mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.64 0.72 0.41 0.00 1.51 1347.90 1.00 E0 8.11 8.67 5.43 0.01 18.05 159.11 1.01 H0 1.39 1.58 0.90 0.00 3.48 1020.12 1.00 I0 3.12 3.20 2.16 0.00 7.15 309.98 1.01 beta0 2.32 0.42 2.28 1.63 3.04 14.64 1.16 confirmed_dispersion 0.56 0.07 0.56 0.46 0.67 1225.26 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 2299.34 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 882.23 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.05 0.10 606.48 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.40 1543.98 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 871.66 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1703.18 1.00 rw[0] 0.03 0.98 0.06 -1.49 1.74 465.39 1.02 rw[1] 0.11 1.33 0.13 -2.10 2.25 197.88 1.03 rw[2] 0.19 1.58 0.21 -2.59 2.56 117.58 1.04 rw[3] 0.29 1.75 0.38 -2.56 3.11 75.24 1.06 rw[4] 0.40 1.84 0.42 -2.52 3.60 44.22 1.09 rw[5] 0.50 1.90 0.50 -2.38 3.83 43.97 1.10 rw[6] 0.51 1.99 0.42 -2.97 3.49 41.99 1.09 rw[7] 0.42 2.08 0.37 -2.96 3.62 36.60 1.11 rw[8] 0.24 2.14 0.20 -2.83 4.24 32.61 1.11 rw[9] -0.08 2.17 -0.09 -3.57 3.35 25.23 1.12 rw[10] -0.52 2.20 -0.70 -4.00 3.23 22.79 1.11 rw[11] -1.07 2.20 -1.12 -4.47 2.67 22.91 1.12 rw[12] -1.81 2.26 -1.91 -5.58 1.90 19.56 1.13 rw[13] -2.65 2.26 -2.68 -6.61 0.60 20.43 1.12 rw[14] -3.56 2.26 -3.63 -7.08 0.15 21.45 1.12 rw[15] -4.43 2.26 -4.50 -8.35 -1.20 20.73 1.12 rw[16] -5.34 2.24 -5.36 -8.94 -1.64 25.01 1.10 rw[17] -6.23 2.22 -6.17 -9.85 -2.54 21.87 1.10 rw[18] -7.13 2.24 -7.13 -10.52 -3.10 20.14 1.12 rw[19] -7.94 2.25 -7.93 -11.63 -4.24 19.30 1.12 rw[20] -8.73 2.25 -8.83 -12.28 -5.02 21.80 1.12 rw[21] -9.60 2.27 -9.65 -13.12 -5.58 21.56 1.11 rw[22] -10.48 2.22 -10.49 -14.20 -6.92 25.65 1.10 rw[23] -11.32 2.25 -11.34 -15.13 -7.66 24.35 1.10 rw[24] -12.20 2.23 -12.25 -15.99 -8.59 26.65 1.10 rw[25] -12.88 2.30 -12.96 -16.67 -8.97 21.49 1.11 rw[26] -13.49 2.27 -13.56 -17.47 -10.00 24.45 1.10 rw[27] -14.09 2.30 -14.13 -17.97 -10.37 25.48 1.10 rw[28] -14.62 2.26 -14.63 -18.22 -10.76 22.92 1.11 rw[29] -15.03 2.26 -15.02 -19.08 -11.70 22.16 1.12 rw[30] -15.30 2.28 -15.35 -18.71 -10.99 24.43 1.11 rw[31] -15.49 2.26 -15.51 -19.28 -11.84 21.60 1.11 rw[32] -15.66 2.31 -15.68 -19.43 -11.78 20.27 1.12 rw[33] -15.71 