mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 14.32 4.98 13.58 6.92 21.10 1063.71 1.00 E0 510.90 440.57 414.56 0.31 1139.64 257.60 1.00 H0 33.97 15.07 31.92 11.66 58.02 171.19 1.00 I0 471.14 253.10 419.07 86.73 801.58 37.33 1.00 beta0 1.81 0.44 1.74 1.04 2.50 7.15 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.40 0.05 0.40 0.33 0.49 1651.46 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.11 2423.24 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 1531.00 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.01 0.07 0.05 0.09 376.49 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.41 2119.51 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 1548.07 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1409.65 1.00 rw[0] 0.05 0.99 0.10 -1.48 1.67 35.38 1.00 rw[1] 0.22 1.45 0.25 -2.22 2.53 18.71 1.00 rw[2] 0.42 1.76 0.47 -2.54 3.17 14.96 1.00 rw[3] 0.72 2.03 0.77 -2.51 4.10 12.14 1.00 rw[4] 1.02 2.20 1.13 -2.51 4.70 10.68 1.00 rw[5] 1.26 2.34 1.32 -2.71 4.93 9.44 1.00 rw[6] 1.46 2.42 1.41 -2.72 5.18 8.64 1.00 rw[7] 1.63 2.53 1.64 -2.56 5.65 8.17 1.00 rw[8] 1.68 2.60 1.67 -2.86 5.68 8.25 1.00 rw[9] 1.55 2.68 1.66 -2.83 6.10 8.09 1.00 rw[10] 1.31 2.70 1.25 -3.14 5.99 8.24 1.00 rw[11] 0.80 2.69 0.79 -4.27 4.88 7.98 1.00 rw[12] 0.31 2.70 0.37 -4.28 4.70 8.06 1.00 rw[13] -0.24 2.71 -0.24 -4.85 4.16 8.13 1.00 rw[14] -0.79 2.69 -0.72 -5.77 3.38 8.23 1.00 rw[15] -1.36 2.69 -1.41 -5.69 3.32 8.10 1.00 rw[16] -1.92 2.70 -1.90 -6.62 2.49 8.04 1.00 rw[17] -2.56 2.66 -2.57 -7.01 1.99 8.04 1.00 rw[18] -3.16 2.68 -3.22 -7.63 1.44 8.28 1.00 rw[19] -3.89 2.65 -3.87 -8.31 0.54 7.98 1.00 rw[20] -4.63 2.64 -4.65 -9.15 -0.42 7.94 1.00 rw[21] -5.52 2.63 -5.54 -9.45 -0.69 8.12 1.00 rw[22] -6.38 2.66 -6.37 -11.01 -2.07 8.04 1.00 rw[23] -7.28 2.68 -7.25 -11.96 -3.17 8.21 1.00 rw[24] -8.16 2.68 -8.11 -13.23 -4.30 8.18 1.00 rw[25] -9.08 2.70 -9.02 -13.63 -4.54 8.33 1.00 rw[26] -10.02 2.72 -10.01 -14.40 -5.27 8.20 1.00 rw[27] -10.89 2.74 -10.89 -15.20 -6.06 8.31 1.00 rw[28] -11.69 2.81 -11.60 -16.69 -7.29 8.34 1.00 rw[29] -12.44 2.82 -12.44 -17.28 -8.00 8.55 1.00 rw[30] -13.14 2.78 -13.08 -17.81 -8.39 8.41 1.00 rw[31] -13.69 2.85 -13.63 -18.07 -8.65 8.54 1.00 rw[32] -14.28 2.89 -14.26 -18.52 -8.78 8.50 1.00 rw[33] -14.71 2.90 -14.80 -19.88 -10.16 8.84 1.00 rw[34] -15.10 2.90 -15.10 -19.43 -9.84 