mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.86 1.19 1.57 0.29 3.47 1044.24 1.00 E0 3.09 3.34 2.18 0.00 6.57 153.25 1.01 H0 1.17 1.30 0.74 0.00 2.88 1338.59 1.00 I0 1.28 1.26 0.91 0.00 2.97 159.20 1.03 beta0 2.28 0.42 2.24 1.62 3.01 8.25 1.26 confirmed_dispersion 0.40 0.05 0.39 0.32 0.49 904.14 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 1616.09 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 574.02 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.02 0.10 0.07 0.12 568.97 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.40 1070.62 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 693.43 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1106.07 1.00 rw[0] 0.11 0.99 0.12 -1.43 1.88 246.50 1.03 rw[1] 0.26 1.34 0.27 -1.89 2.57 106.10 1.05 rw[2] 0.42 1.58 0.42 -2.13 2.96 69.20 1.08 rw[3] 0.61 1.73 0.61 -2.11 3.56 42.74 1.10 rw[4] 0.80 1.79 0.77 -2.46 3.36 20.95 1.14 rw[5] 0.96 1.93 0.94 -1.99 4.13 16.28 1.17 rw[6] 1.09 1.98 1.02 -1.85 4.64 18.90 1.15 rw[7] 1.13 2.05 1.03 -2.16 4.32 15.76 1.16 rw[8] 1.07 2.10 0.98 -2.09 4.66 13.27 1.18 rw[9] 0.90 2.17 0.88 -2.52 4.59 12.07 1.20 rw[10] 0.55 2.23 0.51 -2.62 4.70 11.34 1.20 rw[11] 0.02 2.26 -0.08 -3.76 3.69 11.46 1.20 rw[12] -0.62 2.26 -0.74 -3.97 3.22 11.30 1.20 rw[13] -1.37 2.34 -1.48 -5.19 2.50 10.98 1.19 rw[14] -2.16 2.30 -2.25 -6.13 1.50 11.78 1.18 rw[15] -3.07 2.34 -3.09 -7.42 0.28 11.82 1.18 rw[16] -4.06 2.30 -4.12 -7.81 -0.31 11.97 1.18 rw[17] -5.11 2.29 -5.13 -8.56 -1.17 12.79 1.17 rw[18] -6.15 2.28 -6.17 -10.33 -2.69 12.21 1.18 rw[19] -7.17 2.31 -7.22 -11.20 -3.67 11.32 1.19 rw[20] -8.12 2.30 -8.22 -12.09 -4.54 11.53 1.18 rw[21] -9.07 2.28 -9.16 -12.65 -5.15 12.07 1.17 rw[22] -9.95 2.22 -10.01 -13.35 -6.05 12.00 1.18 rw[23] -10.71 2.23 -10.80 -14.41 -7.03 12.36 1.18 rw[24] -11.43 2.22 -11.51 -15.37 -8.15 12.43 1.18 rw[25] -11.96 2.24 -12.01 -15.69 -8.27 11.37 1.19 rw[26] -12.37 2.24 -12.41 -15.90 -8.45 12.55 1.17 rw[27] -12.75 2.24 -12.81 -16.00 -8.68 11.86 1.17 rw[28] -13.07 2.25 -13.14 -16.56 -9.16 11.29 1.19 rw[29] -13.26 2.22 -13.38 -16.80 -9.55 11.14 1.20 rw[30] -13.41 2.28 -13.46 -16.73 -9.21 11.70 1.19 rw[31] -13.52 2.26 -13.65 -17.05 -9.72 11.67 1.18 rw[32] -13.61 2.29 -13.64 -16.93 -9.34 11.37 1.19 rw[33] -13.65 