mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.86 1.09 0.53 0.00 2.00 1015.66 1.00 E0 68.86 65.63 51.25 0.03 147.67 213.45 1.02 H0 1.79 1.86 1.20 0.00 4.17 1305.53 1.00 I0 36.40 24.62 30.39 4.45 66.48 210.74 1.01 beta0 2.69 0.59 2.62 1.88 3.76 23.24 1.12 confirmed_dispersion 0.46 0.05 0.46 0.36 0.54 889.84 1.00 death_dispersion 0.35 0.03 0.35 0.31 0.39 1020.70 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 816.44 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.00 0.07 0.06 0.07 901.79 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.21 0.41 1002.82 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 938.59 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 939.05 1.00 rw[0] 0.11 0.96 0.10 -1.45 1.59 191.68 1.02 rw[1] 0.30 1.32 0.28 -1.80 2.52 89.93 1.03 rw[2] 0.60 1.61 0.58 -1.85 3.28 59.61 1.04 rw[3] 0.87 1.88 0.80 -1.99 4.14 45.59 1.06 rw[4] 1.07 2.01 1.02 -1.96 4.71 37.91 1.08 rw[5] 1.33 2.17 1.27 -2.22 4.94 33.11 1.07 rw[6] 1.42 2.32 1.43 -2.88 4.83 30.44 1.08 rw[7] 1.39 2.41 1.35 -2.73 5.25 31.27 1.08 rw[8] 1.12 2.49 1.13 -2.74 5.57 30.19 1.09 rw[9] 0.74 2.43 0.82 -3.19 4.63 30.14 1.08 rw[10] 0.12 2.48 0.12 -4.17 3.85 30.00 1.09 rw[11] -0.68 2.49 -0.66 -4.89 3.32 27.24 1.11 rw[12] -1.49 2.51 -1.50 -5.63 2.71 27.37 1.11 rw[13] -2.37 2.50 -2.38 -6.44 1.60 27.62 1.11 rw[14] -3.27 2.48 -3.23 -7.92 0.19 26.98 1.11 rw[15] -4.22 2.54 -4.21 -8.64 -0.24 27.61 1.11 rw[16] -5.18 2.49 -5.19 -9.67 -1.48 28.98 1.09 rw[17] -6.15 2.50 -6.17 -10.39 -2.12 28.95 1.10 rw[18] -7.15 2.52 -7.12 -11.40 -3.29 28.83 1.10 rw[19] -8.26 2.52 -8.21 -12.23 -4.09 27.96 1.09 rw[20] -9.41 2.52 -9.34 -13.10 -4.98 29.00 1.10 rw[21] -10.58 2.57 -10.60 -14.82 -6.51 29.43 1.09 rw[22] -11.77 2.62 -11.69 -16.01 -7.42 28.96 1.11 rw[23] -12.97 2.63 -12.94 -17.14 -8.72 30.61 1.10 rw[24] -14.23 2.65 -14.16 -18.89 -10.14 32.45 1.09 rw[25] -15.38 2.70 -15.24 -20.15 -11.37 33.25 1.09 rw[26] -16.54 2.69 -16.52 -21.09 -12.30 34.67 1.08 rw[27] -17.64 2.68 -17.58 -22.17 -13.46 34.98 1.09 rw[28] -18.66 2.71 -18.63 -23.38 -14.62 33.87 1.10 rw[29] -19.66 2.70 -19.63 -24.42 -15.58 35.95 1.09 rw[30] -20.46 2.72 -20.40 -25.24 -16.45 36.67 1.10 rw[31] -21.20 2.71 -21.11 -25.73 -16.82 37.90 1.11 rw[32] -21.83 2.74 -21.80 -26.11 -17.11 36.24 1.10 rw[33] -22.42 2.76 -22.45 -27.12 -18.12 36.16 1.10 rw[34] -22.88 2.77 -22.72 -26.95 -17.74 36.85 1.09 rw[35] -23.27 2.83 -23.10 -28.58 -19.23 35.93 1.10 rw[36] -23.56 2.80 -23.41 -28.07 -18.76 37.29 1.10 rw[37] -23.80 2.82 -23.66 -28.93 -19.55 38.51 1.09 rw[38] -23.93 2.86 -23.86 -29.12 -19.76 37.39 1.09 rw[39] -24.08 2.91 -24.02 -29.00 -19.32 38.65 1.09 rw[40] -24.08 2.90 -24.12 -29.53 -19.89 37.35 1.10 rw[41] -24.07 2.84 -24.11 -28.77 -19.43 37.16 1.10 rw[42] -23.99 2.82 -24.08 -29.04 -19.61 38.01 1.09 rw[43] -23.88 2.83 -23.98 -29.01 -19.74 38.91 1.07 rw[44] -23.78 2.90 -23.80 -28.12 -18.68 36.40 1.09 rw[45] -23.59 2.93 -23.61 -28.68 -19.22 37.57 1.08 rw[46] -23.39 2.96 -23.41 -28.03 -18.74 37.37 1.08 rw[47] -23.23 2.89 -23.33 -27.95 -19.03 36.51 1.07 rw[48] -23.00 2.91 -23.07 -27.99 -18.31 36.71 1.07 rw[49] -22.86 2.91 -22.91 -27.53 -17.97 36.06 1.07 rw[50] -22.61 2.87 -22.72 -27.65 -18.09 36.70 1.07 rw[51] -22.47 2.84 -22.68 -27.52 -18.01 37.17 1.07 rw[52] -22.20 2.84 -22.32 -27.33 -18.03 36.81 1.07 rw[53] -21.92 2.90 -22.03 -26.75 -17.19 37.21 1.06 rw[54] -21.66 2.94 -21.82 -26.43 -16.74 37.85 1.07 rw[55] -21.38 2.91 -21.60 -26.12 -16.38 36.18 1.08 rw[56] -21.15 2.89 -21.26 -26.04 -16.51 34.98 1.08 rw[57] -20.92 2.84 -20.98 -25.28 -15.80 33.65 1.09 rw[58] -20.70 2.79 -20.82 -25.97 -16.54 34.28 1.09 rw[59] -20.50 2.76 -20.62 -24.63 -15.66 34.64 1.08 rw[60] -20.32 2.76 -20.34 -24.73 -15.93 35.48 1.08 rw[61] -20.12 2.73 -20.17 -24.79 -15.84 35.88 1.08 rw[62] -19.92 2.74 -20.06 -24.14 -15.19 36.75 1.08 rw[63] -19.77 2.72 -19.87 -24.28 -15.41 35.88 1.09 rw[64] -19.63 2.70 -19.61 -23.91 -15.10 36.50 1.08 rw[65] -19.45 2.72 -19.37 -24.11 -15.34 36.54 1.09 rw[66] -19.25 2.74 -19.14 -24.61 -15.60 34.66 1.09 rw[67] -19.06 2.75 -18.99 -23.94 -14.99 37.72 1.08 rw[68] -18.87 2.76 -18.87 -23.63 -14.42 37.01 1.08 rw[69] -18.70 2.76 -18.66 -23.20 -14.24 36.80 1.08 rw[70] -18.58 2.75 -18.43 -23.43 -14.45 37.57 1.07 rw[71] -18.51 2.79 -18.45 -22.96 -13.90 36.32 1.08 rw[72] -18.40 2.76 -18.33 -22.86 -13.98 35.03 1.09 rw[73] -18.25 2.77 -18.17 -22.64 -13.89 36.94 1.08 rw[74] -18.17 2.80 -18.14 -23.05 -13.99 34.72 1.08 rw[75] -18.04 2.77 -17.95 -22.35 -13.51 33.92 1.08 rw[76] -17.97 2.77 -17.92 -22.41 -13.46 34.10 1.08 rw[77] -17.88 2.72 -17.86 -22.70 -13.81 34.19 1.08 rw[78] -17.83 2.74 -17.84 -22.10 -13.40 35.33 1.08 rw[79] -17.77 2.77 -17.70 -22.09 -13.25 34.07 1.07 rw[80] -17.77 2.76 -17.81 -22.14 -13.52 33.54 1.08 rw[81] -17.77 2.74 -17.80 -22.60 -13.72 34.04 1.08 rw[82] -17.71 2.77 -17.73 -21.91 -12.93 33.33 1.08 rw[83] -17.68 2.75 -17.71 -22.15 -13.22 33.64 1.09 rw[84] -17.65 2.78 -17.72 -22.76 -13.81 32.43 1.08 rw[85] -17.60 2.75 -17.64 -22.30 -13.58 32.71 1.09 