mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.94 1.45 0.55 0.00 2.15 604.19 1.00 E0 52.10 50.98 38.74 0.00 114.50 200.55 1.01 H0 1.77 1.81 1.24 0.00 4.16 1327.40 1.00 I0 30.73 21.28 25.60 4.95 57.58 72.55 1.03 beta0 2.93 0.71 2.91 1.58 3.92 12.72 1.12 confirmed_dispersion 0.45 0.06 0.45 0.36 0.53 1092.95 1.00 death_dispersion 0.36 0.03 0.36 0.31 0.41 1278.44 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 736.94 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.01 0.07 0.06 0.08 637.43 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.41 1484.17 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1312.07 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.01 0.50 0.48 0.53 1116.11 1.00 rw[0] -0.09 1.01 -0.09 -1.74 1.47 111.49 1.01 rw[1] -0.01 1.37 0.02 -2.00 2.44 59.33 1.02 rw[2] 0.12 1.68 0.07 -2.67 2.78 33.73 1.02 rw[3] 0.31 1.92 0.25 -3.00 3.19 26.87 1.03 rw[4] 0.51 2.12 0.47 -2.79 4.08 24.13 1.04 rw[5] 0.67 2.26 0.53 -2.64 4.83 20.17 1.04 rw[6] 0.70 2.44 0.56 -3.20 4.67 17.56 1.05 rw[7] 0.64 2.53 0.58 -3.94 4.39 17.48 1.06 rw[8] 0.42 2.64 0.31 -4.03 4.65 16.94 1.06 rw[9] -0.07 2.72 -0.21 -4.43 4.41 16.12 1.07 rw[10] -0.71 2.77 -0.84 -5.25 3.70 15.93 1.07 rw[11] -1.50 2.81 -1.59 -6.09 3.09 15.86 1.08 rw[12] -2.39 2.76 -2.51 -7.02 2.05 14.81 1.09 rw[13] -3.25 2.81 -3.37 -7.67 1.52 15.02 1.09 rw[14] -4.18 2.80 -4.29 -9.12 0.10 15.26 1.09 rw[15] -5.05 2.81 -5.12 -9.22 -0.14 15.03 1.10 rw[16] -5.95 2.84 -6.10 -10.60 -1.38 15.22 1.09 rw[17] -6.98 2.80 -7.07 -11.49 -2.39 15.75 1.09 rw[18] -8.02 2.80 -8.16 -12.12 -2.96 16.60 1.09 rw[19] -9.09 2.79 -9.14 -13.62 -4.65 16.57 1.09 rw[20] -10.16 2.80 -10.25 -15.29 -6.11 17.35 1.09 rw[21] -11.27 2.84 -11.33 -16.10 -6.84 17.38 1.09 rw[22] -12.44 2.87 -12.55 -16.92 -7.63 18.94 1.08 rw[23] -13.59 2.87 -13.70 -18.24 -8.87 18.28 1.08 rw[24] -14.74 2.90 -14.79 -19.28 -9.78 18.63 1.07 rw[25] -15.87 2.87 -15.86 -20.68 -11.50 18.90 1.07 rw[26] -17.00 2.85 -17.04 -21.61 -12.33 18.96 1.07 rw[27] -18.05 2.90 -18.16 -22.81 -13.05 20.44 1.07 rw[28] -19.02 2.92 -19.03 -23.56 -13.95 20.40 1.07 rw[29] -19.92 2.94 -19.94 -25.05 -15.28 19.55 1.07 rw[30] -20.78 2.93 -20.82 -25.75 -16.07 19.34 1.07 rw[31] -21.50 2.91 -21.57 -25.92 -16.33 17.73 1.07 rw[32] -22.12 3.00 -22.18 -26.90 -17.03 18.11 1.07 rw[33] -22.63 2.99 -22.78 -27.42 -17.54 17.45 1.06 rw[34] -23.16 