mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 14.37 4.76 13.70 7.17 21.25 1886.00 1.00 E0 411.49 347.04 323.34 1.43 850.53 175.11 1.02 H0 29.56 13.23 28.28 5.47 47.85 181.38 1.01 I0 396.92 212.58 354.19 106.39 710.25 67.44 1.03 beta0 1.98 0.51 1.85 1.32 2.91 12.07 1.17 confirmed_dispersion 0.40 0.05 0.40 0.32 0.47 1174.72 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.11 1595.36 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 1508.41 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.05 0.10 497.21 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.21 0.41 1693.17 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1310.73 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1182.51 1.00 rw[0] -0.20 0.96 -0.22 -1.89 1.25 132.67 1.01 rw[1] -0.25 1.35 -0.22 -2.27 2.00 60.27 1.02 rw[2] -0.21 1.66 -0.16 -2.95 2.46 38.54 1.04 rw[3] -0.10 1.93 -0.03 -3.17 2.99 28.73 1.06 rw[4] 0.06 2.13 0.16 -3.09 3.80 24.06 1.08 rw[5] 0.23 2.32 0.26 -3.49 3.90 19.30 1.09 rw[6] 0.44 2.43 0.53 -3.49 4.26 17.33 1.10 rw[7] 0.51 2.56 0.66 -3.94 4.21 15.93 1.12 rw[8] 0.56 2.64 0.83 -3.94 4.66 15.01 1.13 rw[9] 0.48 2.71 0.68 -4.23 4.56 14.39 1.12 rw[10] 0.29 2.77 0.56 -4.47 4.21 14.37 1.12 rw[11] -0.16 2.78 0.16 -4.83 4.19 14.12 1.13 rw[12] -0.62 2.80 -0.39 -5.13 3.69 14.09 1.13 rw[13] -1.17 2.77 -0.92 -5.66 3.07 14.34 1.12 rw[14] -1.77 2.72 -1.57 -6.51 2.24 14.24 1.13 rw[15] -2.27 2.68 -2.01 -6.49 2.29 14.19 1.13 rw[16] -2.76 2.70 -2.53 -7.27 1.38 14.29 1.13 rw[17] -3.32 2.70 -3.08 -7.68 0.98 14.45 1.11 rw[18] -3.96 2.70 -3.73 -8.19 0.50 14.91 1.12 rw[19] -4.72 2.70 -4.46 -8.95 -0.28 14.72 1.12 rw[20] -5.49 2.69 -5.26 -9.79 -1.27 14.77 1.12 rw[21] -6.26 2.70 -5.92 -10.75 -2.08 14.50 1.11 rw[22] -7.12 2.72 -6.78 -11.72 -2.98 14.03 1.12 rw[23] -8.00 2.76 -7.65 -12.36 -3.68 14.55 1.11 rw[24] -8.87 2.79 -8.57 -13.70 -4.61 15.07 1.11 rw[25] -9.76 2.79 -9.46 -14.38 -5.31 14.82 1.12 rw[26] -10.66 2.75 -10.39 -15.35 -6.40 15.15 1.13 rw[27] -11.55 2.81 -11.16 -16.39 -7.30 14.94 1.13 rw[28] -12.42 2.80 -12.11 -17.24 -8.10 14.34 1.13 rw[29] -13.18 2.79 -12.86 -18.08 -8.87 14.65 1.12 rw[30] -13.86 2.81 -13.60 -18.54 -9.35 14.84 1.12 rw[31] -14.38 2.88 -14.10 -19.09 -9.87 14.67 1.11 rw[32] -14.89 2.92 -14.65 -19.94 -10.54 14.31 1.13 rw[33] -15.29 2.88 -15.01 -19.94 -10.58 14.77 1.13 rw[34] -15.64 2.93 -15.37 -20.39 -10.90 14.74 1.12 rw[35] -15.94 2.95 -15.77 -20.86 -11.41 15.02 1.12 rw[36] -16.11 2.94 -15.76 -21.25 -11.82 15.24 1.12 rw[37] -16.25 2.93 -15.97 -20.93 -11.62 15.90 1.11 rw[38] -16.34 2.94 -16.06 -21.40 -11.96 15.66 1.13 rw[39] -16.38 2.91 -16.02 -20.77 -11.34 15.31 1.12 rw[40] -16.39 2.91 -16.20 -21.27 -11.73 16.39 1.11 rw[41] -16.36 2.91 -16.06 -21.41 -11.87 16.18 