mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.85 1.00 0.51 0.00 2.01 1488.87 1.00 E0 60.34 55.76 46.02 0.02 133.57 266.97 1.02 H0 1.70 1.79 1.06 0.00 4.02 1795.03 1.00 I0 35.84 22.57 29.87 5.14 64.78 153.09 1.04 beta0 2.61 0.48 2.58 1.83 3.41 12.31 1.29 confirmed_dispersion 0.45 0.06 0.45 0.36 0.54 1204.74 1.00 death_dispersion 0.36 0.03 0.36 0.32 0.41 1483.47 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 923.41 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.01 0.07 0.06 0.08 522.40 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.40 1645.41 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 1801.71 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1830.94 1.00 rw[0] 0.13 0.94 0.18 -1.19 1.88 538.16 1.01 rw[1] 0.30 1.29 0.34 -1.86 2.23 252.42 1.03 rw[2] 0.58 1.56 0.52 -1.87 3.26 108.08 1.04 rw[3] 0.90 1.67 0.88 -1.73 3.86 51.88 1.08 rw[4] 1.20 1.81 1.24 -1.52 4.46 37.93 1.11 rw[5] 1.42 1.98 1.45 -1.93 4.64 28.86 1.11 rw[6] 1.55 2.07 1.61 -1.96 4.81 25.74 1.14 rw[7] 1.49 2.13 1.49 -1.93 4.90 22.58 1.16 rw[8] 1.33 2.19 1.33 -1.92 5.00 22.79 1.16 rw[9] 0.89 2.23 0.88 -2.47 4.81 20.22 1.17 rw[10] 0.27 2.31 0.31 -3.39 4.37 18.97 1.20 rw[11] -0.40 2.27 -0.37 -3.65 3.95 17.25 1.19 rw[12] -1.23 2.29 -1.21 -4.93 2.56 15.43 1.22 rw[13] -2.12 2.23 -2.10 -5.60 1.65 16.94 1.21 rw[14] -2.98 2.23 -2.97 -6.41 1.06 18.57 1.21 rw[15] -3.90 2.23 -3.91 -7.43 -0.21 20.75 1.20 rw[16] -4.86 2.22 -4.87 -8.19 -0.98 19.13 1.20 rw[17] -5.82 2.16 -5.84 -9.24 -2.15 20.51 1.20 rw[18] -6.84 2.22 -6.80 -10.39 -3.21 19.79 1.21 rw[19] -7.93 2.27 -7.84 -11.87 -4.34 17.83 1.21 rw[20] -9.05 2.30 -8.98 -12.65 -5.35 15.23 1.25 rw[21] -10.21 2.26 -10.24 -13.83 -6.38 15.74 1.22 rw[22] -11.42 2.28 -11.42 -15.04 -7.48 16.17 1.22 rw[23] -12.65 2.34 -12.68 -16.42 -8.88 21.37 1.19 rw[24] -13.84 2.37 -13.84 -17.96 -10.28 22.87 1.17 rw[25] -14.98 2.35 -14.93 -19.19 -11.59 24.09 1.16 rw[26] -16.07 2.35 -16.07 -19.96 -12.29 22.30 1.16 rw[27] -17.06 2.31 -17.05 -20.95 -13.35 24.01 1.16 rw[28] -18.10 2.36 -18.06 -21.66 -13.81 24.19 1.16 rw[29] -19.01 2.36 -18.92 -22.83 -14.95 23.00 1.17 rw[30] -19.88 2.37 -19.82 -23.59 -15.78 23.41 1.15 rw[31] -20.62 2.40 -20.60 -24.77 -16.99 24.60 1.15 rw[32] -21.24 2.42 -21.20 -25.83 -17.80 26.76 1.15 rw[33] -21.82 2.49 -21.83 -26.32 -18.21 24.34 1.15 rw[34] -22.27 2.48 -22.27 -26.31 -18.30 24.63 1.17 rw[35] -22.64 2.51 -22.67 -26.81 -18.56 25.34 