mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.80 0.88 0.51 0.00 1.93 941.90 1.00 E0 1.43 1.27 1.04 0.00 3.37 1051.46 1.00 H0 0.82 0.77 0.59 0.00 1.88 975.45 1.00 I0 2.05 1.47 1.74 0.00 4.30 1181.46 1.00 beta0 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.00 0.27 441.95 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.32 0.13 0.31 0.11 0.50 807.84 1.00 death_dispersion 0.35 0.13 0.34 0.12 0.53 537.52 1.01 death_prob 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 1310.89 1.00 death_rate 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.06 1215.47 1.00 det_prob0 0.29 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.40 1234.83 1.00 det_prob_d 0.89 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1290.73 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1095.20 1.00 rw[0] -0.08 0.98 -0.05 -1.88 1.38 918.80 1.00 rw[1] -0.16 1.33 -0.15 -2.36 1.96 617.92 1.00 rw[2] -0.19 1.67 -0.15 -2.73 2.69 469.19 1.00 rw[3] -0.26 1.90 -0.18 -3.02 3.21 422.83 1.00 rw[4] -0.37 2.15 -0.33 -3.87 3.02 392.32 1.00 rw[5] -0.41 2.34 -0.43 -3.85 3.79 359.44 1.00 rw[6] -0.49 2.50 -0.50 -4.49 3.56 318.16 1.00 rw[7] -0.54 2.67 -0.65 -4.56 4.06 296.47 1.00 rw[8] -0.60 2.84 -0.69 -4.74 4.16 283.32 1.00 rw[9] -0.69 3.00 -0.70 -5.54 4.12 265.99 1.00 rw[10] -0.72 3.09 -0.79 -4.91 4.84 249.94 1.00 rw[11] -0.81 3.21 -0.90 -5.28 5.16 224.74 1.00 rw[12] -0.87 3.32 -0.93 -5.91 5.12 225.88 1.00 rw[13] -0.91 3.49 -1.07 -6.35 4.79 221.87 1.00 rw[14] -0.97 3.56 -1.08 -6.52 4.90 209.49 1.00 rw[15] -1.03 3.70 -1.10 -7.11 4.59 207.14 1.00 rw[16] -1.07 3.82 -1.02 -6.73 5.22 194.81 1.00 rw[17] -1.13 3.92 -1.10 -7.24 5.17 197.02 1.00 rw[18] -1.22 4.03 -1.06 -7.81 4.90 200.28 1.00 rw[19] -1.25 4.07 -1.29 -7.42 5.68 195.73 1.00 rw[20] -1.28 4.12 -1.23 -8.15 5.13 198.82 1.00 rw[21] -1.34 4.18 -1.18 -7.95 5.63 197.30 1.00 rw[22] -1.36 4.29 -1.16 -7.80 5.87 195.90 1.00 rw[23] -1.44 4.34 -1.22 -8.94 4.68 198.60 1.00 rw[24] -1.44 4.42 -1.36 -8.07 5.74 198.76 1.00 rw[25] -1.47 4.52 -1.47 -8.53 5.88 194.30 1.00 rw[26] -1.51 4.66 -1.51 -9.68 5.25 186.89 1.00 rw[27] -1.55 4.74 -1.61 -9.00 6.45 185.05 1.00 rw[28] -1.52 4.80 -1.42 -9.32 6.43 176.30 1.00 rw[29] -1.56 4.83 -1.52 -10.03 5.75 176.83 1.00 rw[30] -1.61 4.89 -1.58 -8.81 6.73 175.81 1.00 rw[31] -1.66 4.90 -1.64 -10.34 5.76 174.27 1.00 rw[32] -1.70 4.97 -1.67 -10.46 5.60 175.16 1.00 rw[33] -1.73 5.02 -1.57 -9.58 6.09 176.07 1.00 rw[34] -1.71 5.11 -1.71 -10.41 5.69 176.72 1.00 rw[35] -1.67 5.23 -1.58 -10.42 5.85 173.57 1.00 rw[36] -1.74 5.30 -1.61 -10.46 6.10 171.09 1.00 rw[37] -1.76 5.35 -1.62 -10.12 6.92 166.55 1.00 rw[38] -1.79 5.43 -1.62 -11.07 6.28 163.56 1.00 rw[39] -1.81 5.46 -1.76 -11.16 6.33 