mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.93 1.21 0.55 0.00 2.17 1018.13 1.00 E0 9.65 11.38 6.03 0.00 21.31 160.72 1.00 H0 2.21 2.03 1.65 0.00 4.81 966.47 1.00 I0 6.97 6.15 5.21 0.25 14.65 30.84 1.03 beta0 1.88 0.51 1.83 1.02 2.66 10.27 1.03 confirmed_dispersion 0.32 0.05 0.32 0.24 0.41 1130.83 1.00 death_dispersion 0.43 0.03 0.43 0.38 0.48 1379.64 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 1165.49 1.00 death_rate 0.09 0.02 0.08 0.06 0.11 1039.52 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.31 0.21 0.40 1735.56 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1432.07 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1696.84 1.00 rw[0] 0.07 1.00 0.04 -1.55 1.71 68.96 1.00 rw[1] 0.24 1.40 0.25 -2.43 2.19 38.25 1.01 rw[2] 0.41 1.71 0.37 -2.44 3.24 25.03 1.02 rw[3] 0.64 1.97 0.59 -2.52 3.72 20.99 1.02 rw[4] 0.87 2.19 0.81 -2.50 4.57 17.07 1.03 rw[5] 1.05 2.37 0.96 -2.49 5.27 14.81 1.03 rw[6] 1.25 2.54 1.12 -2.91 5.36 13.39 1.04 rw[7] 1.27 2.67 1.25 -2.94 5.84 12.63 1.03 rw[8] 1.28 2.76 1.19 -3.14 5.99 12.14 1.03 rw[9] 1.17 2.83 1.10 -3.08 6.55 11.33 1.04 rw[10] 0.81 2.92 0.65 -3.91 5.84 11.18 1.04 rw[11] 0.26 3.01 0.18 -4.12 6.10 11.26 1.04 rw[12] -0.41 3.05 -0.55 -5.53 4.83 11.23 1.04 rw[13] -1.21 3.08 -1.31 -6.14 4.07 10.95 1.04 rw[14] -2.03 3.13 -2.15 -7.22 3.16 10.97 1.04 rw[15] -2.87 3.13 -2.91 -7.70 2.64 10.88 1.04 rw[16] -3.66 3.15 -3.75 -9.20 1.30 11.22 1.04 rw[17] -4.42 3.19 -4.40 -9.60 1.03 11.31 1.05 rw[18] -5.15 3.21 -5.25 -10.52 0.25 11.56 1.05 rw[19] -5.91 3.21 -5.99 -11.37 -0.76 11.26 1.04 rw[20] -6.57 3.21 -6.63 -12.33 -1.38 11.07 1.04 rw[21] -7.26 3.20 -7.32 -12.48 -1.55 11.09 1.04 rw[22] -7.93 3.17 -8.02 -12.49 -1.60 11.14 1.05 rw[23] -8.47 3.15 -8.58 -13.64 -3.00 10.96 1.04 rw[24] -9.04 3.16 -9.13 -14.41 -3.98 11.05 1.05 rw[25] -9.60 3.21 -9.66 -15.13 -4.29 11.03 1.04 rw[26] -10.13 3.15 -10.14 -16.14 -5.53 10.91 1.04 rw[27] -10.64 3.15 -10.61 -15.89 -5.53 11.20 1.04 rw[28] -11.13 3.13 -11.22 -16.63 -6.36 10.85 1.04 rw[29] -11.59 3.11 -11.70 -16.41 -6.32 10.71 1.04 rw[30] -11.96 3.13 -12.11 -17.01 -6.85 10.76 1.04 rw[31] -12.40 3.11 -12.42 -17.30 -6.81 10.93 1.05 rw[32] -12.74 3.14 -12.80 -17.75 -7.33 11.01 1.04 rw[33] -13.07 3.13 -13.19 -18.16 -7.59 11.17 1.04 rw[34] -13.34 3.12 -13.53 -18.30 -7.93 11.12 1.04 rw[35] -13.57 3.15 -13.79 -18.85 -8.63 11.08 1.04 rw[36] -13.75 