mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 14.23 4.58 13.59 7.72 20.80 917.92 1.00 E0 440.10 385.32 340.61 1.07 948.96 501.37 1.00 H0 26.51 12.56 24.97 7.24 46.18 268.75 1.03 I0 429.10 201.58 397.10 110.26 703.48 121.08 1.02 beta0 1.69 0.27 1.66 1.28 2.11 10.59 1.14 confirmed_dispersion 0.39 0.05 0.39 0.31 0.47 821.08 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.11 1907.61 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 769.16 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.10 419.71 1.01 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.19 0.39 1160.42 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 838.02 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 893.44 1.01 rw[0] 0.06 0.94 0.08 -1.56 1.56 548.69 1.00 rw[1] 0.21 1.30 0.15 -2.05 2.11 225.81 1.01 rw[2] 0.49 1.48 0.44 -1.78 3.06 150.21 1.01 rw[3] 0.73 1.62 0.68 -1.78 3.41 67.53 1.02 rw[4] 1.06 1.70 1.00 -1.58 3.85 45.97 1.03 rw[5] 1.32 1.71 1.27 -1.90 3.89 33.01 1.04 rw[6] 1.59 1.75 1.59 -1.38 4.31 29.00 1.05 rw[7] 1.81 1.81 1.78 -0.99 5.01 23.01 1.06 rw[8] 1.91 1.89 1.85 -1.00 5.12 21.58 1.07 rw[9] 1.87 1.87 1.93 -1.20 5.01 19.29 1.07 rw[10] 1.65 1.91 1.63 -1.55 4.57 17.31 1.08 rw[11] 1.33 1.91 1.39 -1.54 4.71 15.45 1.09 rw[12] 0.82 1.94 0.90 -2.69 3.61 14.73 1.10 rw[13] 0.27 1.88 0.34 -2.79 3.20 15.04 1.11 rw[14] -0.28 1.87 -0.23 -2.88 3.21 16.01 1.09 rw[15] -0.82 1.86 -0.83 -3.65 2.46 16.41 1.09 rw[16] -1.32 1.87 -1.28 -4.28 1.92 14.77 1.09 rw[17] -1.90 1.86 -1.82 -5.00 1.08 15.02 1.10 rw[18] -2.51 1.84 -2.40 -5.55 0.42 14.04 1.11 rw[19] -3.19 1.86 -3.11 -6.25 -0.22 14.54 1.10 rw[20] -3.94 1.82 -3.87 -6.64 -0.82 13.20 1.11 rw[21] -4.76 1.85 -4.70 -7.52 -1.61 12.84 1.12 rw[22] -5.61 1.85 -5.56 -8.35 -2.41 13.90 1.12 rw[23] -6.51 1.91 -6.46 -9.87 -3.69 13.80 1.12 rw[24] -7.37 1.92 -7.29 -10.35 -4.18 15.15 1.11 rw[25] -8.30 1.91 -8.23 -11.60 -5.33 15.92 1.10 rw[26] -9.25 1.94 -9.14 -12.09 -5.74 17.20 1.10 rw[27] -10.15 2.00 -10.11 -13.47 -6.84 17.18 1.10 rw[28] -10.94 2.00 -10.91 -14.04 -7.26 18.78 1.09 rw[29] -11.64 1.98 -11.58 -15.00 -8.36 19.10 1.07 rw[30] -12.26 1.98 -12.12 -15.24 -8.82 15.38 1.09 rw[31] -12.85 1.96 -12.81 -15.84 -9.39 17.12 1.09 rw[32] -13.38 1.98 -13.33 -16.78 -10.25 18.20 1.09 rw[33] -13.80 2.02 -13.72 -17.60 -10.91 19.06 1.09 rw[34] -14.11 2.08 -14.04 -17.61 -10.84 20.78 1.09 rw[35] -14.32 2.12 -14.26 -17.75 -10.75 21.65 1.09 rw[36] -14.47 2.09 -14.44 -18.11 -11.33 20.81 1.10 rw[37] -14.60 2.06 -14.52 -18.26 -11.55 19.84 1.09 rw[38] -14.71 2.06 -14.57 -17.76 -10.94 20.77 1.09 rw[39] -14.79 2.11 -14.67 -18.20 -11.29 22.62 1.08 rw[40] -14.78 