1.11 rw[42] -16.28 2.95 -16.06 -21.15 -11.68 16.76 1.10 rw[43] -16.15 2.92 -15.86 -21.59 -12.12 16.26 1.11 rw[44] -16.11 2.90 -15.85 -21.09 -11.64 16.26 1.10 rw[45] -15.96 2.90 -15.62 -20.51 -10.88 16.23 1.11 rw[46] -15.85 2.88 -15.66 -20.64 -11.20 16.41 1.10 rw[47] -15.76 2.88 -15.54 -20.80 -11.14 17.06 1.10 rw[48] -15.70 2.94 -15.45 -21.15 -11.43 16.74 1.10 rw[49] -15.51 2.91 -15.21 -20.45 -10.77 16.50 1.10 rw[50] -15.39 2.92 -15.12 -20.59 -10.81 16.73 1.10 rw[51] -15.32 2.90 -14.99 -20.55 -10.95 16.53 1.10 rw[52] -15.29 2.95 -14.92 -20.52 -10.97 16.36 1.11 rw[53] -15.28 2.91 -14.97 -20.37 -11.01 16.48 1.11 rw[54] -15.24 2.94 -14.85 -19.98 -10.54 16.37 1.10 rw[55] -15.22 2.91 -14.95 -20.01 -10.62 16.25 1.11 rw[56] -15.22 2.92 -14.94 -19.99 -10.56 16.17 1.12 rw[57] -15.24 2.94 -14.97 -19.99 -10.41 16.14 1.12 rw[58] -15.25 2.98 -15.03 -20.04 -10.25 15.99 1.11 rw[59] -15.29 3.03 -15.12 -20.18 -10.39 15.91 1.10 rw[60] -15.30 2.99 -15.07 -20.69 -10.93 15.89 1.10 rw[61] -15.34 3.03 -15.14 -20.55 -10.81 16.26 1.10 rw[62] -15.38 2.96 -15.15 -21.00 -11.23 15.81 1.10 rw[63] -15.40 2.92 -15.25 -20.76 -11.28 16.64 1.10 rw[64] -15.43 2.94 -15.27 -20.23 -10.66 16.54 1.10 rw[65] -15.46 2.88 -15.29 -20.54 -11.21 16.24 1.10 rw[66] -15.40 2.88 -15.15 -20.08 -10.97 16.23 1.10 rw[67] -15.40 2.89 -15.15 -20.19 -11.04 16.13 1.10 rw[68] -15.40 2.83 -15.22 -19.84 -10.72 16.21 1.11 rw[69] -15.35 2.85 -15.09 -19.70 -10.33 16.03 1.11 rw[70] -15.31 2.90 -15.08 -20.08 -10.71 16.54 1.11 rw[71] -15.29 2.88 -15.09 -20.49 -11.24 16.50 1.11 rw[72] -15.19 2.89 -15.02 -20.08 -10.71 17.23 1.10 rw[73] -15.08 2.96 -14.92 -19.94 -10.40 16.61 1.10 rw[74] -15.05 2.96 -14.96 -19.89 -10.27 17.19 1.10 rw[75] -14.99 2.93 -14.83 -19.94 -10.45 17.22 1.10 rw[76] -14.86 2.95 -14.71 -19.82 -10.36 16.19 1.11 rw[77] -14.75 2.92 -14.61 -19.39 -9.97 16.02 1.11 rw[78] -14.67 2.90 -14.49 -19.20 -9.87 16.82 1.10 rw[79] -14.64 2.87 -14.34 -19.48 -10.25 16.84 1.12 rw[80] -14.59 2.88 -14.29 -19.88 -10.27 16.82 1.12 rw[81] -14.55 2.92 -14.34 -19.99 -10.12 16.50 1.12 rw[82] -14.54 2.85 -14.17 -19.20 -9.80 16.65 1.12 rw[83] -14.55 2.83 -14.24 -19.18 -9.76 16.23 1.13 rw[84] -14.54 2.84 -14.22 -19.79 -10.16 15.86 1.14 rw[85] -14.49 2.86 -14.22 -19.42 -9.86 16.12 1.15 rw[86] -14.54 2.82 -14.29 -18.96 -9.82 16.16 1.14 rw[87] -14.60 2.80 -14.37 -19.89 -10.69 15.75 1.13 rw[88] -14.58 2.75 -14.41 -19.41 -10.49 15.81 1.12 rw[89] -14.56 2.78 -14.35 -19.56 -10.46 16.81 1.12 rw[90] -14.52 2.77 -14.38 -19.29 -10.43 16.68 1.11 rw[91] -14.49 2.79 -14.29 -19.51 -10.41 16.90 1.10 rw[92] -14.45 2.81 -14.38 -19.32 -10.13 17.21 1.10 rw[93] -14.36 2.83 -14.27 -18.70 -9.58 17.32 1.09 rw[94] -14.25 2.82 -14.10 -18.83 -9.81 17.34 1.10 rw[95] -14.15 