mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.74 0.87 0.45 0.00 1.66 1549.32 1.00 E0 29.64 31.45 20.45 0.19 68.62 150.17 1.00 H0 4.53 3.59 3.72 0.04 9.21 1432.04 1.00 I0 10.26 12.58 5.80 0.01 26.20 179.26 1.00 beta0 2.25 0.62 2.15 1.38 3.32 21.51 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.66 0.07 0.66 0.54 0.78 793.14 1.00 death_dispersion 0.24 0.02 0.24 0.20 0.27 1527.44 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 723.85 1.00 death_rate 0.05 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.05 322.19 1.01 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.39 2377.20 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1687.20 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1944.20 1.00 rw[0] 0.13 0.93 0.12 -1.46 1.54 595.02 1.00 rw[1] 0.39 1.30 0.33 -1.75 2.57 227.81 1.00 rw[2] 0.65 1.59 0.66 -2.02 3.25 148.36 1.00 rw[3] 0.97 1.82 0.95 -1.81 4.12 89.31 1.00 rw[4] 1.27 2.00 1.24 -2.01 4.44 67.38 1.00 rw[5] 1.50 2.17 1.49 -2.02 5.14 59.41 1.00 rw[6] 1.74 2.33 1.76 -2.33 5.20 51.20 1.00 rw[7] 1.91 2.45 1.92 -1.69 6.28 46.50 1.00 rw[8] 1.96 2.53 1.92 -1.73 6.34 42.40 1.00 rw[9] 1.92 2.64 2.03 -2.40 6.23 38.16 1.00 rw[10] 1.75 2.74 1.86 -2.71 5.97 34.98 1.00 rw[11] 1.35 2.84 1.49 -3.93 5.26 32.75 1.00 rw[12] 0.93 2.88 1.02 -4.22 5.16 30.67 1.00 rw[13] 0.38 2.88 0.58 -4.42 4.89 31.40 1.00 rw[14] -0.19 2.89 0.01 -5.31 4.13 29.31 1.00 rw[15] -0.80 2.88 -0.60 -5.61 3.77 28.56 1.00 rw[16] -1.45 2.89 -1.26 -6.06 3.21 27.93 1.00 rw[17] -2.12 2.92 -1.90 -6.71 2.90 28.25 1.00 rw[18] -2.78 2.91 -2.58 -8.03 1.48 28.11 1.00 rw[19] -3.49 2.91 -3.34 -8.74 0.88 27.77 1.00 rw[20] -4.17 2.94 -3.98 -9.48 0.04 26.91 1.00 rw[21] -4.86 2.99 -4.61 -10.38 -0.57 27.40 1.00 rw[22] -5.62 2.96 -5.49 -10.66 -0.92 27.65 1.00 rw[23] -6.47 2.94 -6.27 -11.79 -1.81 28.30 1.00 rw[24] -7.38 2.93 -7.17 -12.14 -2.34 29.09 1.00 rw[25] -8.35 2.96 -8.22 -12.92 -3.12 28.28 1.00 rw[26] -9.36 2.92 -9.19 -14.36 -4.75 28.29 1.00 rw[27] -10.34 2.91 -10.15 -15.04 -5.54 27.75 1.00 rw[28] -11.36 2.93 -11.25 -16.17 -6.65 28.72 1.00 rw[29] -12.34 2.93 -12.19 -17.25 -7.66 29.08 1.00 rw[30] -13.25 2.96 -13.15 -18.32 -8.58 28.48 1.00 rw[31] -14.13 2.99 -14.05 -19.04 -9.29 28.63 1.00 rw[32] -14.98 2.96 -14.91 -19.85 -10.24 28.86 1.00 rw[33] -15.81 2.97 -15.65 -20.43 -10.79 29.92 1.00 rw[34] -16.53 2.96 -16.47 -21.73 -11.92 30.43 1.00 rw[35] -17.19 3.01 -17.00 -22.08 -12.30 29.64 1.00 rw[36] -17.82 3.05 -17.56 -22.92 -12.89 29.52 1.00 