164.09 1.00 rw[40] -1.84 5.54 -1.68 -10.57 6.62 166.14 1.00 rw[41] -1.86 5.57 -1.59 -10.86 6.46 164.18 1.00 rw[42] -1.89 5.67 -1.59 -11.09 6.87 163.33 1.00 rw[43] -1.93 5.69 -1.71 -11.28 6.87 159.08 1.00 rw[44] -1.97 5.75 -1.78 -11.14 7.08 156.49 1.00 rw[45] -1.98 5.83 -1.78 -11.67 7.32 157.29 1.00 rw[46] -2.01 5.85 -1.68 -11.63 7.59 153.95 1.00 rw[47] -2.02 5.88 -1.83 -12.13 7.41 153.85 1.00 rw[48] -2.05 5.91 -1.88 -12.51 7.45 150.91 1.00 rw[49] -2.08 5.97 -1.94 -12.94 7.09 148.19 1.00 rw[50] -2.11 6.04 -1.83 -11.38 8.86 143.22 1.00 rw[51] -2.13 6.10 -1.90 -13.20 7.46 138.53 1.00 rw[52] -2.14 6.17 -1.84 -12.63 8.22 135.80 1.00 rw[53] -2.20 6.26 -1.85 -12.51 8.61 135.83 1.00 rw[54] -2.22 6.29 -1.86 -12.47 8.52 134.01 1.00 rw[55] -2.21 6.28 -1.79 -13.53 7.31 130.38 1.00 rw[56] -2.21 6.39 -1.95 -13.28 7.72 126.03 1.00 rw[57] -2.25 6.51 -1.88 -13.08 8.31 125.75 1.00 rw[58] -2.20 6.53 -1.99 -13.20 8.28 124.06 1.00 rw[59] -2.23 6.56 -1.97 -14.04 7.77 119.87 1.00 rw[60] -2.23 6.62 -2.21 -13.11 8.72 119.33 1.00 rw[61] -2.22 6.65 -1.95 -14.01 7.88 118.45 1.00 rw[62] -2.22 6.67 -2.23 -13.81 7.65 115.59 1.00 rw[63] -2.30 6.70 -2.09 -13.47 8.12 114.88 1.00 rw[64] -2.30 6.76 -2.13 -13.05 8.62 113.50 1.00 rw[65] -2.32 6.81 -2.17 -13.67 8.35 112.23 1.00 rw[66] -2.32 6.81 -1.89 -14.30 7.79 109.75 1.00 rw[67] -2.35 6.87 -2.13 -13.94 8.27 110.87 1.00 rw[68] -2.39 6.94 -1.95 -14.02 8.53 111.97 1.00 rw[69] -2.42 7.00 -2.00 -14.57 8.45 111.08 1.00 rw[70] -2.42 7.05 -1.95 -14.10 9.18 110.99 1.00 rw[71] -2.42 7.11 -1.93 -14.76 8.65 109.15 1.00 rw[72] -2.46 7.17 -2.17 -14.22 8.90 108.60 1.00 rw[73] -2.42 7.24 -2.33 -13.97 9.30 109.46 1.00 rw[74] -2.41 7.27 -2.25 -13.85 9.28 110.12 1.00 rw[75] -2.41 7.34 -2.12 -14.37 9.10 110.02 1.00 rw[76] -2.47 7.39 -2.10 -14.37 9.63 109.78 1.00 rw[77] -2.53 7.45 -2.21 -13.46 10.48 108.40 1.00 rw[78] -2.54 7.49 -2.10 -14.22 9.84 106.77 1.00 rw[79] -2.60 7.55 -2.26 -15.20 9.21 105.20 1.00 rw[80] -2.62 7.55 -2.33 -15.29 8.96 105.02 1.00 rw[81] -2.62 7.62 -2.32 -14.48 10.38 105.63 1.00 rw[82] -2.66 7.67 -2.41 -15.91 9.06 106.14 1.00 rw[83] -2.67 7.70 -2.45 -15.73 8.83 107.81 1.00 rw[84] -2.67 7.75 -2.35 -15.98 8.60 107.74 1.00 rw[85] -2.67 7.74 -2.36 -15.38 9.60 107.44 1.00 rw[86] -2.68 7.79 -2.46 -15.81 8.91 107.37 1.00 rw[87] -2.71 7.86 -2.44 -15.56 9.73 107.59 1.00 rw[88] -2.75 7.89 -2.56 -15.22 9.84 108.86 1.00 rw[89] -2.74 7.94 -2.47 -14.91 10.78 108.55 1.00 rw[90] -2.75 8.02 -2.41 -16.87 9.24 108.73 1.00 rw[91] -2.78 8.06 -2.49 -15.03 11.01 108.76 1.00 rw[92] -2.75 8.11 -2.25 -16.66 9.34 109.97 1.00 rw[93] -2.78 8.20 -2.47 -16.20 9.96 110.64 1.00 rw[94] -2.79 8.24 -2.62 -16.42 9.60 109.84 1.00 rw[95] -2.83 8.32 -2.39 -17.22 