mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.86 1.17 1.63 0.32 3.39 1015.99 1.00 E0 3.76 3.69 2.76 0.01 8.16 174.43 1.00 H0 1.13 1.09 0.81 0.00 2.62 976.77 1.00 I0 1.59 1.57 1.10 0.01 3.76 95.25 1.00 beta0 2.32 0.52 2.25 1.52 3.06 14.67 1.02 confirmed_dispersion 0.42 0.06 0.41 0.32 0.51 733.02 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 1180.95 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 850.55 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.02 0.09 0.07 0.12 610.37 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.39 988.43 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 901.59 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 805.60 1.00 rw[0] -0.10 0.96 -0.10 -1.59 1.52 252.84 1.00 rw[1] -0.13 1.26 -0.15 -2.21 1.82 133.25 1.00 rw[2] -0.08 1.52 -0.04 -2.70 2.25 105.45 1.00 rw[3] 0.05 1.74 0.18 -2.73 2.77 67.40 1.00 rw[4] 0.20 1.94 0.30 -2.83 3.27 50.93 1.00 rw[5] 0.39 2.05 0.51 -2.93 3.73 38.37 1.00 rw[6] 0.54 2.19 0.71 -3.18 3.96 30.49 1.01 rw[7] 0.57 2.30 0.68 -3.29 4.21 27.16 1.01 rw[8] 0.51 2.38 0.62 -3.03 4.63 24.67 1.02 rw[9] 0.39 2.48 0.39 -3.38 4.76 22.56 1.01 rw[10] 0.12 2.53 0.12 -4.20 4.12 21.44 1.01 rw[11] -0.36 2.56 -0.36 -4.77 3.67 20.71 1.02 rw[12] -0.93 2.61 -0.95 -5.70 2.89 20.90 1.02 rw[13] -1.64 2.62 -1.66 -6.04 2.33 20.30 1.01 rw[14] -2.47 2.62 -2.47 -6.60 1.85 19.28 1.01 rw[15] -3.33 2.60 -3.31 -7.05 1.25 18.92 1.01 rw[16] -4.25 2.61 -4.19 -8.38 -0.09 18.95 1.01 rw[17] -5.20 2.59 -5.17 -9.35 -1.02 18.59 1.01 rw[18] -6.23 2.55 -6.01 -10.19 -1.74 18.72 1.01 rw[19] -7.27 2.58 -7.06 -12.14 -3.66 18.69 1.01 rw[20] -8.22 2.55 -8.09 -12.66 -4.32 18.27 1.01 rw[21] -9.16 2.59 -9.15 -13.46 -5.01 18.06 1.01 rw[22] -10.02 2.57 -9.89 -14.43 -6.05 17.20 1.01 rw[23] -10.78 2.56 -10.71 -14.55 -6.32 16.83 1.01 rw[24] -11.42 2.58 -11.39 -15.15 -6.84 17.56 1.01 rw[25] -11.95 2.59 -11.86 -16.74 -8.19 18.14 1.01 rw[26] -12.40 2.55 -12.36 -16.39 -8.14 18.66 1.01 rw[27] -12.79 2.57 -12.69 -17.13 -8.72 18.72 1.01 rw[28] -13.11 2.55 -12.95 -17.29 -8.86 18.15 1.01 rw[29] -13.35 2.56 -13.24 -17.81 -9.23 17.98 1.01 rw[30] -13.55 2.52 -13.47 -17.55 -9.26 18.13 1.01 rw[31] -13.61 2.57 -13.52 -17.21 -9.00 17.91 1.01 rw[32] -13.72 2.58 -13.65 -17.96 -9.54 17.73 1.01 rw[33] -13.77 2.55 -13.65 -17.60 -9.40 18.08 1.01 rw[34] -13.86 2.55 -13.84 -18.30 -10.06 18.17 1.01 rw[35] -13.95 2.58 -13.91 -18.15 -9.69 18.54 1.01 rw[36] -14.06 2.60 -13.96 -18.25 -9.70 18.63 1.01 rw[37] -14.20 2.55 -14.10 -18.37 -10.17 18.64 1.01 rw[38] -14.32 2.56 -14.22 -18.21 -10.15 18.98 1.01 rw[39] -14.48 2.55 -14.50 -18.50 -10.47 18.15 1.01 rw[40] -14.63 2.54 -14.54 -18.70 -10.51 19.13 1.01 rw[41] -14.79 2.52 -14.63 -18.81 -10.71 18.61 1.01 rw[42] -14.96 2.52 -14.87 -19.26 -11.27 19.28 1.01 rw[43] -15.13 2.54 -14.99 -18.93 -10.63 19.59 1.01 rw[44] -15.31 2.58 -15.22 -19.77 -11.23 19.85 1.01 rw[45] -15.47 2.57 -15.42 -19.63 -11.32 19.36 1.01 rw[46] -15.66 2.55 -15.55 -19.95 -11.45 18.86 1.01 rw[47] -15.88 2.59 -15.87 -19.64 -11.28 18.77 1.01 rw[48] -16.09 2.60 -16.03 -20.12 -11.52 19.45 1.01 rw[49] -16.19 2.60 -16.11 -20.59 -11.89 20.33 1.01 rw[50] -16.28 2.62 -16.21 -20.18 -11.72 20.30 1.01 rw[51] -16.34 2.59 -16.37 -20.47 -12.08 20.67 1.01 rw[52] -16.41 2.62 -16.33 -20.42 -11.92 20.09 1.01 rw[53] -16.40 2.60 -16.32 -20.11 -11.94 19.58 1.01 rw[54] -16.35 2.62 -16.17 -20.69 -12.23 19.06 1.01 rw[55] -16.31 2.61 -16.21 -20.30 -11.73 19.04 1.01 rw[56] -16.29 2.63 -16.16 -20.39 -11.57 18.98 1.01 rw[57] -16.26 2.63 -16.21 -20.46 -12.00 18.98 1.01 rw[58] -16.22 2.67 -16.15 -20.58 -12.18 18.60 1.01 rw[59] -16.20 2.71 -16.18 -20.70 -11.99 18.78 1.01 rw[60] -16.14 2.69 -16.05 -20.37 -11.88 18.35 1.01 rw[61] -16.16 2.71 -16.04 -20.76 -11.92 18.34 1.01 rw[62] -16.18 2.69 -16.07 -20.73 -11.99 17.99 1.01 rw[63] -16.23 2.70 -16.19 -20.79 -12.01 18.81 1.01 rw[64] -16.27 2.69 -16.26 -20.64 -11.83 18.42 1.01 rw[65] -16.40 2.66 -16.32 -20.48 -11.96 18.14 1.01 rw[66] -16.43 2.64 -16.49 -20.50 -11.80 18.60 1.00 rw[67] -16.54 2.65 -16.38 -20.99 -12.44 18.77 1.00 rw[68] -16.68 2.62 -16.50 -20.71 -12.47 19.07 1.01 rw[69] -16.76 2.64 -16.67 -20.72 -12.20 19.06 1.01 rw[70] -16.91 2.65 -16.85 -20.82 -11.96 19.72 1.01 rw[71] -17.03 2.64 -16.94 -21.02 -12.23 19.66 1.01 rw[72] -17.14 2.67 -17.08 -21.38 -12.50 19.88 1.01 rw[73] -17.21 2.70 -17.11 -21.79 -12.93 20.16 1.01 rw[74] -17.37 2.73 -17.32 -21.44 -12.50 21.07 1.01 rw[75] -17.50 2.72 -17.49 -21.77 -13.08 20.07 1.01 rw[76] -17.56 2.71 -17.59 -21.65 -12.81 19.40 1.01 rw[77] -17.62 2.65 -17.64 -22.10 -13.33 19.15 1.01 rw[78] -17.66 2.67 -17.68 -21.66 -13.03 19.59 1.01 rw[79] -17.73 2.61 -17.69 -22.12 -13.59 20.21 1.01 rw[80] -17.77 2.65 -17.63 -22.41 -13.56 20.54 1.01 rw[81] -17.80 2.68 -17.69 -22.44 -13.50 20.75 1.01 rw[82] -17.84 2.62 -17.61 -22.00 -13.52 20.39 1.02 rw[83] -17.87 2.60 -17.73 -22.08 -13.56 20.35 1.01 rw[84] -17.89 2.57 -17.74 -22.30 -13.74 19.64 1.02 rw[85] -17.79 2.57 -17.69 -21.97 -13.71 19.98 1.03 rw[86] -17.76 2.57 -17.65 -21.80 -13.49 20.01 1.02 rw[87] -17.77 2.59 -17.73 -22.09 -13.66 20.21 1.01 rw[88] -17.70 2.54 -17.62 -22.01 -13.72 19.44 1.01 rw[89] -17.58 2.57 -17.51 -21.42 -12.98 20.38 1.01 rw[90] -17.43 2.54 -17.34 -21.47 -13.03 20.65 1.01 rw[91] -17.28 2.53 -17.23 -21.16 -12.91 20.37 1.01 rw[92] -17.09 2.60 -17.00 -21.26 -12.93 20.63 1.01 rw[93] -16.88 2.61 -16.87 -21.34 -12.88 20.77 1.01 rw[94] -16.64 2.62 -16.59 -20.94 -12.64 21.48 1.00 rw[95] -16.42 2.63 -16.40 -21.05 -12.33 20.56 1.00 