mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.91 1.38 0.50 0.00 1.98 1221.61 1.00 E0 53.22 48.02 41.10 0.08 110.08 539.18 1.00 H0 1.74 1.80 1.21 0.00 3.99 1422.68 1.00 I0 30.17 18.62 26.04 5.38 54.53 241.68 1.01 beta0 2.80 0.53 2.78 1.87 3.59 20.67 1.10 confirmed_dispersion 0.44 0.06 0.44 0.35 0.53 1630.17 1.00 death_dispersion 0.37 0.03 0.37 0.33 0.42 1339.62 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 1207.00 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.01 0.07 0.06 0.08 1129.26 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.22 0.41 1383.60 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1353.46 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1456.31 1.00 rw[0] -0.01 0.97 -0.01 -1.65 1.56 317.77 1.00 rw[1] 0.04 1.32 0.06 -2.16 2.15 140.23 1.02 rw[2] 0.20 1.56 0.22 -2.06 2.94 65.81 1.04 rw[3] 0.43 1.74 0.38 -2.34 3.22 56.23 1.04 rw[4] 0.60 1.89 0.58 -2.55 3.61 44.08 1.06 rw[5] 0.78 2.01 0.79 -2.72 3.83 35.11 1.07 rw[6] 0.82 2.09 0.76 -2.52 4.30 29.46 1.08 rw[7] 0.77 2.15 0.69 -2.50 4.40 28.72 1.08 rw[8] 0.59 2.23 0.52 -2.83 4.28 28.74 1.08 rw[9] 0.14 2.25 0.04 -3.47 3.88 24.71 1.09 rw[10] -0.49 2.27 -0.49 -4.22 3.22 24.40 1.09 rw[11] -1.21 2.28 -1.33 -4.38 3.11 25.22 1.09 rw[12] -2.02 2.28 -2.09 -5.71 1.83 24.19 1.08 rw[13] -2.89 2.27 -2.91 -6.55 1.01 24.22 1.09 rw[14] -3.75 2.23 -3.76 -7.91 -0.42 26.21 1.08 rw[15] -4.69 2.25 -4.75 -8.33 -0.83 26.57 1.08 rw[16] -5.62 2.28 -5.61 -9.81 -2.29 27.46 1.07 rw[17] -6.58 2.35 -6.61 -10.19 -2.54 26.72 1.07 rw[18] -7.60 2.33 -7.54 -11.65 -3.88 25.87 1.08 rw[19] -8.68 2.34 -8.63 -12.49 -4.91 26.76 1.08 rw[20] -9.74 2.34 -9.74 -13.88 -6.25 26.09 1.08 rw[21] -10.92 2.35 -10.82 -15.51 -7.54 25.48 1.08 rw[22] -12.03 2.37 -12.07 -16.22 -8.57 25.14 1.08 rw[23] -13.18 2.33 -13.18 -17.16 -9.51 28.14 1.08 rw[24] -14.38 2.39 -14.29 -18.33 -10.53 31.32 1.08 rw[25] -15.50 2.40 -15.43 -19.49 -11.59 32.95 1.08 rw[26] -16.54 2.46 -16.48 -20.31 -12.31 33.11 1.07 rw[27] -17.63 2.44 -17.61 -22.07 -14.00 31.03 1.07 rw[28] -18.61 2.48 -18.55 -23.14 -14.90 30.40 1.07 rw[29] -19.49 2.49 -19.50 -23.76 -15.74 29.24 1.07 rw[30] -20.29 2.45 -20.23 -24.47 -16.64 30.66 1.07 rw[31] -21.04 2.48 -20.97 -25.30 -17.38 28.51 1.07 rw[32] -21.67 2.54 -21.62 -25.86 -17.73 29.34 