9.57 111.45 1.00 rw[96] -2.87 8.34 -2.49 -16.28 10.25 112.83 1.00 rw[97] -2.88 8.40 -2.59 -17.24 9.64 113.74 1.00 rw[98] -2.90 8.44 -2.65 -16.30 10.89 115.04 1.00 rw[99] -2.86 8.44 -2.40 -17.47 9.60 115.69 1.00 rw[100] -2.86 8.46 -2.60 -16.18 11.16 115.07 1.00 rw[101] -2.87 8.47 -2.59 -16.71 10.90 114.81 1.00 rw[102] -2.87 8.58 -2.64 -15.63 12.27 115.47 1.00 rw[103] -2.91 8.70 -2.51 -16.71 11.43 115.74 1.00 rw[104] -2.92 8.80 -2.28 -17.67 10.95 114.64 1.00 rw[105] -2.89 8.83 -2.14 -17.32 11.18 115.83 1.00 rw[106] -2.90 8.90 -2.34 -17.91 10.75 115.27 1.00 rw[107] -2.93 8.99 -2.17 -17.55 11.31 116.52 1.00 rw[108] -2.88 9.05 -2.07 -16.72 12.01 115.25 1.00 rw[109] -2.91 9.16 -2.18 -17.03 12.45 115.00 1.00 rw[110] -2.93 9.27 -2.37 -17.02 12.78 115.08 1.00 rw[111] -2.92 9.38 -2.35 -16.73 13.16 114.30 1.00 rw[112] -2.95 9.41 -2.27 -17.41 13.10 113.62 1.00 rw[113] -2.97 9.40 -2.38 -17.50 12.73 114.11 1.00 rw[114] -2.97 9.42 -2.21 -18.01 12.24 114.67 1.00 rw[115] -2.99 9.47 -2.38 -18.36 12.23 114.58 1.00 rw[116] -2.99 9.49 -2.59 -18.37 12.10 113.71 1.00 rw[117] -3.03 9.56 -2.59 -19.21 11.30 113.42 1.00 rw[118] -2.98 9.64 -2.37 -20.12 10.57 112.36 1.00 rw[119] -2.98 9.66 -2.30 -17.44 13.41 112.08 1.00 rw[120] -2.98 9.72 -2.41 -18.47 12.26 112.95 1.00 rw[121] -2.94 9.80 -2.57 -17.92 12.76 111.79 1.00 rw[122] -2.95 9.89 -2.11 -17.67 13.47 111.91 1.00 rw[123] -3.02 9.92 -2.34 -18.44 12.99 112.01 1.00 rw[124] -3.00 9.99 -2.17 -18.73 13.11 111.07 1.00 rw[125] -3.03 9.99 -2.21 -18.41 13.08 111.81 1.00 rw[126] -3.06 10.04 -2.37 -18.31 13.14 110.65 1.00 rw[127] -3.08 10.04 -2.38 -18.88 12.18 109.93 1.00 rw[128] -3.10 10.03 -2.38 -18.45 13.15 111.31 1.00 rw[129] -3.12 10.07 -2.32 -18.28 13.23 110.18 1.00 rw[130] -3.09 10.08 -2.46 -18.44 13.13 110.59 1.00 rw[131] -3.06 10.10 -2.21 -18.53 12.86 111.62 1.00 rw[132] -3.08 10.20 -2.24 -19.26 12.58 111.12 1.00 rw[133] -3.07 10.21 -2.37 -19.31 12.90 111.14 1.00 rw[134] -3.08 10.27 -2.22 -20.23 12.50 109.24 1.00 rw[135] -3.10 10.29 -2.43 -19.68 13.49 109.07 1.00 rw[136] -3.14 10.35 -2.63 -18.90 14.35 110.05 1.00 rw[137] -3.14 10.41 -2.31 -19.13 14.33 109.46 1.00 rw[138] -3.15 10.45 -2.52 -20.65 13.11 109.13 1.00 rw[139] -3.11 10.50 -2.24 -21.12 12.97 110.10 1.00 rw[140] -3.15 10.58 -2.13 -20.92 13.26 109.79 1.00 rw[141] -3.17 10.60 -2.30 -21.79 12.88 109.73 1.00 rw[142] -3.21 10.60 -2.37 -19.87 14.88 109.43 1.00 rw[143] -3.18 10.61 -2.38 -20.08 14.48 109.64 1.00 rw[144] -3.23 10.62 -2.56 -21.17 13.77 109.97 1.00 rw[145] -3.22 10.61 -2.39 -22.10 12.75 110.58 1.00 rw[146] -3.21 10.68 -2.29 -22.40 12.48 109.39 1.00 rw[147] -3.22 10.69 -2.41 -19.91 15.07 110.27 1.00 rw[148] -3.23 10.72 -2.59 -21.17 13.92 111.65 1.00 