2.28 -13.73 -17.14 -9.68 11.35 1.19 rw[34] -13.69 2.26 -13.75 -17.02 -9.72 11.70 1.18 rw[35] -13.81 2.24 -13.90 -17.30 -9.92 12.82 1.16 rw[36] -13.91 2.27 -13.96 -17.44 -9.95 12.35 1.17 rw[37] -13.98 2.27 -14.08 -17.68 -10.28 12.96 1.16 rw[38] -14.09 2.29 -14.12 -17.78 -10.21 12.73 1.16 rw[39] -14.22 2.28 -14.17 -17.94 -10.40 13.23 1.15 rw[40] -14.39 2.25 -14.39 -18.15 -10.77 12.78 1.15 rw[41] -14.59 2.30 -14.58 -18.20 -10.70 12.33 1.16 rw[42] -14.79 2.29 -14.81 -18.60 -11.10 12.04 1.16 rw[43] -14.98 2.27 -15.06 -18.93 -11.55 13.17 1.16 rw[44] -15.19 2.28 -15.23 -18.84 -11.35 13.92 1.16 rw[45] -15.40 2.31 -15.44 -19.38 -11.78 13.36 1.17 rw[46] -15.61 2.32 -15.67 -19.65 -11.80 11.42 1.19 rw[47] -15.88 2.34 -15.90 -19.81 -12.14 12.07 1.17 rw[48] -16.04 2.33 -16.09 -19.59 -12.01 12.34 1.17 rw[49] -16.16 2.33 -16.23 -20.13 -12.65 11.82 1.18 rw[50] -16.28 2.40 -16.33 -20.68 -12.75 12.31 1.17 rw[51] -16.36 2.38 -16.41 -20.36 -12.51 10.70 1.20 rw[52] -16.36 2.39 -16.37 -20.20 -12.57 10.06 1.22 rw[53] -16.38 2.34 -16.39 -20.12 -12.64 10.11 1.21 rw[54] -16.35 2.39 -16.42 -20.06 -12.33 10.52 1.21 rw[55] -16.31 2.37 -16.34 -20.26 -12.70 11.05 1.20 rw[56] -16.25 2.37 -16.38 -19.90 -12.26 11.05 1.21 rw[57] -16.21 2.37 -16.31 -19.87 -12.10 12.44 1.17 rw[58] -16.19 2.32 -16.29 -19.95 -12.68 11.85 1.19 rw[59] -16.19 2.30 -16.35 -19.87 -12.58 11.94 1.19 rw[60] -16.11 2.28 -16.30 -19.91 -12.47 13.11 1.17 rw[61] -16.06 2.26 -16.09 -19.88 -12.49 14.22 1.16 rw[62] -16.00 2.30 -16.13 -19.61 -12.21 15.77 1.14 rw[63] -16.08 2.26 -16.20 -19.86 -12.70 16.50 1.13 rw[64] -16.15 2.31 -16.24 -20.09 -12.53 16.97 1.12 rw[65] -16.16 2.35 -16.24 -20.23 -12.64 18.91 1.11 rw[66] -16.26 2.34 -16.34 -19.97 -12.40 17.69 1.12 rw[67] -16.36 2.32 -16.33 -20.01 -12.52 17.93 1.11 rw[68] -16.52 2.33 -16.52 -20.39 -12.93 18.89 1.11 rw[69] -16.63 2.33 -16.78 -20.43 -12.94 17.09 1.12 rw[70] -16.77 2.32 -16.70 -20.26 -12.97 17.07 1.12 rw[71] -16.92 2.32 -16.92 -20.68 -13.11 16.48 1.13 rw[72] -17.02 2.30 -17.05 -21.10 -13.70 15.17 1.14 rw[73] -17.14 2.33 -17.21 -20.72 -13.05 13.06 1.16 rw[74] -17.25 2.35 -17.29 -20.80 -12.89 12.64 1.17 rw[75] -17.37 2.36 -17.42 -21.19 -13.47 12.68 1.16 rw[76] -17.43 2.39 -17.48 -21.12 -13.15 12.86 1.16 rw[77] -17.51 2.40 -17.57 -21.53 -13.73 12.35 1.16 rw[78] -17.60 2.39 -17.64 -21.16 -13.36 12.50 1.16 rw[79] -17.64 2.38 -17.64 -20.99 -13.09 12.82 1.16 rw[80] -17.69 2.45 -17.83 -21.51 -13.58 13.24 1.16 rw[81] -17.76 2.42 -17.94 -21.14 -13.20 12.60 1.17 rw[82] -17.74 2.41 -17.91 -21.55 -13.80 12.07 1.18 rw[83] -17.74 2.42 -17.94 -21.43 -13.72 12.88 1.17 rw[84] -17.72 2.43 -17.81 -21.73 -13.78 11.93 1.19 rw[85] -17.70 2.42 -17.68 -21.69 -13.89 12.76 1.19 rw[86] -17.71 2.37 -17.69 -21.86 -14.16 12.32 1.18 rw[87] -17.65 2.38 -17.73 -22.06 -14.31 11.53 1.20 rw[88] -17.56 2.38 -17.63 -21.48 -13.72 11.38 1.20 rw[89] -17.41 2.37 -17.48 -21.35 -13.75 12.81 1.18 rw[90] -17.25 2.40 -17.37 -21.17 -13.29 13.29 1.17 rw[91] -17.09 2.37 -17.15 -20.77 -13.05 12.65 1.16 rw[92] -16.90 2.33 -17.01 -20.52 -12.79 12.43 1.17 rw[93] -16.72 2.30 -16.83 -20.21 -12.74 11.99 1.17 rw[94] -16.51 2.31 -16.57 -19.99 -12.54 12.01 1.17 rw[95] -16.26 2.29 -16.41 -19.78 -12.60 12.46 1.16 rw[96] -16.04 2.30 -16.14 -19.39 -11.78 13.00 1.16 rw[97] -15.80 2.30 -15.87 -19.35 -11.92 12.58 1.16 rw[98] -15.58 2.27 -15.52 -19.25 -11.82 12.49 1.15 rw[99] -15.31 2.31 -15.34 -19.41 -11.83 12.52 1.16 rw[100] -15.03 2.29 -15.09 -18.87 -11.25 13.11 1.15 rw[101] -14.79 2.29 -14.84 -18.58 -10.96 13.57 1.15 rw[102] -14.50 2.30 -14.59 -18.50 -11.03 13.02 1.15 rw[103] -14.19 2.34 -14.28 -18.52 -10.78 13.43 1.16 rw[104] -13.98 2.37 -14.03 -17.71 -9.90 12.51 1.18 rw[105] -13.68 2.35 -13.71 -17.36 -9.74 13.14 1.17 rw[106] -13.49 2.34 -13.59 -17.18 -9.70 11.75 1.19 rw[107] -13.38 2.35 -13.43 -17.28 -9.57 12.19 1.18 rw[108] -13.20 2.31 -13.30 -17.29 -9.72 11.99 1.19 rw[109] -13.15 2.33 -13.11 -17.09 -9.43 12.99 1.18 rw[110] -13.01 2.36 -13.08 -16.84 -9.12 12.61 1.19 rw[111] -12.97 2.35 -13.03 -17.27 -9.42 11.62 1.21 rw[112] -12.93 2.35 -13.00 -16.90 -9.14 11.24 1.20 rw[113] -12.94 2.34 -13.04 -16.62 -9.11 11.85 1.19 rw[114] -12.97 2.33 -13.07 -16.57 -9.05 12.15 1.19 rw[115] -13.01 2.29 -13.15 -16.62 -9.26 12.60 1.18 rw[116] -13.00 2.25 -13.08 -16.61 -9.44 12.51 1.18 rw[117] -12.93 2.23 -12.92 -16.94 -9.57 12.48 1.17 rw[118] -12.86 2.28 -12.79 -16.95 -9.50 12.14 1.18 rw[119] -12.91 2.27 -12.90 -16.55 -8.95 12.07 1.18 rw[120] -12.93 2.23 -12.97 -16.75 -9.41 11.65 1.19 rw[121] -12.93 2.25 -12.96 -16.82 -9.47 11.80 1.18 rw[122] -12.93 2.21 -13.01 -16.25 -9.21 11.79 1.18 rw[123] -12.92 2.20 -13.08 -16.26 -9.30 10.75 1.19 rw[124] -12.91 2.21 -12.99 -16.64 -9.43 10.73 1.20 rw[125] -12.94 2.19 -13.01 -16.07 -8.96 11.11 1.19 rw[126] -13.01 2.17 -13.05 -16.46 -9.36 13.15 1.16 rw[127] -13.02 2.24 -13.06 -16.27 -9.00 12.78 1.16 rw[128] -13.09 2.25 -13.19 -16.53 -9.19 12.18 1.17 rw[129] -13.19 2.26 -13.22 -16.76 -9.47 13.73 1.15 rw[130] -13.34 2.28 -13.46 -16.95 -9.45 13.38 1.16 rw[131] -13.51 2.25 -13.58 -17.23 -9.81 12.88 1.16 rw[132] -13.67 2.30 -13.69 -17.45 -10.02 12.13 1.17 rw[133] -13.92 2.26 -14.01 -17.40 -10.16 11.32 1.19 rw[134] -14.15 2.27 -14.15 -17.70 -10.22 12.25 1.18 rw[135] -14.40 2.30 -14.37 -17.89 -10.39 13.46 1.17 rw[136] -14.61 2.33 -14.64 -18.42 -10.75 12.05 1.19 rw[137] -14.83 2.28 -14.84 -18.69 -11.22 12.04 1.19 rw[138] -15.05 2.24 -15.08 -18.75 -11.48 10.74 1.20 rw[139] -15.25 2.27 -15.38 -19.26 -11.87 11.72 1.20 rw[140] -15.50 2.24 -15.67 -19.31 -11.98 11.57 1.18 rw[141] -15.68 2.28 -15.77 -19.57 -12.20 11.19 1.19 rw[142] -15.80 2.26 -15.87 -19.60 -12.16 11.93 1.17 rw[143] -15.92 2.29 -16.04 -19.39 -11.76 11.41 1.16 rw[144] -15.93 2.32 -16.05 -19.59 -11.90 11.15 1.17 rw[145] -15.90 2.33 -15.99 -19.68 -12.07 10.98 1.19 rw[146] -15.81 2.32 -15.83 -19.44 -11.79 12.45 1.17 rw[147] -15.76 2.36 -15.69 -19.17 -11.29 12.52 1.17 rw[148] -15.62 2.30 -15.63 -19.09 -11.36 12.53 1.16 rw[149] -15.54 2.34 -15.55 -19.64 -11.86 13.08 1.16 rw[150] -15.46 2.33 -15.56 -18.89 -11.32 12.39 1.16 rw[151] -15.31 2.32 -15.34 -19.15 -11.88 13.17 1.16 rw[152] -15.12 2.31 -15.24 -18.66 -11.36 13.27 1.16 rw[153] -15.08 2.33 -15.13 -19.25 -11.69 13.90 1.14 rw[154] -14.98 2.29 -14.96 -18.47 -11.03 12.76 1.16 rw[155] -14.93 2.27 -14.96 -18.68 -11.24 13.50 1.16 rw[156] -14.88 2.30 -14.97 -18.45 -10.89 12.93 1.17 rw[157] -14.87 2.26 -14.97 -18.73 -11.48 13.35 1.17 rw[158] -14.82 2.29 -14.89 -18.43 -11.07 13.02 1.17 rw[159] -14.78 2.29 -14.94 -18.59 -11.27 13.30 1.17 rw[160] -14.78 2.26 -14.81 -18.10 -10.82 13.32 1.17 rw[161] -14.82 2.28 -14.88 -18.75 -11.40 13.06 1.19 rw[162] -14.89 2.24 -14.86 -18.58 -11.26 12.96 1.19 rw[163] -14.98 2.28 -15.03 -18.80 -11.48 11.66 1.20 rw[164] -15.00 2.23 -15.05 -18.67 -11.58 11.67 1.19 rw[165] -15.08 