1.07 rw[33] -22.28 2.55 -22.29 -26.10 -17.80 32.05 1.07 rw[34] -22.70 2.55 -22.76 -26.64 -18.56 34.55 1.07 rw[35] -23.05 2.63 -23.01 -27.23 -18.90 32.47 1.08 rw[36] -23.43 2.63 -23.39 -27.72 -19.12 34.10 1.07 rw[37] -23.63 2.64 -23.63 -27.91 -19.34 37.37 1.06 rw[38] -23.80 2.67 -23.91 -27.96 -19.26 36.36 1.07 rw[39] -23.86 2.66 -23.87 -28.17 -19.55 37.55 1.06 rw[40] -23.91 2.66 -23.92 -28.53 -19.90 44.98 1.05 rw[41] -23.96 2.63 -23.96 -28.50 -19.88 41.72 1.06 rw[42] -23.91 2.66 -23.91 -28.54 -19.97 49.23 1.05 rw[43] -23.82 2.66 -23.72 -27.98 -19.18 43.13 1.06 rw[44] -23.70 2.66 -23.66 -28.41 -19.73 57.78 1.05 rw[45] -23.55 2.65 -23.54 -28.04 -19.15 60.77 1.04 rw[46] -23.40 2.67 -23.45 -27.75 -19.08 58.17 1.04 rw[47] -23.24 2.66 -23.23 -28.15 -19.32 58.62 1.04 rw[48] -23.07 2.66 -23.07 -27.12 -18.22 55.51 1.04 rw[49] -22.90 2.67 -22.84 -27.30 -18.34 55.82 1.04 rw[50] -22.70 2.65 -22.70 -27.09 -18.37 60.82 1.04 rw[51] -22.52 2.62 -22.50 -27.22 -18.55 59.89 1.05 rw[52] -22.35 2.69 -22.30 -27.05 -18.23 59.27 1.05 rw[53] -22.11 2.65 -22.17 -26.38 -17.61 50.37 1.06 rw[54] -21.91 2.62 -21.90 -26.44 -18.00 43.54 1.06 rw[55] -21.75 2.65 -21.74 -26.39 -17.73 34.41 1.06 rw[56] -21.54 2.68 -21.65 -26.40 -17.73 33.31 1.06 rw[57] -21.31 2.65 -21.32 -25.40 -16.94 30.33 1.06 rw[58] -21.07 2.61 -21.19 -25.14 -16.65 31.89 1.05 rw[59] -20.89 2.57 -20.90 -24.80 -16.49 30.03 1.05 rw[60] -20.71 2.57 -20.76 -24.93 -16.94 29.18 1.06 rw[61] -20.52 2.53 -20.61 -24.79 -16.66 28.16 1.06 rw[62] -20.37 2.53 -20.34 -24.54 -16.30 29.03 1.06 rw[63] -20.23 2.53 -20.20 -24.32 -16.29 28.47 1.06 rw[64] -20.10 2.46 -20.17 -24.16 -16.25 30.93 1.06 rw[65] -19.92 2.49 -19.99 -23.66 -15.65 31.77 1.06 rw[66] -19.76 2.50 -19.71 -23.55 -15.59 31.99 1.06 rw[67] -19.63 2.51 -19.66 -23.78 -15.54 34.67 1.06 rw[68] -19.51 2.55 -19.58 -23.66 -15.34 32.30 1.06 rw[69] -19.35 2.58 -19.37 -23.69 -15.43 32.05 1.06 rw[70] -19.20 2.55 -19.26 -23.35 -15.30 30.70 1.07 rw[71] -19.07 2.51 -19.11 -23.64 -15.75 33.05 1.07 rw[72] -18.98 2.47 -18.95 -23.04 -15.31 31.78 1.07 rw[73] -18.87 2.49 -18.80 -23.02 -15.18 32.72 1.06 rw[74] -18.80 2.49 -18.78 -22.81 -14.94 32.83 1.06 rw[75] -18.70 2.52 -18.73 -22.77 -14.70 34.42 1.06 rw[76] -18.58 2.58 -18.55 -22.59 -14.51 31.60 1.06 rw[77] -18.57 2.55 -18.63 -22.49 -14.41 33.63 1.05 rw[78] -18.46 2.50 -18.48 -22.80 -14.61 32.23 1.06 rw[79] -18.46 2.44 -18.44 -22.43 -14.48 35.27 1.06 rw[80] -18.48 2.42 -18.46 -22.19 -14.34 36.20 1.07 rw[81] -18.43 2.48 -18.50 -22.00 -13.80 37.14 1.07 rw[82] -18.38 2.49 -18.49 -22.16 -13.92 42.62 1.07 rw[83] -18.36 2.53 -18.44 -22.03 -13.64 42.73 1.07 rw[84] -18.36 2.53 -18.44 -21.92 -13.72 46.56 1.06 rw[85] -18.32 2.54 -18.40 -22.30 -13.91 51.01 1.06 rw[86] -18.28 2.58 -18.45 -22.43 -14.00 37.93 1.07 rw[87] -18.26 2.57 -18.36 -22.83 -14.13 34.68 1.07 rw[88] -18.27 2.56 -18.31 -22.56 -14.12 36.86 1.07 rw[89] -18.26 2.57 -18.28 -22.76 -14.17 34.73 1.07 rw[90] -18.27 2.58 -18.35 -22.48 -13.94 36.45 1.07 rw[91] -18.18 2.61 -18.13 -22.68 -13.99 37.97 1.06 rw[92] -18.22 2.52 -18.25 -21.98 -13.86 36.89 1.06 rw[93] -18.20 2.51 -18.29 -22.49 -14.60 35.95 1.06 rw[94] -18.16 2.53 -18.23 -22.50 -14.15 33.75 1.07 rw[95] -18.11 2.52 -18.18 -22.42 -14.21 35.21 1.07 rw[96] -18.05 2.50 -18.12 -22.12 -13.90 31.26 1.07 rw[97] -17.95 2.47 -17.91 -22.60 -14.59 39.10 1.06 rw[98] -17.78 2.43 -17.76 -21.93 -14.11 31.76 1.07 rw[99] -17.71 2.41 -17.66 -21.68 -13.83 29.76 1.07 rw[100] -17.56 2.43 -17.57 -21.42 -13.67 28.20 1.07 rw[101] -17.51 2.51 -17.52 -21.87 -13.82 29.51 1.07 rw[102] -17.39 2.52 -17.40 -21.68 -13.46 30.63 1.07 rw[103] -17.25 2.52 -17.11 -21.68 -13.54 30.76 1.06 rw[104] -17.24 2.51 -17.25 -21.50 -13.19 30.10 1.06 rw[105] -17.14 2.50 -17.12 -21.37 -13.08 29.02 1.06 rw[106] -17.10 2.48 -17.16 -20.92 -12.78 28.44 1.07 rw[107] -16.96 2.50 -17.07 -21.05 -12.98 29.86 1.07 rw[108] -16.92 2.55 -17.00 -20.96 -12.61 29.96 1.06 rw[109] -16.86 2.51 -17.01 -20.91 -12.76 29.30 1.07 rw[110] -16.77 2.52 -16.83 -20.48 -12.45 31.38 1.06 rw[111] -16.70 2.50 -16.83 -20.44 -12.37 35.57 1.06 rw[112] -16.62 2.49 -16.68 -20.64 -12.73 34.78 1.05 rw[113] -16.65 2.51 -16.73 -20.75 -12.68 34.13 1.06 rw[114] -16.64 2.52 -16.85 -20.82 -12.76 37.87 1.05 rw[115] -16.67 2.51 -16.76 -20.65 -12.78 38.46 1.06 rw[116] -16.73 2.48 -16.76 -21.16 -13.07 33.51 1.07 rw[117] -16.74 2.37 -16.69 -20.88 -13.12 38.80 1.06 rw[118] -16.80 2.43 -16.76 -20.81 -12.75 36.64 1.06 rw[119] -16.88 2.42 -16.88 -21.21 -13.17 44.55 1.07 rw[120] -16.92 2.42 -17.00 -20.93 -13.17 39.57 1.07 rw[121] -16.98 2.36 -17.00 -20.54 -12.82 35.25 1.07 rw[122] -17.07 2.38 -17.08 -21.06 -13.27 28.50 1.08 rw[123] -17.11 2.44 -17.14 -21.35 -13.31 29.19 1.08 rw[124] -17.13 2.46 -17.11 -21.06 -12.95 29.42 1.08 rw[125] -17.20 2.47 -17.19 -21.68 -13.22 33.24 1.07 rw[126] -17.29 2.48 -17.31 -21.76 -13.56 31.68 1.07 rw[127] -17.32 2.46 -17.31 -21.10 -13.26 30.81 1.08 rw[128] -17.42 2.46 -17.37 -21.26 -13.21 34.70 1.08 rw[129] -17.49 2.40 -17.48 -21.30 -13.69 35.69 1.07 rw[130] -17.52 2.42 -17.54 -21.41 -13.61 35.70 1.05 rw[131] -17.54 2.42 -17.55 -21.56 -13.74 33.51 1.05 rw[132] -17.58 2.39 -17.57 -21.37 -13.56 33.18 1.05 rw[133] -17.67 2.44 -17.71 -21.67 -13.71 33.21 1.06 rw[134] -17.65 2.47 -17.66 -21.62 -13.51 39.96 1.05 rw[135] -17.71 2.47 -17.75 -22.02 -13.86 37.98 1.05 rw[136] -17.77 2.42 -17.84 -21.73 -13.78 37.56 1.05 rw[137] -17.82 2.45 -17.81 -21.71 -13.95 33.85 1.06 rw[138] -17.78 2.44 -17.66 -21.92 -14.12 34.47 1.06 rw[139] -17.76 2.42 -17.73 -21.98 -13.89 37.26 1.06 rw[140] -17.74 2.42 -17.73 -21.75 -13.79 31.79 1.07 rw[141] -17.64 2.38 -17.64 -21.94 -14.03 33.16 1.07 rw[142] -17.55 2.37 -17.56 -21.53 -13.78 36.54 1.06 rw[143] -17.48 2.37 -17.56 -21.04 -13.27 31.34 1.07 rw[144] -17.37 2.40 -17.40 -21.35 -13.54 29.89 1.07 rw[145] -17.27 2.40 -17.26 -20.96 -13.05 30.91 1.08 rw[146] -17.14 2.32 -17.15 -20.53 -12.88 29.56 1.09 rw[147] -17.04 2.31 -17.11 -21.01 -13.56 35.60 1.07 rw[148] -16.96 2.34 -16.99 -20.72 -13.24 28.78 1.09 rw[149] -16.82 2.35 -16.94 -21.29 -13.52 25.86 1.09 rw[150] -16.79 2.38 -16.83 -20.48 -12.81 25.68 1.08 rw[151] -16.67 2.37 -16.74 -20.47 -12.82 27.35 1.08 rw[152] -16.62 2.37 -16.71 -20.00 -12.43 30.17 1.07 rw[153] -16.48 2.39 -16.61 -20.31 -12.61 32.19 1.07 rw[154] -16.40 2.40 -16.39 -20.07 -12.25 33.82 1.06 rw[155] -16.31 2.38 -16.40 -20.11 -12.22 38.74 1.05 rw[156] -16.18 2.36 -16.21 -20.10 -12.48 32.29 1.06 rw[157] -16.06 2.39 -16.07 -19.97 -12.24 31.79 1.06 rw[158] -15.95 2.39 -15.86 -19.84 -12.11 30.99 1.06 rw[159] -15.83 2.40 -15.75 -19.80 -11.90 29.08 1.06 rw[160] -15.73 2.39 -15.68 -19.66 -11.82 31.05 1.06 rw[161] -15.66 2.43 -15.69 -19.23 -11.28 29.15 1.07 rw[162] -15.60 2.49 -15.62 -19.80 -11.55 32.98 1.06 rw[163] -15.53 2.47 -15.55 -19.50 -11.61 31.44 1.06 rw[164] -15.41 2.44 -15.40 -19.17 -11.41 30.15 1.07 