mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.62 0.61 0.43 0.00 1.40 1097.01 1.00 E0 10.72 10.24 7.63 0.00 24.32 206.05 1.01 H0 1.36 1.49 0.89 0.00 3.07 666.80 1.00 I0 4.23 4.27 3.06 0.02 8.96 170.13 1.01 beta0 2.12 0.42 2.03 1.46 2.78 12.57 1.07 confirmed_dispersion 0.55 0.07 0.55 0.43 0.65 418.27 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 710.75 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 268.76 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.02 0.08 0.05 0.10 442.26 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.40 578.04 1.01 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 365.83 1.01 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 536.24 1.00 rw[0] -0.12 1.00 -0.17 -1.63 1.58 246.95 1.00 rw[1] -0.06 1.34 -0.06 -2.11 2.14 106.13 1.00 rw[2] 0.06 1.60 0.04 -2.26 2.81 69.42 1.00 rw[3] 0.22 1.77 0.22 -2.49 3.18 52.24 1.01 rw[4] 0.41 1.90 0.46 -2.74 3.63 35.90 1.01 rw[5] 0.54 2.05 0.65 -2.69 3.99 33.77 1.02 rw[6] 0.68 2.20 0.90 -3.01 4.15 32.27 1.03 rw[7] 0.70 2.20 0.79 -2.87 4.33 28.30 1.03 rw[8] 0.63 2.21 0.70 -3.29 3.88 25.38 1.03 rw[9] 0.37 2.32 0.57 -3.91 3.71 23.83 1.03 rw[10] 0.03 2.37 0.23 -3.59 4.03 22.39 1.03 rw[11] -0.46 2.42 -0.27 -4.55 3.40 20.32 1.04 rw[12] -1.03 2.45 -0.85 -5.21 2.74 20.23 1.05 rw[13] -1.80 2.47 -1.51 -5.83 1.96 18.91 1.05 rw[14] -2.64 2.46 -2.40 -6.60 1.38 18.66 1.04 rw[15] -3.51 2.39 -3.36 -7.52 0.24 16.88 1.04 rw[16] -4.36 2.39 -4.17 -8.07 -0.34 16.41 1.05 rw[17] -5.24 2.39 -5.06 -9.47 -1.77 16.44 1.05 rw[18] -6.05 2.37 -5.98 -9.92 -2.34 16.70 1.05 rw[19] -6.90 2.34 -6.77 -10.88 -3.24 16.92 1.05 rw[20] -7.74 2.36 -7.64 -11.59 -4.04 16.38 1.06 rw[21] -8.58 2.30 -8.53 -12.26 -4.80 16.56 1.05 rw[22] -9.43 2.31 -9.33 -13.19 -5.77 16.57 1.06 rw[23] -10.28 2.32 -10.17 -13.82 -6.40 17.44 1.05 rw[24] -11.10 2.32 -10.93 -14.83 -7.40 18.45 1.05 rw[25] -11.84 2.28 -11.76 -15.44 -8.04 18.58 1.04 rw[26] -12.51 2.29 -12.41 -16.25 -8.87 19.60 1.04 rw[27] -13.11 2.30 -13.16 -16.86 -9.48 19.83 1.04 rw[28] -13.60 2.31 -13.51 -17.29 -9.71 20.20 1.04 rw[29] -14.02 2.28 -13.87 -17.81 -10.44 20.17 1.04 rw[30] -14.36 2.28 -14.19 -18.31 -10.72 19.90 1.05 rw[31] -14.59 2.27 -14.40 -18.13 -10.75 20.36 1.05 rw[32] -14.79 2.29 -14.57 -18.24 -10.90 20.31 1.05 rw[33] -14.86 2.29 -14.67 -18.36 -11.02 19.98 1.04 rw[34] -14.90 