mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.03 1.32 0.57 0.00 2.52 1161.76 1.00 E0 8.44 8.41 5.88 0.00 19.21 155.56 1.00 H0 2.17 2.10 1.57 0.00 4.87 1658.14 1.00 I0 6.60 5.42 5.03 0.24 13.86 46.84 1.04 beta0 2.05 0.64 1.90 1.18 3.15 13.57 1.16 confirmed_dispersion 0.34 0.06 0.33 0.24 0.43 998.87 1.00 death_dispersion 0.46 0.03 0.46 0.40 0.51 1740.85 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 1401.50 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.02 0.08 0.06 0.11 1364.89 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.19 0.39 2291.26 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 2035.73 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1943.38 1.00 rw[0] -0.10 0.98 -0.11 -1.58 1.64 146.06 1.02 rw[1] -0.07 1.38 -0.04 -2.27 2.18 74.53 1.03 rw[2] 0.03 1.73 0.08 -2.72 2.76 54.90 1.03 rw[3] 0.19 2.00 0.27 -2.98 3.50 37.26 1.05 rw[4] 0.31 2.24 0.52 -3.40 3.80 29.88 1.06 rw[5] 0.49 2.45 0.66 -3.33 4.54 26.70 1.07 rw[6] 0.58 2.62 0.73 -3.77 4.62 24.04 1.07 rw[7] 0.58 2.76 0.77 -3.96 5.00 21.97 1.08 rw[8] 0.47 2.94 0.59 -4.77 4.77 21.71 1.08 rw[9] 0.23 3.08 0.36 -5.24 4.87 20.01 1.09 rw[10] -0.09 3.15 0.01 -5.32 4.78 18.41 1.11 rw[11] -0.65 3.21 -0.57 -5.85 4.45 18.19 1.10 rw[12] -1.32 3.27 -1.16 -6.95 3.56 18.86 1.10 rw[13] -2.11 3.34 -1.95 -7.60 3.27 17.68 1.11 rw[14] -2.95 3.34 -2.76 -8.64 2.27 17.62 1.12 rw[15] -3.77 3.30 -3.47 -9.50 1.24 16.65 1.11 rw[16] -4.53 3.31 -4.20 -10.56 0.37 16.61 1.12 rw[17] -5.28 3.29 -5.05 -11.66 -0.79 15.70 1.12 rw[18] -6.00 3.32 -5.88 -12.07 -1.10 16.18 1.11 rw[19] -6.68 3.31 -6.50 -12.41 -1.60 16.77 1.12 rw[20] -7.36 3.31 -7.18 -13.09 -2.35 16.22 1.12 rw[21] -7.99 3.36 -7.83 -14.02 -3.05 16.58 1.12 rw[22] -8.63 3.34 -8.35 -14.12 -3.32 16.25 1.11 rw[23] -9.23 3.35 -8.90 -14.88 -4.09 16.64 1.11 rw[24] -9.84 3.30 -9.59 -15.21 -4.73 16.73 1.11 rw[25] -10.43 3.33 -10.21 -16.21 -5.26 17.20 1.11 rw[26] -10.97 3.35 -10.74 -16.95 -6.01 16.44 1.12 rw[27] -11.50 3.34 -11.26 -17.18 -6.38 16.38 1.12 rw[28] -11.96 3.35 -11.73 -17.44 -6.66 17.09 1.11 rw[29] -12.40 3.34 -12.22 -18.16 -7.21 17.64 1.11 rw[30] -12.86 3.33 -12.75 -18.51 -7.30 16.60 1.11 rw[31] -13.22 