mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.62 0.65 0.42 0.00 1.44 883.50 1.00 E0 4.90 5.41 3.07 0.01 10.92 229.25 1.00 H0 1.10 1.20 0.68 0.00 2.73 1144.42 1.00 I0 2.30 2.79 1.43 0.01 5.15 114.49 1.00 beta0 1.97 0.39 1.91 1.36 2.53 12.48 1.06 confirmed_dispersion 0.61 0.07 0.61 0.51 0.74 812.08 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.11 1593.95 1.00 death_prob 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 864.12 1.00 death_rate 0.09 0.01 0.09 0.06 0.11 517.78 1.01 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.19 0.41 1033.85 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1107.19 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1259.31 1.00 rw[0] 0.11 0.96 0.09 -1.36 1.78 548.44 1.00 rw[1] 0.27 1.32 0.17 -1.90 2.34 269.99 1.00 rw[2] 0.50 1.53 0.50 -1.91 3.03 193.92 1.00 rw[3] 0.71 1.69 0.73 -2.02 3.41 129.19 1.00 rw[4] 0.98 1.82 0.96 -2.00 3.83 110.29 1.00 rw[5] 1.18 1.88 1.15 -1.61 4.38 86.82 1.00 rw[6] 1.40 1.97 1.39 -2.01 4.39 72.47 1.00 rw[7] 1.58 2.03 1.58 -1.69 4.80 55.04 1.01 rw[8] 1.68 2.14 1.69 -2.50 4.59 48.92 1.01 rw[9] 1.69 2.17 1.68 -1.43 5.74 41.71 1.01 rw[10] 1.63 2.24 1.57 -1.95 5.26 34.08 1.01 rw[11] 1.47 2.31 1.43 -2.20 5.26 32.24 1.02 rw[12] 1.11 2.33 1.13 -2.95 4.70 28.86 1.02 rw[13] 0.61 2.31 0.63 -3.17 4.30 28.25 1.02 rw[14] 0.01 2.34 0.03 -3.71 3.78 26.06 1.03 rw[15] -0.70 2.37 -0.75 -4.58 3.13 24.35 1.03 rw[16] -1.53 2.37 -1.54 -5.24 2.36 21.96 1.03 rw[17] -2.44 2.37 -2.43 -6.40 1.39 20.66 1.03 rw[18] -3.57 2.38 -3.47 -7.05 0.59 21.88 1.03 rw[19] -4.79 2.35 -4.65 -8.70 -1.15 19.33 1.04 rw[20] -6.12 2.36 -6.00 -9.71 -2.01 19.94 1.04 rw[21] -7.47 2.39 -7.35 -11.51 -3.87 19.70 1.04 rw[22] -8.84 2.36 -8.71 -12.30 -4.79 19.11 1.04 rw[23] -10.13 2.34 -10.06 -13.63 -6.03 18.16 1.04 rw[24] -11.43 2.40 -11.35 -15.26 -7.54 17.83 1.04 rw[25] -12.59 2.40 -12.50 -16.34 -8.46 18.67 1.04 rw[26] -13.72 2.39 -13.63 -17.83 -10.03 20.13 1.04 rw[27] -14.67 2.39 -14.57 -18.25 -10.55 21.55 1.04 rw[28] -15.45 2.38 -15.41 -19.22 -11.70 19.72 1.04 rw[29] -16.01 2.37 -15.89 -19.71 -12.14 20.30 1.03 rw[30] -16.49 2.35 -16.39 -20.51 -13.09 21.32 1.03 rw[31] -16.91 2.39 -16.77 -21.26 -13.40 20.83 1.03 rw[32] -17.20 2.41 -17.10 -21.30 -13.48 20.82 1.03 rw[33] -17.32 2.45 -17.16 -21.08 -12.95 22.02 1.03 rw[34] -17.33 2.42 -17.26 -21.22 -13.28 21.81 1.03 rw[35] -17.28 2.39 -17.19 -20.94 -13.12 23.89 1.04 rw[36] -17.16 2.39 -17.03 -21.74 -13.98 25.46 1.03 rw[37] -17.04 2.38 -16.95 -20.90 -13.20 25.57 1.02 rw[38] -16.84 2.39 -16.70 -20.85 -13.12 26.92 1.02 rw[39] -16.55 2.43 -16.40 -20.50 -12.49 24.42 1.03 rw[40] -16.27 2.43 -16.17 -20.67 -12.81 25.01 1.03 rw[41] -15.88 2.35 -15.83 -19.80 -11.99 27.78 1.03 rw[42] -15.59 2.35 -15.46 -19.26 -11.63 28.99 1.02 rw[43] -15.26 2.33 -15.14 -18.82 -11.24 26.58 1.03 rw[44] -14.99 2.36 -14.91 -18.60 -10.91 24.22 1.02 rw[45] -14.66 2.41 -14.56 -18.38 -10.59 22.74 1.03 rw[46] -14.32 2.46 -14.33 -17.97 -9.86 20.60 1.03 rw[47] -14.12 2.47 -14.00 -18.26 -10.29 21.49 1.03 rw[48] -13.85 2.44 -13.77 -17.34 -9.67 17.79 1.04 rw[49] -13.69 2.45 -13.68 -17.67 -9.61 19.43 1.03 rw[50] -13.51 2.42 -13.40 -17.31 -9.57 20.19 1.03 rw[51] -13.39 2.44 -13.33 -16.99 -9.11 19.33 1.03 rw[52] -13.30 2.46 -13.25 -17.16 -9.14 19.43 1.03 rw[53] -13.15 2.46 -13.06 -16.85 -8.99 19.18 1.03 rw[54] -13.02 2.44 -12.93 -16.97 -9.05 18.97 1.03 rw[55] -12.90 2.42 -12.90 -16.59 -8.84 21.81 1.03 rw[56] -12.78 2.42 -12.75 -16.41 -8.60 22.12 1.02 rw[57] -12.61 2.38 -12.53 -16.20 -8.42 23.47 1.02 rw[58] -12.54 2.37 -12.46 -16.12 -8.29 20.39 1.03 rw[59] -12.40 2.32 -12.38 -16.50 -8.85 24.53 1.02 rw[60] -12.30 2.34 -12.35 -16.71 -9.05 23.18 1.03 rw[61] -12.27 2.28 -12.18 -15.44 -8.05 21.85 1.03 rw[62] -12.21 2.29 -12.10 -15.59 -8.30 22.04 1.03 rw[63] -12.11 2.28 -12.00 -15.79 -8.39 21.34 1.03 rw[64] -12.05 2.32 -11.90 -16.01 -8.68 21.99 1.03 rw[65] -12.07 2.31 -11.88 -16.01 -8.62 21.82 1.03 rw[66] -12.05 2.30 -11.85 -15.59 -8.24 20.21 1.03 rw[67] -12.09 2.32 -11.96 -15.84 -8.55 18.92 1.03 rw[68] -12.18 2.32 -12.05 -15.77 -8.27 18.56 1.04 rw[69] -12.29 2.32 -12.19 -16.09 -8.75 19.20 1.03 rw[70] -12.49 2.35 -12.36 -16.16 -8.71 19.80 1.03 rw[71] -12.73 2.41 -12.63 -16.80 -9.01 22.22 1.02 rw[72] -13.03 2.46 -12.86 -16.92 -9.15 20.51 1.04 rw[73] -13.39 2.48 -13.18 -17.55 -9.41 21.48 1.04 rw[74] -13.73 2.51 -13.55 -17.87 -9.62 23.94 1.03 rw[75] -14.14 2.52 -14.01 -18.20 -10.01 22.90 1.03 rw[76] -14.54 2.44 -14.38 -18.04 -9.88 26.65 1.03 rw[77] -15.02 2.37 -14.89 -18.83 -11.18 26.74 1.02 rw[78] -15.45 2.33 -15.32 -19.12 -11.64 25.39 1.02 rw[79] -15.78 2.35 -15.72 -19.66 -12.06 23.86 1.03 rw[80] -16.10 2.32 -15.96 -19.72 -12.12 26.24 1.03 rw[81] -16.37 2.30 -16.30 -20.05 -12.60 23.37 1.03 rw[82] -16.58 2.32 -16.47 -20.71 -13.09 22.51 1.04 rw[83] -16.68 2.35 -16.57 -21.01 -13.25 22.61 1.04 rw[84] -16.82 2.36 -16.72 -21.00 -13.27 22.60 1.03 rw[85] -16.92 2.43 -16.78 -20.91 -13.09 22.87 1.03 rw[86] -16.95 2.44 -16.92 -20.98 -13.03 24.91 1.04 rw[87] -16.89 2.48 -16.89 -20.45 -12.30 23.43 1.03 rw[88] -16.86 2.50 -16.82 -21.03 -12.98 21.26 1.04 rw[89] -16.75 2.45 -16.64 -20.98 -12.94 22.72 1.03 rw[90] -16.67 2.46 -16.59 -20.59 -12.66 20.89 1.03 rw[91] -16.57 2.49 -16.49 -20.71 -12.58 20.60 1.03 rw[92] -16.53 2.50 -16.41 -20.50 -12.25 20.46 1.04 rw[93] -16.47 2.51 -16.28 -20.55 -12.20 21.56 1.03 rw[94] -16.39 2.45 -16.24 -20.70 -12.78 19.83 1.04 rw[95] -16.23 2.46 -16.08 -20.40 -12.34 18.88 1.03 rw[96] -16.12 2.42 -16.05 -19.70 -12.17 20.63 1.02 rw[97] -15.96 2.44 -15.95 -19.80 -12.08 18.56 1.03 rw[98] -15.83 2.41 -15.76 -19.43 -11.57 19.77 1.02 rw[99] -15.71 2.36 -15.63 -19.15 -11.46 20.08 1.02 rw[100] -15.53 2.39 -15.39 -19.81 -11.91 20.46 1.01 rw[101] -15.31 2.36 -15.26 -19.10 -11.41 21.18 1.02 rw[102] -15.06 2.36 -14.97 -18.94 -11.38 21.50 1.02 rw[103] -14.85 2.35 -14.81 -18.58 -10.94 20.82 1.02 rw[104] -14.64 2.34 -14.64 -18.33 -10.65 19.27 1.02 rw[105] -14.40 2.37 -14.34 -18.04 -10.33 19.29 1.02 rw[106] -14.09 2.37 -13.96 -17.61 -9.87 19.80 1.03 rw[107] -13.82 2.37 -13.69 -17.70 -10.09 21.73 1.03 rw[108] -13.52 2.38 -13.36 -17.33 -9.61 22.16 1.02 rw[109] -13.28 2.34 -13.16 -17.32 -9.78 24.46 1.02 rw[110] -12.99 2.36 -12.84 -17.14 -9.44 29.62 1.02 rw[111] -12.72 2.35 -12.59 -16.63 -9.04 27.16 1.03 rw[112] -12.44 2.41 -12.32 -16.53 -8.77 24.35 1.03 rw[113] -12.13 2.40 -12.02 -15.79 -8.17 25.67 1.02 rw[114] -11.88 2.45 -11.82 -16.25 -8.27 25.04 1.03 rw[115] -11.66 2.43 -11.54 -16.01 -8.06 22.70 1.03 rw[116] -11.38 2.39 -11.27 -15.62 -7.79 22.90 1.03 rw[117] -11.08 2.42 -11.02 -14.89 -6.95 22.48 1.03 rw[118] -10.83 2.37 -10.72 -14.45 -6.79 23.32 1.03 rw[119] -10.59 2.33 -10.55 -14.37 -6.70 22.72 1.03 rw[120] -10.35 2.29 -10.22 -13.95 -6.39 22.82 1.03 rw[121] -10.16 2.29 -10.11 -13.41 -6.01 18.69 1.04 rw[122] -10.02 2.26 -9.89 -13.79 -6.38 17.87 1.04 rw[123] -9.92 2.24 -9.76 -13.16 -5.88 16.41 1.04 rw[124] -9.83 2.32 -9.77 -13.34 -5.73 16.13 1.04 rw[125] -9.83 2.30 -9.67 -13.28 -5.71 17.60 1.03 rw[126] -9.86 2.33 -9.73 -13.70 -6.03 16.93 1.03 rw[127] -10.04 2.30 -9.97 -13.75 -6.23 17.01 1.04 rw[128] -10.14 2.29 -10.02 -13.67 -6.04 20.21 1.03 rw[129] -10.35 2.31 -10.22 -14.24 -6.58 17.99 1.03 rw[130] -10.64 2.29 -10.57 -14.28 -6.77 20.14 1.02 rw[131] -10.94 2.30 -10.82 -14.41 -6.97 18.60 1.03 rw[132] -11.27 2.31 -11.12 -15.06 -7.75 19.91 1.03 rw[133] -11.63 2.32 -11.46 -15.46 -7.98 21.27 1.03 rw[134] -11.95 2.27 -11.81 -15.82 -8.51 20.71 1.03 rw[135] -12.32 2.30 -12.17 -15.63 -8.35 21.86 1.02 rw[136] -12.65 2.33 -12.49 -16.45 -8.85 22.06 1.02 rw[137] -12.98 2.34 -12.85 -16.46 -8.89 21.20 1.03 rw[138] -13.25 2.33 -13.11 -16.87 -9.37 21.72 1.02 rw[139] -13.53 2.35 -13.31 -16.95 -9.29 21.28 1.03 rw[140] -13.71 2.39 -13.51 -17.67 -10.02 23.12 1.04 rw[141] -13.86 2.37 -13.69 -17.90 -10.44 22.88 1.03 rw[142] -14.05 2.42 -13.84 -17.97 -10.23 19.35 1.04 rw[143] -14.17 2.37 -13.99 -17.79 -10.29 