43 -15.74 -19.78 -11.95 42.46 1.00 rw[149] -15.67 2.41 -15.69 -19.64 -11.83 43.79 1.00 rw[150] -15.55 2.43 -15.49 -19.22 -11.29 44.76 1.00 rw[151] -15.48 2.40 -15.43 -19.68 -11.76 41.79 1.00 rw[152] -15.39 2.40 -15.38 -18.87 -11.08 41.88 1.00 rw[153] -15.31 2.36 -15.31 -18.76 -11.12 38.84 1.00 rw[154] -15.23 2.34 -15.17 -18.61 -10.99 39.34 1.00 rw[155] -15.12 2.37 -15.06 -19.19 -11.48 40.82 1.00 rw[156] -15.02 2.35 -14.96 -18.87 -11.25 41.57 1.00 rw[157] -14.90 2.35 -14.90 -18.61 -10.93 41.35 1.00 rw[158] -14.82 2.36 -14.72 -18.57 -10.89 41.89 1.00 rw[159] -14.71 2.34 -14.62 -18.61 -10.82 43.03 1.00 rw[160] -14.62 2.40 -14.50 -18.48 -10.54 41.57 1.00 rw[161] -14.50 2.40 -14.46 -18.24 -10.50 43.36 1.00 rw[162] -14.41 2.36 -14.39 -18.27 -10.54 43.61 1.00 rw[163] -14.32 2.37 -14.22 -17.92 -10.30 40.98 1.00 rw[164] -14.26 2.32 -14.24 -17.82 -10.24 38.12 1.00 rw[165] -14.16 2.37 -14.09 -18.20 -10.47 39.72 1.00 rw[166] -14.16 2.39 -14.09 -17.72 -9.99 39.72 1.00 rw[167] -14.09 2.38 -14.02 -17.57 -9.84 40.10 1.00 rw[168] -14.02 2.35 -13.88 -17.76 -10.17 41.41 1.00 rw[169] -13.99 2.36 -14.03 -17.96 -10.24 41.34 1.00 rw[170] -14.05 2.37 -14.05 -17.96 -10.04 42.52 1.00 rw[171] -14.05 2.33 -14.05 -17.65 -9.97 41.99 1.00 rw[172] -14.05 2.33 -14.01 -17.91 -10.39 42.87 1.00 rw[173] -14.04 2.33 -13.97 -17.76 -10.13 39.59 1.00 rw[174] -14.04 2.34 -13.99 -17.91 -10.33 40.70 1.00 rw[175] -14.02 2.36 -13.97 -17.74 -10.17 43.12 1.00 rw[176] -14.00 2.32 -13.95 -17.67 -10.29 43.51 1.00 rw[177] -14.00 2.32 -13.91 -17.73 -10.41 44.05 1.00 rw[178] -13.90 2.31 -13.84 -17.36 -9.74 43.91 1.00 rw[179] -13.84 2.31 -13.74 -17.80 -10.32 45.02 1.00 rw[180] -13.74 2.31 -13.72 -17.74 -10.19 42.84 1.00 rw[181] -13.60 2.39 -13.59 -17.30 -9.53 43.84 1.00 rw[182] -13.53 2.41 -13.49 -17.32 -9.46 42.62 1.00 rw[183] -13.43 2.40 -13.27 -17.31 -9.55 40.85 1.00 rw[184] -13.34 2.38 -13.26 -17.18 -9.48 41.51 1.00 rw[185] -13.32 2.38 -13.17 -17.08 -9.51 42.04 1.00 rw[186] -13.24 2.35 -13.19 -17.05 -9.62 40.75 1.00 rw[187] -13.21 2.34 -13.21 -17.02 -9.38 40.81 1.00 rw[188] -13.26 2.31 -13.22 -16.98 -9.45 42.53 1.00 rw[189] -13.35 2.32 -13.28 -17.04 -9.66 39.48 1.00 rw[190] -13.58 2.23 -13.48 -17.36 -10.15 37.22 1.00 rw[191] -13.81 2.07 -13.65 -17.35 -10.61 34.87 1.00 rw[192] -14.12 1.93 -14.04 -17.50 -11.36 28.34 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1743.34 1.00 Number of divergences: 0