2.28 -14.71 -18.68 -11.25 18.87 1.05 rw[35] -14.88 2.33 -14.69 -18.42 -10.85 19.78 1.05 rw[36] -14.89 2.32 -14.71 -19.05 -11.38 17.85 1.05 rw[37] -14.86 2.37 -14.71 -18.56 -10.88 17.87 1.05 rw[38] -14.83 2.38 -14.70 -18.61 -10.85 17.46 1.05 rw[39] -14.83 2.40 -14.69 -19.19 -11.32 17.46 1.05 rw[40] -14.76 2.40 -14.57 -18.68 -10.90 17.52 1.05 rw[41] -14.70 2.39 -14.44 -18.40 -10.92 17.00 1.05 rw[42] -14.71 2.42 -14.47 -18.63 -10.91 16.82 1.06 rw[43] -14.76 2.43 -14.58 -18.58 -10.73 16.64 1.05 rw[44] -14.81 2.44 -14.68 -18.63 -10.99 17.88 1.06 rw[45] -14.83 2.43 -14.65 -18.81 -11.02 17.98 1.05 rw[46] -14.90 2.42 -14.75 -19.02 -11.18 18.57 1.06 rw[47] -14.98 2.41 -14.84 -18.76 -10.99 19.00 1.06 rw[48] -15.03 2.47 -14.99 -19.17 -11.10 19.03 1.07 rw[49] -15.14 2.47 -15.08 -19.48 -11.48 21.15 1.06 rw[50] -15.26 2.52 -15.15 -19.57 -11.38 20.67 1.06 rw[51] -15.29 2.55 -15.21 -19.79 -11.46 20.20 1.06 rw[52] -15.41 2.56 -15.31 -19.61 -11.28 21.07 1.06 rw[53] -15.53 2.48 -15.44 -19.53 -11.56 22.72 1.04 rw[54] -15.66 2.46 -15.53 -19.98 -11.93 22.96 1.04 rw[55] -15.79 2.48 -15.69 -20.17 -12.11 22.52 1.03 rw[56] -15.89 2.49 -15.77 -19.86 -11.82 21.92 1.03 rw[57] -15.99 2.48 -15.87 -19.69 -11.68 21.76 1.03 rw[58] -16.14 2.43 -16.02 -19.96 -12.12 21.97 1.02 rw[59] -16.25 2.46 -16.07 -20.10 -12.32 22.52 1.02 rw[60] -16.38 2.48 -16.25 -20.36 -12.33 23.92 1.02 rw[61] -16.44 2.43 -16.20 -20.64 -12.82 22.83 1.02 rw[62] -16.54 2.37 -16.37 -20.27 -12.78 21.44 1.03 rw[63] -16.63 2.38 -16.51 -20.23 -12.48 19.62 1.03 rw[64] -16.70 2.32 -16.58 -20.67 -13.24 19.78 1.04 rw[65] -16.73 2.33 -16.59 -20.64 -12.97 20.68 1.04 rw[66] -16.84 2.32 -16.79 -20.61 -12.93 20.90 1.05 rw[67] -16.86 2.31 -16.78 -20.51 -13.12 21.17 1.05 rw[68] -16.85 2.33 -16.72 -20.51 -13.05 20.16 1.06 rw[69] -16.80 2.34 -16.68 -20.87 -13.24 19.17 1.06 rw[70] -16.76 2.28 -16.60 -20.76 -13.45 19.04 1.06 rw[71] -16.70 2.30 -16.56 -20.27 -12.90 20.33 1.06 rw[72] -16.58 2.34 -16.46 -20.59 -12.96 21.95 1.05 rw[73] -16.50 2.42 -16.44 -20.49 -12.59 22.43 1.05 rw[74] -16.43 2.43 -16.42 -20.42 -12.39 22.05 1.05 rw[75] -16.30 2.41 -16.25 -20.25 -12.22 23.30 1.05 rw[76] -16.12 2.43 -16.06 -19.84 -12.15 22.82 1.04 rw[77] -15.90 2.40 -15.84 -19.97 -12.31 20.87 1.05 rw[78] -15.74 2.44 -15.73 -19.49 -11.97 21.39 1.05 rw[79] -15.57 2.46 -15.47 -19.44 -11.60 19.91 