1.15 rw[36] -22.94 2.59 -22.88 -27.18 -18.75 22.52 1.16 rw[37] -23.12 2.59 -23.13 -27.93 -19.39 18.08 1.17 rw[38] -23.28 2.58 -23.32 -27.39 -18.98 19.74 1.17 rw[39] -23.35 2.62 -23.31 -27.47 -18.75 20.42 1.16 rw[40] -23.40 2.66 -23.46 -27.66 -19.06 19.13 1.17 rw[41] -23.39 2.67 -23.47 -28.12 -19.35 18.62 1.18 rw[42] -23.36 2.68 -23.36 -27.36 -18.73 16.84 1.20 rw[43] -23.26 2.68 -23.33 -27.47 -18.82 15.50 1.21 rw[44] -23.17 2.68 -23.13 -27.31 -18.65 18.04 1.19 rw[45] -23.05 2.62 -23.10 -27.40 -18.99 16.64 1.20 rw[46] -22.92 2.62 -22.99 -26.65 -18.05 18.88 1.19 rw[47] -22.74 2.59 -22.80 -27.34 -18.90 20.47 1.18 rw[48] -22.52 2.58 -22.56 -26.77 -18.28 20.27 1.18 rw[49] -22.35 2.60 -22.47 -26.52 -18.04 18.61 1.19 rw[50] -22.12 2.60 -22.15 -26.63 -18.24 21.62 1.17 rw[51] -21.96 2.59 -22.04 -26.35 -17.82 21.56 1.16 rw[52] -21.77 2.60 -21.88 -25.87 -17.49 21.67 1.16 rw[53] -21.55 2.56 -21.64 -25.73 -17.39 23.30 1.15 rw[54] -21.38 2.51 -21.43 -25.49 -17.30 23.50 1.15 rw[55] -21.21 2.45 -21.20 -24.77 -16.76 23.04 1.16 rw[56] -20.97 2.41 -21.03 -25.03 -17.04 25.83 1.14 rw[57] -20.77 2.41 -20.81 -24.90 -17.02 24.65 1.14 rw[58] -20.56 2.45 -20.51 -24.63 -16.71 23.10 1.15 rw[59] -20.33 2.44 -20.34 -24.34 -16.38 25.90 1.15 rw[60] -20.15 2.45 -20.09 -23.98 -16.16 27.03 1.14 rw[61] -19.95 2.46 -19.88 -23.75 -15.76 26.53 1.14 rw[62] -19.73 2.47 -19.73 -23.77 -15.78 23.27 1.15 rw[63] -19.57 2.45 -19.51 -23.67 -15.67 27.83 1.14 rw[64] -19.41 2.43 -19.41 -23.35 -15.35 33.26 1.13 rw[65] -19.24 2.40 -19.22 -23.43 -15.53 35.98 1.12 rw[66] -19.05 2.37 -19.07 -23.19 -15.52 32.06 1.13 rw[67] -18.90 2.38 -18.90 -22.71 -14.94 30.81 1.13 rw[68] -18.70 2.35 -18.74 -22.60 -15.21 26.29 1.15 rw[69] -18.55 2.38 -18.47 -22.35 -14.77 23.76 1.16 rw[70] -18.40 2.42 -18.29 -22.50 -15.00 29.17 1.15 rw[71] -18.28 2.39 -18.23 -21.87 -14.09 24.34 1.16 rw[72] -18.18 2.46 -18.13 -22.42 -14.51 27.33 1.14 rw[73] -18.09 2.41 -18.03 -22.25 -14.45 28.21 1.14 rw[74] -17.95 2.44 -17.83 -22.19 -14.26 29.67 1.13 rw[75] -17.86 2.50 -17.77 -21.88 -13.81 29.55 1.13 rw[76] -17.77 2.49 -17.75 -21.97 -13.64 30.54 1.13 rw[77] -17.73 2.52 -17.66 -22.01 -13.77 34.52 1.13 rw[78] -17.64 2.52 -17.58 -21.75 -13.35 32.68 1.14 rw[79] -17.60 2.58 -17.56 -21.90 -13.43 33.50 1.13 rw[80] -17.58 2.50 -17.56 -21.75 -13.50 33.11 1.14 rw[81] -17.55 2.52 -17.53 -21.66 -13.36 31.18 1.13 rw[82] -17.49 2.51 -17.57 -21.50 -13.28 31.73 1.13 rw[83] -17.46 