mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.22 2.90 0.61 0.00 2.62 661.87 1.00 E0 38.03 42.94 23.69 0.15 85.79 50.27 1.09 H0 1.73 1.82 1.15 0.00 4.02 1332.49 1.00 I0 13.42 17.12 7.81 0.00 33.02 39.20 1.10 beta0 1.99 0.63 2.07 0.90 2.83 7.44 1.54 confirmed_dispersion 1.00 0.08 1.00 0.87 1.14 1403.09 1.00 death_dispersion 0.50 0.04 0.49 0.43 0.57 1831.94 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.04 1204.33 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.08 415.93 1.01 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.40 1905.34 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1449.73 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1094.33 1.00 rw[0] 0.07 1.06 0.06 -1.54 1.93 104.97 1.06 rw[1] 0.18 1.46 0.16 -2.31 2.43 38.67 1.12 rw[2] 0.32 1.82 0.33 -2.46 3.46 24.73 1.17 rw[3] 0.49 2.11 0.46 -2.41 4.56 19.42 1.23 rw[4] 0.64 2.33 0.61 -3.21 4.51 16.56 1.28 rw[5] 0.80 2.59 0.69 -3.64 4.72 14.44 1.32 rw[6] 0.85 2.84 0.74 -3.98 5.36 12.66 1.37 rw[7] 0.87 2.99 0.62 -3.73 5.84 11.52 1.40 rw[8] 0.73 3.16 0.37 -3.89 6.37 11.51 1.40 rw[9] 0.62 3.30 0.16 -4.73 5.93 11.01 1.41 rw[10] 0.35 3.48 -0.25 -5.34 5.77 10.61 1.43 rw[11] -0.03 3.61 -0.64 -4.97 6.50 9.72 1.46 rw[12] -0.49 3.78 -1.28 -6.37 5.51 9.34 1.47 rw[13] -1.07 3.84 -1.76 -6.31 5.80 9.39 1.46 rw[14] -1.75 3.89 -2.48 -6.85 5.52 9.34 1.46 rw[15] -2.49 3.97 -3.25 -8.37 4.18 9.27 1.44 rw[16] -3.37 4.00 -4.28 -8.69 3.72 9.21 1.46 rw[17] -4.29 3.99 -5.27 -9.81 2.46 9.13 1.47 rw[18] -5.20 4.00 -6.16 -10.60 1.90 9.30 1.45 rw[19] -6.11 4.01 -6.99 -11.86 0.82 9.19 1.46 rw[20] -7.07 4.02 -7.99 -12.33 0.18 8.99 1.46 rw[21] -8.01 4.03 -8.91 -13.54 -0.79 9.12 1.46 rw[22] -8.88 4.02 -9.73 -14.47 -1.72 9.08 1.46 rw[23] -9.72 4.01 -10.64 -15.37 -2.76 9.23 1.44 rw[24] -10.54 3.99 -11.47 -16.38 -3.85 9.27 1.44 rw[25] -11.38 3.99 -12.35 -16.58 -4.29 9.35 1.44 rw[26] -12.13 4.00 -13.17 -18.13 -5.54 9.40 1.45 rw[27] -12.87 3.99 -13.81 -18.64 -5.96 9.08 1.46 rw[28] -13.55 3.97 -14.41 -19.18 -6.70 9.28 1.45 rw[29] -14.12 3.94 -14.95 -19.68 -7.42 9.43 1.45 rw[30] -14.68 3.99 -15.53 -20.61 -7.86 9.32 1.46 rw[31] -15.23 3.99 -16.02 -21.13 -8.46 9.69 1.43 rw[32] -15.69 3.93 -16.42 -21.41 -8.99 9.83 1.42 rw[33] -16.13 3.98 -16.84 -21.59 -9.12 9.91 1.41 rw[34] -16.54 3.99 -17.19 -22.80 -10.09 10.02 1.41 rw[35] -16.90 4.00 -17.61 -22.70 -10.15 10.33 1.41 rw[36] -17.16 4.01 -17.72 -23.42 -10.76 10.07 1.41 rw[37] -17.41 3.99 -18.05 -22.96 -10.30 10.50 1.40 rw[38] -17.63 3.99 -18.31 -23.47 -10.82 10.97 1.39 rw[39] -17.79 4.04 -18.56 -23.31 -10.57 11.13 1.38 rw[40] -17.97 4.03 -18.71 -23.56 -10.77 10.88 1.39 rw[41] -18.07 4.00 -18.79 -24.04 -11.27 11.05 1.38 