rw[86] -17.60 2.76 -17.61 -21.90 -13.30 33.55 1.09 rw[87] -17.57 2.77 -17.57 -22.13 -12.99 34.87 1.08 rw[88] -17.56 2.80 -17.55 -21.61 -12.58 35.55 1.09 rw[89] -17.51 2.78 -17.48 -21.91 -13.00 36.67 1.08 rw[90] -17.47 2.77 -17.38 -21.82 -12.86 37.23 1.07 rw[91] -17.45 2.78 -17.39 -21.72 -12.47 36.05 1.07 rw[92] -17.42 2.76 -17.41 -22.28 -13.36 36.48 1.07 rw[93] -17.37 2.73 -17.39 -22.35 -13.38 35.20 1.08 rw[94] -17.31 2.76 -17.31 -21.54 -12.71 35.84 1.08 rw[95] -17.29 2.75 -17.24 -21.75 -12.94 35.25 1.09 rw[96] -17.24 2.71 -17.20 -21.29 -12.79 34.96 1.09 rw[97] -17.18 2.74 -17.06 -21.44 -12.85 34.55 1.09 rw[98] -17.08 2.74 -16.96 -22.25 -13.35 34.25 1.09 rw[99] -17.01 2.76 -16.95 -21.57 -12.71 35.69 1.07 rw[100] -16.94 2.80 -16.91 -21.51 -12.45 34.49 1.09 rw[101] -16.86 2.74 -16.89 -21.85 -12.86 33.37 1.09 rw[102] -16.76 2.70 -16.66 -21.55 -12.71 33.00 1.08 rw[103] -16.68 2.64 -16.68 -20.69 -12.17 31.63 1.09 rw[104] -16.60 2.68 -16.57 -21.17 -12.52 30.38 1.09 rw[105] -16.50 2.73 -16.51 -21.20 -12.38 32.81 1.09 rw[106] -16.43 2.76 -16.45 -20.51 -11.43 36.95 1.07 rw[107] -16.35 2.76 -16.46 -20.70 -11.76 36.60 1.07 rw[108] -16.24 2.78 -16.30 -20.52 -11.42 36.76 1.07 rw[109] -16.14 2.73 -16.21 -20.57 -11.56 37.21 1.07 rw[110] -16.11 2.71 -16.26 -20.72 -11.73 35.76 1.07 rw[111] -16.01 2.68 -16.10 -20.28 -11.85 35.56 1.07 rw[112] -15.95 2.72 -15.94 -20.50 -11.60 34.47 1.08 rw[113] -15.93 2.70 -15.97 -20.50 -11.77 32.83 1.08 rw[114] -15.92 2.66 -16.07 -20.33 -11.57 33.21 1.09 rw[115] -15.87 2.68 -15.91 -20.48 -11.65 32.68 1.10 rw[116] -15.91 2.69 -15.99 -20.62 -11.73 31.33 1.10 rw[117] -16.00 2.71 -16.05 -20.71 -12.07 32.43 1.09 rw[118] -16.13 2.70 -16.13 -20.88 -12.04 31.27 1.10 rw[119] -16.18 2.69 -16.23 -20.64 -11.75 29.72 1.10 rw[120] -16.24 2.66 -16.31 -20.67 -11.83 30.75 1.10 rw[121] -16.30 2.68 -16.23 -20.65 -11.91 30.57 1.11 rw[122] -16.40 2.68 -16.33 -20.63 -11.92 30.75 1.10 rw[123] -16.49 2.71 -16.48 -21.16 -12.41 30.43 1.09 rw[124] -16.56 2.71 -16.51 -21.24 -12.31 29.83 1.09 rw[125] -16.56 2.72 -16.65 -21.20 -12.18 29.21 1.10 rw[126] -16.63 2.73 -16.67 -21.18 -12.22 30.79 1.09 rw[127] -16.69 2.74 -16.75 -21.33 -12.55 32.37 1.08 rw[128] -16.76 2.72 -16.77 -21.04 -12.24 32.44 1.08 rw[129] -16.83 2.71 -16.80 -21.30 -12.43 31.94 1.09 rw[130] -16.88 2.70 -16.84 -21.48 -12.55 31.39 1.09 rw[131] -16.96 2.65 -16.90 -21.95 -13.29 31.57 1.09 rw[132] -16.98 2.69 -16.81 -21.61 -12.96 35.15 1.07 rw[133] -17.02 2.67 -16.98 -21.22 -12.51 36.06 1.08 