2.51 -17.49 -21.56 -13.40 30.05 1.13 rw[84] -17.51 2.52 -17.54 -21.48 -13.16 29.86 1.13 rw[85] -17.43 2.47 -17.40 -21.27 -13.27 27.38 1.14 rw[86] -17.41 2.49 -17.51 -21.10 -13.01 27.80 1.14 rw[87] -17.40 2.51 -17.30 -21.68 -13.49 27.72 1.13 rw[88] -17.35 2.47 -17.40 -21.42 -13.22 27.40 1.13 rw[89] -17.34 2.47 -17.28 -21.23 -13.18 28.68 1.13 rw[90] -17.37 2.44 -17.45 -21.15 -13.23 29.85 1.13 rw[91] -17.31 2.45 -17.36 -20.92 -12.95 30.10 1.12 rw[92] -17.31 2.43 -17.38 -21.35 -13.43 26.78 1.13 rw[93] -17.28 2.42 -17.37 -21.14 -13.14 24.60 1.14 rw[94] -17.26 2.40 -17.29 -21.44 -13.59 23.09 1.16 rw[95] -17.25 2.40 -17.31 -21.27 -13.39 23.96 1.16 rw[96] -17.16 2.42 -17.14 -21.05 -13.19 22.18 1.17 rw[97] -17.08 2.42 -17.10 -21.24 -13.48 18.35 1.20 rw[98] -16.99 2.39 -16.97 -21.29 -13.48 19.94 1.18 rw[99] -16.89 2.38 -16.83 -20.76 -13.09 18.02 1.19 rw[100] -16.83 2.40 -16.73 -20.82 -13.01 17.47 1.21 rw[101] -16.76 2.37 -16.73 -21.16 -13.41 18.46 1.21 rw[102] -16.66 2.43 -16.67 -20.37 -12.45 17.77 1.20 rw[103] -16.55 2.42 -16.60 -20.57 -12.65 20.29 1.19 rw[104] -16.45 2.41 -16.51 -20.71 -12.65 19.52 1.19 rw[105] -16.35 2.37 -16.38 -19.92 -12.08 20.27 1.20 rw[106] -16.29 2.43 -16.27 -20.27 -12.52 18.40 1.20 rw[107] -16.20 2.44 -16.14 -20.27 -12.48 19.53 1.20 rw[108] -16.14 2.46 -16.18 -20.30 -12.32 20.72 1.19 rw[109] -16.07 2.47 -16.11 -20.29 -12.36 23.19 1.18 rw[110] -16.02 2.49 -15.99 -20.02 -11.91 26.28 1.16 rw[111] -15.94 2.52 -16.00 -19.80 -11.80 26.82 1.15 rw[112] -15.85 2.58 -15.87 -19.63 -11.09 29.18 1.14 rw[113] -15.79 2.55 -15.78 -20.23 -11.87 26.69 1.14 rw[114] -15.77 2.51 -15.76 -19.59 -11.45 25.56 1.15 rw[115] -15.81 2.51 -15.73 -19.81 -11.65 24.16 1.17 rw[116] -15.86 2.47 -15.84 -20.01 -12.10 21.79 1.18 rw[117] -15.88 2.43 -15.90 -19.65 -11.67 22.85 1.18 rw[118] -15.87 2.39 -15.95 -19.47 -11.61 22.65 1.18 rw[119] -15.96 2.38 -15.91 -20.07 -12.06 22.97 1.18 rw[120] -16.06 2.34 -15.96 -20.20 -12.33 21.71 1.18 rw[121] -16.14 2.33 -16.11 -19.90 -12.35 21.52 1.18 rw[122] -16.25 2.32 -16.28 -19.66 -12.00 18.16 1.20 rw[123] -16.32 2.31 -16.30 -20.10 -12.40 19.22 1.20 rw[124] -16.36 2.32 -16.31 -20.19 -12.49 19.17 1.19 rw[125] -16.47 2.33 -16.42 -20.26 -12.75 18.14 1.19 rw[126] -16.53 2.35 -16.47 -20.28 -12.62 18.08 1.18 rw[127] -16.58 2.39 -16.61 -20.30 -12.51 20.66 1.17 rw[128] -16.67 2.41 -16.73 -20.98 -13.01 21.37 1.17 rw[129] -16.71 2.36 -16.65 -20.82 -13.14 21.09 