rw[42] -18.16 4.03 -18.79 -24.15 -11.24 10.85 1.38 rw[43] -18.11 3.99 -18.81 -24.04 -11.40 10.98 1.38 rw[44] -18.12 4.03 -18.78 -23.80 -10.97 10.63 1.40 rw[45] -18.06 4.09 -18.77 -24.31 -11.19 10.62 1.39 rw[46] -18.03 4.09 -18.85 -23.85 -10.92 10.49 1.40 rw[47] -17.93 4.07 -18.80 -24.13 -11.30 10.33 1.41 rw[48] -17.85 4.08 -18.57 -24.33 -11.18 10.00 1.41 rw[49] -17.70 4.08 -18.37 -23.61 -10.33 9.88 1.43 rw[50] -17.55 4.09 -18.09 -24.01 -10.91 9.64 1.42 rw[51] -17.39 4.09 -17.93 -23.54 -10.42 9.45 1.42 rw[52] -17.22 4.12 -17.73 -22.90 -9.55 9.58 1.41 rw[53] -17.02 4.14 -17.77 -23.17 -9.89 9.65 1.42 rw[54] -16.87 4.11 -17.57 -23.33 -9.98 9.66 1.41 rw[55] -16.67 4.12 -17.28 -23.29 -9.82 10.03 1.39 rw[56] -16.45 4.15 -17.06 -22.84 -9.58 10.24 1.38 rw[57] -16.24 4.14 -16.87 -22.57 -9.18 10.19 1.38 rw[58] -16.10 4.14 -16.89 -22.08 -8.89 10.04 1.39 rw[59] -15.86 4.19 -16.52 -22.03 -8.68 10.40 1.38 rw[60] -15.73 4.13 -16.43 -22.15 -9.11 10.15 1.38 rw[61] -15.55 4.10 -16.28 -21.70 -8.74 10.37 1.37 rw[62] -15.37 4.11 -16.02 -21.54 -8.74 10.26 1.38 rw[63] -15.18 4.15 -15.97 -21.03 -8.09 9.82 1.39 rw[64] -15.06 4.14 -15.96 -21.13 -8.29 9.87 1.39 rw[65] -14.92 4.13 -15.79 -20.75 -7.79 9.61 1.40 rw[66] -14.74 4.09 -15.64 -20.58 -7.87 9.48 1.42 rw[67] -14.59 4.07 -15.53 -20.98 -8.16 9.82 1.41 rw[68] -14.42 4.07 -15.33 -20.35 -7.68 9.47 1.43 rw[69] -14.35 4.12 -15.30 -20.44 -7.40 9.33 1.42 rw[70] -14.26 4.10 -15.07 -20.09 -7.31 9.54 1.41 rw[71] -14.20 4.08 -14.99 -19.99 -6.90 10.08 1.40 rw[72] -14.10 4.05 -14.87 -20.08 -7.06 9.87 1.41 rw[73] -13.98 4.05 -14.69 -19.57 -6.41 9.99 1.42 rw[74] -13.87 4.02 -14.63 -19.60 -6.73 9.44 1.45 rw[75] -13.77 4.03 -14.50 -19.42 -6.54 9.44 1.44 rw[76] -13.73 4.00 -14.57 -19.58 -6.76 9.82 1.43 rw[77] -13.65 3.98 -14.47 -18.72 -6.21 9.99 1.43 rw[78] -13.60 3.99 -14.43 -19.23 -6.45 10.14 1.44 rw[79] -13.54 3.96 -14.34 -19.47 -6.93 10.36 1.42 rw[80] -13.52 3.92 -14.34 -18.52 -6.04 10.63 1.42 rw[81] -13.49 3.89 -14.12 -19.17 -6.82 10.67 1.41 rw[82] -13.40 3.88 -14.15 -19.09 -6.90 10.36 1.42 rw[83] -13.36 3.86 -14.21 -19.06 -6.93 10.35 1.43 rw[84] -13.33 3.83 -14.06 -18.71 -6.65 10.27 1.43 rw[85] -13.26 3.85 -13.98 -18.48 -6.46 10.48 1.43 rw[86] -13.18 3.85 -13.86 -18.47 -6.39 10.15 1.44 rw[87] -13.15 3.80 -13.83 -18.12 -6.22 10.22 1.43 rw[88] -13.11 3.82 -13.86 -18.54 -6.29 10.36 1.41 rw[89] -13.03 3.83 -13.72 -18.28 -6.27 10.03 1.42 rw[90] -12.95 3.90 -13.70 -18.77 -6.45 10.23 1.41 rw[91] -12.84 3.89 -13.52 -18.68 -6.40 9.95 1.41 rw[92] -12.72 3.91 -13.49 -18.45 -6.18 10.02 1.39 rw[93] -12.58 3.90 -13.31 -17.99 -5.59 9.79 1.41 rw[94] -12.51 3.93 -13.17 -18.41 -5.79 9.85 1.41 rw[95] -12.37 3.94 -12.94 -18.17 -5.59 9.82 1.42 rw[96] -12.24 3.94 -12.82 -17.96 -5.37 9.99 1.42 rw[97] -12.07 3.97 -12.65 -17.87 -5.36 9.96 1.41 rw[98] -12.02 3.94 -12.66 -17.98 -5.63 9.56 1.43 rw[99] -11.90 3.91 -12.41 -17.73 -5.44 9.67 1.42 rw[100] -11.81 3.92 -12.48 -17.69 -5.40 9.35 1.43 rw[101] -11.76 3.90 -12.22 -17.85 -5.51 9.40 1.43 rw[102] -11.70 3.86 -12.28 -17.63 -5.32 9.54 1.42 rw[103] -11.61 3.81 -12.23 -17.07 -4.77 9.45 1.41 rw[104] -11.50 3.86 -12.01 -17.10 -5.04 9.47 1.40 rw[105] -11.38 3.89 -11.93 -17.68 -5.43 9.55 1.39 rw[106] -11.31 3.88 -11.86 -17.08 -4.83 9.55 1.41 rw[107] -11.20 3.91 -11.80 -16.74 -4.33 9.36 1.42 rw[108] -11.02 3.94 -11.66 -16.49 -4.24 9.34 1.42 rw[109] -10.89 3.93 -11.68 -16.29 -4.13 9.54 1.41 rw[110] -10.75 3.89 -11.56 -16.01 -3.93 9.78 1.40 rw[111] -10.66 3.93 -11.51 -16.14 -3.86 9.49 1.43 rw[112] -10.56 3.94 -11.37 -15.80 -3.49 9.51 1.43 rw[113] -10.50 3.96 -11.21 -16.55 -3.90 9.77 1.41 rw[114] -10.45 3.99 -11.34 -15.84 -3.34 9.83 1.42 rw[115] -10.37 3.94 -11.15 -16.33 -3.61 10.27 1.40 rw[116] -10.30 3.89 -10.91 -15.49 -2.86 10.13 1.41 rw[117] -10.22 3.86 -10.92 -16.37 -3.95 9.73 1.43 rw[118] -10.19 3.87 -10.93 -15.75 -3.49 9.97 1.43 rw[119] -10.18 3.89 -10.89 -15.88 -3.50 9.77 1.44 rw[120] -10.15 3.92 -10.92 -15.21 -2.65 9.62 1.44 rw[121] -10.21 3.87 -10.98 -15.40 -3.22 9.93 1.42 rw[122] -10.23 3.86 -11.04 -15.50 -3.30 9.68 1.44 rw[123] -10.30 3.88 -11.18 -16.02 -3.72 9.94 1.43 rw[124] -10.35 3.85 -11.13 -15.34 -3.23 9.54 1.46 rw[125] -10.41 3.89 -11.13 -15.71 -3.39 9.37 1.47 rw[126] -10.44 3.93 -11.25 -16.34 -3.75 9.23 1.47 rw[127] -10.56 3.88 -11.18 -15.83 -3.51 9.56 1.44 rw[128] -10.67 3.90 -11.36 -16.79 -4.55 9.74 1.44 rw[129] -10.77 3.87 -11.58 -16.17 -3.95 9.69 1.43 rw[130] -10.91 3.88 -11.68 -16.10 -3.96 9.57 1.44 rw[131] -11.04 3.91 -11.86 -16.21 -4.00 9.75 1.44 rw[132] -11.17 3.92 -11.99 -16.98 -4.54 9.46 1.45 rw[133] -11.36 3.93 -12.14 -17.12 -4.68 9.20 1.45 rw[134] -11.48 3.92 -12.23 -17.13 -4.81 9.38 1.44 rw[135] -11.68 3.94 -12.51 -17.36 -5.01 9.48 1.45 rw[136] -11.86 3.95 -12.63 -17.78 -5.17 9.30 1.46 rw[137] -12.05 3.90 -12.90 -17.18 -4.62 9.49 1.43 rw[138] -12.28 3.93 -13.07 -17.49 -4.95 9.48 1.43 rw[139] -12.46 3.91 -13.19 -17.76 -5.39 9.46 1.43 rw[140] -12.65 3.88 -13.52 -18.15 -5.85 9.07 1.44 rw[141] -12.85 3.92 -13.64 -18.58 -6.11 9.01 1.46 rw[142] -13.05 3.86 -13.71 -18.20 -6.04 8.69 1.48 rw[143] -13.22 3.86 -13.93 -18.87 -6.72 8.56 1.48 rw[144] -13.44 3.87 -14.12 -18.85 -6.78 8.95 1.45 rw[145] -13.56 3.89 -14.24 -19.17 -7.02 9.04 1.45 rw[146] -13.71 3.90 -14.43 -19.04 -6.73 9.34 1.41 rw[147] -13.87 3.89 -14.49 -20.10 -7.82 9.59 1.40 rw[148] -14.06 3.87 -14.71 -19.85 -7.55 