rw[96] -16.18 2.60 -16.12 -20.33 -11.93 20.21 1.00 rw[97] -15.95 2.60 -15.93 -19.85 -11.48 19.44 1.00 rw[98] -15.61 2.62 -15.56 -19.72 -11.45 19.40 1.00 rw[99] -15.38 2.66 -15.19 -19.78 -11.39 19.55 1.01 rw[100] -15.11 2.63 -14.91 -19.62 -11.19 19.24 1.00 rw[101] -14.81 2.67 -14.68 -19.15 -10.51 18.58 1.00 rw[102] -14.51 2.66 -14.28 -18.27 -9.76 18.73 1.00 rw[103] -14.26 2.67 -14.08 -18.27 -9.59 18.54 1.01 rw[104] -13.99 2.68 -13.82 -18.04 -9.29 18.86 1.01 rw[105] -13.73 2.61 -13.65 -17.52 -9.02 19.08 1.01 rw[106] -13.53 2.59 -13.46 -17.51 -9.09 18.59 1.01 rw[107] -13.41 2.64 -13.41 -17.42 -8.98 18.62 1.01 rw[108] -13.27 2.61 -13.29 -17.40 -8.93 18.50 1.02 rw[109] -13.16 2.60 -13.33 -16.92 -8.48 19.37 1.01 rw[110] -13.07 2.62 -13.05 -17.23 -8.68 20.35 1.01 rw[111] -13.06 2.60 -13.04 -17.26 -8.78 20.10 1.01 rw[112] -13.05 2.57 -13.00 -17.42 -8.94 19.16 1.01 rw[113] -13.06 2.58 -13.02 -17.16 -8.72 18.86 1.01 rw[114] -13.08 2.58 -13.06 -17.10 -8.79 18.65 1.01 rw[115] -13.12 2.51 -13.07 -17.03 -8.86 18.31 1.01 rw[116] -13.12 2.51 -13.08 -17.12 -9.08 18.22 1.01 rw[117] -13.06 2.53 -12.93 -17.51 -9.20 17.86 1.01 rw[118] -13.06 2.49 -12.88 -17.36 -9.25 18.63 1.01 rw[119] -13.05 2.48 -12.89 -17.12 -9.07 18.06 1.01 rw[120] -13.03 2.46 -12.94 -16.44 -8.32 17.41 1.01 rw[121] -13.03 2.51 -12.93 -17.04 -9.02 18.54 1.01 rw[122] -13.06 2.53 -12.95 -17.06 -9.04 17.74 1.01 rw[123] -13.03 2.54 -12.89 -17.25 -9.17 18.50 1.01 rw[124] -13.00 2.54 -12.86 -17.32 -9.13 18.80 1.01 rw[125] -13.02 2.49 -12.85 -17.36 -9.40 18.75 1.01 rw[126] -13.06 2.50 -12.91 -17.15 -9.01 19.14 1.01 rw[127] -13.13 2.52 -13.07 -17.02 -8.86 19.06 1.01 rw[128] -13.18 2.56 -13.13 -17.01 -8.81 18.76 1.01 rw[129] -13.22 2.59 -13.12 -16.80 -8.52 17.97 1.01 rw[130] -13.36 2.61 -13.27 -17.40 -9.07 18.38 1.01 rw[131] -13.51 2.56 -13.35 -17.75 -9.37 19.25 1.01 rw[132] -13.76 2.57 -13.64 -17.92 -9.59 18.52 1.01 rw[133] -14.01 2.58 -13.96 -18.24 -9.90 19.10 1.01 rw[134] -14.30 2.59 -14.24 -18.17 -9.75 19.51 1.01 rw[135] -14.53 2.60 -14.38 -18.75 -10.26 19.04 1.01 rw[136] -14.79 2.60 -14.54 -19.03 -10.67 18.53 1.01 rw[137] -15.03 2.61 -14.95 -19.27 -10.92 18.25 1.01 rw[138] -15.27 2.58 -15.16 -19.55 -11.21 17.92 1.01 rw[139] -15.50 2.56 -15.39 -19.87 -11.54 17.78 1.01 rw[140] -15.71 2.57 -15.62 -19.58 -11.35 17.89 1.01 rw[141] -15.82 2.55 -15.71 -20.04 -11.90 18.30 1.01 rw[142] -15.91 2.58 -15.89 -20.06 -11.84 17.89 1.01 rw[143] -15.94 2.57 -15.89 -20.37 -11.93 18.61 1.01 rw[144] -15.98 2.59 -15.91 -20.08 -11.65 18.46 1.01 rw[145] -15.93 2.62 -15.90 -19.93 -11.22 18.32 1.01 rw[146] -15.91 2.57 -15.84 -19.99 -11.67 18.37 1.01 rw[147] -15.82 2.50 -15.69 -19.94 -11.90 19.08 1.01 rw[148] -15.72 2.49 -15.65 -19.52 -11.50 19.49 1.01 rw[149] -15.57 