rw[165] -15.33 2.42 -15.36 -19.64 -11.65 32.30 1.07 rw[166] -15.27 2.42 -15.31 -18.95 -11.02 29.16 1.08 rw[167] -15.20 2.44 -15.29 -18.75 -11.03 30.33 1.07 rw[168] -15.19 2.44 -15.30 -19.51 -11.63 32.46 1.07 rw[169] -15.22 2.49 -15.34 -19.27 -11.12 34.11 1.08 rw[170] -15.21 2.50 -15.26 -19.64 -11.42 33.58 1.07 rw[171] -15.16 2.47 -15.11 -19.49 -11.32 34.22 1.06 rw[172] -15.20 2.47 -15.23 -19.45 -11.27 30.61 1.07 rw[173] -15.20 2.40 -15.29 -19.28 -11.42 34.73 1.06 rw[174] -15.22 2.46 -15.33 -19.25 -11.23 34.47 1.07 rw[175] -15.24 2.40 -15.24 -19.27 -11.47 31.62 1.06 rw[176] -15.26 2.37 -15.29 -19.33 -11.52 30.45 1.06 rw[177] -15.24 2.38 -15.26 -19.25 -11.54 26.87 1.08 rw[178] -15.13 2.37 -15.15 -18.78 -11.07 26.32 1.09 rw[179] -15.04 2.36 -15.06 -18.51 -11.05 27.90 1.08 rw[180] -14.92 2.34 -14.91 -18.98 -11.41 26.91 1.08 rw[181] -14.81 2.35 -14.86 -18.63 -11.06 29.63 1.07 rw[182] -14.74 2.36 -14.76 -18.88 -11.28 27.98 1.07 rw[183] -14.58 2.36 -14.52 -18.67 -10.95 25.70 1.07 rw[184] -14.50 2.37 -14.44 -18.28 -10.77 26.76 1.07 rw[185] -14.47 2.40 -14.42 -18.90 -10.98 29.12 1.06 rw[186] -14.39 2.37 -14.45 -18.27 -10.50 30.51 1.07 rw[187] -14.39 2.40 -14.37 -18.57 -10.74 28.61 1.06 rw[188] -14.42 2.36 -14.46 -17.94 -10.18 30.76 1.07 rw[189] -14.45 2.36 -14.41 -18.67 -11.01 34.68 1.06 rw[190] -14.64 2.38 -14.62 -18.64 -10.97 31.97 1.06 rw[191] -14.99 2.34 -15.02 -19.30 -11.53 32.21 1.06 rw[192] -15.32 2.33 -15.39 -19.18 -11.62 28.54 1.07 rw[193] -15.61 2.34 -15.60 -19.40 -12.06 29.97 1.07 rw[194] -16.02 2.31 -16.06 -19.90 -12.54 29.79 1.06 rw[195] -16.38 2.36 -16.33 -20.19 -12.65 31.58 1.06 rw[196] -16.67 2.36 -16.72 -20.53 -12.87 30.59 1.06 rw[197] -16.97 2.36 -16.98 -20.66 -13.10 32.81 1.06 rw[198] -17.17 2.37 -17.24 -21.17 -13.47 34.27 1.06 rw[199] -17.25 2.36 -17.34 -20.96 -13.36 32.30 1.06 rw[200] -17.22 2.36 -17.21 -20.98 -13.45 37.35 1.06 rw[201] -17.09 2.34 -17.18 -20.71 -13.25 29.64 1.07 rw[202] -16.86 2.35 -16.90 -21.10 -13.36 28.14 1.08 rw[203] -16.60 2.34 -16.72 -20.33 -12.71 24.71 1.09 rw[204] -16.20 2.30 -16.31 -19.90 -12.59 24.70 1.09 rw[205] -15.81 2.20 -15.90 -19.28 -12.18 23.09 1.10 rw[206] -15.35 2.00 -15.31 -18.79 -12.27 20.32 1.11 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1366.79 1.00 Number of divergences: 0