mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.73 0.91 0.46 0.00 1.77 1339.30 1.00 E0 5.70 6.53 3.71 0.01 12.50 119.31 1.01 H0 1.59 1.61 1.13 0.00 3.69 1162.79 1.00 I0 5.86 4.61 4.71 0.62 11.42 28.75 1.02 beta0 1.77 0.46 1.77 0.99 2.49 7.35 1.02 confirmed_dispersion 0.44 0.06 0.44 0.35 0.54 1312.55 1.00 death_dispersion 0.27 0.02 0.27 0.24 0.30 1996.30 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 1639.13 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.08 739.03 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.31 0.22 0.41 2174.37 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 1806.87 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1565.96 1.00 rw[0] -0.00 1.03 0.02 -1.75 1.59 49.11 1.00 rw[1] 0.15 1.46 0.17 -2.23 2.57 20.82 1.00 rw[2] 0.38 1.77 0.40 -2.33 3.47 17.53 1.00 rw[3] 0.67 2.07 0.64 -2.87 4.00 13.39 1.00 rw[4] 1.04 2.24 0.98 -2.51 4.85 11.74 1.00 rw[5] 1.41 2.44 1.28 -2.53 5.50 10.50 1.01 rw[6] 1.72 2.62 1.61 -3.00 5.74 9.31 1.01 rw[7] 2.04 2.73 1.94 -2.44 6.50 9.21 1.01 rw[8] 2.25 2.83 2.10 -2.54 6.73 8.58 1.01 rw[9] 2.46 2.94 2.24 -2.05 7.74 8.41 1.01 rw[10] 2.55 3.03 2.34 -2.68 7.51 8.39 1.02 rw[11] 2.50 3.11 2.15 -2.84 7.64 8.33 1.02 rw[12] 2.32 3.13 1.96 -2.74 7.63 8.30 1.03 rw[13] 2.10 3.17 1.75 -2.59 7.88 8.21 1.02 rw[14] 1.71 3.16 1.26 -2.97 7.44 8.20 1.03 rw[15] 1.29 3.19 0.86 -3.22 7.05 8.04 1.03 rw[16] 0.75 3.17 0.38 -4.12 6.20 8.08 1.02 rw[17] 0.21 3.10 -0.23 -4.17 6.00 8.20 1.03 rw[18] -0.47 3.09 -0.81 -5.51 4.54 8.09 1.03 rw[19] -1.21 3.13 -1.65 -6.21 4.08 8.08 1.03 rw[20] -1.99 3.16 -2.34 -7.28 3.23 8.06 1.03 rw[21] -2.84 3.11 -3.10 -7.62 2.75 8.24 1.03 rw[22] -3.72 3.17 -3.99 -8.78 1.98 8.23 1.03 rw[23] -4.62 3.12 -4.94 -9.31 1.32 8.07 1.03 rw[24] -5.51 3.07 -5.79 -10.22 0.08 7.95 1.03 rw[25] -6.39 3.08 -6.71 -11.07 -1.10 7.87 1.03 rw[26] -7.23 3.07 -7.54 -12.05 -1.92 7.86 1.03 rw[27] -8.04 3.11 -8.35 -12.75 -2.30 7.66 1.02 rw[28] -8.76 3.10 -9.04 -14.14 -4.05 7.88 1.02 rw[29] -9.46 3.11 -9.66 -14.33 -4.13 7.96 1.02 rw[30] -10.12 3.12 -10.44 -15.06 -4.74 8.04 1.02 rw[31] -10.71 3.15 -11.00 -16.16 -5.60 7.96 1.02 rw[32] -11.22 3.12 -11.44 -16.65 -6.06 8.29 1.03 rw[33] -11.63 3.13 -11.87 -17.07 -6.58 8.33 1.03 rw[34] -12.00 3.12 -12.36 -17.26 -6.76 8.33 1.03 rw[35] -12.32 3.15 -12.61 -17.62 -7.03 8.27 1.02 rw[36] -12.63 