2.07 -14.72 -18.09 -11.34 25.62 1.08 rw[41] -14.77 2.10 -14.72 -18.61 -11.68 25.52 1.07 rw[42] -14.68 2.11 -14.57 -18.30 -11.34 25.09 1.08 rw[43] -14.59 2.11 -14.42 -18.10 -11.28 23.25 1.08 rw[44] -14.52 2.06 -14.42 -18.10 -11.41 21.38 1.09 rw[45] -14.46 2.15 -14.38 -17.98 -10.84 18.85 1.08 rw[46] -14.36 2.19 -14.26 -17.58 -10.65 18.48 1.08 rw[47] -14.24 2.17 -14.16 -17.58 -10.60 17.99 1.08 rw[48] -14.16 2.21 -14.08 -17.59 -10.56 18.26 1.08 rw[49] -14.07 2.22 -13.99 -17.63 -10.48 18.34 1.08 rw[50] -14.00 2.19 -13.96 -17.49 -10.27 17.12 1.09 rw[51] -13.93 2.23 -13.79 -17.31 -10.05 17.99 1.09 rw[52] -13.90 2.24 -13.73 -17.66 -10.39 20.29 1.07 rw[53] -13.85 2.21 -13.76 -17.28 -9.96 17.65 1.08 rw[54] -13.80 2.20 -13.71 -17.18 -10.09 18.03 1.08 rw[55] -13.78 2.19 -13.69 -17.33 -10.31 21.14 1.08 rw[56] -13.81 2.18 -13.65 -17.01 -10.06 20.50 1.08 rw[57] -13.80 2.14 -13.68 -17.01 -10.07 22.22 1.08 rw[58] -13.80 2.13 -13.75 -17.07 -10.33 23.63 1.08 rw[59] -13.83 2.08 -13.73 -17.28 -10.57 21.39 1.08 rw[60] -13.86 2.07 -13.75 -17.41 -10.74 20.89 1.09 rw[61] -13.91 2.03 -13.83 -16.96 -10.34 21.01 1.09 rw[62] -13.93 2.00 -13.94 -16.83 -10.38 20.09 1.08 rw[63] -13.91 2.01 -13.88 -17.24 -10.62 21.39 1.08 rw[64] -13.91 1.99 -13.90 -17.29 -10.69 22.17 1.08 rw[65] -13.89 2.01 -13.81 -17.14 -10.56 20.60 1.09 rw[66] -13.90 2.04 -13.81 -17.14 -10.47 17.72 1.09 rw[67] -13.88 2.08 -13.83 -17.24 -10.56 18.92 1.08 rw[68] -13.91 2.06 -13.83 -16.91 -10.20 17.46 1.10 rw[69] -13.86 2.02 -13.75 -17.33 -10.74 18.64 1.09 rw[70] -13.82 2.03 -13.66 -17.21 -10.58 18.25 1.08 rw[71] -13.71 2.09 -13.69 -17.28 -10.49 18.95 1.07 rw[72] -13.69 2.10 -13.60 -17.40 -10.64 20.32 1.07 rw[73] -13.67 2.15 -13.59 -17.61 -10.59 20.14 1.07 rw[74] -13.62 2.14 -13.57 -17.09 -10.19 20.89 1.08 rw[75] -13.51 2.19 -13.48 -17.32 -10.13 25.03 1.06 rw[76] -13.43 2.12 -13.38 -17.21 -10.28 30.41 1.06 rw[77] -13.42 2.07 -13.38 -16.92 -10.11 29.59 1.06 rw[78] -13.38 2.05 -13.37 -16.69 -10.01 31.63 1.05 rw[79] -13.33 2.07 -13.38 -16.68 -9.95 33.49 1.05 rw[80] -13.27 2.02 -13.24 -16.40 -10.02 34.33 1.06 rw[81] -13.25 2.05 -13.18 -16.71 -10.14 33.94 1.06 rw[82] -13.20 2.01 -13.20 -16.76 -10.09 26.13 1.08 rw[83] -13.16 2.02 -13.15 -16.23 -9.58 25.07 1.07 rw[84] -13.15 2.07 -13.14 -16.61 -9.99 23.09 1.07 rw[85] -13.12 2.09 -13.13 -16.24 -9.41 21.34 1.07 rw[86] -13.16 2.09 -13.10 -16.25 -9.51 20.71 1.08 rw[87] -13.16 2.06 -13.12 -16.52 -9.82 19.56 1.09 rw[88] -13.15 2.06 -13.13 -16.43 -9.73 20.42 1.08 rw[89] -13.11 2.07 -13.09 -16.27 -9.54 19.15 1.08 rw[90] -13.06 2.10 -12.97 -16.36 -9.60 19.22 1.08 rw[91] -13.03 2.12 -12.97 -16.01 -9.21 17.23 1.08 rw[92] -12.98 2.17 -12.93 -16.91 -9.79 17.22 1.08 rw[93] -12.91 2.14 -12.80 -16.04 -9.01 18.19 1.08 rw[94] -12.86 2.13 -12.88 -15.99 -9.17 18.72 1.07 rw[95] -12.76 2.08 -12.71 -15.79 -9.33 19.59 1.06 rw[96] -12.68 2.10 -12.59 -16.11 -9.35 16.75 1.07 rw[97] -12.57 2.04 -12.50 -15.86 -9.32 19.22 1.05 rw[98] -12.40 2.04 -12.35 -15.27 -8.77 20.58 1.05 rw[99] -12.26 2.07 -12.26 -15.40 -8.63 22.70 1.06 rw[100] -12.09 2.06 -12.06 -16.05 -9.21 22.78 1.06 rw[101] -11.88 2.06 -11.91 -15.49 -8.82 20.14 1.06 rw[102] -11.70 2.04 -11.68 -15.03 -8.46 19.74 1.06 rw[103] -11.47 2.02 -11.38 -14.49 -8.07 20.29 1.06 rw[104] -11.26 1.96 -11.30 -14.68 -8.24 19.60 1.06 rw[105] -11.07 1.95 -10.93 -14.62 -8.17 20.36 1.06 rw[106] -10.89 1.96 -10.77 -14.05 -7.60 18.82 1.07 rw[107] -10.71 1.95 -10.63 -14.02 -7.68 19.25 1.08 rw[108] -10.46 1.97 -10.37 -13.45 -7.13 21.02 1.06 rw[109] -10.30 1.95 -10.21 -13.66 -7.36 21.51 1.07 rw[110] -10.15 1.94 -10.00 -13.34 -6.95 20.86 1.08 rw[111] -9.96 1.97 -9.89 -13.23 -6.72 21.87 1.07 rw[112] -9.84 1.94 -9.78 -12.65 -6.43 23.76 1.08 rw[113] -9.76 1.97 -9.66 -12.85 -6.61 22.35 1.09 rw[114] -9.65 1.97 -9.65 -12.86 -6.40 20.17 1.07 rw[115] -9.59 2.02 -9.58 -12.76 -6.25 20.82 1.08 rw[116] -9.50 2.03 -9.45 -12.60 -5.93 18.71 1.10 rw[117] -9.51 2.03 -9.42 -12.81 -6.30 18.34 1.09 rw[118] -9.54 1.99 -9.43 -13.15 -6.60 16.69 1.10 rw[119] -9.62 1.97 -9.51 -12.68 -6.38 18.38 1.09 rw[120] -9.67 1.95 -9.57 -12.54 -6.31 16.80 1.10 rw[121] -9.79 1.91 -9.72 -12.76 -6.64 17.13 1.10 rw[122] -9.92 1.97 -9.76 -12.89 -6.76 17.05 1.09 rw[123] -10.06 1.95 -9.96 -13.09 -6.81 16.24 1.09 rw[124] -10.22 1.97 -10.09 -13.50 -7.05 16.66 1.09 rw[125] -10.35 1.96 -10.21 -13.72 -7.25 17.00 1.08 rw[126] -10.48 1.99 -10.32 -14.09 -7.44 17.99 1.08 rw[127] -10.55 1.95 -10.48 -14.03 -7.53 18.73 1.08 rw[128] -10.62 1.99 -10.56 -13.99 -7.34 20.37 1.07 rw[129] -10.71 1.99 -10.72 -13.69 -7.29 17.45 1.08 rw[130] -10.76 1.98 -10.68 -14.05 -7.47 18.65 1.07 rw[131] -10.86 1.98 -10.81 -13.88 -7.47 17.72 1.08 rw[132] -10.96 1.94 -10.89 -14.19 -7.94 16.98 1.09 rw[133] -11.07 1.93 -10.97 -13.95 -7.71 17.75 1.08 rw[134] -11.17 1.99 -11.08 -14.11 -7.71 20.55 1.07 rw[135] -11.26 1.98 -11.15 -14.38 -7.89 20.35 1.07 rw[136] -11.41 1.96 -11.26 -14.50 -8.24 20.30 1.06 rw[137] -11.56 1.99 -11.37 -14.56 -8.07 22.28 1.06 rw[138] -11.70 2.01 -11.50 -15.04 -8.45 23.88 1.05 rw[139] -11.85 1.99 -11.73 -15.54 -8.92 21.38 1.07 rw[140] -12.03 2.03 -11.93 -15.14 -8.71 20.07 1.09 rw[141] -12.14 2.06 -11.99 -15.09 -8.53 20.32 1.09 rw[142] -12.31 2.01 -12.22 -15.63 -9.15 19.18 1.09 rw[143] -12.39 1.99 -12.25 -15.43 -9.02 17.71 1.09 rw[144] -12.52 1.98 -12.45 -15.62 -9.35 18.23 1.09 rw[145] -12.54 2.05 -12.45 -16.03 -9.43 19.27 1.08 rw[146] -12.61 2.09 -12.49 -16.02 -9.41 18.45 1.09 rw[147] -12.66 2.09 -12.56 -16.01 -9.33 19.56 1.08 rw[148] -12.73 2.06 -12.63 -15.86 -9.16 16.96 1.10 rw[149] -12.74 2.04 -12.68 -16.10 -9.32 16.25 1.10 rw[150] -12.74 2.03 -12.73 -15.90 -9.41 15.55 1.12 rw[151] -12.72 2.01 -12.69 -16.05 -9.56 18.25 1.10 rw[152] -12.69 2.02 -12.71 -16.01 -9.44 19.34 1.10 rw[153] -12.69 2.05 -12.67 -15.98 -9.49 18.22 1.09 rw[154] -12.69 2.02 -12.66 -15.99 -9.46 16.80 1.10 rw[155] -12.66 2.03 -12.62 -15.80 -9.31 16.63 1.10 rw[156] -12.65 2.02 -12.65 -15.81 -9.26 17.06 1.09 rw[157] -12.63 2.01 -12.50 -16.01 -9.48 15.93 1.11 rw[158] -12.63 2.04 -12.51 -15.94 -9.19 17.65 1.10 rw[159] -12.71 2.06 -12.61 -15.77 -9.09 21.42 1.08 rw[160] -12.71 2.03 -12.65 -16.06 -9.32 20.67 1.07 rw[161] -12.73 2.01 -12.63 -16.13 -9.48 19.26 1.09 rw[162] -12.74 1.99 -12.65 -16.15 -9.60 19.43 1.09 rw[163] -12.77 1.98 -12.68 -15.79 -9.35 21.15 1.07 rw[164] -12.77 1.95 -12.71 -15.97 -9.61 21.67 1.07 rw[165] -12.74 1.99 -12.64 -16.19 -9.76 23.77 1.06 rw[166] -12.74 2.03 -12.68 -16.15 -9.36 23.05 1.06 rw[167] -12.76 1.99 -12.79 -16.16 -9.74 22.22 1.06 rw[168] -12.77 1.97 -12.73 -15.88 -9.30 21.46 1.06 rw[169] -12.68 2.00 -12.66 -15.85 -9.39 19.98 1.07 rw[170] -12.68 1.99 -12.61 -15.91 -9.40 18.28 1.08 rw[171] -12.64 2.01 -12.55 -15.76 -9.19 18.28 1.09 rw[172] -12.56 2.05 -12.49 -15.78 -9.13 19.15 1.08 rw[173] -12.58 2.05 -12.48 -15.85 -9.25 17.73 1.09 rw[174] -12.56 2.02 -12.50 -15.64 -8.92 17.54 1.09 rw[175] -12.54 2.01 -12.44 -15.91 -9.39 16.83 1.09 rw[176] -12.48 2.04 -12.49 -15.83 -9.19 16.12 1.10 rw[177] -12.46 1.99 -12.46 -15.63 -9.23 16.79 1.08 rw[178] -12.39 2.01 -12.38 -15.29 -8.67 17.96 1.10 rw[179] -12.32 2.06 -12.21 -15.70 -9.03 17.06 1.09 rw[180] -12.29 2.02 -12.19 -15.85 -9.27 19.36 1.09 rw[181] -12.21 1.98 -12.15 -15.70 -9.37 20.23 1.08 rw[182] -12.10 1.97 -12.07 -15.27 -8.97 21.13 1.07 rw[183] -12.03 2.00 -11.98 -15.31 -8.72 20.52 1.07 rw[184] -12.00 2.04 -11.92 -14.87 -8.31 22.13 1.07 rw[185] -11.95 2.03 -11.94 -15.39 -8.78 20.19 1.08 rw[186] -11.87 2.00 -11.85 -15.06 -8.58 19.53 1.08 rw[187] -11.80 1.98 -11.76 -15.26 -8.83 21.69 1.08 rw[188] -11.75 1.95 -11.70 -15.00 -8.69 18.52 1.08 rw[189] -11.65 1.87 -11.62 -14.72 -8.83 17.61 1.08 rw[190] -11.56 1.82 -11.60 -14.61 -8.61 15.33 1.09 rw[191] -11.50 1.70 -11.46 -14.36 -8.86 13.42 1.12 rw[192] -11.41 1.58 -11.31 -13.81 -8.55 10.93 1.13 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 931.13 1.00 Number of divergences: 0