2.54 -15.44 -19.67 -11.43 19.07 1.01 rw[150] -15.45 2.59 -15.30 -19.42 -10.99 18.76 1.01 rw[151] -15.31 2.56 -15.25 -19.01 -10.74 19.35 1.01 rw[152] -15.19 2.54 -15.14 -19.71 -11.35 19.08 1.01 rw[153] -15.12 2.50 -15.16 -19.47 -11.41 19.40 1.01 rw[154] -15.01 2.51 -14.93 -19.24 -10.94 19.14 1.01 rw[155] -14.93 2.53 -14.83 -19.13 -10.88 18.94 1.01 rw[156] -14.87 2.54 -14.80 -18.77 -10.77 19.26 1.01 rw[157] -14.86 2.58 -14.81 -18.85 -10.50 18.76 1.01 rw[158] -14.89 2.59 -14.80 -19.24 -10.89 19.65 1.01 rw[159] -14.83 2.59 -14.76 -19.18 -10.63 19.06 1.01 rw[160] -14.87 2.58 -14.84 -19.40 -10.83 19.45 1.01 rw[161] -14.93 2.60 -14.79 -19.05 -10.63 18.92 1.01 rw[162] -15.00 2.57 -14.91 -19.53 -11.17 18.77 1.01 rw[163] -15.03 2.55 -14.92 -19.01 -10.76 19.15 1.01 rw[164] -15.13 2.57 -15.05 -18.92 -10.51 18.60 1.01 rw[165] -15.22 2.57 -15.12 -19.14 -10.78 18.81 1.01 rw[166] -15.30 2.57 -15.26 -19.58 -11.11 18.70 1.01 rw[167] -15.40 2.55 -15.30 -19.82 -11.40 19.19 1.01 rw[168] -15.53 2.54 -15.40 -19.29 -11.07 19.56 1.01 rw[169] -15.62 2.54 -15.55 -19.58 -11.35 18.35 1.01 rw[170] -15.70 2.55 -15.72 -19.57 -11.18 19.69 1.01 rw[171] -15.78 2.57 -15.69 -20.03 -11.47 18.92 1.01 rw[172] -15.80 2.63 -15.69 -19.81 -11.35 18.83 1.01 rw[173] -15.80 2.59 -15.72 -20.36 -11.91 18.22 1.01 rw[174] -15.86 2.56 -15.76 -20.07 -11.79 19.47 1.01 rw[175] -15.94 2.57 -15.90 -20.21 -11.88 18.74 1.01 rw[176] -16.02 2.61 -15.96 -19.75 -11.18 18.30 1.00 rw[177] -16.04 2.65 -15.90 -20.25 -11.54 18.59 1.01 rw[178] -16.09 2.65 -15.99 -20.07 -11.32 18.60 1.01 rw[179] -16.12 2.65 -16.09 -20.51 -11.73 18.35 1.01 rw[180] -16.13 2.64 -16.06 -20.24 -11.66 18.25 1.01 rw[181] -16.19 2.65 -16.18 -20.09 -11.48 17.88 1.01 rw[182] -16.24 2.60 -16.27 -20.62 -12.21 17.83 1.01 rw[183] -16.24 2.62 -16.14 -20.42 -12.03 17.93 1.01 rw[184] -16.21 2.65 -16.07 -20.29 -12.00 17.93 1.01 rw[185] -16.17 2.60 -16.13 -20.44 -12.08 17.83 1.01 rw[186] -16.02 2.55 -15.90 -19.88 -11.55 17.85 1.01 rw[187] -15.90 2.53 -15.69 -20.23 -12.03 17.47 1.02 rw[188] -15.83 2.51 -15.73 -19.88 -11.88 17.46 1.01 rw[189] -15.65 2.54 -15.60 -19.76 -11.66 18.16 1.01 rw[190] -15.51 2.51 -15.28 -19.73 -11.65 17.82 1.01 rw[191] -15.36 2.58 -15.23 -19.35 -11.04 18.54 1.01 rw[192] -15.14 2.58 -15.00 -18.96 -10.66 18.34 1.01 rw[193] -14.89 2.55 -14.82 -18.77 -10.53 19.03 1.01 rw[194] -14.70 2.54 -14.61 -19.19 -10.93 19.08 1.01 rw[195] -14.42 2.49 -14.39 -18.17 -10.33 18.85 1.01 rw[196] -14.05 2.45 -13.99 -17.67 -9.89 17.67 1.01 rw[197] -13.74 2.45 -13.66 -17.73 -9.89 16.99 1.01 rw[198] -13.27 2.37 -13.08 -17.20 -9.71 15.37 1.01 rw[199] -12.76 2.23 -12.68 -16.33 -9.11 14.59 1.01 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 817.47 1.00 Number of divergences: 0