3.15 -12.98 -17.72 -7.32 8.32 1.02 rw[37] -12.83 3.13 -13.12 -17.90 -7.39 8.31 1.02 rw[38] -12.93 3.10 -13.21 -17.79 -7.51 8.40 1.02 rw[39] -13.02 3.11 -13.26 -17.57 -7.33 8.55 1.02 rw[40] -13.06 3.09 -13.29 -17.41 -7.47 8.76 1.02 rw[41] -13.05 3.08 -13.27 -18.16 -8.13 8.88 1.03 rw[42] -12.99 3.11 -13.20 -18.26 -7.83 8.94 1.02 rw[43] -12.93 3.12 -13.14 -18.39 -8.04 8.96 1.02 rw[44] -12.83 3.14 -13.02 -17.77 -7.41 9.11 1.03 rw[45] -12.76 3.21 -12.90 -17.82 -7.56 9.03 1.02 rw[46] -12.67 3.21 -12.87 -17.40 -7.07 9.08 1.02 rw[47] -12.53 3.21 -12.78 -17.59 -7.25 9.12 1.02 rw[48] -12.43 3.20 -12.69 -16.76 -6.58 8.93 1.02 rw[49] -12.34 3.25 -12.63 -17.02 -6.53 8.72 1.02 rw[50] -12.23 3.23 -12.53 -17.27 -6.82 8.59 1.02 rw[51] -12.20 3.20 -12.53 -16.78 -6.49 8.42 1.02 rw[52] -12.20 3.18 -12.51 -16.79 -6.56 8.41 1.01 rw[53] -12.21 3.18 -12.55 -16.84 -6.45 8.53 1.02 rw[54] -12.25 3.17 -12.51 -17.37 -6.88 8.56 1.02 rw[55] -12.29 3.18 -12.64 -16.94 -6.64 8.56 1.02 rw[56] -12.35 3.18 -12.69 -17.37 -7.00 8.48 1.02 rw[57] -12.52 3.19 -12.78 -17.61 -7.01 8.49 1.02 rw[58] -12.61 3.17 -12.91 -17.63 -7.08 8.63 1.01 rw[59] -12.78 3.19 -13.09 -17.58 -6.83 8.44 1.02 rw[60] -12.94 3.23 -13.28 -18.26 -7.57 8.44 1.02 rw[61] -13.10 3.22 -13.39 -18.15 -7.52 8.57 1.02 rw[62] -13.24 3.21 -13.53 -18.34 -7.68 8.47 1.02 rw[63] -13.37 3.21 -13.69 -18.74 -8.14 8.50 1.02 rw[64] -13.52 3.22 -13.96 -18.47 -7.84 8.31 1.02 rw[65] -13.70 3.23 -14.18 -19.04 -8.37 8.33 1.03 rw[66] -13.85 3.17 -14.21 -18.39 -7.92 8.33 1.03 rw[67] -13.92 3.26 -14.42 -18.91 -8.24 8.18 1.03 rw[68] -14.08 3.22 -14.49 -18.83 -8.28 8.08 1.03 rw[69] -14.16 3.21 -14.59 -19.26 -8.77 8.13 1.03 rw[70] -14.26 3.20 -14.63 -19.24 -8.74 8.12 1.03 rw[71] -14.37 3.21 -14.70 -19.03 -8.30 8.32 1.03 rw[72] -14.42 3.22 -14.84 -19.55 -8.81 8.52 1.03 rw[73] -14.52 3.23 -14.79 -19.81 -9.09 8.76 1.03 rw[74] -14.59 3.25 -14.84 -20.24 -9.56 9.07 1.03 rw[75] -14.65 3.23 -14.87 -19.83 -9.07 8.99 1.03 rw[76] -14.73 3.27 -14.93 -20.21 -9.48 8.84 1.03 rw[77] -14.82 3.21 -15.04 -19.49 -8.92 8.94 1.02 rw[78] -14.93 3.22 -15.20 -19.63 -9.16 9.12 1.02 rw[79] -15.00 3.25 -15.18 -20.31 -9.58 9.16 1.02 rw[80] -15.11 3.26 -15.27 -20.17 -9.14 9.10 1.02 rw[81] -15.21 3.24 -15.46 -20.53 -9.97 9.04 1.02 rw[82] -15.30 3.26 -15.62 -20.30 -9.48 8.99 1.02 rw[83] -15.37 3.23 -15.76 -20.20 -9.48 9.13 1.02 rw[84] -15.42 3.21 -15.82 -20.53 -9.77 9.28 1.02 rw[85] -15.45 3.19 -15.71 -20.44 -9.85 9.32 1.02 rw[86] -15.51 3.18 -15.82 -20.83 -10.25 9.17 1.02 rw[87] -15.56 3.21 -15.85 -20.36 -9.59 9.35 1.02 rw[88] -15.62 3.21 -15.97 -20.94 -10.26 9.31 1.02 rw[89] -15.64 3.24 -15.91 -21.45 -10.65 9.37 1.02 rw[90] -15.64 3.25 -15.89 -21.33 -10.30 9.42 1.02 rw[91] -15.56 3.28 -15.78 -20.74 -9.68 9.46 1.02 rw[92] -15.49 3.30 -15.82 -20.22 -9.03 9.55 1.02 rw[93] -15.44 3.25 -15.79 -20.83 -10.19 9.49 1.02 rw[94] -15.33 3.26 -15.48 -20.62 -10.10 9.47 1.02 rw[95] -15.19 3.24 -15.41 -20.27 -9.48 9.34 1.02 rw[96] -15.03 3.23 -15.29 -20.47 -10.02 9.26 1.02 rw[97] -14.83 3.22 -15.04 -19.96 -9.38 9.12 1.02 rw[98] -14.66 3.24 -14.95 -19.42 -8.91 8.92 1.02 rw[99] -14.43 3.29 -14.69 -19.01 -8.17 8.94 1.02 rw[100] -14.29 3.24 -14.59 -19.26 -8.83 8.56 1.02 rw[101] -14.05 3.24 -14.35 -18.89 -8.49 8.73 1.02 rw[102] -13.81 3.22 -14.07 -18.97 -8.52 8.67 1.02 rw[103] -13.59 3.17 -13.84 -18.94 -8.72 8.66 1.02 rw[104] -13.38 3.20 -13.72 -18.55 -8.02 8.54 1.02 rw[105] -13.19 3.19 -13.57 -17.63 -6.99 8.72 1.02 rw[106] -12.95 3.19 -13.27 -18.53 -7.72 8.86 1.02 rw[107] -12.75 3.23 -13.02 -17.73 -6.92 8.73 1.02 rw[108] -12.63 3.20 -12.99 -18.03 -7.29 8.67 1.02 rw[109] -12.50 3.22 -12.92 -17.94 -7.20 8.62 1.02 rw[110] -12.38 3.20 -12.73 -17.79 -7.21 8.61 1.02 rw[111] -12.32 3.24 -12.62 -17.70 -7.13 8.51 1.02 rw[112] -12.28 3.25 -12.60 -17.31 -6.57 8.24 1.02 rw[113] -12.20 3.23 -12.47 -17.24 -6.49 8.27 1.02 rw[114] -12.23 3.23 -12.57 -17.49 -6.91 8.40 1.02 rw[115] -12.28 3.21 -12.50 -17.03 -6.47 8.46 1.02 rw[116] -12.36 3.22 -12.67 -16.95 -6.37 8.30 1.02 rw[117] -12.48 3.19 -12.91 -17.65 -7.16 8.57 1.03 rw[118] -12.54 3.19 -12.83 -17.11 -6.60 8.63 1.02 rw[119] -12.66 3.19 -12.94 -17.41 -6.95 8.61 1.02 rw[120] -12.73 3.16 -13.10 -17.27 -6.82 8.75 1.02 rw[121] -12.82 3.14 -13.09 -18.31 -8.01 8.44 1.02 rw[122] -12.92 3.14 -13.22 -18.59 -8.28 8.58 1.02 rw[123] -12.92 3.15 -13.16 -17.81 -7.34 8.60 1.02 rw[124] -12.94 3.13 -13.16 -18.23 -7.62 8.63 1.02 rw[125] -12.93 3.14 -13.18 -17.97 -7.31 8.68 1.02 rw[126] -12.89 3.11 -13.13 -18.19 -7.80 8.80 1.01 rw[127] -12.80 3.10 -13.08 -17.85 -7.54 8.88 1.02 rw[128] -12.61 3.07 -12.94 -17.63 -7.48 8.97 1.02 rw[129] -12.46 3.08 -12.78 -17.66 -7.52 9.02 1.02 