1.18 rw[130] -16.79 2.36 -16.85 -20.59 -12.69 18.54 1.19 rw[131] -16.92 2.39 -16.91 -20.59 -12.70 17.23 1.19 rw[132] -16.93 2.38 -16.93 -21.03 -13.42 18.12 1.19 rw[133] -16.94 2.38 -16.84 -20.85 -13.24 20.71 1.19 rw[134] -16.95 2.34 -17.02 -20.56 -12.98 21.31 1.19 rw[135] -16.97 2.30 -17.01 -20.64 -13.25 24.85 1.18 rw[136] -16.94 2.30 -17.03 -20.39 -12.88 26.53 1.15 rw[137] -16.98 2.32 -16.96 -20.59 -13.08 24.82 1.17 rw[138] -16.96 2.31 -17.04 -20.32 -12.73 25.82 1.16 rw[139] -16.92 2.36 -17.03 -20.91 -13.28 26.74 1.15 rw[140] -16.86 2.40 -16.84 -20.90 -13.22 28.52 1.13 rw[141] -16.83 2.45 -16.82 -20.97 -12.94 28.04 1.14 rw[142] -16.71 2.41 -16.65 -20.18 -12.40 26.64 1.15 rw[143] -16.58 2.42 -16.58 -20.87 -13.01 27.90 1.14 rw[144] -16.46 2.41 -16.50 -20.36 -12.76 25.09 1.15 rw[145] -16.39 2.38 -16.41 -20.47 -12.73 25.28 1.16 rw[146] -16.32 2.37 -16.41 -20.08 -12.30 21.57 1.16 rw[147] -16.27 2.39 -16.25 -20.14 -12.33 24.35 1.15 rw[148] -16.15 2.35 -16.19 -20.22 -12.42 22.14 1.16 rw[149] -16.03 2.31 -16.06 -20.19 -12.42 25.23 1.15 rw[150] -16.00 2.30 -16.06 -19.74 -12.27 22.71 1.16 rw[151] -15.88 2.32 -15.87 -19.94 -12.36 21.63 1.16 rw[152] -15.78 2.32 -15.68 -19.40 -11.81 19.47 1.18 rw[153] -15.66 2.29 -15.74 -19.49 -12.02 19.35 1.18 rw[154] -15.57 2.29 -15.65 -19.61 -11.95 24.04 1.17 rw[155] -15.48 2.32 -15.48 -19.21 -11.63 21.76 1.18 rw[156] -15.39 2.31 -15.48 -18.87 -11.36 25.25 1.16 rw[157] -15.26 2.32 -15.26 -18.95 -11.42 24.78 1.15 rw[158] -15.17 2.32 -15.23 -19.25 -11.63 24.11 1.15 rw[159] -15.10 2.36 -15.16 -18.78 -11.00 24.99 1.15 rw[160] -14.99 2.36 -15.00 -18.81 -11.07 27.68 1.15 rw[161] -14.91 2.33 -14.91 -18.73 -11.02 24.61 1.15 rw[162] -14.81 2.33 -14.85 -18.36 -10.70 25.83 1.14 rw[163] -14.74 2.34 -14.81 -18.85 -11.25 27.18 1.13 rw[164] -14.65 2.36 -14.69 -18.22 -10.63 24.78 1.13 rw[165] -14.55 2.35 -14.55 -18.54 -10.96 23.38 1.14 rw[166] -14.51 2.37 -14.48 -18.89 -11.13 22.21 1.16 rw[167] -14.51 2.34 -14.56 -18.10 -10.33 24.00 1.16 rw[168] -14.51 2.39 -14.54 -18.58 -10.83 22.58 1.17 rw[169] -14.55 2.34 -14.66 -18.92 -11.21 21.55 1.18 rw[170] -14.54 2.32 -14.65 -18.26 -10.73 21.08 1.18 rw[171] -14.52 2.33 -14.61 -18.36 -10.69 21.68 1.17 rw[172] -14.53 2.37 -14.64 -17.99 -10.21 22.01 1.18 rw[173] -14.58 2.37 -14.62 -18.07 -10.30 19.43 1.21 rw[174] -14.57 2.43 -14.54 -18.42 -10.64 21.44 1.19 rw[175] -14.54 2.44 -14.61 -18.41 -10.43 21.33 1.19 rw[176] -14.52 