mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.63 0.64 0.42 0.00 1.45 1530.26 1.00 E0 10.28 9.71 7.56 0.01 22.15 130.08 1.00 H0 1.34 1.34 0.91 0.00 2.95 1185.25 1.00 I0 3.96 4.07 2.57 0.00 9.65 99.11 1.00 beta0 2.30 0.58 2.19 1.51 3.25 13.32 1.10 confirmed_dispersion 0.58 0.07 0.58 0.46 0.68 845.28 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 1551.16 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 1053.35 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.07 0.05 0.10 699.01 1.00 det_prob0 0.29 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.39 1809.85 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1260.04 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1159.29 1.00 rw[0] -0.12 0.96 -0.12 -1.50 1.63 350.03 1.00 rw[1] -0.14 1.29 -0.14 -2.30 1.81 124.72 1.01 rw[2] -0.09 1.60 -0.02 -2.80 2.41 71.21 1.02 rw[3] -0.01 1.81 0.11 -3.38 2.57 52.48 1.03 rw[4] 0.07 2.02 0.27 -3.33 3.17 42.41 1.04 rw[5] 0.18 2.16 0.27 -3.26 3.56 31.44 1.04 rw[6] 0.20 2.29 0.38 -3.48 3.89 25.95 1.05 rw[7] 0.12 2.47 0.19 -3.71 4.20 21.96 1.06 rw[8] 0.04 2.53 0.16 -3.72 4.50 20.77 1.06 rw[9] -0.23 2.65 -0.17 -4.47 4.09 19.66 1.07 rw[10] -0.60 2.72 -0.57 -4.54 3.95 18.96 1.07 rw[11] -1.14 2.77 -1.07 -5.78 3.07 17.38 1.08 rw[12] -1.79 2.85 -1.75 -6.80 2.39 16.77 1.08 rw[13] -2.57 2.84 -2.41 -7.14 2.15 16.37 1.08 rw[14] -3.43 2.79 -3.24 -7.73 1.22 16.04 1.08 rw[15] -4.30 2.83 -4.08 -8.76 0.33 15.82 1.09 rw[16] -5.13 2.83 -4.92 -9.97 -0.96 15.86 1.08 rw[17] -5.98 2.82 -5.83 -10.63 -1.67 15.82 1.08 rw[18] -6.84 2.79 -6.64 -11.61 -2.79 15.58 1.07 rw[19] -7.67 2.84 -7.43 -12.29 -3.27 15.54 1.08 rw[20] -8.48 2.82 -8.21 -13.48 -4.38 15.80 1.07 rw[21] -9.32 2.82 -9.09 -13.98 -5.02 15.78 1.07 rw[22] -10.15 2.79 -9.95 -14.97 -6.18 15.35 1.06 rw[23] -10.98 2.79 -10.79 -15.53 -6.57 15.35 1.06 rw[24] -11.77 2.80 -11.64 -16.06 -7.04 15.61 1.06 rw[25] -12.49 2.82 -12.32 -16.93 -7.98 15.96 1.06 rw[26] -13.14 2.80 -12.96 -17.48 -8.52 15.99 1.07 rw[27] -13.78 2.76 -13.59 -18.34 -9.45 15.65 1.08 rw[28] -14.33 2.77 -14.13 -19.08 -10.12 15.38 1.08 rw[29] -14.72 2.79 -14.52 -19.71 -10.62 15.35 1.07 rw[30] -15.06 2.78 -14.91 -19.64 -10.70 15.68 1.07 rw[31] -15.27 2.82 -15.08 -19.97 -10.92 15.33 1.08 rw[32] -15.39 2.81 -15.29 -20.60 -11.47 15.65 1.07 rw[33] -15.44 2.83 -15.29 -19.63 -10.53 15.90 1.07 rw[34] -15.50 2.82 -15.34 -20.01 -10.98 15.65 1.07 rw[35] -15.56 2.85 -15.40 -20.27 -11.11 16.12 1.07 rw[36] -15.52 2.85 -15.26 -20.06 -10.95 15.97 1.08 rw[37] -15.53 2.83 -15.37 -20.30 -11.20 17.07 1.07 rw[38] -15.50 2.85 -15.31 -19.97 -10.83 16.88 1.08 rw[39] -15.50 2.82 -15.39 -20.23 -11.27 16.00 1.08 rw[40] -15.49 2.81 -15.29 -20.20 -11.04 16.93 1.08 rw[41] -15.48 2.80 -15.26 -20.27 -11.16 16.94 