rw[134] -17.06 2.63 -17.07 -21.12 -12.65 35.64 1.07 rw[135] -17.10 2.61 -17.08 -21.07 -12.50 38.34 1.07 rw[136] -17.14 2.53 -17.02 -21.20 -13.02 35.96 1.07 rw[137] -17.20 2.52 -17.16 -21.16 -13.08 36.08 1.07 rw[138] -17.15 2.56 -17.11 -21.69 -13.24 36.49 1.06 rw[139] -17.10 2.52 -17.11 -21.16 -12.92 35.65 1.06 rw[140] -17.05 2.53 -17.08 -21.40 -13.22 35.25 1.06 rw[141] -17.02 2.58 -16.96 -21.27 -12.99 35.11 1.07 rw[142] -16.95 2.58 -16.86 -21.58 -13.27 34.13 1.07 rw[143] -16.88 2.59 -16.86 -20.79 -12.44 34.44 1.07 rw[144] -16.76 2.62 -16.71 -21.10 -12.54 32.42 1.09 rw[145] -16.68 2.65 -16.72 -20.85 -12.21 31.96 1.09 rw[146] -16.58 2.67 -16.54 -21.37 -12.57 30.93 1.10 rw[147] -16.51 2.68 -16.42 -20.79 -11.92 30.86 1.10 rw[148] -16.43 2.70 -16.38 -21.04 -12.17 30.79 1.09 rw[149] -16.28 2.70 -16.24 -20.38 -11.52 29.40 1.10 rw[150] -16.18 2.64 -16.24 -20.57 -11.97 29.70 1.10 rw[151] -16.09 2.66 -16.13 -20.68 -11.96 30.42 1.10 rw[152] -15.96 2.66 -15.96 -20.11 -11.45 29.51 1.11 rw[153] -15.83 2.69 -15.85 -20.37 -11.64 29.69 1.10 rw[154] -15.67 2.75 -15.62 -20.56 -11.58 30.84 1.08 rw[155] -15.53 2.73 -15.53 -20.07 -11.04 31.59 1.08 rw[156] -15.42 2.71 -15.36 -19.86 -11.13 31.02 1.09 rw[157] -15.34 2.67 -15.28 -19.73 -11.04 31.03 1.08 rw[158] -15.31 2.64 -15.26 -19.40 -10.63 31.58 1.08 rw[159] -15.22 2.58 -15.24 -19.91 -11.34 31.40 1.09 rw[160] -15.11 2.59 -15.15 -19.75 -11.33 33.68 1.08 rw[161] -14.99 2.60 -15.07 -19.29 -10.95 35.70 1.07 rw[162] -14.87 2.62 -14.96 -19.42 -10.94 34.13 1.08 rw[163] -14.74 2.63 -14.81 -19.16 -10.48 36.04 1.07 rw[164] -14.73 2.67 -14.77 -18.84 -10.00 34.27 1.08 rw[165] -14.65 2.64 -14.64 -18.98 -10.49 34.59 1.08 rw[166] -14.64 2.62 -14.62 -18.88 -10.55 32.72 1.09 rw[167] -14.59 2.62 -14.61 -18.89 -10.41 34.18 1.09 rw[168] -14.57 2.66 -14.63 -18.61 -10.11 36.71 1.08 rw[169] -14.60 2.67 -14.54 -19.13 -10.47 36.16 1.08 rw[170] -14.58 2.69 -14.53 -18.56 -9.77 34.92 1.09 rw[171] -14.62 2.67 -14.60 -19.04 -10.33 33.29 1.08 rw[172] -14.65 2.67 -14.67 -18.94 -10.30 33.50 1.09 rw[173] -14.63 2.66 -14.68 -19.22 -10.50 32.03 1.09 rw[174] -14.62 2.62 -14.73 -18.61 -10.08 31.37 1.10 rw[175] -14.62 2.64 -14.68 -18.71 -10.18 31.71 1.09 rw[176] -14.62 2.57 -14.64 -18.70 -10.41 30.10 1.09 rw[177] -14.67 2.56 -14.80 -18.42 -10.35 29.90 1.09 rw[178] -14.57 2.58 -14.55 -18.72 -10.40 29.37 1.10 rw[179] -14.43 2.60 -14.40 -18.62 -10.16 30.15 1.09 rw[180] -14.28 2.66 -14.30 -18.36 -9.95 31.61 1.08 rw[181] -14.13 2.66 -14.16 -18.36 -9.83 