3.00 -23.31 -27.37 -17.41 17.75 1.07 rw[35] -23.56 2.97 -23.65 -28.24 -18.58 17.83 1.07 rw[36] -23.85 2.98 -23.92 -28.70 -18.99 18.34 1.07 rw[37] -24.09 3.01 -24.22 -29.27 -19.39 19.04 1.07 rw[38] -24.31 3.00 -24.43 -28.78 -19.00 20.14 1.06 rw[39] -24.40 3.03 -24.50 -29.13 -19.23 19.71 1.07 rw[40] -24.48 3.06 -24.64 -28.99 -18.97 19.20 1.07 rw[41] -24.51 3.08 -24.52 -29.35 -19.31 19.44 1.07 rw[42] -24.46 3.09 -24.57 -29.70 -19.62 19.01 1.08 rw[43] -24.38 3.09 -24.51 -29.44 -19.66 19.58 1.08 rw[44] -24.28 3.13 -24.28 -29.37 -19.32 19.07 1.08 rw[45] -24.17 3.12 -24.30 -28.90 -18.86 20.14 1.08 rw[46] -24.05 3.11 -24.07 -29.31 -19.24 19.68 1.08 rw[47] -23.83 3.05 -23.90 -28.86 -18.97 18.86 1.08 rw[48] -23.66 3.03 -23.64 -28.63 -18.80 19.74 1.07 rw[49] -23.52 3.02 -23.54 -28.76 -18.94 19.06 1.08 rw[50] -23.31 3.04 -23.46 -28.14 -18.58 18.65 1.09 rw[51] -23.10 3.07 -23.27 -28.58 -18.52 18.30 1.08 rw[52] -22.88 3.09 -22.88 -27.88 -18.08 17.96 1.08 rw[53] -22.66 3.07 -22.74 -27.74 -17.85 17.53 1.08 rw[54] -22.46 3.07 -22.61 -27.62 -17.82 18.25 1.08 rw[55] -22.22 3.09 -22.30 -27.19 -17.13 17.96 1.08 rw[56] -21.96 3.04 -21.99 -26.63 -16.79 18.35 1.07 rw[57] -21.73 3.09 -21.77 -26.96 -17.05 18.71 1.07 rw[58] -21.57 3.09 -21.67 -27.08 -16.93 19.54 1.06 rw[59] -21.37 3.07 -21.49 -26.52 -16.51 20.12 1.06 rw[60] -21.16 3.03 -21.30 -25.77 -16.17 19.98 1.06 rw[61] -20.92 3.02 -21.04 -26.26 -16.38 20.82 1.05 rw[62] -20.71 3.01 -20.82 -25.69 -15.75 21.54 1.05 rw[63] -20.51 2.99 -20.58 -26.05 -16.09 21.17 1.05 rw[64] -20.31 2.98 -20.42 -25.67 -15.84 21.60 1.06 rw[65] -20.11 2.99 -20.25 -25.55 -15.60 22.05 1.05 rw[66] -19.93 3.03 -19.98 -25.53 -15.54 22.48 1.06 rw[67] -19.80 3.03 -19.92 -25.28 -15.47 22.93 1.05 rw[68] -19.60 3.05 -19.78 -24.66 -14.69 23.02 1.05 rw[69] -19.44 3.05 -19.57 -25.07 -15.15 22.53 1.04 rw[70] -19.33 3.00 -19.44 -24.51 -14.63 23.44 1.04 rw[71] -19.19 3.02 -19.25 -24.03 -14.34 23.05 1.04 rw[72] -19.10 2.99 -19.19 -23.79 -13.90 23.48 1.04 rw[73] -19.04 3.00 -19.19 -24.74 -14.87 23.54 1.05 rw[74] -18.93 3.00 -18.93 -23.78 -13.91 21.67 1.06 rw[75] -18.84 3.05 -18.93 -23.53 -13.70 22.91 1.06 rw[76] -18.77 3.02 -18.77 -23.38 -13.79 22.22 1.06 rw[77] -18.70 2.98 -18.74 -23.81 -14.11 20.59 1.07 rw[78] -18.65 3.00 -18.78 -24.22 -14.19 21.10 1.06 rw[79] -18.61 2.94 -18.84 -23.36 -13.90 20.64 1.07 