9.05 1.00 rw[35] -15.34 2.86 -15.25 -20.14 -10.63 9.08 1.00 rw[36] -15.50 2.83 -15.32 -20.41 -11.05 9.08 1.00 rw[37] -15.69 2.83 -15.51 -20.38 -11.07 9.48 1.00 rw[38] -15.79 2.83 -15.68 -20.06 -10.83 9.36 1.00 rw[39] -15.87 2.86 -15.90 -20.55 -11.31 9.91 1.00 rw[40] -15.91 2.88 -15.83 -20.50 -11.08 10.16 1.00 rw[41] -15.91 2.91 -15.84 -20.96 -11.57 10.34 1.00 rw[42] -15.86 2.90 -15.70 -20.89 -11.32 10.51 1.00 rw[43] -15.77 2.93 -15.69 -20.98 -11.45 10.57 1.00 rw[44] -15.70 2.97 -15.57 -20.88 -11.25 10.30 1.00 rw[45] -15.59 2.96 -15.58 -20.50 -10.86 10.44 1.00 rw[46] -15.44 2.93 -15.44 -20.02 -10.48 10.00 1.00 rw[47] -15.33 2.96 -15.35 -20.29 -10.50 10.12 1.00 rw[48] -15.20 2.92 -15.10 -19.99 -10.62 9.70 1.00 rw[49] -15.03 2.95 -15.01 -20.12 -10.38 9.57 1.00 rw[50] -14.93 2.95 -14.93 -19.63 -10.08 9.46 1.00 rw[51] -14.78 2.92 -14.79 -19.89 -10.12 9.23 1.00 rw[52] -14.71 2.96 -14.77 -19.55 -9.59 8.99 1.00 rw[53] -14.63 2.92 -14.74 -20.05 -10.10 8.86 1.00 rw[54] -14.57 2.91 -14.68 -19.20 -9.55 8.55 1.00 rw[55] -14.52 2.91 -14.52 -19.42 -9.59 8.77 1.00 rw[56] -14.47 2.93 -14.57 -20.20 -10.17 8.93 1.00 rw[57] -14.47 2.90 -14.56 -19.19 -9.43 8.62 1.00 rw[58] -14.47 2.90 -14.46 -19.16 -9.52 8.62 1.00 rw[59] -14.51 2.88 -14.53 -19.63 -9.96 8.90 1.00 rw[60] -14.49 2.88 -14.41 -19.54 -10.03 9.37 1.00 rw[61] -14.52 2.87 -14.48 -18.95 -9.26 9.13 1.00 rw[62] -14.56 2.88 -14.69 -19.81 -10.24 9.04 1.00 rw[63] -14.54 2.88 -14.66 -18.94 -9.19 9.13 1.00 rw[64] -14.49 2.86 -14.47 -18.99 -9.41 9.24 1.00 rw[65] -14.50 2.84 -14.43 -19.08 -9.55 9.24 1.00 rw[66] -14.45 2.81 -14.43 -19.09 -9.57 9.17 1.00 rw[67] -14.46 2.74 -14.40 -19.20 -10.00 8.75 1.00 rw[68] -14.45 2.74 -14.47 -19.15 -9.86 8.95 1.00 rw[69] -14.38 2.73 -14.37 -18.61 -9.48 8.86 1.00 rw[70] -14.34 2.76 -14.27 -18.96 -9.74 8.88 1.00 rw[71] -14.31 2.79 -14.31 -19.15 -9.95 9.25 1.00 rw[72] -14.22 2.81 -14.19 -18.36 -9.11 8.97 1.00 rw[73] -14.12 2.83 -14.14 -18.92 -9.59 8.76 1.00 rw[74] -14.08 2.82 -13.99 -18.65 -9.45 9.11 1.00 rw[75] -14.04 2.83 -13.97 -18.69 -9.29 9.47 1.00 rw[76] -13.96 2.82 -13.77 -18.44 -9.04 9.37 1.00 rw[77] -13.86 2.88 -13.70 -18.05 -8.56 9.53 1.00 rw[78] -13.76 2.91 -13.66 -18.62 -9.19 9.55 1.00 rw[79] -13.68 2.92 -13.61 -18.31 -8.56 9.55 1.00 rw[80] -13.67 2.96 -13.47 -18.05 -8.29 9.41 1.00 rw[81] -13.62 2.90 -13.46 -18.92 -9.09 