rw[37] -18.38 3.09 -18.20 -23.55 -13.44 30.86 1.00 rw[38] -18.83 3.17 -18.66 -23.78 -13.48 31.87 1.00 rw[39] -19.28 3.17 -19.06 -24.73 -14.50 32.79 1.00 rw[40] -19.68 3.22 -19.49 -24.61 -14.07 31.20 1.00 rw[41] -20.02 3.25 -19.71 -25.22 -14.50 30.73 1.00 rw[42] -20.32 3.29 -20.25 -26.00 -15.38 31.66 1.00 rw[43] -20.52 3.31 -20.31 -25.67 -15.11 31.94 1.00 rw[44] -20.69 3.29 -20.59 -26.16 -15.52 31.74 1.00 rw[45] -20.84 3.33 -20.76 -26.20 -15.48 31.36 1.00 rw[46] -20.94 3.36 -20.78 -25.94 -15.23 32.78 1.00 rw[47] -20.99 3.33 -20.85 -26.26 -15.79 33.42 1.00 rw[48] -21.13 3.33 -20.99 -26.39 -15.44 35.11 1.00 rw[49] -21.15 3.30 -20.91 -25.88 -15.06 35.87 1.00 rw[50] -21.15 3.34 -20.93 -26.74 -15.92 36.03 1.00 rw[51] -21.04 3.33 -20.83 -26.67 -15.81 35.28 1.00 rw[52] -20.93 3.32 -20.70 -26.61 -15.97 35.70 1.00 rw[53] -20.85 3.30 -20.68 -25.99 -15.61 36.14 1.00 rw[54] -20.81 3.29 -20.64 -25.96 -15.46 35.64 1.00 rw[55] -20.66 3.22 -20.50 -25.95 -15.68 36.77 1.00 rw[56] -20.52 3.27 -20.32 -25.58 -15.08 35.44 1.00 rw[57] -20.34 3.24 -20.16 -25.90 -15.41 34.72 1.00 rw[58] -20.17 3.21 -20.02 -25.33 -14.88 34.16 1.00 rw[59] -19.95 3.20 -19.87 -24.85 -14.51 33.37 1.00 rw[60] -19.79 3.23 -19.63 -25.23 -14.63 33.38 1.00 rw[61] -19.50 3.27 -19.46 -24.35 -14.10 32.55 1.00 rw[62] -19.23 3.22 -19.21 -24.63 -14.33 33.97 1.00 rw[63] -18.98 3.19 -19.01 -24.43 -14.11 34.71 1.00 rw[64] -18.77 3.14 -18.72 -24.02 -13.79 35.59 1.00 rw[65] -18.55 3.17 -18.45 -23.88 -13.53 35.63 1.00 rw[66] -18.27 3.20 -18.25 -23.76 -13.18 34.70 1.00 rw[67] -17.98 3.19 -17.88 -23.72 -13.33 34.79 1.00 rw[68] -17.72 3.19 -17.72 -23.62 -13.06 34.31 1.00 rw[69] -17.47 3.18 -17.36 -22.89 -12.39 35.79 1.00 rw[70] -17.19 3.12 -17.04 -22.14 -11.95 36.36 1.00 rw[71] -16.97 3.14 -16.72 -22.11 -11.94 37.53 1.00 rw[72] -16.78 3.07 -16.55 -22.15 -11.97 36.82 1.00 rw[73] -16.57 3.09 -16.38 -21.61 -11.48 38.19 1.00 rw[74] -16.42 3.12 -16.22 -21.42 -11.30 37.24 1.00 rw[75] -16.26 3.08 -16.02 -21.82 -11.71 37.15 1.00 rw[76] -16.13 3.10 -15.88 -21.68 -11.34 35.05 1.00 rw[77] -16.02 3.13 -15.89 -21.03 -10.58 35.25 1.00 rw[78] -15.93 3.16 -15.82 -21.34 -10.79 34.33 1.00 rw[79] -15.88 3.14 -15.68 -20.95 -10.50 35.49 1.00 rw[80] -15.77 3.13 -15.56 -21.02 -10.83 34.11 1.00 rw[81] -15.64 3.17 -15.53 -20.70 -10.48 34.61 1.00 rw[82] -15.58 3.16 -15.38 -20.65 -10.30 32.31 1.00 rw[83] -15.56 3.18 -15.33 -20.17 -9.59 31.41 1.00 rw[84] -15.56 3.17 -15.40 -20.86 -10.38 31.84 1.00 rw[85] -15.46 