1.07 rw[42] -15.47 2.83 -15.21 -20.19 -11.12 17.26 1.06 rw[43] -15.47 2.81 -15.21 -20.23 -11.18 16.98 1.07 rw[44] -15.51 2.82 -15.22 -20.39 -11.32 17.58 1.06 rw[45] -15.53 2.81 -15.43 -19.87 -10.58 17.40 1.06 rw[46] -15.59 2.79 -15.49 -20.20 -11.11 17.17 1.06 rw[47] -15.65 2.82 -15.43 -20.18 -10.80 17.20 1.06 rw[48] -15.73 2.89 -15.51 -20.29 -10.73 17.48 1.06 rw[49] -15.76 2.85 -15.63 -20.08 -10.73 17.46 1.07 rw[50] -15.85 2.86 -15.71 -20.63 -11.37 17.46 1.07 rw[51] -15.92 2.87 -15.76 -20.46 -11.32 17.66 1.06 rw[52] -16.02 2.89 -15.85 -20.52 -11.36 17.24 1.06 rw[53] -16.16 2.85 -16.01 -21.47 -12.09 17.38 1.07 rw[54] -16.27 2.90 -16.01 -21.01 -11.85 17.19 1.07 rw[55] -16.37 2.89 -16.18 -21.35 -12.13 16.95 1.06 rw[56] -16.55 2.88 -16.41 -21.32 -12.12 17.35 1.06 rw[57] -16.70 2.89 -16.53 -21.35 -12.04 16.88 1.07 rw[58] -16.77 2.93 -16.74 -21.47 -12.11 16.84 1.07 rw[59] -16.91 2.95 -16.82 -21.86 -12.35 17.06 1.07 rw[60] -17.03 2.96 -16.87 -21.48 -11.96 16.67 1.07 rw[61] -17.14 2.96 -16.99 -21.94 -12.24 16.66 1.07 rw[62] -17.28 2.96 -17.02 -22.45 -12.72 16.71 1.06 rw[63] -17.38 2.99 -17.31 -22.58 -12.93 16.78 1.05 rw[64] -17.44 2.95 -17.42 -22.26 -12.82 16.45 1.06 rw[65] -17.54 2.93 -17.51 -22.50 -13.09 16.43 1.06 rw[66] -17.60 2.90 -17.50 -22.14 -12.84 16.35 1.06 rw[67] -17.61 2.88 -17.43 -22.39 -13.10 16.06 1.05 rw[68] -17.61 2.88 -17.39 -22.17 -12.89 16.66 1.06 rw[69] -17.57 2.84 -17.43 -22.01 -12.77 17.02 1.07 rw[70] -17.53 2.88 -17.41 -22.26 -12.93 16.72 1.07 rw[71] -17.49 2.91 -17.40 -22.25 -12.98 17.04 1.07 rw[72] -17.33 2.91 -17.21 -22.14 -12.61 17.24 1.06 rw[73] -17.25 2.97 -17.14 -22.45 -12.79 16.56 1.06 rw[74] -17.08 2.97 -17.09 -21.89 -12.35 17.19 1.06 rw[75] -16.92 2.96 -16.75 -21.89 -12.43 17.36 1.07 rw[76] -16.73 2.91 -16.66 -21.12 -11.65 17.31 1.06 rw[77] -16.56 2.90 -16.41 -21.28 -11.96 16.93 1.07 rw[78] -16.39 2.90 -16.34 -21.52 -12.06 17.30 1.07 rw[79] -16.20 2.87 -16.09 -21.16 -11.65 17.44 1.07 rw[80] -16.09 2.89 -15.92 -21.00 -11.48 17.50 1.07 rw[81] -16.02 2.91 -15.79 -20.66 -11.16 17.99 1.07 rw[82] -15.90 2.88 -15.69 -20.41 -11.14 18.17 1.07 rw[83] -15.80 2.85 -15.59 -20.24 -10.80 17.77 1.08 rw[84] -15.78 2.87 -15.54 -21.08 -11.50 17.14 1.08 rw[85] -15.80 2.83 -15.69 -20.46 -11.29 17.19 1.09 rw[86] -15.87 2.86 -15.63 -20.54 -11.52 17.57 1.10 rw[87] -15.94 2.85 -15.75 -21.02 -11.78 17.56 1.09 rw[88] -16.02 2.80 -15.85 -20.60 -11.65 17.74 1.07 rw[89] -16.07 2.80 -15.97 -20.80 -11.52 18.35 1.07 rw[90] -16.13 2.81 -16.04 -20.93 -11.88 18.13 1.07 rw[91] -16.19 2.82 -16.13 -20.55 -11.40 18.39 1.07 rw[92] -16.26 2.86 -16.22 -20.52 -11.33 17.84 1.06 rw[93] -16.36 2.87 -16.35 -20.68 -11.38 18.52 1.06 rw[94] -16.37 2.88 -16.27 -21.04 -11.74 18.37 1.05 rw[95] -16.44 2.88 -16.40 -20.70 -11.36 17.74 1.05 rw[96] -16.47 2.87 -16.32 -21.00 -11.59 17.73 1.05 rw[97] -16.52 2.85 -16.50 -21.11 -11.84 17.24 1.05 rw[98] -16.47 2.85 -16.44 -21.08 -11.80 16.82 1.05 rw[99] -16.46 2.89 -16.24 -21.08 -11.86 16.83 1.06 rw[100] -16.47 2.87 -16.35 -21.22 -12.07 16.66 1.06 rw[101] -16.44 2.89 -16.29 -20.93 -11.65 16.90 1.05 rw[102] -16.38 2.89 -16.18 -21.24 -12.04 17.05 1.05 rw[103] -16.30 2.91 -16.05 -21.43 -11.80 17.00 1.05 rw[104] -16.15 2.89 -16.11 -21.11 -11.67 17.15 1.05 rw[105] -15.97 2.87 -15.84 -20.51 -11.21 17.00 1.05 rw[106] -15.80 2.85 -15.71 -20.18 -11.13 16.45 1.06 rw[107] -15.57 2.95 -15.45 -19.84 -10.45 16.29 1.06 rw[108] -15.46 2.94 -15.30 -20.46 -10.92 16.36 1.07 rw[109] -15.22 2.91 -15.14 -19.57 -9.90 17.42 1.06 rw[110] -15.01 2.89 -14.89 -20.17 -10.75 17.17 1.07 rw[111] -14.83 2.92 -14.73 -19.32 -9.80 17.19 1.07 rw[112] -14.68 2.93 -14.58 -19.88 -10.42 16.78 1.08 rw[113] -14.57 2.93 -14.41 -19.38 -9.85 16.59 1.08 rw[114] -14.46 2.93 -14.22 -19.41 -9.81 16.52 1.07 rw[115] -14.37 2.88 -14.12 -19.51 -10.18 16.39 1.07 rw[116] -14.25 2.85 -14.01 -19.35 -10.29 16.31 1.07 rw[117] -14.15 2.79 -13.92 -19.05 -10.20 16.60 1.06 rw[118] -14.05 2.76 -13.74 -18.91 -10.08 17.88 1.07 rw[119] -13.99 2.77 -13.79 -18.55 -9.71 17.31 1.07 rw[120] -13.98 2.75 -13.81 -18.21 -9.37 16.59 1.07 rw[121] -13.97 2.80 -13.82 -18.71 -9.79 16.93 1.07 rw[122] -13.96 2.81 -13.77 -18.42 -9.31 16.19 1.07 rw[123] -13.94 2.83 -13.78 -19.06 -9.81 16.96 1.06 rw[124] -13.84 2.89 -13.73 -18.71 -9.38 17.32 1.06 rw[125] -13.82 2.80 -13.64 -18.63 -9.44 16.70 1.07 rw[126] -13.78 2.79 -13.65 -18.62 -9.58 16.39 1.07 rw[127] -13.80 2.83 -13.70 -18.41 -9.42 16.23 1.07 rw[128] -13.78 2.83 -13.69 -18.21 -9.18 16.58 1.07 rw[129] -13.74 2.85 -13.64 -17.91 -8.64 16.35 1.07 rw[130] -13.74 2.85 -13.52 -18.00 -8.77 16.38 1.06 rw[131] -13.76 2.85 -13.59 -18.05 -8.61 16.46 1.06 rw[132] -13.78 2.83 -13.52 -18.36 -9.22 16.52 1.06 rw[133] -13.85 2.81 -13.68 -18.64 -9.32 16.92 1.07 rw[134] -13.87 2.83 -13.81 -18.93 -9.71 17.07 1.06 rw[135] -13.95 2.86 -13.79 -18.42 -9.08 16.76 1.07 rw[136] -13.94 2.86 -13.69 -18.35 -9.21 17.29 1.07 rw[137] -13.96 2.86 -13.73 -18.61 -9.44 16.19 1.07 rw[138] -14.01 2.84 -13.87 -18.54 -9.53 16.21 1.07 rw[139] -14.06 2.78 -13.74 -18.75 -9.86 16.48 1.07 rw[140] -14.04 2.82 -13.82 -18.69 -9.57 16.34 1.06 rw[141] -14.04 2.80 -13.75 -18.70 -9.78 16.41 1.07 rw[142] -14.04 2.79 -13.86 -18.87 -9.92 16.36 1.07 rw[143] -14.03 2.83 -13.89 -18.66 -9.53 16.53 1.06 rw[144] -14.01 2.79 -13.85 -18.83 -9.76 16.33 1.06 rw[145] -14.03 2.82 -13.83 -18.20 -8.99 16.87 1.06 rw[146] -14.06 2.81 -13.91 -18.35 -9.21 16.65 1.07 rw[147] -14.07 2.72 -13.93 -18.22 -9.51 16.77 1.07 rw[148] -14.10 2.73 -13.91 -18.40 -9.58 16.73 1.08 rw[149] -14.14 2.78 -14.00 -18.59 -9.75 16.68 1.07 rw[150] -14.14 2.82 -13.98 -18.57 -9.60 16.39 1.08 rw[151] -14.23 2.80 -14.14 -18.66 -9.68 16.80 1.08 rw[152] -14.32 2.78 -14.19 -19.02 -10.03 16.47 1.08 rw[153] -14.43 2.76 -14.41 -18.59 -9.57 16.23 1.08 rw[154] -14.62 2.74 -14.45 -19.31 -10.44 16.23 1.08 rw[155] -14.77 2.77 -14.58 -19.66 -10.51 16.89 1.08 rw[156] -14.94 2.76 -14.79 -19.70 -10.87 17.20 1.07 rw[157] -15.11 2.79 -14.90 -19.63 -10.71 16.74 1.07 rw[158] -15.32 2.78 -15.12 -19.70 -10.69 16.89 1.07 rw[159] -15.46 2.78 -15.31 -20.15 -11.14 16.80 1.07 rw[160] -15.61 2.77 -15.42 -20.00 -11.04 17.06 1.07 rw[161] -15.68 2.80 -15.41 -20.19 -11.23 16.31 1.07 rw[162] -15.74 2.82 -15.64 -21.11 -11.90 16.44 1.07 rw[163] -15.77 2.78 -15.61 -20.29 -11.46 17.11 1.07 rw[164] -15.77 2.80 -15.54 -20.34 -11.26 16.55 1.07 rw[165] -15.73 2.80 -15.60 -20.14 -11.17 16.40 1.07 rw[166] -15.66 2.82 -15.51 -20.38 -11.23 16.53 1.08 rw[167] -15.52 2.80 -15.37 -20.05 -10.95 16.13 1.08 rw[168] -15.39 2.77 -15.24 -19.70 -10.63 16.37 1.07 rw[169] -15.28 2.78 -15.14 -19.74 -10.80 16.41 1.07 rw[170] -15.15 2.80 -15.00 -19.73 -10.68 16.85 1.06 rw[171] -15.03 2.82 -14.73 -19.50 -10.59 16.45 1.07 rw[172] -14.86 2.88 -14.66 -20.00 -10.72 16.62 1.06 rw[173] -14.76 2.87 -14.54 -19.84 -10.71 16.57 1.06 rw[174] -14.67 2.86 -14.44 -19.59 -10.58 17.06 1.06 rw[175] -14.65 2.86 -14.42 -19.11 -9.90 17.18 1.05 rw[176] -14.57 2.86 -14.41 -19.50 -10.23 16.53 1.05 rw[177] -14.52 2.86 -14.35 -19.51 -10.14 17.18 1.05 rw[178] -14.44 2.88 -14.31 -19.11 -9.86 17.00 1.05 rw[179] -14.38 2.84 -14.20 -19.07 -9.90 16.40 1.07 rw[180] -14.35 2.85 -14.26 -18.80 -9.55 16.00 1.07 rw[181] -14.38 2.89 -14.26 -18.98 -9.64 16.06 1.07 rw[182] -14.42 2.85 -14.31 -19.12 -9.97 15.67 1.07 rw[183] -14.42 2.84 -14.24 -18.93 -9.68 15.84 1.08 rw[184] -14.36 2.86 -14.20 -18.94 -9.72 15.73 1.08 rw[185] -14.31 2.84 -14.30 -18.87 -9.78 14.97 1.07 rw[186] -14.21 2.81 -14.08 -18.78 -9.62 14.87 1.08 rw[187] -14.18 2.79 -13.94 -18.81 -9.83 14.73 1.08 rw[188] -14.09 2.77 -13.90 -18.38 -9.42 14.48 1.08 rw[189] -13.95 2.78 -13.77 -18.46 -9.37 15.24 1.08 rw[190] -13.89 2.80 -13.58 -18.84 -9.85 15.28 1.08 rw[191] -13.75 2.84 -13.57 -18.43 -9.29 15.93 1.08 rw[192] -13.66 2.83 -13.56 -18.45 -9.24 16.02 1.08 rw[193] -13.53 2.77 -13.39 -18.13 -9.12 16.73 1.07 rw[194] -13.42 2.77 -13.25 -18.31 -9.30 16.64 1.07 rw[195] -13.28 2.74 -13.24 -17.78 -9.01 16.35 1.07 rw[196] -13.09 2.69 -13.00 -17.49 -8.88 15.78 1.08 rw[197] -12.92 2.64 -12.83 -17.29 -8.88 14.90 1.07 rw[198] -12.69 2.61 -12.43 -17.07 -8.79 14.13 1.07 rw[199] -12.44 2.47 -12.18 -16.24 -8.42 13.11 1.08 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1099.34 1.00 Number of divergences: 0