rw[80] -18.63 2.89 -18.74 -23.04 -13.81 20.60 1.08 rw[81] -18.58 2.88 -18.61 -23.28 -13.93 19.94 1.08 rw[82] -18.62 2.92 -18.63 -23.49 -13.91 19.76 1.08 rw[83] -18.57 2.87 -18.69 -22.94 -13.47 20.01 1.09 rw[84] -18.59 2.87 -18.69 -23.40 -13.93 19.54 1.09 rw[85] -18.55 2.84 -18.65 -23.05 -13.63 20.18 1.09 rw[86] -18.53 2.82 -18.65 -23.37 -13.99 21.07 1.09 rw[87] -18.49 2.88 -18.67 -23.51 -13.93 20.47 1.09 rw[88] -18.49 2.93 -18.69 -22.57 -13.03 20.10 1.08 rw[89] -18.54 2.93 -18.55 -23.23 -13.78 19.05 1.08 rw[90] -18.53 2.92 -18.69 -23.00 -13.50 18.88 1.08 rw[91] -18.53 2.92 -18.56 -22.91 -13.28 20.15 1.08 rw[92] -18.51 2.94 -18.51 -23.08 -13.43 20.74 1.07 rw[93] -18.49 2.99 -18.50 -23.31 -13.52 17.61 1.08 rw[94] -18.45 2.98 -18.58 -23.40 -13.55 18.61 1.06 rw[95] -18.36 2.98 -18.36 -23.24 -13.52 19.20 1.07 rw[96] -18.31 2.98 -18.42 -23.06 -13.15 18.17 1.06 rw[97] -18.20 2.98 -18.26 -22.90 -13.23 18.44 1.07 rw[98] -18.13 3.02 -18.29 -22.65 -12.89 19.10 1.05 rw[99] -18.02 2.95 -18.16 -22.44 -13.03 19.13 1.05 rw[100] -17.95 2.96 -18.16 -22.68 -13.18 18.95 1.06 rw[101] -17.86 2.98 -17.99 -22.80 -13.23 18.44 1.06 rw[102] -17.79 2.94 -17.92 -22.42 -12.98 19.42 1.06 rw[103] -17.66 2.96 -17.73 -22.47 -12.79 19.53 1.06 rw[104] -17.52 2.97 -17.53 -22.52 -12.77 20.04 1.06 rw[105] -17.39 2.95 -17.50 -21.97 -12.45 19.45 1.06 rw[106] -17.29 2.96 -17.38 -22.23 -12.45 20.03 1.06 rw[107] -17.25 3.00 -17.52 -21.87 -12.17 18.93 1.06 rw[108] -17.14 3.00 -17.41 -21.61 -12.05 19.59 1.06 rw[109] -17.04 3.03 -17.26 -21.86 -12.17 17.85 1.07 rw[110] -17.00 3.02 -17.23 -22.31 -12.36 18.36 1.07 rw[111] -16.95 2.96 -17.19 -21.93 -12.40 18.19 1.06 rw[112] -16.96 2.99 -17.19 -21.65 -11.83 18.51 1.07 rw[113] -16.94 2.97 -17.13 -21.88 -12.21 18.72 1.07 rw[114] -16.97 2.97 -17.06 -21.63 -11.98 18.09 1.08 rw[115] -16.91 2.98 -16.83 -21.31 -11.69 17.78 1.08 rw[116] -16.97 2.95 -16.91 -22.10 -12.74 18.22 1.08 rw[117] -17.03 2.92 -16.97 -21.67 -12.28 17.98 1.08 rw[118] -17.10 2.93 -17.26 -21.99 -12.58 17.67 1.08 rw[119] -17.18 2.91 -17.32 -21.90 -12.42 18.80 1.07 rw[120] -17.27 2.92 -17.35 -21.94 -12.30 19.12 1.07 rw[121] -17.34 2.89 -17.50 -22.04 -12.46 19.58 1.07 rw[122] -17.41 2.92 -17.54 -21.71 -12.24 18.80 1.07 rw[123] -17.45 2.90 -17.58 -22.30 -13.03 18.48 1.08 rw[124] -17.48 2.90 -17.59 -22.47 -13.06 19.08 1.08 rw[125] -17.51 2.88 -17.61 -22.84 -13.49 20.23 1.07 rw[126] -17.61 2.85 -17.60 -22.23 -12.98 20.62 1.08 rw[127] -17.63 2.82 -17.73 -22.19 -12.81 22.32 1.07 rw[128] -17.67 2.81 -17.67 -22.60 -13.36 21.09 1.07 rw[129] -17.73 2.80 -17.72 -22.66 -13.40 21.39 1.07 rw[130] -17.77 2.81 -17.82 -22.30 -13.20 20.97 1.06 rw[131] -17.81 2.81 -17.83 -22.06 -12.95 19.34 1.07 rw[132] -17.86 2.82 -17.88 -22.07 -13.04 20.64 1.06 rw[133] -17.94 2.87 -18.09 -22.13 -12.97 20.70 1.06 rw[134] -18.00 2.87 -18.11 -22.49 -13.15 20.56 1.07 rw[135] -18.03 2.90 -18.11 -23.03 -13.58 19.60 1.06 rw[136] -18.06 2.93 -18.08 -23.28 -13.60 19.31 1.07 rw[137] -18.06 2.90 -18.11 -22.58 -13.16 19.15 1.07 rw[138] -18.06 2.88 -18.20 -22.37 -13.20 17.87 1.07 rw[139] -18.00 2.88 -18.06 -22.86 -13.54 17.45 1.08 rw[140] -17.97 2.93 -17.99 -22.75 -13.37 17.18 1.08 rw[141] -17.86 2.97 -17.95 -22.78 -12.82 16.82 1.08 rw[142] -17.79 2.95 -17.86 -22.48 -12.88 17.74 1.07 rw[143] -17.73 2.95 -17.80 -22.43 -12.86 18.00 1.08 rw[144] -17.63 2.90 -17.77 -22.16 -12.79 17.59 1.07 rw[145] -17.50 2.89 -17.63 -22.03 -12.55 18.24 1.08 rw[146] -17.42 2.86 -17.57 -21.87 -12.52 19.06 1.07 rw[147] -17.28 2.87 -17.38 -22.08 -12.56 18.86 1.06 rw[148] -17.27 2.88 -17.42 -21.87 -12.26 18.50 1.06 rw[149] -17.18 2.86 -17.32 -22.22 -12.82 19.01 1.06 rw[150] -17.06 2.83 -17.17 -21.90 -12.61 18.81 1.06 rw[151] -17.01 2.87 -17.06 -21.77 -12.43 18.76 1.06 rw[152] -16.90 2.85 -17.05 -21.71 -12.40 18.40 1.06 rw[153] -16.77 2.81 -16.84 -21.64 -12.34 18.57 1.06 rw[154] -16.64 2.77 -16.71 -21.15 -12.07 19.42 1.07 rw[155] -16.55 2.77 -16.64 -21.42 -12.30 19.76 1.06 rw[156] -16.43 2.77 -16.43 -20.97 -11.93 19.13 1.07 rw[157] -16.33 2.79 -16.34 -20.94 -11.99 19.32 1.07 rw[158] -16.21 2.83 -16.17 -21.13 -11.94 19.41 1.07 rw[159] -16.09 2.85 -16.01 -21.20 -11.93 18.07 1.08 rw[160] -16.00 2.87 -15.99 -21.13 -11.79 18.70 1.09 rw[161] -15.86 2.86 -15.87 -20.48 -11.08 18.87 1.08 rw[162] -15.79 2.89 -15.91 -20.56 -11.40 18.61 1.07 rw[163] -15.72 2.90 -15.80 -20.53 -11.23 17.99 1.07 rw[164] -15.62 2.92 -15.70 -20.47 -10.97 17.20 1.08 rw[165] -15.53 2.94 -15.67 -20.30 -10.69 17.11 1.08 rw[166] -15.49 2.92 -15.63 -20.65 -11.14 16.72 1.07 rw[167] -15.47 2.91 -15.52 -20.39 -11.03 15.97 1.07 rw[168] -15.47 2.93 -15.46 -20.06 -10.70 16.40 1.07 rw[169] -15.55 2.90 -15.58 -20.12 -10.95 16.77 1.07 rw[170] -15.57 2.85 -15.59 -20.01 -11.06 17.31 1.07 rw[171] -15.59 2.86 -15.70 -20.33 -11.11 16.92 1.07 rw[172] -15.59 2.81 -15.64 -19.91 -10.88 16.56 1.08 rw[173] -15.60 2.83 -15.72 -20.16 -11.14 16.92 1.08 rw[174] -15.60 2.83 -15.66 -19.88 -10.91 16.84 1.09 rw[175] -15.58 2.81 -15.63 -20.51 -11.31 17.30 1.09 rw[176] -15.52 2.79 -15.63 -20.05 -11.07 16.59 1.09 rw[177] -15.50 2.83 -15.54 -20.20 -10.99 17.71 1.09 rw[178] -15.48 2.82 -15.66 -20.17 -11.04 19.67 1.08 rw[179] -15.34 2.86 -15.43 -19.96 -10.68 18.70 1.09 rw[180] -15.17 2.83 -15.24 -19.84 -10.82 19.77 1.09 rw[181] -15.04 2.81 -15.10 -19.27 -10.23 19.91 1.08 rw[182] -14.85 2.80 -15.02 -19.29 -10.28 19.67 1.08 rw[183] -14.68 2.83 -14.86 -19.24 -10.11 19.62 1.08 rw[184] -14.60 2.82 -14.83 -18.93 -9.91 19.87 1.08 rw[185] -14.54 2.81 -14.74 -18.77 -9.74 20.59 1.07 rw[186] -14.47 2.82 -14.52 -18.74 -9.45 20.08 1.07 rw[187] -14.46 2.85 -14.57 -19.26 -9.94 19.23 1.07 rw[188] -14.45 2.89 -14.65 -19.20 -9.75 19.10 1.07 rw[189] -14.58 2.88 -14.85 -19.22 -9.68 17.35 1.08 rw[190] -14.80 2.89 -14.99 -19.44 -9.95 18.41 1.07 rw[191] -15.05 2.87 -15.24 -19.66 -9.98 18.45 1.07 rw[192] -15.40 2.86 -15.59 -20.36 -10.82 18.61 1.07 rw[193] -15.79 2.92 -15.88 -20.77 -10.95 17.98 1.07 rw[194] -16.17 2.91 -16.30 -20.82 -11.50 17.00 1.07 rw[195] -16.63 2.91 -16.74 -21.31 -11.79 16.79 1.07 rw[196] -17.02 2.90 -17.19 -22.09 -12.61 16.49 1.07 rw[197] -17.40 2.88 -17.44 -22.19 -12.94 16.42 1.07 rw[198] -17.67 2.88 -17.70 -22.13 -12.86 17.53 1.07 rw[199] -17.82 2.86 -17.83 -22.67 -13.62 17.02 1.07 rw[200] -17.91 2.86 -17.90 -22.50 -13.20 17.27 1.07 rw[201] -17.84 2.88 -17.81 -22.47 -13.29 18.37 1.07 rw[202] -17.81 2.87 -17.80 -22.22 -12.92 18.29 1.07 rw[203] -17.72 2.90 -17.63 -22.31 -12.83 18.51 1.07 rw[204] -17.51 2.83 -17.52 -22.26 -12.95 19.84 1.06 rw[205] -17.37 2.82 -17.37 -22.18 -13.03 19.59 1.07 rw[206] -17.10 2.82 -17.15 -21.66 -12.62 19.27 1.07 rw[207] -16.92 2.84 -17.05 -21.54 -12.47 18.50 1.07 rw[208] -16.66 2.85 -16.69 -21.52 -12.17 18.35 1.08 rw[209] -16.37 2.76 -16.45 -20.94 -11.91 17.89 1.09 rw[210] -16.09 2.72 -16.14 -20.79 -11.94 17.41 1.09 rw[211] -15.80 2.68 -15.93 -19.89 -11.24 17.17 1.08 rw[212] -15.50 2.58 -15.69 -19.58 -11.37 15.18 1.09 rw[213] -15.14 2.50 -15.37 -19.55 -11.19 13.73 1.10 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1108.44 1.00 Number of divergences: 0