3.21 -15.35 -20.80 -10.35 32.10 1.00 rw[86] -15.39 3.26 -15.24 -20.23 -9.85 31.88 1.00 rw[87] -15.42 3.30 -15.19 -20.36 -9.84 31.64 1.00 rw[88] -15.45 3.31 -15.32 -20.95 -10.08 31.03 1.00 rw[89] -15.42 3.28 -15.26 -20.40 -9.76 30.37 1.00 rw[90] -15.40 3.35 -15.13 -20.70 -10.13 29.95 1.00 rw[91] -15.40 3.36 -15.09 -20.80 -9.97 30.02 1.00 rw[92] -15.39 3.32 -15.19 -20.74 -9.86 30.07 1.00 rw[93] -15.36 3.28 -15.11 -21.01 -10.51 30.30 1.00 rw[94] -15.27 3.30 -15.04 -20.70 -10.05 30.65 1.00 rw[95] -15.24 3.36 -14.95 -20.96 -10.15 29.98 1.00 rw[96] -15.16 3.31 -14.97 -20.77 -9.88 29.71 1.00 rw[97] -15.15 3.29 -15.00 -20.87 -9.96 29.35 1.00 rw[98] -15.11 3.30 -14.74 -20.14 -9.15 31.31 1.00 rw[99] -15.11 3.28 -14.87 -20.62 -9.75 31.21 1.00 rw[100] -15.06 3.29 -14.82 -20.44 -9.44 32.86 1.00 rw[101] -15.05 3.24 -14.82 -20.25 -9.52 32.68 1.00 rw[102] -15.00 3.26 -14.72 -20.41 -9.68 32.96 1.00 rw[103] -14.96 3.31 -14.81 -20.09 -9.17 31.76 1.00 rw[104] -14.87 3.31 -14.71 -20.14 -9.17 32.61 1.00 rw[105] -14.83 3.25 -14.67 -20.54 -9.74 32.29 1.00 rw[106] -14.80 3.22 -14.59 -20.08 -9.50 32.17 1.00 rw[107] -14.78 3.22 -14.62 -20.35 -9.70 31.98 1.00 rw[108] -14.82 3.18 -14.69 -20.19 -9.84 32.98 1.00 rw[109] -14.86 3.15 -14.66 -19.95 -9.72 33.46 1.00 rw[110] -14.91 3.15 -14.73 -20.38 -10.02 33.28 1.00 rw[111] -14.96 3.18 -14.82 -20.28 -9.83 33.31 1.00 rw[112] -15.04 3.17 -14.95 -20.17 -10.05 34.44 1.00 rw[113] -15.14 3.15 -15.01 -20.29 -10.15 33.46 1.00 rw[114] -15.28 3.12 -15.20 -20.49 -10.47 34.07 1.00 rw[115] -15.43 3.16 -15.29 -20.66 -10.41 36.24 1.00 rw[116] -15.53 3.17 -15.47 -20.51 -10.49 36.71 1.00 rw[117] -15.68 3.18 -15.63 -20.77 -10.50 37.73 1.00 rw[118] -15.77 3.26 -15.65 -20.93 -10.35 39.02 1.00 rw[119] -15.88 3.23 -15.73 -21.49 -10.98 39.46 1.01 rw[120] -15.98 3.24 -15.75 -20.92 -10.29 39.34 1.00 rw[121] -16.09 3.22 -16.00 -21.52 -11.00 37.47 1.00 rw[122] -16.21 3.30 -16.14 -21.37 -10.68 37.21 1.00 rw[123] -16.23 3.27 -16.23 -21.26 -10.69 38.01 1.00 rw[124] -16.19 3.27 -16.13 -21.46 -10.76 39.40 1.00 rw[125] -16.18 3.25 -16.18 -21.26 -10.65 39.48 1.00 rw[126] -16.13 3.17 -16.10 -21.03 -10.86 37.04 1.00 rw[127] -16.09 3.20 -15.93 -21.05 -10.89 38.63 1.00 rw[128] -16.01 3.22 -15.81 -21.21 -10.82 39.63 1.00 rw[129] -15.88 3.22 -15.84 -20.65 -10.13 36.96 1.00 rw[130] -15.81 3.20 -15.68 -21.21 -10.83 34.78 1.00 rw[131] -15.60 3.17 -15.34 -20.54 -10.18 33.70 1.00 rw[132] -15.38 3.18 -15.21 -20.47 -10.23 34.64 1.00 rw[133] -15.18 