3.11 -13.97 -18.94 -8.57 11.41 1.05 rw[37] -13.92 3.10 -14.07 -18.82 -8.55 11.45 1.04 rw[38] -14.07 3.11 -14.22 -18.99 -8.54 12.02 1.05 rw[39] -14.19 3.14 -14.24 -19.60 -9.06 12.00 1.05 rw[40] -14.28 3.13 -14.48 -19.24 -8.64 12.02 1.05 rw[41] -14.35 3.13 -14.48 -19.27 -8.97 12.18 1.05 rw[42] -14.45 3.11 -14.65 -19.29 -9.13 12.19 1.05 rw[43] -14.49 3.12 -14.64 -19.55 -9.23 12.33 1.05 rw[44] -14.58 3.16 -14.66 -19.88 -9.44 12.41 1.05 rw[45] -14.55 3.20 -14.58 -19.87 -9.35 12.77 1.05 rw[46] -14.55 3.13 -14.61 -19.99 -9.94 11.97 1.05 rw[47] -14.52 3.14 -14.62 -19.58 -9.33 11.53 1.04 rw[48] -14.49 3.12 -14.63 -19.81 -9.68 11.38 1.04 rw[49] -14.44 3.13 -14.55 -19.98 -9.90 11.61 1.03 rw[50] -14.34 3.11 -14.47 -19.68 -9.43 11.33 1.03 rw[51] -14.30 3.12 -14.49 -19.53 -9.25 11.16 1.03 rw[52] -14.23 3.11 -14.28 -19.82 -9.70 11.44 1.03 rw[53] -14.11 3.16 -14.18 -19.55 -9.15 11.60 1.03 rw[54] -14.02 3.16 -14.04 -19.60 -9.11 11.68 1.03 rw[55] -13.95 3.18 -13.96 -19.11 -8.77 11.65 1.03 rw[56] -13.84 3.21 -13.80 -19.16 -8.57 11.45 1.04 rw[57] -13.70 3.13 -13.66 -18.78 -8.46 11.36 1.04 rw[58] -13.61 3.09 -13.80 -18.86 -8.83 11.00 1.04 rw[59] -13.53 3.10 -13.54 -18.53 -8.41 11.12 1.04 rw[60] -13.43 3.13 -13.50 -18.84 -8.70 10.98 1.04 rw[61] -13.30 3.12 -13.35 -18.67 -8.39 11.04 1.05 rw[62] -13.21 3.11 -13.32 -18.14 -8.00 11.20 1.05 rw[63] -13.11 3.12 -13.28 -17.67 -7.72 11.34 1.04 rw[64] -13.03 3.12 -13.16 -17.87 -7.94 11.47 1.05 rw[65] -12.93 3.13 -13.16 -17.85 -7.67 11.36 1.06 rw[66] -12.87 3.15 -13.18 -17.99 -7.65 11.04 1.06 rw[67] -12.81 3.12 -13.03 -17.91 -7.66 10.58 1.05 rw[68] -12.77 3.10 -13.07 -17.59 -7.37 10.57 1.05 rw[69] -12.72 3.13 -12.88 -17.82 -7.52 10.63 1.05 rw[70] -12.71 3.09 -12.76 -17.73 -7.58 10.69 1.05 rw[71] -12.67 3.12 -12.82 -17.00 -6.74 10.80 1.05 rw[72] -12.66 3.13 -12.89 -17.42 -7.03 11.34 1.05 rw[73] -12.61 3.15 -12.87 -18.00 -7.41 11.43 1.05 rw[74] -12.62 3.14 -12.72 -18.02 -7.69 11.12 1.04 rw[75] -12.66 3.11 -12.64 -17.81 -7.46 11.36 1.04 rw[76] -12.67 3.14 -12.68 -18.29 -7.90 11.69 1.04 rw[77] -12.77 3.15 -12.82 -18.09 -7.76 11.75 1.03 rw[78] -12.83 3.12 -12.86 -17.99 -7.55 11.86 1.03 rw[79] -12.90 3.20 -12.92 -18.14 -7.63 11.53 1.04 rw[80] -12.95 3.17 -13.00 -18.23 -7.90 11.42 1.04 rw[81] -12.97 3.15 -12.94 -17.84 -7.66 11.22 1.03 rw[82] -13.03 3.12 -13.04 -17.92 -7.58 11.21 1.04 rw[83] -13.10 3.15 -13.09 -18.05 -7.79 11.32 1.04 rw[84] -13.13 3.16 -13.22 -18.49 -7.90 11.16 1.04 rw[85] -13.15 3.16 -13.42 -18.67 -8.01 11.23 1.04 rw[86] -13.18 3.16 -13.31 -18.30 -7.79 10.97 1.05 rw[87] -13.22 3.20 -13.45 -18.57 -7.82 10.92 1.04 rw[88] -13.28 3.21 -13.57 -18.34 -7.72 11.11 1.05 rw[89] -13.33 3.18 -13.45 -18.95 -8.19 11.12 1.04 rw[90] -13.34 3.16 -13.50 -18.66 -8.12 11.26 1.05 rw[91] -13.43 3.14 -13.55 -18.42 -7.77 11.57 1.05 rw[92] -13.53 3.14 -13.67 -18.15 -7.66 11.42 1.05 rw[93] -13.61 3.16 -13.77 -18.62 -8.30 11.18 1.05 rw[94] -13.64 3.20 -13.84 -18.69 -8.18 11.47 1.05 rw[95] -13.71 3.16 -13.82 -18.84 -8.39 11.27 1.05 rw[96] -13.76 3.15 -13.98 -19.37 -9.08 11.77 1.05 rw[97] -13.75 3.13 -13.95 -19.33 -8.86 11.24 1.05 rw[98] -13.69 3.10 -13.87 -18.57 -8.46 11.30 1.05 rw[99] -13.61 3.10 -13.77 -18.55 -8.36 11.32 1.05 rw[100] -13.51 3.10 -13.59 -18.10 -7.72 11.20 1.05 rw[101] -13.38 3.11 -13.53 -18.65 -8.43 11.00 1.05 rw[102] -13.20 3.09 -13.38 -17.94 -7.71 11.43 1.04 rw[103] -12.95 3.04 -13.14 -17.77 -7.68 11.32 1.04 rw[104] -12.68 3.07 -12.83 -17.21 -7.27 11.31 1.04 rw[105] -12.39 3.09 -12.41 -17.23 -7.19 11.08 1.04 rw[106] -12.15 3.13 -12.18 -16.95 -6.61 11.38 1.04 rw[107] -11.88 3.10 -11.95 -16.64 -6.36 11.24 1.04 rw[108] -11.66 3.08 -11.79 -16.65 -6.46 10.89 1.05 rw[109] -11.37 3.05 -11.58 -16.06 -6.01 10.84 1.04 rw[110] -11.13 3.04 -11.32 -16.44 -6.29 10.35 1.04 rw[111] -10.91 3.04 -11.08 -15.38 -5.27 10.56 1.04 rw[112] -10.68 3.02 -10.79 -15.28 -5.46 10.64 1.04 rw[113] -10.52 2.98 -10.57 -15.59 -5.90 10.24 1.04 rw[114] -10.40 2.99 -10.44 -15.45 -5.63 10.36 1.05 rw[115] -10.29 2.94 -10.46 -14.74 -4.82 10.48 1.04 rw[116] -10.20 2.97 -10.26 -15.23 -5.26 10.67 1.04 rw[117] -10.17 3.00 -10.17 -15.10 -4.81 10.72 1.05 rw[118] -10.14 3.01 -10.17 -15.04 -4.78 11.02 1.04 rw[119] -10.10 3.04 -10.13 -15.75 -5.32 10.72 1.05 rw[120] -10.12 3.05 -10.19 -15.61 -5.25 10.92 1.05 rw[121] -10.12 3.04 -10.21 -15.63 -5.35 10.88 1.05 rw[122] -10.15 3.07 -10.24 -16.01 -5.63 10.90 1.05 rw[123] -10.13 3.04 -10.20 -15.70 -5.63 10.73 1.04 rw[124] -10.17 3.07 -10.22 -15.40 -5.21 10.43 1.04 rw[125] -10.24 3.05 -10.29 -15.52 -5.13 10.49 1.04 rw[126] -10.35 3.02 -10.45 -15.69 -5.48 10.73 1.04 rw[127] -10.42 3.04 -10.62 -15.35 -5.19 10.67 1.05 rw[128] -10.53 3.03 -10.73 -15.68 -5.71 10.63 1.05 rw[129] -10.63 3.11 -10.79 -15.86 -5.49 11.10 1.05 rw[130] -10.70 