9.10 1.00 rw[82] -13.62 2.86 -13.50 -18.84 -9.24 9.30 1.00 rw[83] -13.64 2.86 -13.57 -18.61 -9.19 9.04 1.00 rw[84] -13.55 2.87 -13.46 -18.52 -9.16 8.85 1.00 rw[85] -13.53 2.86 -13.42 -18.16 -8.67 9.17 1.00 rw[86] -13.56 2.83 -13.50 -18.44 -8.96 9.30 1.00 rw[87] -13.52 2.83 -13.45 -18.96 -9.30 9.28 1.00 rw[88] -13.54 2.82 -13.51 -18.12 -8.67 9.39 1.00 rw[89] -13.53 2.78 -13.44 -18.26 -9.02 9.58 1.00 rw[90] -13.51 2.78 -13.48 -18.47 -9.26 9.70 1.00 rw[91] -13.44 2.81 -13.42 -18.44 -9.14 9.58 1.00 rw[92] -13.42 2.78 -13.36 -18.41 -9.32 9.70 1.00 rw[93] -13.35 2.78 -13.29 -18.44 -9.42 9.38 1.00 rw[94] -13.25 2.77 -13.24 -18.44 -9.16 9.50 1.00 rw[95] -13.15 2.75 -13.17 -17.74 -8.77 9.27 1.00 rw[96] -13.03 2.77 -13.04 -17.34 -8.08 9.34 1.00 rw[97] -12.87 2.77 -12.88 -17.44 -8.36 9.16 1.00 rw[98] -12.72 2.81 -12.75 -17.45 -8.22 9.02 1.00 rw[99] -12.52 2.83 -12.61 -17.19 -7.72 8.92 1.00 rw[100] -12.32 2.80 -12.34 -17.53 -8.15 8.89 1.00 rw[101] -12.10 2.76 -12.22 -17.09 -7.99 8.84 1.00 rw[102] -11.89 2.77 -11.90 -16.45 -7.39 8.88 1.00 rw[103] -11.68 2.78 -11.64 -15.98 -6.99 8.88 1.00 rw[104] -11.49 2.76 -11.51 -16.05 -6.96 8.83 1.00 rw[105] -11.29 2.76 -11.23 -15.48 -6.42 8.98 1.00 rw[106] -11.08 2.77 -11.04 -16.03 -6.78 8.82 1.00 rw[107] -10.88 2.74 -10.79 -15.60 -6.64 8.60 1.00 rw[108] -10.72 2.74 -10.60 -15.80 -6.79 8.87 1.00 rw[109] -10.57 2.76 -10.42 -15.45 -6.21 8.78 1.00 rw[110] -10.40 2.74 -10.31 -15.15 -5.93 8.68 1.00 rw[111] -10.25 2.70 -10.16 -14.84 -5.85 8.42 1.00 rw[112] -10.08 2.76 -9.88 -14.79 -5.61 8.50 1.00 rw[113] -10.01 2.79 -9.85 -14.73 -5.43 8.55 1.00 rw[114] -9.91 2.77 -9.83 -14.44 -5.21 8.44 1.00 rw[115] -9.84 2.72 -9.79 -14.34 -5.40 8.48 1.00 rw[116] -9.81 2.72 -9.85 -14.53 -5.56 8.40 1.00 rw[117] -9.82 2.72 -9.83 -14.79 -5.61 8.44 1.00 rw[118] -9.89 2.78 -9.85 -14.63 -5.30 8.54 1.00 rw[119] -10.00 2.72 -9.93 -15.18 -6.04 8.62 1.00 rw[120] -10.09 2.74 -10.01 -15.28 -6.06 8.73 1.00 rw[121] -10.19 2.75 -10.12 -15.01 -5.90 8.69 1.00 rw[122] -10.39 2.76 -10.26 -14.74 -5.58 8.66 1.00 rw[123] -10.53 2.73 -10.52 -14.91 -5.97 8.59 1.00 rw[124] -10.74 2.71 -10.74 -15.07 -6.06 8.55 1.00 rw[125] -10.89 2.70 -10.72 -15.65 -6.98 8.72 1.00 rw[126] -11.00 2.71 -10.92 -16.10 -7.03 8.68 1.00 rw[127] -11.05 2.73 -10.99 -15.77 -6.73 8.82 1.00 rw[128] -11.17 2.76 -11.12 -15.79 -6.72 8.83 1.00 rw[129] -11.22 