mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.92 1.40 0.55 0.00 2.21 1096.58 1.00 E0 48.85 44.24 37.18 0.16 104.98 267.06 1.01 H0 1.60 1.56 1.15 0.01 3.77 1470.08 1.00 I0 28.85 17.26 24.90 6.67 51.11 135.61 1.03 beta0 2.73 0.57 2.71 1.77 3.74 16.24 1.20 confirmed_dispersion 0.43 0.06 0.43 0.34 0.52 1425.19 1.00 death_dispersion 0.38 0.03 0.38 0.33 0.44 1943.31 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 970.06 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.09 636.01 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.31 0.21 0.40 1790.73 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1933.95 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1315.20 1.00 rw[0] 0.00 1.00 0.00 -1.74 1.45 110.61 1.03 rw[1] 0.11 1.35 0.09 -1.85 2.56 66.16 1.06 rw[2] 0.25 1.66 0.28 -2.23 3.39 44.21 1.07 rw[3] 0.47 1.85 0.47 -2.59 3.42 36.49 1.09 rw[4] 0.71 2.05 0.71 -2.67 4.06 26.49 1.12 rw[5] 0.91 2.17 0.91 -3.18 4.08 25.59 1.14 rw[6] 0.98 2.28 0.93 -2.59 4.86 24.80 1.14 rw[7] 0.96 2.37 0.92 -2.77 4.94 23.31 1.14 rw[8] 0.78 2.45 0.66 -3.57 4.65 24.27 1.14 rw[9] 0.37 2.51 0.17 -3.70 4.33 21.21 1.15 rw[10] -0.19 2.49 -0.45 -4.10 4.17 20.03 1.17 rw[11] -0.90 2.52 -1.06 -5.10 3.20 19.24 1.18 rw[12] -1.72 2.54 -1.95 -5.95 2.29 20.06 1.17 rw[13] -2.55 2.56 -2.78 -6.53 1.72 19.92 1.17 rw[14] -3.42 2.58 -3.64 -7.19 1.20 19.16 1.16 rw[15] -4.26 2.62 -4.47 -8.28 0.25 19.86 1.16 rw[16] -5.18 2.63 -5.41 -9.71 -1.26 19.35 1.16 rw[17] -6.19 2.60 -6.37 -10.63 -2.21 19.99 1.15 rw[18] -7.19 2.57 -7.39 -11.63 -3.22 20.75 1.14 rw[19] -8.24 2.58 -8.41 -12.67 -4.36 20.15 1.14 rw[20] -9.37 2.56 -9.51 -13.63 -5.31 19.35 1.14 rw[21] -10.50 2.54 -10.62 -14.72 -6.47 19.90 1.14 rw[22] -11.64 2.58 -11.78 -16.24 -7.66 19.81 1.15 rw[23] -12.74 2.62 -12.83 -17.03 -8.29 20.40 1.15 rw[24] -13.87 2.59 -14.13 -18.70 -10.13 20.60 1.15 rw[25] -15.05 2.60 -15.22 -19.52 -10.93 22.21 1.14 rw[26] -16.14 2.66 -16.24 -21.26 -12.35 21.58 1.15 rw[27] -17.15 2.66 -17.32 -22.11 -13.30 21.51 1.14 rw[28] -18.10 2.72 -18.24 -22.40 -13.29 23.07 1.13 rw[29] -18.98 2.75 -18.99 -24.09 -15.17 24.73 1.13 rw[30] -19.77 2.77 -19.73 -24.61 -15.38 27.64 1.12 rw[31] -20.47 2.78 -20.59 -25.40 -16.06 28.39 1.13 rw[32] -21.13 2.79 -21.24 -25.70 -16.28 30.26 1.12 rw[33] -21.69 2.81 -21.92 -26.47 -17.12 29.16 1.12 rw[34] -22.14 2.81 -22.19 -27.18 -17.99 30.38 1.11 rw[35] -22.52 2.81 -22.54 -27.46 -18.20 26.64 1.12 rw[36] -22.80 2.85 -22.91 -27.71 -18.44 24.46 1.12 rw[37] -23.01 2.86 -23.01 -28.02 -18.51 27.14 1.11 rw[38] -23.20 2.89 -23.27 -28.06 -18.61 32.31 1.10 rw[39] -23.26 2.89 -23.40 -28.08 -18.58 30.69 1.10 rw[40] -23.34 2.88 -23.46 -28.06 -18.87 27.29 1.10 rw[41] -23.36 2.86 -23.50 -27.62 -18.35 26.89 1.11 rw[42] -23.25 2.86 -23.45 -28.00 -18.85 26.21 1.10 rw[43] -23.11 2.91 -23.34 -27.81 -18.65 26.38 1.10 rw[44] -23.06 2.92 -23.23 -27.51 -18.17 26.73 1.11 rw[45] -22.95 2.93 -23.15 -27.95 -18.50 25.99 1.12 rw[46] -22.74 2.90 -23.01 -27.52 -18.23 25.74 1.12 rw[47] -22.57 2.94 -22.75 -26.63 -17.04 26.57 1.12 rw[48] -22.37 2.93 -22.50 -27.24 -17.45 25.84 1.14 rw[49] -22.17 2.94 -22.38 -26.54 -16.90 23.84 1.15 rw[50] -22.01 2.90 -22.23 -26.90 -17.20 21.60 1.17 rw[51] -21.86 2.94 -21.99 -26.62 -16.88 22.24 1.17 rw[52] -21.74 2.90 -21.98 -26.19 -16.64 22.63 1.17 rw[53] -21.57 2.89 -21.78 -26.08 -16.55 22.92 1.16 rw[54] -21.40 2.89 -21.64 -25.67 -16.08 24.09 1.16 rw[55] -21.24 2.88 -21.43 -26.20 -16.62 22.45 1.16 rw[56] -21.02 2.90 -21.19 -26.15 -16.35 23.22 1.16 rw[57] -20.88 2.91 -21.08 -25.86 -16.25 25.55 1.15 rw[58] -20.69 2.89 -20.74 -25.29 -15.91 27.44 1.14 rw[59] -20.56 2.90 -20.67 -25.30 -15.88 27.62 1.14 rw[60] -20.41 2.85 -20.54 -24.98 -15.67 27.62 1.14 rw[61] -20.21 2.87 -20.27 -24.93 -15.63 26.31 1.14 rw[62] -20.06 2.86 -20.28 -24.33 -15.06 23.55 1.15 rw[63] -19.94 2.85 -20.04 -24.56 -15.46 23.33 1.14 rw[64] -19.79 2.84 -19.89 -24.58 -15.52 22.79 1.12 rw[65] -19.60 2.77 -19.62 -24.08 -15.25 22.89 1.12 rw[66] -19.50 2.73 -19.67 -24.07 -15.50 21.25 1.13 rw[67] -19.37 2.66 -19.50 -23.74 -15.15 23.03 1.12 rw[68] -19.23 2.72 -19.44 -23.65 -14.91 23.40 1.12 rw[69] -19.07 2.72 -19.24 -23.45 -14.84 22.49 1.13 rw[70] -18.92 2.71 -19.11 -23.08 -14.47 22.49 1.13 rw[71] -18.84 2.70 -19.06 -23.57 -14.75 23.59 1.11 rw[72] -18.74 2.68 -18.96 -23.15 -14.51 24.29 1.11 rw[73] -18.62 2.70 -18.75 -23.06 -14.15 26.10 1.11 rw[74] -18.53 2.71 -18.55 -22.57 -13.58 23.28 1.13 rw[75] -18.45 2.72 -18.59 -22.85 -13.95 23.91 1.12 rw[76] -18.39 2.71 -18.46 -22.87 -13.98 24.40 1.12 rw[77] -18.36 2.71 -18.43 -22.72 -13.81 26.62 1.12 rw[78] -18.28 2.75 -18.36 -22.94 -13.69 26.67 1.11 rw[79] -18.25 2.76 -18.36 -22.55 -13.44 27.84 1.11 rw[80] -18.26 2.74 -18.32 -22.81 -13.62 28.55 1.11 rw[81] -18.29 2.75 -18.31 -23.01 -13.97 30.90 1.10 rw[82] -18.21 2.76 -18.32 -22.83 -13.83 32.34 1.10 rw[83] -18.26 2.72 -18.42 -22.74 -14.07 28.86 1.11 rw[84] -18.22 2.71 -18.35 -22.88 -14.40 26.89 1.12 rw[85] -18.17 2.68 -18.27 -22.50 -14.12 30.68 1.11 rw[86] -18.20 2.66 -18.30 -22.66 -13.98 30.86 1.11 rw[87] -18.20 2.70 -18.30 -22.26 -13.63 33.32 1.11 rw[88] -18.19 2.71 -18.28 -22.72 -14.02 39.83 1.10 rw[89] -18.17 2.69 -18.19 -22.57 -13.77 40.50 1.11 rw[90] -18.12 2.68 -18.20 -22.41 -13.74 35.31 1.11 rw[91] -18.10 2.74 -18.21 -22.58 -13.69 33.61 1.11 rw[92] -18.09 2.76 -18.13 -22.55 -13.55 29.71 1.11 rw[93] -18.04 2.78 -18.20 -22.54 -13.68 29.60 1.12 rw[94] -18.01 2.76 -18.12 -22.32 -13.67 28.23 1.13 rw[95] -17.96 2.76 -18.15 -22.32 -13.04 26.24 1.13 rw[96] -17.86 