2.24 -15.11 -18.85 -11.69 11.96 1.19 rw[166] -15.17 2.32 -15.11 -19.08 -11.40 13.68 1.16 rw[167] -15.28 2.32 -15.22 -18.97 -11.50 13.68 1.16 rw[168] -15.44 2.32 -15.39 -19.31 -11.97 12.36 1.17 rw[169] -15.49 2.33 -15.51 -19.36 -11.87 13.16 1.16 rw[170] -15.58 2.29 -15.65 -19.36 -11.79 13.46 1.16 rw[171] -15.63 2.34 -15.72 -19.34 -11.56 12.13 1.17 rw[172] -15.68 2.32 -15.77 -19.64 -11.87 11.83 1.18 rw[173] -15.73 2.33 -15.84 -19.41 -11.77 12.29 1.18 rw[174] -15.78 2.36 -15.86 -19.60 -11.90 12.04 1.18 rw[175] -15.79 2.34 -15.78 -19.30 -11.71 10.93 1.19 rw[176] -15.78 2.30 -15.76 -19.62 -12.05 12.13 1.17 rw[177] -15.81 2.30 -15.81 -19.57 -12.12 10.70 1.19 rw[178] -15.87 2.27 -15.99 -19.65 -12.29 11.71 1.18 rw[179] -15.82 2.25 -15.98 -19.74 -12.22 11.99 1.17 rw[180] -15.85 2.24 -15.92 -19.29 -11.95 12.06 1.18 rw[181] -15.82 2.24 -15.93 -19.36 -12.25 12.19 1.17 rw[182] -15.79 2.23 -15.95 -19.16 -11.86 12.84 1.16 rw[183] -15.80 2.26 -15.91 -19.24 -11.83 12.43 1.16 rw[184] -15.82 2.26 -15.89 -19.21 -11.91 12.21 1.16 rw[185] -15.84 2.25 -15.96 -19.35 -12.15 12.64 1.17 rw[186] -15.73 2.26 -15.78 -19.49 -12.12 12.36 1.17 rw[187] -15.62 2.29 -15.68 -19.53 -12.22 11.58 1.18 rw[188] -15.55 2.30 -15.70 -19.30 -11.79 11.27 1.20 rw[189] -15.49 2.34 -15.64 -19.51 -11.85 11.62 1.19 rw[190] -15.43 2.33 -15.47 -19.49 -11.80 11.14 1.19 rw[191] -15.27 2.36 -15.25 -19.23 -11.47 11.57 1.19 rw[192] -15.21 2.33 -15.22 -18.68 -11.18 12.95 1.17 rw[193] -15.13 2.33 -15.15 -19.23 -11.55 13.38 1.17 rw[194] -15.03 2.33 -15.14 -18.71 -11.15 14.58 1.17 rw[195] -14.97 2.29 -14.97 -18.73 -11.34 13.34 1.17 rw[196] -14.87 2.27 -14.85 -18.87 -11.51 13.93 1.16 rw[197] -14.72 2.27 -14.80 -18.38 -11.06 12.87 1.18 rw[198] -14.58 2.31 -14.59 -18.84 -11.29 11.79 1.19 rw[199] -14.40 2.30 -14.41 -17.87 -10.34 12.76 1.18 rw[200] -14.24 2.27 -14.30 -18.06 -10.74 12.66 1.17 rw[201] -13.96 2.28 -14.02 -17.78 -10.51 11.85 1.18 rw[202] -13.66 2.23 -13.75 -17.68 -10.42 11.26 1.18 rw[203] -13.36 2.20 -13.29 -17.04 -10.01 11.38 1.17 rw[204] -13.02 2.19 -13.21 -16.69 -9.53 9.67 1.22 rw[205] -12.56 2.08 -12.68 -15.78 -9.07 8.43 1.26 rw[206] -12.13 1.94 -12.30 -15.56 -9.23 8.28 1.26 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1147.06 1.00 Number of divergences: 0