2.72 -11.19 -15.47 -6.39 8.78 1.00 rw[130] -11.33 2.74 -11.29 -15.76 -6.54 8.64 1.00 rw[131] -11.43 2.71 -11.38 -15.77 -6.79 8.39 1.00 rw[132] -11.51 2.70 -11.35 -15.97 -6.94 8.31 1.00 rw[133] -11.63 2.75 -11.59 -15.96 -6.80 8.57 1.00 rw[134] -11.79 2.73 -11.69 -16.83 -7.66 8.78 1.00 rw[135] -11.89 2.76 -11.78 -16.78 -7.47 8.84 1.00 rw[136] -12.00 2.73 -11.90 -16.59 -7.44 8.78 1.00 rw[137] -12.14 2.76 -12.14 -16.89 -7.54 8.62 1.00 rw[138] -12.31 2.80 -12.35 -17.83 -8.39 8.83 1.00 rw[139] -12.52 2.77 -12.48 -17.54 -8.26 8.69 1.00 rw[140] -12.61 2.79 -12.59 -17.53 -8.20 8.98 1.00 rw[141] -12.78 2.81 -12.73 -17.52 -8.25 8.86 1.00 rw[142] -12.94 2.84 -12.94 -17.97 -8.54 8.72 1.00 rw[143] -13.04 2.86 -13.07 -17.64 -8.25 8.63 1.00 rw[144] -13.12 2.79 -13.17 -17.74 -8.41 8.57 1.00 rw[145] -13.20 2.77 -13.09 -18.24 -9.06 8.71 1.00 rw[146] -13.22 2.86 -13.16 -18.28 -8.86 8.90 1.00 rw[147] -13.25 2.86 -13.27 -17.59 -8.11 8.75 1.00 rw[148] -13.29 2.83 -13.34 -18.04 -8.61 8.89 1.00 rw[149] -13.31 2.79 -13.36 -18.03 -8.85 8.77 1.00 rw[150] -13.32 2.81 -13.32 -18.31 -9.00 9.08 1.00 rw[151] -13.33 2.73 -13.32 -17.89 -8.89 8.97 1.00 rw[152] -13.35 2.74 -13.30 -18.16 -9.07 8.69 1.00 rw[153] -13.36 2.76 -13.29 -18.20 -9.10 8.75 1.00 rw[154] -13.39 2.76 -13.33 -18.11 -8.97 8.66 1.00 rw[155] -13.38 2.78 -13.37 -18.39 -8.97 8.68 1.00 rw[156] -13.38 2.76 -13.32 -18.52 -9.20 8.81 1.00 rw[157] -13.42 2.79 -13.31 -18.12 -8.97 8.54 1.00 rw[158] -13.42 2.84 -13.39 -18.07 -8.64 8.61 1.00 rw[159] -13.43 2.81 -13.37 -18.18 -8.99 9.08 1.00 rw[160] -13.41 2.86 -13.26 -18.51 -8.96 9.17 1.00 rw[161] -13.42 2.83 -13.32 -18.61 -9.23 8.92 1.00 rw[162] -13.38 2.85 -13.38 -18.02 -8.73 9.07 1.00 rw[163] -13.41 2.84 -13.37 -18.32 -8.80 8.96 1.00 rw[164] -13.38 2.81 -13.44 -18.00 -8.67 8.96 1.00 rw[165] -13.33 2.80 -13.37 -18.16 -9.04 8.92 1.00 rw[166] -13.34 2.80 -13.31 -18.11 -8.84 9.07 1.00 rw[167] -13.23 2.75 -13.17 -17.55 -8.45 9.02 1.00 rw[168] -13.17 2.73 -13.15 -17.48 -8.31 8.75 1.00 rw[169] -13.07 2.82 -13.11 -17.57 -8.36 8.75 1.00 rw[170] -13.05 2.80 -13.07 -17.66 -8.41 9.07 1.00 rw[171] -13.01 2.81 -12.97 -17.66 -8.43 9.08 1.00 rw[172] -13.00 2.80 -12.96 -18.25 -8.92 9.11 1.00 rw[173] -12.95 2.81 -12.87 -17.35 -8.17 8.54 1.00 rw[174] -12.91 2.80 -12.91 -17.80 -8.49 8.53 1.00 rw[175] -12.85 2.79 -12.72 -17.28 -7.95 8.44 1.00 