2.74 -18.05 -22.76 -13.84 25.99 1.13 rw[97] -17.79 2.71 -17.84 -22.99 -13.89 26.42 1.12 rw[98] -17.71 2.73 -17.77 -21.89 -12.96 25.37 1.12 rw[99] -17.58 2.74 -17.67 -22.21 -13.41 24.52 1.13 rw[100] -17.49 2.69 -17.67 -22.17 -13.29 24.55 1.13 rw[101] -17.40 2.73 -17.57 -21.53 -12.78 23.89 1.11 rw[102] -17.27 2.75 -17.37 -22.05 -13.05 24.18 1.12 rw[103] -17.19 2.72 -17.32 -21.57 -12.59 23.75 1.12 rw[104] -17.11 2.77 -17.32 -21.39 -12.10 21.93 1.12 rw[105] -16.98 2.75 -17.11 -21.51 -12.49 21.40 1.13 rw[106] -16.85 2.72 -16.95 -21.29 -12.47 21.44 1.13 rw[107] -16.79 2.69 -16.91 -21.13 -12.43 20.07 1.14 rw[108] -16.67 2.73 -16.81 -21.37 -12.57 21.50 1.13 rw[109] -16.57 2.73 -16.67 -21.14 -12.14 23.39 1.12 rw[110] -16.53 2.74 -16.65 -20.89 -11.67 21.94 1.13 rw[111] -16.51 2.77 -16.64 -21.41 -12.28 23.24 1.13 rw[112] -16.51 2.82 -16.64 -21.83 -12.19 23.61 1.13 rw[113] -16.41 2.77 -16.63 -20.48 -11.20 24.13 1.12 rw[114] -16.41 2.76 -16.53 -20.83 -11.57 24.27 1.13 rw[115] -16.44 2.74 -16.52 -21.23 -12.16 23.60 1.13 rw[116] -16.44 2.71 -16.52 -20.59 -11.79 24.24 1.13 rw[117] -16.44 2.67 -16.47 -20.68 -12.18 27.87 1.12 rw[118] -16.50 2.66 -16.52 -21.56 -12.93 26.10 1.13 rw[119] -16.56 2.67 -16.62 -21.24 -12.67 25.17 1.15 rw[120] -16.64 2.68 -16.71 -20.96 -12.24 27.50 1.13 rw[121] -16.72 2.66 -16.81 -21.32 -12.69 28.13 1.12 rw[122] -16.79 2.67 -16.93 -21.17 -12.53 28.81 1.11 rw[123] -16.87 2.70 -16.96 -21.32 -12.82 25.79 1.14 rw[124] -16.93 2.70 -17.08 -21.47 -12.82 24.38 1.15 rw[125] -17.00 2.69 -17.09 -21.50 -12.86 23.32 1.16 rw[126] -17.02 2.71 -17.05 -21.52 -12.57 21.96 1.16 rw[127] -17.10 2.66 -17.25 -21.58 -12.90 23.16 1.14 rw[128] -17.14 2.70 -17.36 -21.10 -12.39 23.76 1.15 rw[129] -17.16 2.70 -17.35 -21.64 -12.76 22.86 1.13 rw[130] -17.24 2.70 -17.41 -21.71 -12.91 24.15 1.13 rw[131] -17.29 2.67 -17.46 -21.47 -13.01 23.22 1.14 rw[132] -17.38 2.65 -17.53 -21.39 -13.01 23.18 1.14 rw[133] -17.43 2.64 -17.65 -21.03 -12.54 21.54 1.15 rw[134] -17.46 2.68 -17.56 -21.78 -13.12 20.92 1.16 rw[135] -17.50 2.70 -17.62 -21.71 -12.91 22.10 1.15 rw[136] -17.50 2.70 -17.67 -21.56 -12.58 21.08 1.16 rw[137] -17.50 2.66 -17.73 -21.89 -13.22 20.77 1.15 rw[138] -17.47 2.64 -17.54 -22.21 -13.55 20.57 1.16 rw[139] -17.42 2.62 -17.55 -21.56 -13.10 20.02 1.16 rw[140] -17.39 2.61 -17.51 -21.96 -13.47 20.01 1.15 rw[141] -17.33 2.66 -17.43 -21.47 -12.79 20.56 1.16 rw[142] -17.24 2.60 -17.41 -21.36 -12.88 19.95 1.15 rw[143] -17.19 2.60 -17.23 -21.56 -13.16 20.13 1.14 rw[144] -17.13 2.61 -17.14 -21.78 -13.26 21.20 1.14 rw[145] -17.00 2.64 -16.99 -21.26 -12.68 21.63 1.13 rw[146] -16.91 2.68 -16.94 -21.78 -12.96 22.65 1.12 rw[147] -16.81 2.67 -16.72 -21.04 -12.31 22.48 1.12 rw[148] -16.73 2.65 -16.72 -20.90 -12.21 21.47 1.12 