rw[130] -12.29 3.08 -12.50 -17.25 -7.12 9.09 1.02 rw[131] -12.07 3.12 -12.27 -16.48 -6.30 9.17 1.02 rw[132] -11.92 3.07 -12.02 -17.15 -6.80 9.20 1.02 rw[133] -11.73 3.08 -11.92 -16.45 -5.86 9.08 1.02 rw[134] -11.57 3.08 -11.83 -16.41 -5.96 8.65 1.02 rw[135] -11.47 3.10 -11.84 -16.31 -5.82 8.48 1.02 rw[136] -11.31 3.16 -11.53 -16.57 -5.87 8.47 1.02 rw[137] -11.20 3.14 -11.44 -16.32 -5.91 8.46 1.02 rw[138] -11.09 3.13 -11.43 -15.92 -5.46 8.37 1.03 rw[139] -11.03 3.16 -11.41 -16.47 -6.10 8.45 1.02 rw[140] -11.01 3.16 -11.37 -15.69 -5.09 8.48 1.02 rw[141] -10.96 3.14 -11.32 -15.74 -5.24 8.59 1.03 rw[142] -10.96 3.09 -11.24 -15.78 -5.34 8.50 1.03 rw[143] -11.00 3.10 -11.24 -15.40 -4.98 8.31 1.02 rw[144] -10.98 3.08 -11.30 -15.71 -5.66 8.24 1.03 rw[145] -10.94 3.09 -11.24 -15.42 -5.11 8.08 1.02 rw[146] -10.94 3.08 -11.30 -15.71 -5.54 8.00 1.03 rw[147] -10.97 3.13 -11.31 -15.32 -4.80 8.12 1.02 rw[148] -11.04 3.12 -11.29 -15.73 -5.45 7.98 1.02 rw[149] -11.09 3.17 -11.33 -17.13 -6.34 8.02 1.02 rw[150] -11.11 3.12 -11.38 -15.98 -5.53 8.23 1.02 rw[151] -11.18 3.09 -11.51 -16.02 -5.79 8.44 1.03 rw[152] -11.23 3.10 -11.51 -16.05 -5.71 8.18 1.03 rw[153] -11.26 3.07 -11.59 -16.23 -5.91 7.99 1.03 rw[154] -11.33 3.05 -11.63 -16.66 -6.43 7.99 1.03 rw[155] -11.37 3.11 -11.76 -16.93 -6.51 7.99 1.02 rw[156] -11.39 3.14 -11.61 -16.40 -6.13 8.21 1.02 rw[157] -11.39 3.14 -11.66 -16.38 -5.79 8.46 1.02 rw[158] -11.37 3.14 -11.64 -16.63 -6.05 8.66 1.02 rw[159] -11.36 3.10 -11.66 -15.77 -5.45 8.54 1.03 rw[160] -11.38 3.15 -11.73 -16.61 -6.14 8.52 1.03 rw[161] -11.40 3.14 -11.67 -16.53 -6.20 8.42 1.03 rw[162] -11.43 3.09 -11.67 -17.37 -6.90 8.61 1.02 rw[163] -11.41 3.14 -11.73 -16.19 -5.91 8.40 1.02 rw[164] -11.42 3.11 -11.68 -15.88 -5.74 8.44 1.02 rw[165] -11.50 3.07 -11.83 -16.71 -6.44 8.30 1.02 rw[166] -11.48 3.08 -11.82 -16.51 -6.04 8.35 1.02 rw[167] -11.49 3.11 -11.81 -16.96 -6.45 8.38 1.02 rw[168] -11.56 3.13 -11.91 -17.00 -6.60 8.46 1.03 rw[169] -11.52 3.13 -11.84 -16.34 -6.09 8.37 1.03 rw[170] -11.59 3.14 -11.83 -16.75 -6.46 8.19 1.02 rw[171] -11.62 3.13 -11.92 -16.14 -5.94 8.20 1.02 rw[172] -11.72 3.10 -12.03 -16.50 -6.29 8.14 1.02 rw[173] -11.72 3.14 -12.03 -17.28 -6.83 8.41 1.02 rw[174] -11.73 3.15 -11.94 -16.77 -6.33 8.60 1.02 rw[175] -11.71 3.18 -12.07 -16.43 -5.90 8.46 1.02 rw[176] -11.79 3.17 -12.15 -16.66 -6.14 8.21 1.02 rw[177] -11.80 3.15 -12.15 -16.82 -6.34 8.15 1.03 rw[178] -11.87 3.11 -12.26 -16.50 -6.24 8.13 1.02 rw[179] -11.86 3.10 -12.23 -16.64 -6.38 8.04 1.03 rw[180] -11.88 3.05 -12.20 -16.35 -6.25 7.97 1.02 rw[181] -11.88 3.08 -12.11 -16.36 -6.32 8.07 1.02 rw[182] -11.93 3.04 -12.25 -16.38 -6.15 8.36 1.02 rw[183] -11.99 3.06 -12.32 -16.82 -6.61 8.41 1.02 rw[184] -12.03 3.10 -12.30 -17.01 -6.41 8.43 1.02 rw[185] -12.12 3.10 -12.48 -17.85 -7.43 8.59 1.02 rw[186] -12.11 3.09 -12.43 -17.14 -6.84 8.55 1.03 rw[187] -12.05 3.06 -12.42 -17.01 -6.86 8.46 1.03 rw[188] -12.01 3.08 -12.36 -17.27 -7.20 8.42 1.03 rw[189] -11.96 3.07 -12.38 -16.85 -6.87 8.26 1.03 rw[190] -11.84 3.03 -12.13 -16.52 -6.60 8.50 1.02 rw[191] -11.80 3.07 -12.03 -16.43 -6.28 8.48 1.02 rw[192] -11.72 3.06 -12.10 -16.65 -6.40 8.20 1.02 rw[193] -11.63 3.06 -11.95 -15.86 -5.89 8.24 1.02 rw[194] -11.54 3.06 -11.88 -15.74 -5.56 8.22 1.02 rw[195] -11.47 3.06 -11.71 -15.95 -5.70 8.27 1.02 rw[196] -11.39 3.08 -11.69 -16.12 -5.85 8.01 1.02 rw[197] -11.35 3.07 -11.69 -16.12 -5.87 7.96 1.02 rw[198] -11.31 3.06 -11.64 -16.49 -6.17 7.94 1.02 rw[199] -11.21 3.02 -11.51 -15.44 -5.40 8.26 1.02 rw[200] -11.22 3.04 -11.49 -16.03 -6.08 8.25 1.02 rw[201] -11.23 3.09 -11.56 -15.95 -5.79 8.47 1.02 rw[202] -11.23 3.11 -11.52 -15.85 -5.82 8.56 1.02 rw[203] -11.19 3.14 -11.45 -15.86 -5.74 8.36 1.02 rw[204] -11.16 3.15 -11.44 -16.05 -5.67 8.50 1.02 rw[205] -11.13 3.10 -11.46 -16.21 -6.11 8.50 1.02 rw[206] -11.09 3.08 -11.41 -15.89 -5.91 8.30 1.02 rw[207] -11.07 3.09 -11.38 -16.20 -6.08 8.31 1.02 rw[208] -11.06 3.07 -11.24 -15.80 -5.73 8.39 1.02 rw[209] -11.04 3.07 -11.29 -15.76 -5.81 8.13 1.02 rw[210] -11.00 3.11 -11.32 -16.02 -5.89 7.97 1.02 rw[211] -10.91 3.09 -11.26 -15.91 -5.77 7.70 1.02 rw[212] -10.81 3.09 -11.09 -15.81 -5.49 7.90 1.02 rw[213] -10.73 3.10 -11.02 -16.04 -5.72 8.00 1.03 rw[214] -10.58 3.11 -10.78 -15.65 -5.35 7.78 1.03 rw[215] -10.45 3.10 -10.73 -15.21 -5.15 7.94 1.03 rw[216] -10.21 3.10 -10.51 -14.42 -4.36 7.97 1.02 rw[217] -10.00 3.11 -10.38 -14.74 -4.79 7.73 1.03 rw[218] -9.86 2.98 -10.17 -14.73 -4.95 7.53 1.03 rw[219] -9.66 2.90 -9.96 -13.94 -4.17 7.32 1.03 rw[220] -9.44 2.82 -9.72 -13.76 -4.40 6.78 1.02 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1701.14 1.00 Number of divergences: 0