rw[176] -12.81 2.79 -12.86 -17.48 -8.26 8.26 1.00 rw[177] -12.79 2.75 -12.86 -17.53 -8.50 8.59 1.00 rw[178] -12.73 2.73 -12.87 -17.33 -8.14 8.76 1.00 rw[179] -12.68 2.75 -12.86 -16.83 -7.65 8.64 1.00 rw[180] -12.64 2.73 -12.65 -16.77 -7.72 8.79 1.00 rw[181] -12.57 2.77 -12.68 -17.38 -8.11 8.83 1.00 rw[182] -12.49 2.74 -12.55 -16.80 -7.88 8.96 1.00 rw[183] -12.42 2.70 -12.29 -16.77 -7.68 9.15 1.00 rw[184] -12.34 2.69 -12.31 -17.10 -8.18 9.47 1.00 rw[185] -12.29 2.69 -12.22 -16.99 -7.96 9.27 1.00 rw[186] -12.27 2.74 -12.15 -17.18 -8.02 9.23 1.00 rw[187] -12.20 2.73 -12.13 -16.84 -7.86 9.20 1.00 rw[188] -12.20 2.73 -12.08 -16.90 -7.81 9.18 1.00 rw[189] -12.17 2.75 -12.02 -16.52 -7.68 9.11 1.00 rw[190] -12.14 2.73 -12.11 -16.93 -7.80 9.14 1.00 rw[191] -12.15 2.74 -12.14 -16.75 -7.75 8.91 1.00 rw[192] -12.16 2.75 -12.12 -16.62 -7.50 8.75 1.00 rw[193] -12.22 2.72 -12.21 -16.59 -7.70 8.62 1.00 rw[194] -12.27 2.72 -12.12 -16.57 -7.56 8.61 1.00 rw[195] -12.31 2.78 -12.18 -16.70 -7.39 8.64 1.00 rw[196] -12.28 2.85 -12.17 -17.48 -7.97 8.63 1.00 rw[197] -12.29 2.81 -12.18 -17.01 -7.59 8.52 1.00 rw[198] -12.33 2.73 -12.21 -17.14 -7.97 8.63 1.00 rw[199] -12.39 2.76 -12.43 -16.97 -7.70 8.67 1.00 rw[200] -12.45 2.74 -12.36 -17.14 -8.12 8.66 1.00 rw[201] -12.46 2.76 -12.43 -16.68 -7.53 8.95 1.00 rw[202] -12.44 2.76 -12.44 -17.20 -8.05 8.88 1.00 rw[203] -12.44 2.76 -12.39 -16.78 -7.66 8.81 1.00 rw[204] -12.42 2.74 -12.31 -17.28 -8.25 9.03 1.00 rw[205] -12.37 2.74 -12.29 -17.23 -8.24 8.87 1.00 rw[206] -12.32 2.78 -12.36 -16.89 -7.52 8.51 1.00 rw[207] -12.27 2.74 -12.18 -17.06 -7.94 8.45 1.00 rw[208] -12.21 2.76 -12.23 -16.72 -7.54 8.68 1.00 rw[209] -12.15 2.74 -12.11 -16.89 -7.55 8.55 1.00 rw[210] -12.11 2.76 -12.08 -16.68 -7.64 8.50 1.00 rw[211] -12.06 2.74 -11.93 -16.42 -7.14 8.28 1.00 rw[212] -11.97 2.72 -11.82 -16.44 -7.31 8.16 1.00 rw[213] -11.83 2.79 -11.78 -16.46 -7.12 8.16 1.00 rw[214] -11.75 2.73 -11.64 -16.36 -7.30 8.17 1.00 rw[215] -11.65 2.70 -11.58 -15.67 -6.68 8.04 1.00 rw[216] -11.52 2.72 -11.49 -16.13 -7.05 8.40 1.00 rw[217] -11.35 2.67 -11.28 -15.86 -6.86 8.11 1.00 rw[218] -11.15 2.63 -11.14 -15.59 -6.81 7.72 1.00 rw[219] -10.95 2.58 -10.92 -15.75 -6.92 7.47 1.00 rw[220] -10.71 2.43 -10.61 -15.61 -7.09 6.89 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1351.95 1.00 Number of divergences: 0