2.30 -15.75 -19.48 -12.01 19.45 1.12 rw[34] -15.71 2.28 -15.78 -19.29 -11.73 20.95 1.11 rw[35] -15.72 2.26 -15.81 -19.45 -12.15 23.59 1.09 rw[36] -15.73 2.25 -15.68 -19.34 -11.97 21.58 1.12 rw[37] -15.67 2.26 -15.71 -19.39 -11.99 22.24 1.11 rw[38] -15.64 2.27 -15.67 -19.26 -11.92 22.43 1.10 rw[39] -15.63 2.26 -15.54 -19.25 -11.93 21.41 1.10 rw[40] -15.62 2.26 -15.59 -19.44 -12.06 21.91 1.10 rw[41] -15.63 2.30 -15.65 -19.09 -11.57 21.29 1.09 rw[42] -15.65 2.29 -15.60 -19.48 -11.97 22.12 1.09 rw[43] -15.64 2.33 -15.63 -19.30 -11.67 26.76 1.09 rw[44] -15.68 2.30 -15.70 -19.56 -12.05 27.55 1.09 rw[45] -15.77 2.34 -15.76 -19.16 -11.46 27.17 1.10 rw[46] -15.80 2.34 -15.82 -19.48 -11.91 26.59 1.11 rw[47] -15.96 2.42 -15.95 -19.52 -11.67 25.75 1.09 rw[48] -16.03 2.38 -16.08 -19.76 -12.22 23.74 1.10 rw[49] -16.13 2.39 -16.10 -19.52 -11.71 26.89 1.10 rw[50] -16.18 2.44 -16.13 -19.73 -11.55 25.59 1.11 rw[51] -16.27 2.41 -16.25 -19.95 -11.98 20.76 1.12 rw[52] -16.38 2.42 -16.40 -20.13 -12.40 20.43 1.12 rw[53] -16.49 2.38 -16.56 -20.25 -12.67 20.01 1.14 rw[54] -16.61 2.43 -16.73 -20.24 -12.33 24.07 1.13 rw[55] -16.71 2.41 -16.73 -20.60 -12.54 23.95 1.11 rw[56] -16.84 2.44 -16.93 -20.96 -12.74 27.49 1.11 rw[57] -16.95 2.40 -17.02 -21.00 -13.00 26.90 1.11 rw[58] -17.11 2.40 -17.18 -21.28 -13.26 27.44 1.10 rw[59] -17.27 2.38 -17.35 -21.11 -13.34 23.40 1.11 rw[60] -17.32 2.28 -17.45 -20.86 -13.47 21.71 1.11 rw[61] -17.41 2.31 -17.37 -20.98 -13.50 26.94 1.10 rw[62] -17.50 2.28 -17.52 -20.92 -13.53 29.18 1.09 rw[63] -17.53 2.30 -17.57 -21.26 -13.75 30.75 1.08 rw[64] -17.68 2.36 -17.81 -21.45 -13.81 29.96 1.08 rw[65] -17.70 2.35 -17.73 -21.73 -14.07 35.64 1.08 rw[66] -17.77 2.41 -17.77 -21.56 -13.76 36.23 1.07 rw[67] -17.81 2.36 -17.86 -21.73 -14.21 32.72 1.08 rw[68] -17.84 2.35 -17.88 -21.89 -14.27 29.80 1.08 rw[69] -17.84 2.35 -17.92 -21.57 -14.22 31.50 1.08 rw[70] -17.74 2.34 -17.83 -21.30 -13.94 33.15 1.07 rw[71] -17.68 2.35 -17.71 -21.82 -14.13 29.58 1.08 rw[72] -17.60 2.32 -17.69 -21.61 -13.91 25.98 1.08 rw[73] -17.49 2.34 -17.51 -21.11 -13.21 21.60 1.10 rw[74] -17.37 2.36 -17.38 -21.09 -13.25 25.67 1.10 rw[75] -17.19 2.36 -17.20 -21.23 -13.56 25.53 1.09 rw[76] -17.02 2.43 -17.00 -20.83 -13.00 23.95 1.09 rw[77] -16.81 2.44 -16.74 -20.87 -12.90 28.34 1.09 rw[78] -16.62 2.38 -16.54 -20.26 -12.59 28.34 1.09 rw[79] -16.48 2.38 -16.49 -19.94 -12.13 28.97 1.10 rw[80] -16.34 2.43 -16.36 -20.11 -12.39 28.43 1.10 rw[81] -16.22 2.42 -16.36 -20.22 -12.56 23.81 1.11 rw[82] -16.12 2.40 -16.23 -19.80 -12.02 23.66 1.11 rw[83] -16.05 2.42 -16.20 -19.58 -11.82 24.17 1.12 rw[84] -16.03 2.41 -16.15 -20.05 -12.12 22.42 1.12 rw[85] -16.04 2.37 -16.18 -20.18 -12.34 23.29 1.11 rw[86] -16.10 2.40 -16.14 -19.92 -12.11 23.85 1.11 rw[87] -16.12 2.36 -16.19 -20.19 -12.47 23.06 1.10 rw[88] -16.18 2.39 -16.16 -19.99 -12.06 20.52 1.11 rw[89] -16.26 2.41 -16.34 -20.29 -12.55 22.55 1.10 rw[90] -16.33 2.39 -16.45 -19.95 -12.18 24.67 1.10 rw[91] -16.35 2.37 -16.49 -20.41 -12.76 25.43 1.09 rw[92] -16.44 2.34 -16.56 -19.71 -12.10 22.58 1.10 rw[93] -16.50 2.31 -16.65 -20.30 -12.64 20.94 1.10 rw[94] -16.57 2.33 -16.75 -20.26 -12.82 22.95 1.10 rw[95] -16.67 2.29 -16.82 -20.48 -13.05 24.51 1.09 rw[96] -16.75 2.30 -16.84 -20.78 -13.19 24.04 1.09 rw[97] -16.77 2.32 -16.81 -20.52 -13.20 24.77 1.09 rw[98] -16.80 2.34 -16.78 -20.53 -12.96 23.75 1.09 rw[99] -16.77 2.36 -16.85 -20.98 -13.22 23.16 1.10 rw[100] -16.76 2.39 -16.83 -20.74 -12.98 24.99 1.10 rw[101] -16.75 2.40 -16.85 -20.94 -13.02 23.58 1.11 rw[102] -16.71 2.41 -16.76 -21.11 -13.39 23.38 1.10 rw[103] -16.60 2.42 -16.59 -20.56 -12.71 24.98 1.10 rw[104] -16.48 2.50 -16.40 -20.52 -12.77 23.54 1.11 rw[105] -16.29 2.43 -16.33 -20.32 -12.56 24.10 1.11 rw[106] -16.14 2.40 -16.21 -19.93 -11.96 22.52 1.11 rw[107] -15.95 2.38 -15.98 -20.22 -12.43 24.11 1.11 rw[108] -15.77 2.35 -15.81 -19.93 -12.02 24.78 1.11 rw[109] -15.59 2.41 -15.61 -20.10 -12.24 26.94 1.11 rw[110] -15.37 2.43 -15.36 -19.35 -11.47 27.35 1.11 rw[111] -15.16 2.44 -15.19 -19.36 -11.41 22.26 1.12 rw[112] -14.94 2.42 -15.01 -18.64 -10.92 21.02 1.13 rw[113] -14.79 2.38 -14.85 -18.88 -11.30 21.32 1.12 rw[114] -14.74 2.34 -14.76 -18.48 -10.82 22.39 1.12 rw[115] -14.57 2.34 -14.57 -18.33 -10.75 31.20 1.11 rw[116] -14.50 2.31 -14.57 -18.40 -11.01 31.60 1.10 rw[117] -14.40 2.29 -14.36 -18.44 -10.83 29.97 1.10 rw[118] -14.27 2.31 -14.22 -18.16 -10.54 27.78 1.11 rw[119] -14.21 2.30 -14.25 -18.44 -10.76 29.23 1.11 rw[120] -14.18 2.27 -14.24 -18.10 -10.74 29.39 1.11 rw[121] -14.17 2.26 -14.24 -17.91 -10.63 21.73 1.12 rw[122] -14.19 2.24 -14.27 -17.70 -10.55 21.56 1.11 rw[123] -14.16 2.23 -14.18 -17.92 -10.68 21.10 1.10 rw[124] -14.12 2.22 -14.19 -17.50 -10.20 20.73 1.11 rw[125] -14.11 2.22 -14.22 -17.41 -10.20 23.50 1.09 rw[126] -14.09 2.20 -14.17 -17.93 -10.63 25.26 1.09 rw[127] -14.07 2.21 -14.16 -17.76 -10.53 26.26 1.09 rw[128] -14.05 2.25 -14.18 -17.72 -10.29 28.82 1.08 rw[129] -14.04 2.22 -14.13 -17.62 -10.48 24.51 1.09 rw[130] -14.07 2.29 -14.03 -18.22 -10.62 25.09 1.09 rw[131] -14.10 2.28 -14.06 -18.16 -10.73 22.16 1.11 rw[132] -14.08 2.28 -14.11 -17.76 -10.28 22.46 1.11 rw[133] -14.12 2.26 -14.25 -17.06 -9.70 21.78 1.11 rw[134] -14.11 2.26 -14.23 -17.38 -9.98 24.70 1.11 rw[135] -14.16 2.27 -14.14 -18.09 -10.52 24.61 1.10 rw[136] -14.14 2.28 -14.16 -17.89 -10.21 21.59 1.12 rw[137] -14.15 2.28 -14.16 -18.23 -10.57 23.46 1.11 rw[138] -14.17 2.27 -14.25 -17.85 -10.22 20.17 1.12 rw[139] -14.21 2.29 -14.29 -18.11 -10.60 19.99 1.12 rw[140] -14.25 2.27 -14.30 -18.43 -10.72 21.85 1.10 rw[141] -14.24 2.28 -14.35 -18.24 -10.77 21.44 1.10 rw[142] -14.27 2.29 -14.34 -18.42 -10.85 21.90 1.10 rw[143] -14.28 2.28 -14.41 -17.95 -10.44 18.74 1.10 rw[144] -14.33 2.31 -14.41 -18.35 -10.70 17.72 1.12 rw[145] -14.36 2.33 -14.45 -18.17 -10.59 19.33 1.12 rw[146] -14.32 2.34 -14.29 -18.26 -10.59 21.72 1.10 rw[147] -14.33 2.34 -14.33 -18.23 -10.62 22.32 1.10 rw[148] -14.34 2.30 -14.34 -17.80 -10.30 22.18 1.10 rw[149] -14.42 2.33 -14.48 -18.35 -10.55 22.84 1.10 rw[150] -14.50 2.33 -14.49 -18.20 -10.68 23.13 1.10 rw[151] -14.56 2.29 -14.53 -18.56 -11.25 23.86 1.09 rw[152] -14.65 2.24 -14.72 -18.54 -11.21 24.67 1.09 rw[153] -14.79 2.30 -14.83 -18.51 -10.94 25.80 1.09 rw[154] -14.91 2.29 -15.03 -18.70 -11.26 23.96 1.11 rw[155] -15.09 2.30 -15.15 -19.07 -11.49 27.46 1.10 rw[156] -15.26 2.32 -15.29 -18.85 -11.28 27.68 1.10 rw[157] -15.47 2.30 -15.47 -19.25 -11.92 26.70 1.10 rw[158] -15.64 2.28 -15.68 -19.37 -12.05 25.73 1.11 rw[159] -15.72 2.28 -15.76 -19.63 -12.21 26.24 1.10 rw[160] -15.81 2.30 -15.94 -19.48 -12.08 27.17 1.11 rw[161] -15.88 2.30 -15.91 -19.52 -11.97 27.04 1.12 rw[162] -15.98 2.24 -16.06 -19.59 -12.32 27.21 1.12 rw[163] -16.03 2.24 -16.10 -19.47 -12.06 24.19 1.12 rw[164] -15.99 2.21 -16.05 -19.69 -12.55 23.35 1.12 