rw[149] -3.27 10.73 -2.50 -21.25 13.69 112.27 1.00 rw[150] -3.28 10.75 -2.63 -21.09 14.17 113.37 1.00 rw[151] -3.29 10.81 -2.64 -21.93 13.45 112.86 1.00 rw[152] -3.35 10.78 -2.68 -22.12 13.40 112.22 1.00 rw[153] -3.33 10.75 -2.58 -19.33 15.95 112.95 1.00 rw[154] -3.34 10.79 -2.49 -18.77 16.77 113.75 1.00 rw[155] -3.35 10.89 -2.64 -22.06 14.09 114.33 1.00 rw[156] -3.41 10.89 -2.76 -20.65 15.37 114.85 1.00 rw[157] -3.41 10.94 -2.76 -21.34 14.42 115.82 1.00 rw[158] -3.47 11.02 -2.47 -21.36 14.56 117.09 1.00 rw[159] -3.46 11.06 -2.66 -21.61 14.47 118.88 1.00 rw[160] -3.45 11.11 -2.66 -20.59 15.49 119.26 1.00 rw[161] -3.44 11.13 -2.72 -21.49 14.53 119.93 1.00 rw[162] -3.42 11.21 -2.79 -20.81 15.18 120.11 1.00 rw[163] -3.40 11.22 -2.80 -22.21 14.10 119.41 1.00 rw[164] -3.44 11.25 -2.94 -21.76 14.66 119.64 1.00 rw[165] -3.44 11.26 -2.91 -20.08 16.46 121.18 1.00 rw[166] -3.47 11.29 -3.00 -20.48 16.05 121.36 1.00 rw[167] -3.49 11.35 -3.00 -20.50 16.54 121.49 1.00 rw[168] -3.50 11.38 -2.97 -22.04 15.03 120.21 1.00 rw[169] -3.49 11.40 -3.03 -22.14 14.80 121.19 1.00 rw[170] -3.52 11.43 -2.99 -22.43 14.47 122.05 1.00 rw[171] -3.52 11.40 -3.09 -20.74 15.45 122.33 1.00 rw[172] -3.52 11.44 -3.19 -22.64 13.76 122.31 1.00 rw[173] -3.54 11.49 -3.31 -22.07 14.52 123.60 1.00 rw[174] -3.51 11.51 -3.10 -20.79 15.79 124.21 1.00 rw[175] -3.47 11.55 -3.23 -21.68 15.48 125.85 1.00 rw[176] -3.56 11.54 -3.46 -21.48 15.57 125.43 1.00 rw[177] -3.63 11.58 -3.63 -21.33 15.56 126.61 1.00 rw[178] -3.61 11.66 -3.27 -21.70 15.99 129.01 1.00 rw[179] -3.59 11.69 -3.34 -23.11 14.78 129.28 1.00 rw[180] -3.52 11.78 -3.11 -20.63 17.79 129.98 1.00 rw[181] -3.52 11.83 -3.07 -21.45 16.81 131.75 1.00 rw[182] -3.47 11.90 -3.13 -21.55 17.33 132.83 1.00 rw[183] -3.42 11.95 -3.25 -20.99 17.57 133.22 1.00 rw[184] -3.43 11.97 -3.30 -22.97 15.76 133.95 1.00 rw[185] -3.45 12.02 -3.28 -22.90 16.07 136.12 1.00 rw[186] -3.42 12.04 -2.98 -23.73 15.51 137.88 1.00 rw[187] -3.35 12.10 -3.03 -21.91 17.63 139.70 1.00 rw[188] -3.40 12.15 -3.25 -23.73 15.33 140.50 1.00 rw[189] -3.50 12.15 -3.22 -23.46 15.79 143.13 1.00 rw[190] -3.53 12.15 -3.49 -22.59 16.36 144.18 1.00 rw[191] -3.51 12.22 -3.30 -22.19 16.90 144.54 1.00 rw[192] -3.47 12.37 -3.14 -23.47 16.53 145.70 1.00 rw[193] -3.41 12.42 -3.11 -23.66 16.15 145.88 1.00 rw[194] -3.46 12.43 -3.06 -23.61 16.36 147.95 1.00 rw[195] -3.40 12.45 -2.91 -23.56 16.53 148.71 1.00 rw[196] -3.42 12.46 -3.18 -23.85 16.28 150.33 1.00 rw[197] -3.36 12.50 -3.08 -24.76 15.70 150.63 1.00 rw[198] -3.29 12.55 -3.00 -23.75 16.81 150.96 1.00 rw[199] -3.31 12.59 -2.97 -23.59 16.73 150.90 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1375.22 1.00 Number of divergences: 0