3.30 -13.10 -18.87 -7.96 17.37 1.11 rw[32] -13.57 3.30 -13.42 -19.27 -8.53 17.60 1.10 rw[33] -13.88 3.32 -13.76 -19.47 -8.61 17.71 1.11 rw[34] -14.15 3.33 -14.06 -19.99 -9.01 17.43 1.10 rw[35] -14.34 3.31 -14.15 -19.90 -8.92 17.46 1.10 rw[36] -14.57 3.32 -14.29 -19.98 -8.91 17.32 1.11 rw[37] -14.72 3.34 -14.42 -20.32 -9.39 16.83 1.11 rw[38] -14.84 3.33 -14.60 -19.99 -9.00 16.51 1.11 rw[39] -15.00 3.34 -14.74 -19.95 -9.24 16.79 1.11 rw[40] -15.08 3.31 -14.90 -20.58 -9.83 16.87 1.12 rw[41] -15.18 3.27 -14.92 -21.40 -10.65 16.90 1.12 rw[42] -15.21 3.31 -14.88 -21.74 -10.73 17.99 1.12 rw[43] -15.24 3.33 -14.92 -20.79 -9.74 18.16 1.11 rw[44] -15.24 3.35 -15.04 -21.54 -10.52 18.47 1.10 rw[45] -15.29 3.41 -14.95 -20.86 -9.72 18.69 1.09 rw[46] -15.30 3.39 -15.12 -20.98 -10.09 18.82 1.09 rw[47] -15.28 3.39 -15.00 -20.62 -9.40 18.44 1.09 rw[48] -15.25 3.36 -14.97 -20.55 -9.60 17.92 1.10 rw[49] -15.13 3.38 -14.88 -20.42 -9.40 17.80 1.12 rw[50] -15.07 3.35 -14.94 -20.98 -9.99 17.75 1.11 rw[51] -15.02 3.36 -14.71 -20.45 -9.67 17.60 1.11 rw[52] -14.88 3.33 -14.59 -20.81 -10.10 18.20 1.11 rw[53] -14.80 3.34 -14.55 -20.54 -9.87 18.55 1.10 rw[54] -14.71 3.34 -14.41 -20.37 -9.54 19.03 1.09 rw[55] -14.67 3.30 -14.43 -19.74 -9.23 19.36 1.10 rw[56] -14.53 3.33 -14.29 -19.40 -8.48 19.45 1.10 rw[57] -14.42 3.36 -14.06 -20.22 -9.18 18.07 1.10 rw[58] -14.32 3.32 -14.00 -20.01 -9.24 17.63 1.11 rw[59] -14.23 3.30 -13.91 -19.50 -8.80 18.09 1.10 rw[60] -14.22 3.31 -13.85 -20.17 -9.27 17.18 1.11 rw[61] -14.11 3.34 -13.95 -19.72 -8.95 17.26 1.11 rw[62] -14.02 3.38 -13.91 -19.84 -8.79 17.70 1.11 rw[63] -13.93 3.35 -13.79 -19.26 -8.25 18.14 1.10 rw[64] -13.83 3.34 -13.65 -19.91 -8.75 17.50 1.10 rw[65] -13.76 3.37 -13.62 -19.95 -8.75 17.44 1.11 rw[66] -13.72 3.34 -13.57 -19.40 -8.35 17.35 1.11 rw[67] -13.66 3.37 -13.56 -19.24 -8.12 17.49 1.11 rw[68] -13.60 3.39 -13.49 -18.82 -7.78 17.45 1.11 rw[69] -13.57 3.37 -13.35 -19.40 -8.44 16.91 1.11 rw[70] -13.52 3.40 -13.28 -18.92 -7.75 17.15 1.10 rw[71] -13.53 3.38 -13.30 -19.70 -8.71 16.88 1.10 rw[72] -13.53 3.45 -13.33 -19.83 -8.47 17.27 1.10 rw[73] -13.51 3.39 -13.30 -19.57 -8.59 17.99 1.11 rw[74] -13.52 3.40 -13.20 -18.87 -7.76 17.39 1.11 rw[75] -13.54 3.40 -13.35 -19.28 -8.21 16.69 1.12 rw[76] -13.57 3.40 -13.32 -19.70 -8.47 17.16 1.10 rw[77] -13.62 3.37 -13.37 -18.52 -7.33 17.09 1.11 rw[78] -13.68 3.37 -13.50 -19.15 -8.03 17.07 1.11 rw[79] -13.71 3.36 -13.46 -19.57 -8.65 16.77 1.11 rw[80] -13.72 3.37 -13.44 -19.20 -8.05 17.25 1.11 rw[81] -13.77 3.41 -13.50 -19.48 -8.41 17.82 1.10 rw[82] -13.80 3.40 -13.57 -19.53 -8.21 17.98 1.11 rw[83] -13.82 3.40 -13.62 -19.09 -8.05 18.20 1.11 rw[84] -13.86 3.38 -13.63 -19.99 -8.73 17.51 1.12 rw[85] -13.88 3.34 -13.77 -19.87 -8.71 16.96 1.12 rw[86] -13.92 3.34 -13.65 -19.48 -8.30 17.43 1.12 rw[87] -13.98 3.28 -13.74 -19.48 -8.58 17.02 1.12 rw[88] -14.01 3.32 -13.84 -19.75 -8.75 16.87 1.11 rw[89] -14.07 3.32 -13.82 -19.56 -8.86 16.78 1.11 rw[90] -14.12 3.29 -14.00 -19.52 -8.89 17.82 1.10 rw[91] -14.19 3.26 -14.01 -18.94 -8.24 18.01 1.11 rw[92] -14.24 3.25 -14.02 -19.66 -9.04 18.10 1.11 rw[93] -14.30 3.22 -14.13 -19.54 -9.05 18.24 1.11 rw[94] -14.38 3.24 -14.26 -20.25 -9.61 18.54 1.10 rw[95] -14.40 3.27 -14.34 -19.37 -8.71 18.79 1.09 rw[96] -14.38 3.33 -14.25 -19.75 -8.88 18.20 1.09 rw[97] -14.43 3.36 -14.31 -20.01 -8.93 18.38 1.09 rw[98] -14.39 3.37 -14.24 -19.84 -8.74 18.00 1.09 rw[99] -14.28 3.31 -14.07 -19.99 -8.95 18.12 1.10 rw[100] -14.15 3.27 -13.87 -19.24 -8.55 17.90 1.11 rw[101] -14.00 3.30 -13.83 -19.05 -8.35 17.36 1.11 rw[102] -13.78 3.27 -13.68 -18.66 -7.90 17.35 1.11 rw[103] -13.49 3.32 -13.39 -19.24 -8.27 17.44 1.11 rw[104] -13.28 3.32 -13.22 -18.58 -7.59 17.40 1.11 rw[105] -13.00 3.35 -12.86 -18.71 -7.65 16.94 1.11 rw[106] -12.71 3.32 -12.56 -18.21 -7.18 17.18 1.11 rw[107] -12.46 3.28 -12.25 -17.99 -7.16 16.73 1.11 rw[108] -12.19 3.27 -11.98 -18.07 -7.30 17.17 1.11 rw[109] -11.96 3.29 -11.78 -17.24 -6.66 17.27 1.11 rw[110] -11.78 3.26 -11.61 -17.13 -6.55 16.29 1.12 rw[111] -11.64 3.23 -11.50 -17.39 -6.72 16.26 1.11 rw[112] -11.50 3.21 -11.15 -17.76 -7.10 16.32 1.12 rw[113] -11.30 3.29 -11.10 -17.09 -6.36 16.72 1.12 rw[114] -11.15 3.27 -10.85 -16.34 -5.59 16.14 1.12 rw[115] -11.06 3.25 -10.85 -16.40 -5.73 16.06 1.12 rw[116] -10.97 3.24 -10.69 -16.34 -5.66 16.19 1.11 rw[117] -10.90 