3.10 -10.83 -16.12 -5.90 10.80 1.04 rw[131] -10.81 3.04 -10.94 -16.04 -6.13 10.99 1.05 rw[132] -10.94 3.05 -11.14 -16.01 -5.96 11.00 1.04 rw[133] -11.15 3.07 -11.33 -16.25 -6.39 10.67 1.05 rw[134] -11.27 3.08 -11.44 -15.89 -6.07 11.08 1.05 rw[135] -11.39 3.05 -11.53 -16.28 -6.61 10.90 1.05 rw[136] -11.55 3.06 -11.72 -16.23 -6.31 10.80 1.05 rw[137] -11.66 3.05 -11.81 -16.85 -6.75 10.58 1.05 rw[138] -11.80 3.06 -12.05 -17.10 -7.10 10.45 1.05 rw[139] -11.89 3.06 -11.99 -16.84 -6.81 10.69 1.05 rw[140] -11.95 3.11 -12.13 -17.02 -6.69 10.86 1.04 rw[141] -12.03 3.06 -12.08 -16.81 -6.48 10.87 1.05 rw[142] -12.14 3.08 -12.21 -17.61 -7.21 11.07 1.05 rw[143] -12.22 3.07 -12.37 -17.01 -6.59 10.58 1.04 rw[144] -12.19 3.06 -12.43 -17.34 -7.14 10.77 1.04 rw[145] -12.27 2.98 -12.40 -17.47 -7.55 11.13 1.04 rw[146] -12.28 2.97 -12.48 -17.16 -7.30 10.97 1.04 rw[147] -12.36 3.01 -12.58 -17.36 -7.56 11.13 1.05 rw[148] -12.44 3.00 -12.64 -17.67 -7.59 11.05 1.04 rw[149] -12.47 3.05 -12.58 -17.57 -7.32 11.14 1.05 rw[150] -12.53 3.06 -12.69 -17.98 -7.80 10.89 1.05 rw[151] -12.59 3.12 -12.83 -18.32 -7.88 10.89 1.05 rw[152] -12.66 3.11 -12.79 -18.03 -7.86 11.18 1.05 rw[153] -12.70 3.07 -12.79 -17.49 -7.55 11.24 1.05 rw[154] -12.77 3.09 -12.98 -17.42 -7.34 11.24 1.05 rw[155] -12.91 3.11 -13.07 -18.55 -8.22 11.14 1.04 rw[156] -13.05 3.17 -13.10 -17.94 -7.35 11.34 1.04 rw[157] -13.16 3.19 -13.25 -18.86 -8.33 11.03 1.04 rw[158] -13.23 3.19 -13.20 -17.98 -7.42 10.88 1.04 rw[159] -13.29 3.23 -13.35 -18.68 -7.73 11.31 1.04 rw[160] -13.41 3.24 -13.54 -18.24 -7.63 10.90 1.04 rw[161] -13.47 3.17 -13.65 -18.04 -7.52 11.14 1.03 rw[162] -13.55 3.19 -13.74 -19.07 -8.57 10.77 1.04 rw[163] -13.59 3.17 -13.76 -18.95 -8.46 10.62 1.04 rw[164] -13.63 3.14 -13.77 -18.79 -8.66 10.97 1.03 rw[165] -13.59 3.16 -13.73 -18.40 -8.28 11.09 1.03 rw[166] -13.61 3.11 -13.76 -18.72 -8.40 11.18 1.03 rw[167] -13.58 3.16 -13.70 -18.53 -7.95 11.13 1.03 rw[168] -13.65 3.17 -13.79 -18.90 -8.37 11.13 1.03 rw[169] -13.67 3.19 -13.83 -18.48 -7.77 11.54 1.03 rw[170] -13.72 3.07 -13.84 -19.10 -8.83 11.10 1.04 rw[171] -13.71 3.07 -13.91 -18.58 -8.48 10.91 1.05 rw[172] -13.70 3.03 -13.91 -18.94 -8.96 10.92 1.05 rw[173] -13.64 3.04 -13.77 -18.25 -8.30 11.57 1.05 rw[174] -13.61 3.09 -13.66 -18.33 -8.22 11.27 1.06 rw[175] -13.61 3.11 -13.82 -18.14 -7.88 11.22 1.06 rw[176] -13.59 3.14 -13.81 -18.56 -8.38 11.08 1.05 rw[177] -13.57 3.09 -13.75 -19.00 -8.77 11.27 1.05 rw[178] -13.51 3.10 -13.74 -18.60 -8.18 11.58 1.05 rw[179] -13.43 3.11 -13.64 -18.14 -7.61 11.24 1.06 rw[180] -13.28 3.06 -13.57 -18.30 -7.99 10.81 1.06 rw[181] -13.20 3.07 -13.34 -18.14 -7.93 10.75 1.05 rw[182] -13.16 3.07 -13.32 -18.71 -8.50 10.89 1.04 rw[183] -13.11 3.09 -13.21 -18.37 -8.05 10.98 1.05 rw[184] -13.05 3.10 -13.23 -18.33 -8.07 11.28 1.05 rw[185] -13.04 3.14 -13.19 -17.52 -7.04 11.45 1.05 rw[186] -12.97 3.17 -13.18 -17.87 -7.34 11.14 1.05 rw[187] -12.95 3.14 -13.17 -18.23 -7.98 11.47 1.05 rw[188] -12.98 3.19 -13.07 -18.68 -8.09 11.55 1.05 rw[189] -12.98 3.22 -13.05 -18.46 -7.71 11.65 1.04 rw[190] -13.03 3.17 -13.25 -18.01 -7.39 11.26 1.05 rw[191] -13.08 3.12 -13.30 -18.07 -7.55 11.35 1.04 rw[192] -13.10 3.16 -13.17 -17.45 -6.80 11.29 1.05 rw[193] -13.18 3.12 -13.43 -18.34 -7.77 11.11 1.05 rw[194] -13.22 3.06 -13.33 -17.80 -7.80 11.20 1.05 rw[195] -13.25 3.09 -13.34 -17.74 -7.58 11.36 1.04 rw[196] -13.38 3.05 -13.44 -18.60 -8.59 11.37 1.03 rw[197] -13.55 3.05 -13.73 -18.73 -8.62 10.93 1.04 rw[198] -13.67 3.07 -13.86 -18.52 -8.29 10.99 1.04 rw[199] -13.79 3.11 -13.90 -19.25 -8.96 11.32 1.03 rw[200] -13.82 3.12 -14.03 -19.23 -8.85 10.93 1.03 rw[201] -13.86 3.12 -13.85 -19.46 -8.94 11.26 1.04 rw[202] -13.88 3.15 -13.96 -18.71 -8.26 11.22 1.03 rw[203] -13.87 3.20 -13.88 -19.41 -8.75 11.28 1.04 rw[204] -13.83 3.18 -13.87 -18.62 -8.09 11.08 1.04 rw[205] -13.78 3.13 -13.94 -19.32 -8.81 10.97 1.04 rw[206] -13.70 3.08 -13.88 -18.95 -8.54 11.04 1.04 rw[207] -13.58 3.05 -13.72 -18.99 -8.80 10.88 1.04 rw[208] -13.44 3.04 -13.54 -18.05 -7.96 10.76 1.04 rw[209] -13.37 2.99 -13.41 -18.09 -8.18 11.05 1.04 rw[210] -13.26 2.99 -13.30 -18.86 -8.90 11.25 1.04 rw[211] -13.24 3.01 -13.31 -18.82 -8.83 11.04 1.04 rw[212] -13.19 3.02 -13.25 -18.30 -8.12 11.12 1.04 rw[213] -13.09 3.02 -13.16 -18.36 -8.35 11.17 1.05 rw[214] -12.90 3.05 -12.96 -18.27 -8.14 11.05 1.06 rw[215] -12.75 2.99 -12.77 -17.89 -7.99 10.67 1.05 rw[216] -12.64 2.96 -12.74 -17.75 -7.86 10.53 1.06 rw[217] -12.42 2.99 -12.52 -17.46 -7.47 10.29 1.05 rw[218] -12.27 2.94 -12.38 -17.35 -7.57 9.96 1.05 rw[219] -12.06 2.93 -12.13 -16.96 -7.12 9.46 1.05 rw[220] -11.87 2.83 -11.99 -16.25 -6.78 9.01 1.06 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.23 0.26 1797.97 1.00 Number of divergences: 0