rw[165] -15.97 2.23 -15.98 -20.04 -12.89 22.07 1.12 rw[166] -15.84 2.30 -15.85 -19.86 -12.17 22.82 1.12 rw[167] -15.74 2.29 -15.73 -19.41 -12.09 25.56 1.10 rw[168] -15.64 2.31 -15.64 -19.85 -12.46 22.11 1.12 rw[169] -15.49 2.29 -15.44 -19.09 -11.88 23.07 1.11 rw[170] -15.41 2.26 -15.52 -19.17 -11.81 25.93 1.10 rw[171] -15.27 2.30 -15.30 -19.07 -11.28 24.61 1.10 rw[172] -15.15 2.33 -15.19 -18.89 -11.26 23.43 1.11 rw[173] -15.08 2.34 -15.10 -19.04 -11.28 20.34 1.11 rw[174] -14.95 2.32 -14.96 -18.53 -10.75 19.73 1.13 rw[175] -14.89 2.32 -14.90 -18.88 -11.32 20.18 1.12 rw[176] -14.79 2.32 -14.82 -18.64 -11.03 18.52 1.12 rw[177] -14.69 2.28 -14.74 -18.33 -10.83 18.45 1.11 rw[178] -14.63 2.25 -14.63 -17.97 -10.42 20.41 1.11 rw[179] -14.56 2.21 -14.56 -18.29 -10.97 22.38 1.10 rw[180] -14.55 2.23 -14.62 -18.48 -11.13 20.64 1.11 rw[181] -14.46 2.24 -14.50 -17.82 -10.28 21.18 1.11 rw[182] -14.40 2.21 -14.47 -17.93 -10.66 21.61 1.11 rw[183] -14.43 2.20 -14.48 -18.04 -10.90 22.61 1.09 rw[184] -14.43 2.23 -14.49 -17.81 -10.55 18.36 1.11 rw[185] -14.42 2.23 -14.48 -18.08 -10.90 21.35 1.10 rw[186] -14.36 2.24 -14.41 -18.07 -10.82 20.60 1.11 rw[187] -14.24 2.29 -14.34 -17.99 -10.76 19.68 1.11 rw[188] -14.13 2.33 -14.18 -17.80 -10.29 20.66 1.12 rw[189] -14.07 2.33 -14.14 -17.90 -10.20 21.08 1.11 rw[190] -14.01 2.30 -14.03 -18.07 -10.52 20.49 1.12 rw[191] -13.89 2.34 -13.94 -17.63 -9.98 23.57 1.11 rw[192] -13.81 2.33 -13.75 -17.51 -9.91 25.08 1.11 rw[193] -13.73 2.35 -13.79 -17.91 -10.35 27.42 1.11 rw[194] -13.63 2.29 -13.69 -17.72 -10.38 28.73 1.10 rw[195] -13.57 2.27 -13.69 -17.26 -9.75 26.74 1.10 rw[196] -13.51 2.26 -13.63 -17.23 -9.81 23.58 1.10 rw[197] -13.45 2.30 -13.53 -17.36 -9.62 24.86 1.11 rw[198] -13.36 2.29 -13.41 -17.26 -9.91 23.14 1.12 rw[199] -13.31 2.28 -13.28 -17.42 -9.97 22.80 1.11 rw[200] -13.25 2.25 -13.26 -16.72 -9.67 24.14 1.11 rw[201] -13.19 2.22 -13.22 -16.82 -9.78 26.11 1.10 rw[202] -13.16 2.20 -13.20 -16.63 -9.63 20.96 1.11 rw[203] -13.15 2.15 -13.18 -16.42 -9.36 19.43 1.11 rw[204] -13.10 2.13 -13.18 -16.05 -9.10 15.82 1.14 rw[205] -12.99 2.02 -13.01 -16.27 -9.70 13.70 1.16 rw[206] -12.90 1.88 -12.89 -16.66 -10.31 14.57 1.17 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1700.75 1.00 Number of divergences: 0