1.05 rw[80] -15.48 2.46 -15.39 -19.69 -11.85 19.83 1.06 rw[81] -15.36 2.47 -15.20 -19.73 -11.72 19.54 1.06 rw[82] -15.29 2.52 -15.07 -19.22 -11.15 18.64 1.06 rw[83] -15.23 2.50 -15.13 -19.19 -11.32 19.58 1.06 rw[84] -15.22 2.53 -14.97 -19.36 -11.23 18.35 1.05 rw[85] -15.25 2.56 -15.04 -19.46 -11.25 18.95 1.05 rw[86] -15.25 2.56 -15.20 -19.73 -11.42 18.27 1.05 rw[87] -15.26 2.57 -15.18 -19.39 -10.94 19.85 1.04 rw[88] -15.30 2.53 -15.26 -19.20 -11.21 19.73 1.05 rw[89] -15.35 2.47 -15.29 -19.47 -11.42 19.72 1.04 rw[90] -15.44 2.45 -15.44 -19.49 -11.64 20.90 1.04 rw[91] -15.50 2.48 -15.44 -19.67 -11.66 22.42 1.03 rw[92] -15.53 2.52 -15.47 -19.53 -11.45 21.88 1.04 rw[93] -15.59 2.53 -15.44 -20.03 -11.77 22.74 1.04 rw[94] -15.63 2.49 -15.48 -19.64 -11.87 22.99 1.03 rw[95] -15.68 2.45 -15.50 -19.91 -12.07 22.37 1.04 rw[96] -15.76 2.47 -15.54 -19.61 -11.78 22.51 1.04 rw[97] -15.79 2.42 -15.58 -19.74 -12.03 21.98 1.04 rw[98] -15.84 2.39 -15.62 -19.90 -12.16 21.03 1.04 rw[99] -15.83 2.39 -15.56 -19.42 -11.50 21.40 1.04 rw[100] -15.81 2.38 -15.61 -20.16 -12.32 21.70 1.03 rw[101] -15.80 2.32 -15.63 -19.97 -12.23 21.88 1.04 rw[102] -15.71 2.37 -15.56 -20.42 -12.42 21.88 1.04 rw[103] -15.62 2.38 -15.49 -19.33 -11.59 20.83 1.04 rw[104] -15.49 2.37 -15.35 -19.88 -12.16 21.40 1.04 rw[105] -15.37 2.40 -15.24 -19.01 -11.10 22.07 1.04 rw[106] -15.21 2.38 -15.13 -18.93 -11.09 21.02 1.05 rw[107] -15.01 2.38 -14.88 -18.63 -10.84 21.08 1.06 rw[108] -14.79 2.40 -14.69 -19.13 -11.28 20.74 1.06 rw[109] -14.56 2.37 -14.55 -18.58 -10.98 19.91 1.05 rw[110] -14.37 2.39 -14.33 -18.51 -10.84 19.62 1.06 rw[111] -14.18 2.35 -14.15 -17.91 -10.27 20.75 1.06 rw[112] -14.06 2.33 -13.98 -18.00 -10.41 20.85 1.05 rw[113] -13.87 2.39 -13.74 -17.43 -9.78 19.65 1.05 rw[114] -13.70 2.45 -13.57 -18.01 -9.92 19.42 1.05 rw[115] -13.58 2.40 -13.34 -17.26 -9.29 19.41 1.05 rw[116] -13.53 2.35 -13.37 -17.61 -9.91 19.25 1.05 rw[117] -13.46 2.39 -13.28 -17.49 -9.82 20.11 1.05 rw[118] -13.38 2.37 -13.34 -17.23 -9.65 20.46 1.04 rw[119] -13.32 2.38 -13.19 -17.28 -9.47 20.91 1.04 rw[120] -13.30 2.33 -13.15 -16.77 -9.22 22.22 1.04 rw[121] -13.29 2.34 -13.23 -17.02 -9.58 21.25 1.04 rw[122] -13.26 2.36 -13.18 -17.55 -9.83 22.70 1.04 rw[123] -13.26 2.38 -13.14 -16.95 -9.42 24.72 1.03 rw[124] -13.19 2.33 -13.04 -16.87 -9.34 24.64 1.04 rw[125] -13.17 