rw[149] -16.66 2.62 -16.64 -21.24 -12.68 23.07 1.11 rw[150] -16.54 2.62 -16.60 -20.69 -12.01 23.84 1.11 rw[151] -16.46 2.66 -16.52 -21.12 -12.30 22.49 1.11 rw[152] -16.39 2.62 -16.48 -21.14 -12.73 23.94 1.11 rw[153] -16.29 2.60 -16.44 -21.08 -12.63 24.85 1.11 rw[154] -16.22 2.58 -16.31 -20.92 -12.65 24.00 1.11 rw[155] -16.11 2.61 -16.22 -20.40 -11.91 24.82 1.11 rw[156] -16.03 2.64 -16.13 -20.64 -12.16 27.59 1.11 rw[157] -15.93 2.65 -16.04 -20.40 -11.63 27.31 1.10 rw[158] -15.77 2.65 -15.88 -20.52 -11.76 24.59 1.13 rw[159] -15.70 2.66 -15.82 -19.93 -11.48 26.85 1.12 rw[160] -15.55 2.68 -15.67 -20.38 -11.69 25.07 1.12 rw[161] -15.43 2.67 -15.55 -20.04 -11.11 26.73 1.13 rw[162] -15.34 2.67 -15.52 -19.24 -10.40 25.24 1.15 rw[163] -15.25 2.65 -15.40 -19.69 -11.11 23.36 1.15 rw[164] -15.17 2.65 -15.34 -19.64 -10.87 23.86 1.16 rw[165] -15.12 2.63 -15.31 -19.08 -10.55 22.28 1.17 rw[166] -15.03 2.64 -15.26 -19.52 -10.77 22.47 1.16 rw[167] -15.01 2.61 -15.23 -19.13 -10.50 25.47 1.16 rw[168] -15.02 2.65 -15.18 -19.23 -10.63 25.78 1.17 rw[169] -15.05 2.65 -15.22 -19.49 -10.90 22.93 1.17 rw[170] -15.06 2.63 -15.21 -19.49 -10.87 22.88 1.17 rw[171] -15.04 2.63 -15.11 -19.31 -10.65 22.71 1.17 rw[172] -15.05 2.62 -15.18 -18.99 -10.59 22.31 1.16 rw[173] -15.08 2.62 -15.22 -19.38 -11.10 24.71 1.14 rw[174] -15.14 2.57 -15.34 -19.27 -11.13 23.38 1.15 rw[175] -15.12 2.56 -15.39 -19.42 -11.28 23.66 1.14 rw[176] -15.06 2.60 -15.24 -19.93 -11.26 22.50 1.14 rw[177] -15.09 2.59 -15.12 -19.91 -11.36 21.82 1.14 rw[178] -15.06 2.62 -15.10 -19.57 -10.83 21.03 1.14 rw[179] -14.97 2.61 -15.14 -19.30 -10.78 20.41 1.13 rw[180] -14.88 2.59 -14.99 -19.32 -10.77 20.56 1.13 rw[181] -14.72 2.61 -14.88 -18.75 -10.19 21.47 1.13 rw[182] -14.60 2.62 -14.78 -18.60 -10.16 21.10 1.12 rw[183] -14.54 2.58 -14.73 -18.75 -10.23 19.67 1.13 rw[184] -14.42 2.58 -14.60 -18.42 -10.13 19.97 1.13 rw[185] -14.34 2.62 -14.58 -18.78 -10.21 20.27 1.13 rw[186] -14.29 2.64 -14.55 -18.49 -9.85 20.28 1.13 rw[187] -14.23 2.64 -14.40 -18.83 -10.26 21.07 1.13 rw[188] -14.25 2.58 -14.41 -18.64 -10.23 21.22 1.13 rw[189] -14.27 2.58 -14.35 -18.71 -10.17 21.45 1.14 rw[190] -14.40 2.68 -14.53 -19.00 -10.15 23.34 1.13 rw[191] -14.55 2.68 -14.67 -18.72 -10.19 24.97 1.12 rw[192] -14.79 2.66 -14.91 -19.11 -10.55 22.65 1.15 rw[193] -15.00 2.68 -15.13 -18.87 -10.12 22.81 1.14 rw[194] -15.21 2.64 -15.39 -19.70 -11.12 23.18 1.15 rw[195] -15.43 2.59 -15.61 -19.97 -11.69 21.77 1.15 rw[196] -15.61 2.54 -15.78 -19.70 -11.53 20.55 1.15 rw[197] -15.64 2.48 -15.83 -19.90 -11.82 20.27 1.17 rw[198] -15.60 2.36 -15.82 -19.22 -11.54 18.68 1.18 rw[199] -15.45 2.26 -15.63 -19.51 -12.15 16.29 1.22 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1688.25 1.00 Number of divergences: 0