3.14 -14.97 -20.14 -9.81 34.83 1.00 rw[134] -14.93 3.11 -14.87 -19.57 -9.50 33.83 1.00 rw[135] -14.70 3.09 -14.61 -20.33 -10.12 32.67 1.00 rw[136] -14.47 3.09 -14.42 -19.52 -9.43 33.26 1.00 rw[137] -14.17 3.14 -14.13 -19.19 -8.86 32.81 1.00 rw[138] -13.95 3.12 -13.91 -18.57 -8.53 31.87 1.00 rw[139] -13.73 3.06 -13.61 -18.20 -8.48 30.82 1.00 rw[140] -13.59 3.08 -13.44 -18.63 -8.77 32.06 1.00 rw[141] -13.51 3.09 -13.27 -19.07 -9.09 31.28 1.00 rw[142] -13.44 3.05 -13.25 -18.60 -8.74 30.91 1.00 rw[143] -13.41 3.05 -13.17 -18.42 -8.46 31.68 1.00 rw[144] -13.37 3.03 -13.11 -18.48 -8.61 31.30 1.00 rw[145] -13.39 3.02 -13.14 -18.53 -8.57 32.08 1.00 rw[146] -13.36 3.06 -13.09 -18.65 -8.69 29.72 1.00 rw[147] -13.38 3.04 -13.12 -18.45 -8.48 30.65 1.00 rw[148] -13.43 3.06 -13.08 -18.59 -8.55 30.79 1.00 rw[149] -13.43 3.02 -13.09 -18.20 -8.21 29.58 1.00 rw[150] -13.46 3.05 -13.13 -18.02 -7.92 29.66 1.00 rw[151] -13.40 3.01 -13.14 -18.55 -8.64 28.71 1.00 rw[152] -13.40 3.04 -13.08 -18.66 -8.65 30.23 1.00 rw[153] -13.46 3.02 -13.16 -18.57 -8.72 29.99 1.00 rw[154] -13.46 3.04 -13.22 -18.56 -8.42 28.82 1.00 rw[155] -13.43 3.08 -13.14 -18.84 -8.66 27.42 1.00 rw[156] -13.40 3.05 -13.23 -18.46 -8.52 28.23 1.00 rw[157] -13.38 3.03 -13.22 -18.23 -8.37 28.36 1.00 rw[158] -13.32 3.05 -13.23 -18.84 -8.91 29.27 1.00 rw[159] -13.30 3.03 -13.04 -18.51 -8.79 27.24 1.00 rw[160] -13.28 3.03 -13.09 -17.87 -7.95 27.49 1.00 rw[161] -13.33 3.05 -13.11 -18.01 -8.16 28.82 1.00 rw[162] -13.28 3.08 -13.26 -18.47 -8.29 29.26 1.00 rw[163] -13.12 3.04 -13.08 -18.76 -8.81 30.16 1.00 rw[164] -12.98 2.98 -12.92 -17.42 -7.76 29.13 1.00 rw[165] -12.82 3.01 -12.81 -17.20 -7.40 29.18 1.00 rw[166] -12.70 2.97 -12.60 -17.48 -7.94 29.61 1.00 rw[167] -12.50 3.00 -12.38 -18.13 -8.19 30.20 1.00 rw[168] -12.33 3.03 -12.24 -16.82 -7.08 29.99 1.00 rw[169] -12.18 2.99 -12.00 -16.73 -6.97 30.02 1.00 rw[170] -12.05 3.01 -11.94 -16.76 -6.95 29.71 1.00 rw[171] -11.98 3.04 -11.80 -16.60 -6.70 30.03 1.00 rw[172] -11.88 3.06 -11.75 -16.68 -6.60 30.37 1.00 rw[173] -11.79 3.03 -11.65 -16.86 -6.88 30.77 1.00 rw[174] -11.69 3.04 -11.49 -16.51 -6.33 30.20 1.00 rw[175] -11.70 3.05 -11.50 -16.55 -6.73 30.00 1.00 rw[176] -11.77 3.07 -11.60 -17.27 -7.38 31.05 1.00 rw[177] -11.86 3.09 -11.69 -17.24 -7.22 31.44 1.00 rw[178] -11.95 3.06 -11.76 -17.10 -7.22 31.69 1.00 rw[179] -12.08 3.08 -11.89 -16.97 -6.99 31.82 1.00 rw[180] -12.24 3.10 -12.10 -17.70 -7.36 32.27 1.00 rw[181] -12.46 3.10 -12.34 -18.16 -7.97 32.53 1.00 rw[182] -12.61 3.15 -12.52 -17.44 -7.14 31.75 1.00 rw[183] -12.72 3.10 -12.53 -17.79 -7.81 31.82 1.00 rw[184] -12.93 3.09 -12.77 -17.81 -7.65 30.80 1.00 rw[185] -13.01 3.07 -12.80 -18.48 -8.41 31.18 1.00 rw[186] -13.07 3.07 -12.85 -18.31 -8.45 31.21 1.00 rw[187] -13.21 3.06 -13.13 -17.93 -8.13 31.06 1.00 rw[188] -13.28 3.02 -13.15 -18.07 -8.32 30.74 1.00 rw[189] -13.32 3.06 -13.16 -18.01 -8.24 29.59 1.00 rw[190] -13.32 3.03 -13.17 -18.82 -8.90 29.13 1.00 rw[191] -13.32 3.01 -13.20 -17.96 -8.03 29.68 1.00 rw[192] -13.34 3.07 -13.15 -18.33 -8.51 31.15 1.00 rw[193] -13.26 3.05 -13.04 -18.17 -8.16 31.56 1.00 rw[194] -13.21 3.03 -13.01 -18.12 -8.19 32.68 1.00 rw[195] -13.12 3.04 -13.05 -18.54 -8.60 33.04 1.00 rw[196] -13.04 3.00 -12.89 -17.78 -7.95 32.37 1.00 rw[197] -12.97 2.95 -12.75 -17.42 -7.70 32.63 1.00 rw[198] -12.89 2.97 -12.69 -18.00 -8.16 32.03 1.00 rw[199] -12.82 2.96 -12.67 -18.25 -8.50 33.10 1.00 rw[200] -12.71 3.02 -12.52 -18.03 -8.13 32.18 1.00 rw[201] -12.63 3.05 -12.32 -18.00 -8.01 31.04 1.00 rw[202] -12.54 3.04 -12.26 -17.28 -7.39 30.68 1.00 rw[203] -12.42 3.05 -12.25 -17.29 -7.47 30.73 1.00 rw[204] -12.34 3.03 -12.23 -17.12 -7.34 30.90 1.00 rw[205] -12.25 3.03 -12.12 -17.38 -7.35 30.87 1.00 rw[206] -12.10 3.01 -12.03 -16.91 -7.08 30.46 1.00 rw[207] -12.05 3.01 -11.93 -16.98 -7.19 30.36 1.00 rw[208] -11.95 3.00 -11.76 -16.87 -6.96 29.60 1.00 rw[209] -11.91 3.03 -11.74 -17.07 -7.05 29.27 1.00 rw[210] -11.90 3.04 -11.69 -16.65 -6.85 29.62 1.00 rw[211] -11.78 3.02 -11.67 -16.64 -6.69 30.15 1.00 rw[212] -11.73 3.04 -11.62 -17.00 -7.06 29.73 1.00 rw[213] -11.68 3.06 -11.44 -16.90 -7.11 29.65 1.00 rw[214] -11.60 3.04 -11.54 -16.81 -7.07 29.50 1.00 rw[215] -11.51 3.01 -11.34 -16.20 -6.51 27.88 1.00 rw[216] -11.47 3.03 -11.36 -16.44 -6.56 28.26 1.00 rw[217] -11.42 3.02 -11.33 -16.01 -6.13 28.74 1.00 rw[218] -11.38 3.03 -11.21 -16.37 -6.44 28.81 1.00 rw[219] -11.35 3.02 -11.26 -16.61 -6.65 29.49 1.00 rw[220] -11.29 3.00 -11.18 -16.28 -6.53 29.04 1.00 rw[221] -11.21 3.04 -11.15 -15.89 -6.15 28.59 1.00 rw[222] -11.15 3.04 -10.87 -16.63 -6.66 27.98 1.00 rw[223] -11.11 2.97 -10.94 -15.74 -5.95 27.95 1.00 rw[224] -11.08 2.92 -10.91 -16.03 -6.61 27.39 1.00 rw[225] -11.03 2.86 -10.89 -15.58 -6.16 26.74 1.00 rw[226] -10.89 2.75 -10.75 -15.63 -6.52 26.32 1.00 rw[227] -10.77 2.66 -10.64 -15.55 -6.82 23.79 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1607.15 1.00 Number of divergences: 0