2.80 -13.99 -18.84 -9.71 16.72 1.09 rw[96] -14.01 2.78 -13.83 -18.51 -9.38 17.00 1.09 rw[97] -13.91 2.76 -13.72 -18.19 -9.29 16.48 1.09 rw[98] -13.68 2.77 -13.45 -18.25 -9.51 16.40 1.09 rw[99] -13.54 2.80 -13.39 -17.86 -9.12 16.40 1.10 rw[100] -13.39 2.78 -13.22 -17.60 -8.85 16.49 1.10 rw[101] -13.20 2.82 -12.92 -18.22 -9.04 16.09 1.10 rw[102] -12.99 2.80 -12.65 -18.17 -8.91 16.03 1.11 rw[103] -12.82 2.81 -12.50 -17.60 -8.48 16.28 1.10 rw[104] -12.59 2.83 -12.39 -17.92 -8.66 16.17 1.10 rw[105] -12.36 2.82 -12.16 -16.80 -7.59 16.44 1.09 rw[106] -12.17 2.78 -11.98 -16.84 -7.86 15.82 1.11 rw[107] -12.01 2.82 -11.83 -16.51 -7.30 15.82 1.11 rw[108] -11.85 2.82 -11.62 -16.53 -7.25 15.41 1.13 rw[109] -11.65 2.80 -11.41 -16.47 -7.39 15.68 1.13 rw[110] -11.46 2.82 -11.22 -16.29 -7.01 16.21 1.13 rw[111] -11.33 2.83 -11.16 -15.90 -6.70 15.86 1.13 rw[112] -11.20 2.82 -10.92 -15.64 -6.46 15.58 1.13 rw[113] -11.12 2.86 -10.86 -15.89 -6.62 15.39 1.13 rw[114] -11.01 2.85 -10.74 -15.93 -6.68 15.28 1.11 rw[115] -10.99 2.82 -10.76 -15.57 -6.41 15.08 1.11 rw[116] -10.95 2.80 -10.61 -15.83 -6.87 15.30 1.11 rw[117] -10.91 2.79 -10.62 -16.15 -7.04 15.14 1.11 rw[118] -10.97 2.75 -10.61 -15.75 -6.94 15.80 1.12 rw[119] -11.02 2.71 -10.77 -15.33 -6.55 15.29 1.12 rw[120] -11.10 2.71 -10.80 -15.36 -6.58 14.68 1.13 rw[121] -11.23 2.71 -11.00 -15.89 -7.11 15.04 1.12 rw[122] -11.38 2.74 -11.11 -15.55 -6.69 14.89 1.11 rw[123] -11.55 2.76 -11.32 -16.58 -7.58 15.74 1.11 rw[124] -11.64 2.78 -11.38 -16.25 -7.15 15.65 1.12 rw[125] -11.79 2.73 -11.47 -16.15 -7.50 15.38 1.10 rw[126] -11.91 2.75 -11.60 -16.77 -7.96 14.92 1.11 rw[127] -12.01 2.79 -11.78 -16.47 -7.40 15.03 1.11 rw[128] -12.06 2.82 -11.74 -16.60 -7.43 15.21 1.11 rw[129] -12.09 2.81 -11.79 -17.05 -7.87 14.93 1.12 rw[130] -12.14 2.79 -11.97 -17.39 -8.20 15.11 1.10 rw[131] -12.19 2.79 -12.03 -16.95 -7.92 15.38 1.11 rw[132] -12.32 2.78 -12.04 -17.12 -8.18 15.45 1.12 rw[133] -12.47 2.80 -12.24 -17.26 -8.18 15.29 1.12 rw[134] -12.60 2.81 -12.30 -17.64 -8.51 15.49 1.12 rw[135] -12.71 2.83 -12.41 -17.45 -8.48 15.12 1.13 rw[136] -12.82 2.84 -12.53 -17.42 -8.41 14.92 1.13 rw[137] -12.95 2.86 -12.68 -17.74 -8.55 14.88 1.13 rw[138] -13.10 2.86 -12.79 -17.80 -8.80 14.83 1.12 rw[139] -13.34 2.80 -13.04 -18.19 -9.13 14.93 1.12 rw[140] -13.49 2.84 -13.19 -18.42 -9.13 14.77 1.12 rw[141] -13.64 2.81 -13.37 -18.49 -9.41 15.20 1.11 rw[142] -13.77 2.86 -13.45 -18.83 -9.52 15.29 1.12 rw[143] -13.88 2.82 -13.62 -19.31 -10.00 15.64 1.10 rw[144] -13.99 2.83 -13.77 -19.27 -9.95 16.32 1.11 rw[145] -14.08 2.86 -13.90 -19.28 -9.86 16.42 1.10 rw[146] -14.15 2.82 -13.94 -19.00 -9.95 15.86 1.11 rw[147] -14.17 2.80 -13.89 -18.91 -9.93 16.07 1.11 rw[148] -14.21 2.77 -13.96 -18.47 -9.64 16.10 1.12 rw[149] -14.17 2.83 -13.84 -19.28 -10.20 16.09 1.10 rw[150] -14.15 2.84 -13.94 -19.22 -10.01 15.74 1.11 rw[151] -14.15 2.80 -14.00 -18.90 -9.77 16.02 1.11 rw[152] -14.11 2.83 -14.03 -18.81 -9.56 15.96 1.12 rw[153] -14.12 2.79 -13.91 -18.54 -9.50 15.80 1.12 rw[154] -14.09 2.77 -13.88 -18.82 -9.96 15.55 1.12 rw[155] -14.07 2.79 -13.84 -19.01 -9.84 15.41 1.12 rw[156] -14.05 2.76 -13.77 -18.67 -9.78 15.12 1.13 rw[157] -14.03 2.80 -13.79 -18.84 -9.90 15.35 1.12 rw[158] -14.10 2.80 -13.79 -18.86 -9.89 15.85 1.12 rw[159] -14.10 2.80 -13.78 -18.92 -9.91 15.90 1.11 rw[160] -14.15 2.78 -13.93 -18.55 -9.55 15.55 1.11 rw[161] -14.14 2.83 -13.88 -19.05 -10.04 15.17 1.12 rw[162] -14.15 2.79 -13.96 -19.28 -10.37 15.45 1.12 rw[163] -14.13 2.78 -13.85 -18.41 -9.23 15.68 1.11 rw[164] -14.15 2.81 -13.85 -19.00 -9.81 15.60 1.11 rw[165] -14.18 2.78 -13.98 -18.37 -9.45 15.79 1.12 rw[166] -14.15 2.78 -13.92 -19.02 -9.86 15.54 1.13 rw[167] -14.14 2.78 -13.91 -18.92 -9.90 15.50 1.12 rw[168] -14.12 2.82 -13.87 -18.54 -9.50 15.51 1.12 rw[169] -14.12 2.81 -13.77 -18.91 -9.85 15.45 1.12 rw[170] -14.09 2.81 -13.85 -19.11 -10.12 16.41 1.11 rw[171] -14.05 2.84 -13.72 -18.90 -9.63 15.78 1.12 rw[172] -13.98 2.86 -13.67 -19.19 -9.97 16.34 1.11 rw[173] -13.93 2.81 -13.60 -18.68 -9.59 16.04 1.10 rw[174] -13.90 2.81 -13.67 -18.51 -9.41 16.29 1.11 rw[175] -13.88 2.81 -13.55 -18.70 -9.47 16.49 1.11 rw[176] -13.88 2.85 -13.58 -18.88 -9.40 15.88 1.10 rw[177] -13.83 2.88 -13.55 -18.71 -9.30 15.94 1.09 rw[178] -13.78 2.88 -13.43 -18.78 -9.39 16.13 1.09 rw[179] -13.69 2.88 -13.43 -18.76 -9.17 15.40 1.11 rw[180] -13.62 2.87 -13.41 -18.04 -8.56 15.78 1.10 rw[181] -13.62 2.85 -13.39 -18.67 -9.35 15.28 1.11 rw[182] -13.57 2.81 -13.29 -18.39 -9.28 15.33 1.11 rw[183] -13.53 2.84 -13.27 -18.02 -8.79 15.07 1.12 rw[184] -13.48 2.87 -13.30 -18.34 -8.83 14.98 1.11 rw[185] -13.41 2.83 -13.26 -18.32 -8.99 14.43 1.12 rw[186] -13.37 2.78 -13.06 -18.35 -9.00 14.32 1.12 rw[187] -13.32 2.78 -13.01 -18.20 -9.07 13.98 1.14 rw[188] -13.31 2.78 -13.03 -18.29 -9.29 13.80 1.13 rw[189] -13.31 2.80 -12.95 -17.89 -8.81 14.68 1.12 rw[190] -13.29 2.78 -12.89 -17.86 -8.98 14.71 1.13 rw[191] -13.31 2.86 -13.01 -18.22 -9.05 15.22 1.12 rw[192] -13.32 2.83 -13.17 -18.02 -8.90 15.35 1.13 rw[193] -13.28 2.79 -12.96 -18.11 -9.15 15.69 1.12 rw[194] -13.29 2.78 -13.02 -18.05 -9.02 15.78 1.12 rw[195] -13.25 2.76 -13.03 -18.00 -9.06 15.95 1.12 rw[196] -13.12 2.71 -12.87 -17.89 -9.10 15.35 1.14 rw[197] -13.06 2.67 -12.77 -17.21 -8.56 14.62 1.13 rw[198] -12.84 2.60 -12.50 -17.25 -9.05 13.70 1.12 rw[199] -12.63 2.48 -12.26 -16.93 -9.04 12.73 1.14 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1423.75 1.00 Number of divergences: 0