2.45 -14.51 -18.30 -10.15 22.69 1.19 rw[177] -14.48 2.40 -14.46 -18.66 -10.74 20.47 1.20 rw[178] -14.41 2.37 -14.38 -18.47 -10.70 19.86 1.20 rw[179] -14.28 2.35 -14.27 -18.25 -10.65 19.46 1.20 rw[180] -14.16 2.33 -14.14 -18.18 -10.62 17.59 1.22 rw[181] -13.98 2.33 -14.07 -17.77 -10.42 18.67 1.21 rw[182] -13.83 2.35 -13.81 -18.10 -10.36 18.15 1.20 rw[183] -13.63 2.30 -13.68 -17.16 -9.44 20.34 1.18 rw[184] -13.50 2.28 -13.56 -17.51 -9.98 20.94 1.18 rw[185] -13.38 2.31 -13.38 -16.96 -9.38 21.33 1.17 rw[186] -13.31 2.30 -13.20 -16.81 -9.37 19.47 1.18 rw[187] -13.27 2.32 -13.18 -17.03 -9.58 21.69 1.17 rw[188] -13.27 2.31 -13.26 -17.22 -9.62 23.44 1.15 rw[189] -13.39 2.35 -13.40 -17.27 -9.67 22.86 1.15 rw[190] -13.55 2.39 -13.53 -17.61 -9.84 25.92 1.14 rw[191] -13.81 2.40 -13.78 -18.11 -10.24 25.27 1.15 rw[192] -14.09 2.35 -14.09 -18.29 -10.56 23.96 1.15 rw[193] -14.46 2.36 -14.41 -18.71 -10.87 22.82 1.15 rw[194] -14.87 2.33 -14.87 -18.84 -11.13 17.04 1.18 rw[195] -15.25 2.29 -15.25 -18.69 -11.17 18.39 1.17 rw[196] -15.69 2.28 -15.63 -19.24 -11.87 21.60 1.16 rw[197] -16.06 2.34 -15.98 -19.80 -12.27 18.71 1.18 rw[198] -16.41 2.37 -16.44 -20.35 -12.73 18.96 1.18 rw[199] -16.67 2.34 -16.77 -20.21 -12.57 18.77 1.17 rw[200] -16.82 2.39 -16.83 -20.77 -13.03 19.46 1.18 rw[201] -16.87 2.36 -16.91 -20.50 -12.72 16.45 1.19 rw[202] -16.83 2.31 -16.93 -20.56 -13.05 18.85 1.19 rw[203] -16.73 2.38 -16.81 -20.46 -12.73 17.75 1.20 rw[204] -16.67 2.39 -16.69 -20.46 -12.48 18.85 1.20 rw[205] -16.51 2.37 -16.61 -20.25 -12.56 18.28 1.20 rw[206] -16.35 2.31 -16.43 -19.83 -12.34 16.21 1.20 rw[207] -16.23 2.25 -16.31 -19.76 -12.37 18.27 1.19 rw[208] -16.11 2.28 -16.11 -19.98 -12.40 18.92 1.19 rw[209] -15.99 2.25 -16.05 -19.51 -12.15 21.04 1.18 rw[210] -15.90 2.24 -15.86 -19.58 -12.23 19.70 1.19 rw[211] -15.69 2.24 -15.72 -19.71 -12.29 19.77 1.20 rw[212] -15.53 2.24 -15.46 -19.05 -11.69 20.69 1.19 rw[213] -15.37 2.23 -15.29 -18.94 -11.90 20.47 1.20 rw[214] -15.23 2.25 -15.22 -18.85 -11.63 20.81 1.19 rw[215] -14.99 2.28 -14.92 -18.66 -11.22 21.82 1.18 rw[216] -14.73 2.28 -14.64 -18.08 -10.51 21.05 1.19 rw[217] -14.46 2.24 -14.43 -18.29 -10.99 19.52 1.20 rw[218] -14.14 2.19 -14.17 -17.80 -10.76 18.55 1.20 rw[219] -13.81 2.05 -13.81 -17.43 -10.72 16.57 1.24 rw[220] -13.38 1.90 -13.48 -16.56 -10.26 13.68 1.28 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1463.43 1.00 Number of divergences: 0