3.22 -10.75 -16.13 -5.56 15.86 1.11 rw[118] -10.90 3.16 -10.68 -15.89 -5.30 15.81 1.11 rw[119] -10.92 3.16 -10.72 -16.43 -5.98 16.00 1.11 rw[120] -10.95 3.19 -10.79 -16.85 -6.29 16.50 1.10 rw[121] -10.98 3.24 -10.76 -16.65 -6.14 17.16 1.10 rw[122] -11.01 3.27 -10.88 -16.61 -6.08 17.25 1.10 rw[123] -11.04 3.28 -10.77 -16.33 -5.60 17.35 1.11 rw[124] -11.09 3.27 -10.83 -16.69 -6.08 16.52 1.11 rw[125] -11.11 3.28 -10.97 -16.71 -6.03 16.67 1.11 rw[126] -11.18 3.27 -11.10 -16.41 -5.75 17.23 1.11 rw[127] -11.30 3.24 -11.07 -16.88 -6.08 17.11 1.10 rw[128] -11.41 3.23 -11.19 -16.74 -6.03 17.04 1.10 rw[129] -11.47 3.25 -11.20 -16.75 -5.93 16.56 1.10 rw[130] -11.53 3.25 -11.22 -17.32 -6.44 16.28 1.11 rw[131] -11.67 3.28 -11.42 -17.51 -6.61 16.73 1.10 rw[132] -11.84 3.25 -11.63 -17.14 -6.52 16.83 1.10 rw[133] -11.97 3.25 -11.75 -17.34 -6.87 17.51 1.10 rw[134] -12.09 3.25 -11.89 -17.78 -7.28 17.38 1.11 rw[135] -12.18 3.23 -11.99 -17.82 -7.18 16.92 1.11 rw[136] -12.34 3.27 -12.12 -17.87 -7.27 17.08 1.12 rw[137] -12.43 3.24 -12.18 -18.01 -7.45 16.17 1.12 rw[138] -12.53 3.18 -12.17 -18.26 -7.80 15.75 1.13 rw[139] -12.67 3.18 -12.42 -18.41 -7.96 16.63 1.11 rw[140] -12.73 3.19 -12.49 -18.47 -7.91 16.96 1.11 rw[141] -12.85 3.22 -12.60 -18.09 -7.57 16.84 1.10 rw[142] -12.89 3.27 -12.69 -18.24 -7.46 16.93 1.11 rw[143] -12.96 3.27 -12.76 -18.54 -7.79 17.53 1.10 rw[144] -13.00 3.27 -12.82 -19.25 -8.38 17.38 1.11 rw[145] -13.03 3.25 -12.84 -18.94 -8.31 17.21 1.10 rw[146] -13.09 3.26 -12.97 -18.72 -8.07 17.39 1.11 rw[147] -13.13 3.25 -12.95 -18.64 -8.00 17.59 1.11 rw[148] -13.23 3.25 -13.02 -18.99 -8.24 17.45 1.11 rw[149] -13.32 3.27 -13.12 -19.02 -8.42 17.76 1.11 rw[150] -13.39 3.30 -13.15 -18.48 -7.73 17.36 1.11 rw[151] -13.42 3.32 -13.25 -18.97 -8.00 17.56 1.12 rw[152] -13.46 3.33 -13.30 -18.76 -7.69 16.65 1.12 rw[153] -13.47 3.29 -13.28 -19.11 -8.36 16.47 1.13 rw[154] -13.56 3.29 -13.47 -19.48 -8.64 16.85 1.12 rw[155] -13.64 3.18 -13.46 -19.40 -9.01 17.88 1.11 rw[156] -13.79 3.19 -13.55 -18.67 -8.02 17.13 1.11 rw[157] -13.91 3.22 -13.74 -19.54 -8.95 16.67 1.12 rw[158] -13.99 3.26 -13.83 -19.18 -8.70 17.32 1.13 rw[159] -14.10 3.27 -13.91 -20.22 -9.44 16.64 1.11 rw[160] -14.19 3.26 -14.08 -19.76 -9.27 17.77 1.09 rw[161] -14.26 3.25 -14.11 -19.85 -9.19 17.38 1.10 rw[162] -14.31 3.29 -14.12 -20.14 -9.50 17.57 1.10 rw[163] -14.32 3.29 -14.10 -20.07 -9.31 17.37 1.11 rw[164] -14.30 3.29 -14.04 -20.38 -9.58 17.76 1.10 rw[165] -14.35 3.31 -14.06 -19.52 -8.75 17.23 1.10 rw[166] -14.39 3.28 -14.20 -20.08 -9.31 17.41 1.10 rw[167] -14.39 3.27 -14.11 -20.23 -9.59 17.85 1.10 rw[168] -14.45 3.32 -14.17 -19.77 -8.90 17.53 1.10 rw[169] -14.47 3.27 -14.30 -19.93 -9.37 17.36 1.10 rw[170] -14.47 3.27 -14.32 -20.06 -9.53 17.16 1.10 rw[171] -14.50 3.28 -14.28 -20.09 -9.41 17.10 1.10 rw[172] -14.47 3.25 -14.33 -19.95 -9.32 16.66 1.11 rw[173] -14.46 3.28 -14.22 -20.05 -9.41 17.75 1.10 rw[174] -14.45 3.34 -14.31 -20.36 -9.48 17.72 1.11 rw[175] -14.44 3.29 -14.24 -20.22 -9.42 16.88 1.10 rw[176] -14.39 3.31 -14.13 -20.01 -9.28 16.63 1.11 rw[177] -14.37 3.33 -14.17 -20.37 -9.35 16.87 1.11 rw[178] -14.31 3.32 -14.10 -19.52 -8.81 17.00 1.11 rw[179] -14.24 3.35 -14.07 -19.89 -9.01 16.71 1.10 rw[180] -14.17 3.38 -13.95 -20.23 -9.11 17.03 1.11 rw[181] -14.12 3.39 -13.83 -19.50 -8.22 16.77 1.11 rw[182] -14.09 3.36 -13.86 -19.17 -8.09 16.66 1.10 rw[183] -14.09 3.36 -13.99 -19.85 -8.99 16.67 1.11 rw[184] -14.02 3.36 -13.79 -19.84 -8.58 16.23 1.12 rw[185] -13.98 3.30 -13.70 -19.97 -8.95 16.11 1.12 rw[186] -13.88 3.28 -13.60 -20.07 -9.34 16.11 1.11 rw[187] -13.83 3.28 -13.67 -19.33 -8.48 15.57 1.12 rw[188] -13.84 3.31 -13.57 -19.93 -9.02 15.86 1.12 rw[189] -13.86 3.31 -13.72 -19.17 -8.41 15.64 1.13 rw[190] -13.89 3.30 -13.68 -19.52 -8.73 15.93 1.13 rw[191] -13.83 3.28 -13.67 -19.60 -9.04 17.16 1.11 rw[192] -13.85 3.28 -13.63 -19.48 -8.92 16.33 1.12 rw[193] -13.80 3.30 -13.64 -19.00 -8.39 16.20 1.12 rw[194] -13.78 3.25 -13.52 -19.55 -8.94 16.72 1.12 rw[195] -13.81 3.25 -13.54 -19.04 -8.44 17.16 1.12 rw[196] -13.77 3.22 -13.41 -18.97 -8.27 16.86 1.12 rw[197] -13.75 3.15 -13.51 -19.33 -9.01 16.02 1.11 rw[198] -13.71 3.09 -13.35 -19.12 -9.07 15.21 1.12 rw[199] -13.64 2.99 -13.36 -18.90 -9.14 14.52 1.13 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.23 0.26 2159.30 1.00 Number of divergences: 0