18.45 1.04 rw[144] -14.30 2.32 -14.19 -18.10 -10.76 19.99 1.03 rw[145] -14.36 2.36 -14.28 -18.24 -10.60 20.74 1.04 rw[146] -14.42 2.35 -14.30 -18.04 -10.65 22.72 1.03 rw[147] -14.57 2.35 -14.49 -18.49 -10.95 20.57 1.03 rw[148] -14.63 2.39 -14.48 -18.45 -10.54 19.43 1.04 rw[149] -14.76 2.34 -14.67 -18.77 -11.13 19.26 1.04 rw[150] -14.81 2.35 -14.70 -18.71 -10.93 19.36 1.04 rw[151] -14.86 2.34 -14.79 -18.39 -10.98 19.61 1.04 rw[152] -14.84 2.40 -14.76 -18.51 -10.78 21.61 1.03 rw[153] -14.82 2.36 -14.68 -18.53 -11.06 22.01 1.03 rw[154] -14.75 2.33 -14.75 -18.90 -11.24 21.59 1.03 rw[155] -14.70 2.31 -14.62 -18.46 -10.93 20.53 1.04 rw[156] -14.66 2.37 -14.48 -19.03 -11.16 22.43 1.04 rw[157] -14.63 2.35 -14.48 -19.10 -11.29 21.67 1.04 rw[158] -14.53 2.35 -14.37 -18.32 -10.72 21.85 1.03 rw[159] -14.42 2.34 -14.37 -18.32 -10.65 25.10 1.02 rw[160] -14.32 2.35 -14.28 -18.07 -10.47 22.84 1.02 rw[161] -14.19 2.33 -14.16 -18.21 -10.66 24.11 1.02 rw[162] -14.03 2.36 -13.88 -17.49 -9.71 22.87 1.03 rw[163] -13.96 2.33 -13.86 -17.51 -9.89 22.76 1.03 rw[164] -13.85 2.34 -13.73 -17.48 -9.83 21.00 1.03 rw[165] -13.77 2.31 -13.68 -17.63 -10.03 23.34 1.02 rw[166] -13.68 2.35 -13.64 -17.39 -9.55 24.15 1.03 rw[167] -13.58 2.36 -13.47 -17.29 -9.56 20.25 1.03 rw[168] -13.56 2.31 -13.46 -17.93 -10.18 20.83 1.03 rw[169] -13.57 2.31 -13.46 -17.70 -10.20 21.66 1.02 rw[170] -13.57 2.30 -13.37 -17.12 -9.68 20.57 1.03 rw[171] -13.52 2.32 -13.35 -17.13 -9.70 18.40 1.03 rw[172] -13.47 2.31 -13.36 -17.23 -9.69 18.84 1.03 rw[173] -13.45 2.33 -13.36 -16.82 -9.40 17.17 1.04 rw[174] -13.43 2.33 -13.34 -16.96 -9.51 18.13 1.04 rw[175] -13.40 2.35 -13.29 -17.10 -9.56 17.44 1.04 rw[176] -13.38 2.30 -13.30 -17.27 -9.73 17.81 1.04 rw[177] -13.34 2.32 -13.27 -16.96 -9.43 18.30 1.03 rw[178] -13.22 2.32 -13.13 -17.39 -9.81 17.62 1.03 rw[179] -13.10 2.32 -12.96 -16.84 -9.20 17.70 1.03 rw[180] -12.94 2.33 -12.82 -16.32 -8.65 20.69 1.03 rw[181] -12.77 2.34 -12.63 -16.31 -8.81 22.38 1.03 rw[182] -12.57 2.32 -12.46 -16.34 -8.83 21.51 1.03 rw[183] -12.40 2.34 -12.38 -16.24 -8.59 22.55 1.03 rw[184] -12.24 2.32 -12.06 -15.80 -8.25 21.41 1.03 rw[185] -12.01 2.32 -11.86 -15.81 -8.25 21.61 1.03 rw[186] -11.74 2.33 -11.63 -15.69 -8.14 20.77 1.03 rw[187] -11.46 2.30 -11.35 -15.00 -7.66 18.11 1.03 rw[188] -11.20 2.28 -11.08 -14.52 -7.06 18.20 1.03 rw[189] -10.89 2.25 -10.75 -14.51 -7.24 17.45 1.03 rw[190] -10.68 2.18 -10.65 -14.38 -7.41 17.23 1.03 rw[191] -10.44 2.08 -10.43 -13.76 -6.94 16.23 1.04 rw[192] -10.21 1.92 -10.06 -13.28 -7.18 13.73 1.04 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1367.85 1.00 Number of divergences: 0