2.31 -13.12 -16.99 -9.49 24.33 1.04 rw[126] -13.12 2.30 -13.03 -16.97 -9.59 23.22 1.04 rw[127] -13.04 2.34 -12.89 -16.92 -9.20 20.45 1.05 rw[128] -13.07 2.29 -12.86 -16.85 -9.51 19.01 1.05 rw[129] -13.13 2.30 -12.95 -16.57 -9.27 18.99 1.05 rw[130] -13.14 2.36 -12.92 -17.06 -9.49 18.64 1.04 rw[131] -13.16 2.33 -12.95 -17.40 -9.78 17.92 1.05 rw[132] -13.24 2.31 -13.00 -16.99 -9.45 18.45 1.06 rw[133] -13.30 2.34 -13.12 -17.09 -9.68 19.08 1.06 rw[134] -13.30 2.29 -13.27 -16.52 -9.17 17.54 1.07 rw[135] -13.34 2.31 -13.34 -16.96 -9.55 18.63 1.07 rw[136] -13.38 2.36 -13.29 -17.26 -9.64 19.39 1.06 rw[137] -13.40 2.36 -13.36 -18.03 -10.23 18.69 1.06 rw[138] -13.43 2.37 -13.34 -17.29 -9.67 18.88 1.06 rw[139] -13.38 2.33 -13.31 -17.41 -9.74 18.63 1.05 rw[140] -13.35 2.32 -13.26 -17.03 -9.57 17.97 1.06 rw[141] -13.28 2.29 -13.18 -17.07 -9.79 18.31 1.06 rw[142] -13.28 2.29 -13.25 -17.24 -9.83 18.54 1.06 rw[143] -13.27 2.28 -13.18 -17.05 -9.69 19.63 1.06 rw[144] -13.27 2.27 -13.20 -17.32 -9.89 20.95 1.05 rw[145] -13.29 2.30 -13.15 -16.96 -9.44 20.09 1.05 rw[146] -13.30 2.30 -13.13 -17.42 -9.95 19.92 1.05 rw[147] -13.28 2.33 -13.17 -16.86 -9.47 19.52 1.05 rw[148] -13.31 2.35 -13.19 -17.03 -9.54 19.40 1.04 rw[149] -13.42 2.37 -13.34 -17.36 -9.66 20.45 1.04 rw[150] -13.48 2.41 -13.27 -17.51 -9.78 19.73 1.05 rw[151] -13.54 2.35 -13.25 -17.19 -9.69 20.01 1.04 rw[152] -13.66 2.37 -13.48 -17.57 -10.03 19.90 1.04 rw[153] -13.80 2.33 -13.58 -17.66 -10.19 19.85 1.05 rw[154] -13.98 2.36 -13.72 -17.87 -10.21 19.32 1.05 rw[155] -14.18 2.34 -14.01 -17.80 -10.05 21.28 1.04 rw[156] -14.34 2.34 -14.22 -18.32 -10.60 19.56 1.04 rw[157] -14.53 2.39 -14.39 -18.48 -10.75 19.42 1.03 rw[158] -14.67 2.41 -14.60 -18.89 -10.98 19.69 1.03 rw[159] -14.85 2.38 -14.78 -18.86 -11.29 20.30 1.04 rw[160] -15.00 2.38 -14.88 -18.92 -11.18 19.74 1.05 rw[161] -15.11 2.38 -14.99 -18.92 -11.13 20.08 1.05 rw[162] -15.16 2.39 -15.06 -19.02 -11.28 19.90 1.05 rw[163] -15.18 2.40 -15.11 -19.52 -11.65 20.02 1.05 rw[164] -15.16 2.40 -15.07 -19.13 -11.35 18.52 1.06 rw[165] -15.09 2.37 -15.02 -19.26 -11.55 18.21 1.06 rw[166] -14.98 2.35 -14.93 -18.67 -10.96 18.97 1.05 rw[167] -14.90 2.34 -14.81 -18.94 -11.30 18.21 1.05 rw[168] -14.77 2.32 -14.66 -18.59 -11.02 18.30 1.05 rw[169] -14.65 2.30 -14.59 -18.23 -10.73 18.79 1.05 rw[170] -14.46 2.35 -14.43 -18.39 -10.79 19.17 1.05 rw[171] -14.33 2.30 -14.24 -18.56 -11.07 19.99 1.04 rw[172] -14.22 2.27 -14.21 -18.33 -10.97 19.02 1.05 rw[173] -14.15 2.24 -14.11 -17.98 -10.89 20.54 1.04 rw[174] -14.05 2.25 -13.94 -17.66 -10.61 20.14 1.03 rw[175] -13.94 2.31 -13.85 -17.41 -10.10 18.54 1.04 rw[176] -13.85 2.32 -13.74 -17.56 -10.03 18.46 1.04 rw[177] -13.82 2.29 -13.70 -17.38 -10.03 19.67 1.03 rw[178] -13.77 2.31 -13.60 -17.66 -10.23 20.40 1.03 rw[179] -13.65 2.36 -13.52 -17.29 -9.69 20.75 1.04 rw[180] -13.57 2.36 -13.37 -17.73 -10.04 20.31 1.04 rw[181] -13.58 2.32 -13.41 -17.29 -9.82 21.20 1.05 rw[182] -13.54 2.33 -13.34 -17.50 -10.12 20.08 1.06 rw[183] -13.51 2.34 -13.41 -17.64 -9.89 19.96 1.06 rw[184] -13.49 2.32 -13.32 -17.09 -9.70 20.92 1.06 rw[185] -13.47 2.32 -13.30 -17.19 -9.88 19.98 1.07 rw[186] -13.41 2.28 -13.31 -17.13 -9.79 18.49 1.07 rw[187] -13.30 2.30 -13.16 -17.32 -9.89 17.88 1.07 rw[188] -13.26 2.32 -13.18 -17.04 -9.49 16.84 1.08 rw[189] -13.13 2.34 -12.97 -17.03 -9.42 17.42 1.07 rw[190] -13.01 2.32 -12.94 -17.00 -9.54 18.13 1.06 rw[191] -12.94 2.28 -12.87 -16.61 -9.23 17.79 1.05 rw[192] -12.82 2.27 -12.66 -16.68 -9.35 18.65 1.05 rw[193] -12.76 2.33 -12.56 -16.89 -9.12 18.57 1.04 rw[194] -12.71 2.28 -12.58 -16.71 -9.17 19.10 1.04 rw[195] -12.60 2.28 -12.43 -16.80 -9.30 18.59 1.04 rw[196] -12.48 2.32 -12.23 -16.30 -8.82 18.51 1.04 rw[197] -12.43 2.32 -12.27 -15.87 -8.31 20.02 1.04 rw[198] -12.37 2.27 -12.20 -16.25 -9.10 18.60 1.05 rw[199] -12.36 2.26 -12.18 -16.02 -8.83 17.71 1.06 rw[200] -12.29 2.27 -12.04 -16.56 -9.09 18.58 1.05 rw[201] -12.27 2.24 -12.14 -16.11 -8.75 18.14 1.06 rw[202] -12.27 2.25 -12.17 -15.89 -8.50 18.96 1.06 rw[203] -12.26 2.29 -12.15 -15.74 -8.47 17.57 1.06 rw[204] -12.26 2.32 -12.18 -15.87 -8.52 16.62 1.07 rw[205] -12.31 2.31 -12.11 -15.82 -8.51 17.55 1.07 rw[206] -12.33 2.36 -12.27 -16.22 -8.53 18.86 1.06 rw[207] -12.25 2.37 -12.17 -16.16 -8.55 17.71 1.06 rw[208] -12.20 2.37 -12.10 -16.03 -8.56 17.57 1.06 rw[209] -12.21 2.35 -11.98 -16.22 -8.75 17.49 1.06 rw[210] -12.14 2.28 -11.99 -15.70 -8.31 17.42 1.06 rw[211] -12.10 2.21 -11.92 -15.74 -8.69 17.13 1.05 rw[212] -12.03 2.12 -11.80 -15.77 -8.99 15.22 1.06 rw[213] -12.03 1.93 -11.78 -15.34 -9.17 13.73 1.06 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 543.97 1.00 Number of divergences: 0