9.44 1.41 rw[149] -14.25 3.91 -14.94 -19.86 -7.63 9.46 1.40 rw[150] -14.38 3.91 -15.18 -20.16 -7.72 9.60 1.41 rw[151] -14.56 3.93 -15.27 -20.23 -7.77 9.83 1.40 rw[152] -14.74 3.96 -15.51 -20.18 -7.53 9.95 1.41 rw[153] -14.90 3.94 -15.67 -20.99 -8.42 10.17 1.40 rw[154] -15.01 3.95 -15.71 -20.80 -8.45 10.03 1.41 rw[155] -15.14 3.94 -15.88 -20.91 -8.46 9.77 1.42 rw[156] -15.22 3.98 -16.02 -20.52 -7.96 9.86 1.42 rw[157] -15.28 3.97 -16.07 -20.92 -8.42 9.87 1.43 rw[158] -15.31 4.01 -16.16 -20.59 -7.75 9.58 1.44 rw[159] -15.35 3.98 -16.08 -21.30 -8.52 9.67 1.44 rw[160] -15.34 4.02 -16.19 -21.52 -8.76 9.60 1.45 rw[161] -15.35 4.03 -16.24 -21.01 -8.04 9.51 1.45 rw[162] -15.35 4.07 -16.19 -21.73 -8.68 9.55 1.45 rw[163] -15.33 4.07 -16.04 -21.45 -8.43 9.51 1.46 rw[164] -15.28 4.08 -16.07 -21.28 -8.26 9.55 1.46 rw[165] -15.25 4.09 -16.08 -21.67 -8.71 9.28 1.48 rw[166] -15.18 4.00 -16.01 -21.54 -9.04 9.66 1.46 rw[167] -15.08 3.96 -15.97 -21.13 -8.64 10.02 1.44 rw[168] -14.98 4.04 -15.80 -20.48 -7.85 9.73 1.45 rw[169] -14.90 4.00 -15.73 -20.27 -7.69 9.87 1.46 rw[170] -14.79 4.03 -15.46 -20.72 -8.00 9.89 1.46 rw[171] -14.67 3.97 -15.38 -20.47 -7.89 9.72 1.47 rw[172] -14.56 3.95 -15.37 -20.03 -7.64 9.75 1.46 rw[173] -14.48 3.92 -15.26 -20.23 -8.07 9.71 1.46 rw[174] -14.37 3.91 -15.16 -20.04 -7.70 9.58 1.45 rw[175] -14.22 3.91 -15.03 -19.48 -7.37 10.02 1.42 rw[176] -14.20 3.88 -15.10 -19.83 -7.87 9.65 1.43 rw[177] -14.11 3.88 -14.86 -19.61 -7.50 10.08 1.41 rw[178] -14.02 3.91 -14.83 -19.55 -7.26 10.02 1.41 rw[179] -13.96 3.88 -14.66 -19.23 -7.02 9.96 1.41 rw[180] -13.90 3.93 -14.66 -19.26 -6.65 10.22 1.39 rw[181] -13.83 3.88 -14.52 -18.99 -6.49 10.15 1.38 rw[182] -13.88 3.88 -14.54 -19.11 -6.61 10.21 1.38 rw[183] -13.92 3.87 -14.52 -19.69 -7.37 10.22 1.37 rw[184] -13.89 3.88 -14.50 -19.80 -7.40 10.16 1.36 rw[185] -13.84 3.88 -14.51 -19.77 -7.52 10.20 1.36 rw[186] -13.79 3.89 -14.60 -19.80 -7.59 10.02 1.38 rw[187] -13.76 3.93 -14.50 -19.10 -6.61 10.00 1.37 rw[188] -13.73 3.94 -14.41 -19.18 -6.81 9.88 1.37 rw[189] -13.71 3.97 -14.56 -19.73 -7.13 10.07 1.39 rw[190] -13.61 3.94 -14.40 -19.37 -7.14 9.79 1.38 rw[191] -13.55 3.92 -14.29 -19.60 -7.22 9.95 1.38 rw[192] -13.48 3.90 -14.21 -19.22 -7.21 9.95 1.38 rw[193] -13.39 3.91 -14.28 -19.06 -6.88 9.79 1.40 rw[194] -13.27 3.86 -14.07 -18.81 -6.68 9.17 1.42 rw[195] -13.07 3.86 -13.91 -18.77 -6.48 8.82 1.47 rw[196] -12.93 3.80 -13.72 -18.55 -6.64 9.00 1.46 rw[197] -12.73 3.75 -13.55 -18.24 -6.52 8.91 1.46 rw[198] -12.52 3.79 -13.34 -17.72 -5.87 8.91 1.47 rw[199] -12.31 3.70 -13.23 -17.45 -6.06 8.26 1.53 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1123.79 1.00 Number of divergences: 0