32.81 1.08 rw[182] -13.95 2.66 -13.97 -18.98 -10.27 33.19 1.08 rw[183] -13.79 2.62 -13.86 -18.24 -9.86 31.88 1.09 rw[184] -13.69 2.64 -13.79 -17.93 -9.18 31.97 1.08 rw[185] -13.60 2.62 -13.62 -17.76 -9.20 32.57 1.08 rw[186] -13.50 2.67 -13.48 -17.85 -9.06 31.97 1.08 rw[187] -13.44 2.67 -13.39 -17.52 -8.68 32.00 1.08 rw[188] -13.50 2.69 -13.43 -17.75 -9.02 31.58 1.08 rw[189] -13.57 2.68 -13.61 -17.86 -9.26 34.11 1.08 rw[190] -13.72 2.73 -13.70 -18.16 -9.23 32.47 1.08 rw[191] -13.99 2.72 -14.00 -18.33 -9.50 32.02 1.08 rw[192] -14.26 2.71 -14.30 -18.86 -10.21 32.03 1.09 rw[193] -14.66 2.74 -14.57 -19.21 -10.31 30.81 1.10 rw[194] -15.05 2.68 -14.91 -19.00 -10.32 31.78 1.10 rw[195] -15.51 2.69 -15.48 -20.20 -11.38 31.56 1.10 rw[196] -15.92 2.69 -15.90 -20.92 -12.03 33.14 1.09 rw[197] -16.25 2.62 -16.25 -20.75 -12.30 33.06 1.09 rw[198] -16.56 2.59 -16.57 -20.47 -12.33 34.43 1.09 rw[199] -16.78 2.62 -16.73 -21.23 -12.72 31.94 1.10 rw[200] -16.93 2.56 -16.88 -21.12 -12.93 31.93 1.10 rw[201] -16.97 2.60 -16.86 -20.88 -12.42 32.07 1.10 rw[202] -16.93 2.64 -16.90 -21.22 -12.50 31.23 1.10 rw[203] -16.84 2.66 -16.89 -21.19 -12.34 31.94 1.09 rw[204] -16.76 2.66 -16.77 -21.06 -12.39 32.64 1.09 rw[205] -16.64 2.68 -16.75 -20.88 -11.99 34.09 1.08 rw[206] -16.50 2.63 -16.47 -21.14 -12.64 33.73 1.09 rw[207] -16.40 2.60 -16.47 -20.78 -12.30 32.87 1.09 rw[208] -16.29 2.61 -16.32 -20.21 -11.71 33.66 1.09 rw[209] -16.16 2.61 -16.15 -20.33 -11.80 34.39 1.09 rw[210] -16.03 2.58 -15.99 -20.46 -11.93 33.04 1.09 rw[211] -15.93 2.63 -15.90 -19.93 -11.11 32.97 1.09 rw[212] -15.81 2.61 -15.86 -20.40 -11.67 32.00 1.09 rw[213] -15.75 2.65 -15.85 -20.26 -11.64 31.56 1.10 rw[214] -15.63 2.65 -15.67 -20.17 -11.54 29.43 1.11 rw[215] -15.51 2.61 -15.57 -19.49 -11.01 28.96 1.12 rw[216] -15.42 2.64 -15.47 -19.87 -11.24 29.84 1.10 rw[217] -15.36 2.61 -15.38 -19.50 -11.23 30.09 1.10 rw[218] -15.22 2.60 -15.26 -19.71 -11.19 30.10 1.09 rw[219] -15.14 2.55 -15.17 -19.25 -11.07 30.71 1.10 rw[220] -15.01 2.61 -14.99 -19.40 -10.84 30.13 1.10 rw[221] -14.89 2.62 -14.92 -19.05 -10.45 31.18 1.09 rw[222] -14.65 2.56 -14.63 -18.36 -9.91 30.64 1.09 rw[223] -14.48 2.60 -14.45 -18.99 -10.42 30.11 1.09 rw[224] -14.17 2.53 -14.18 -18.61 -10.34 28.12 1.10 rw[225] -13.93 2.47 -13.94 -18.53 -10.34 28.16 1.10 rw[226] -13.62 2.38 -13.57 -17.73 -10.00 25.90 1.12 rw[227] -13.29 2.25 -13.26 -17.39 -10.07 23.16 1.12 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.27 949.05 1.00 Number of divergences: 0