mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.82 1.23 1.57 0.25 3.51 373.35 1.02 E0 3.33 3.14 2.29 0.00 7.61 59.39 1.08 H0 1.27 1.37 0.85 0.00 2.87 353.23 1.01 I0 1.39 1.46 0.90 0.01 3.36 27.60 1.10 beta0 2.41 0.60 2.28 1.61 3.32 4.01 1.44 confirmed_dispersion 0.39 0.05 0.38 0.31 0.47 317.96 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 369.12 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 212.13 1.00 death_rate 0.09 0.01 0.09 0.07 0.11 215.84 1.03 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.40 258.41 1.02 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.91 0.85 0.95 231.09 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 193.70 1.01 rw[0] -0.01 0.93 0.00 -1.36 1.72 88.78 1.00 rw[1] 0.06 1.29 0.04 -1.91 2.19 40.25 1.01 rw[2] 0.17 1.56 0.16 -2.22 2.94 29.72 1.03 rw[3] 0.32 1.77 0.35 -2.73 3.10 24.50 1.05 rw[4] 0.48 1.95 0.51 -2.50 3.90 16.16 1.07 rw[5] 0.63 2.12 0.67 -2.70 4.19 11.42 1.10 rw[6] 0.69 2.22 0.69 -2.66 4.70 9.51 1.11 rw[7] 0.73 2.36 0.78 -2.65 4.85 8.06 1.14 rw[8] 0.66 2.50 0.71 -3.48 4.52 7.49 1.17 rw[9] 0.49 2.54 0.57 -3.88 4.28 6.97 1.18 rw[10] 0.12 2.64 0.11 -4.12 4.35 6.70 1.20 rw[11] -0.36 2.70 -0.25 -4.64 4.03 6.44 1.22 rw[12] -1.02 2.72 -0.87 -5.54 3.02 6.03 1.25 rw[13] -1.79 2.76 -1.71 -6.15 2.55 5.95 1.26 rw[14] -2.62 2.81 -2.41 -7.17 1.69 5.61 1.29 rw[15] -3.56 2.79 -3.35 -7.69 1.10 5.51 1.31 rw[16] -4.46 2.80 -4.31 -8.93 -0.14 5.41 1.31 rw[17] -5.50 2.79 -5.33 -10.05 -1.23 5.25 1.33 rw[18] -6.52 2.81 -6.39 -11.08 -2.30 5.09 1.35 rw[19] -7.53 2.79 -7.38 -11.78 -3.23 5.03 1.35 rw[20] -8.58 2.79 -8.39 -13.10 -4.21 4.92 1.37 rw[21] -9.52 2.74 -9.49 -13.75 -5.01 4.96 1.37 rw[22] -10.35 2.74 -10.23 -14.48 -5.91 5.08 1.34 rw[23] -11.15 2.76 -11.16 -15.20 -6.45 4.96 1.34 rw[24] -11.83 2.77 -11.69 -16.45 -7.82 5.01 1.34 rw[25] -12.38 2.83 -12.06 -16.62 -7.68 4.99 1.34 rw[26] -12.86 2.79 -12.61 -17.67 -8.89 4.91 1.33 rw[27] -13.27 2.79 -13.06 -17.95 -9.39 4.83 1.36 rw[28] -13.52 2.81 -13.28 -18.05 -9.22 4.83 1.36 rw[29] -13.81 2.80 -13.57 -18.31 -9.47 4.82 1.36 rw[30] -13.97 2.84 -13.81 -18.56 -9.69 4.76 1.36 rw[31] -14.13 2.82 -13.97 -18.34 -9.39 4.66 1.40 rw[32] -14.16 2.84 -14.00 -18.91 -10.09 4.70 1.39 rw[33] -14.26 2.85 -14.15 -18.86 -9.87 4.68 1.39 rw[34] -14.37 2.82 -14.33 -18.99 -9.99 4.85 1.38 rw[35] -14.46 2.80 -14.40 -18.63 -9.64 4.96 1.38 rw[36] -14.55 2.86 -14.46 -19.11 -10.02 4.88 1.36 rw[37] -14.63 2.80 -14.42 -19.22 -10.42 4.81 1.37 rw[38] -14.75 2.77 -14.60 -18.96 -10.20 5.10 1.35 rw[39] -14.90 2.75 -14.74 -19.27 -10.44 5.24 1.35 rw[40] -15.07 2.75 -14.81 -19.56 -10.71 5.21 1.37 rw[41] -15.22 2.78 -15.09 -19.48 -10.57 5.38 1.35 rw[42] -15.35 2.75 -15.26 -19.66 -11.03 5.47 1.32 rw[43] -15.54 2.76 -15.43 -19.45 -10.75 5.71 1.31 rw[44] -15.76 2.77 -15.58 -20.07 -11.41 5.68 1.32 rw[45] -15.97 2.81 -15.88 -20.09 -11.22 5.72 1.31 rw[46] -16.19 2.83 -16.11 -20.62 -11.64 5.75 1.30 rw[47] -16.34 2.83 -16.24 -21.27 -12.30 5.61 1.30 rw[48] -16.54 2.85 -16.36 -21.11 -12.06 5.76 1.28 rw[49] -16.63 2.83 -16.48 -21.34 -12.59 5.58 1.29 rw[50] -16.72 2.81 -16.58 -21.50 -12.79 5.27 1.31 rw[51] -16.78 2.81 -16.55 -21.47 -12.62 5.39 1.29 rw[52] -16.85 2.82 -16.52 -21.59 -12.82 5.36 1.30 rw[53] -16.86 2.83 -16.53 -21.49 -12.55 5.43 1.31 rw[54] -16.81 2.84 -16.57 -21.52 -12.67 5.28 1.33 rw[55] -16.81 2.81 -16.64 -21.40 -12.78 5.20 1.33 rw[56] -16.74 2.81 -16.48 -21.46 -12.70 5.07 1.34 rw[57] -16.74 2.85 -16.49 -21.67 -12.78 5.12 1.34 rw[58] -16.68 2.87 -16.53 -21.30 -12.30 5.18 1.34 rw[59] -16.64 2.85 -16.43 -21.05 -12.29 5.02 1.35 rw[60] -16.58 2.85 -16.46 -20.92 -12.07 5.00 1.36 rw[61] -16.58 2.86 -16.45 -21.38 -12.43 5.00 1.36 rw[62] -16.62 2.86 -16.45 -21.58 -12.61 5.00 1.36 rw[63] -16.65 2.88 -16.44 -21.43 -12.21 4.99 1.36 rw[64] -16.71 2.88 -16.56 -21.30 -12.13 5.12 1.36 rw[65] -16.77 2.89 -16.50 -21.73 -12.63 5.09 1.35 rw[66] -16.83 2.91 -16.75 -21.71 -12.43 5.10 1.35 rw[67] -16.95 2.94 -16.72 -21.89 -12.67 5.11 1.35 rw[68] -17.09 2.94 -16.84 -21.55 -12.32 5.09 1.35 rw[69] -17.21 2.95 -16.97 -21.81 -12.58 5.34 1.34 rw[70] -17.38 2.92 -17.20 -22.24 -12.95 5.32 1.34 rw[71] -17.50 2.89 -17.21 -22.11 -13.04 5.41 1.33 rw[72] -17.61 2.89 -17.43 -22.24 -13.19 5.49 1.33 rw[73] -17.83 2.93 -17.49 -23.02 -13.72 5.39 1.34 rw[74] -17.90 2.90 -17.61 -22.65 -13.71 5.42 1.34 rw[75] -18.00 2.87 -17.68 -22.64 -13.58 5.41 1.33 rw[76] -18.02 2.81 -17.84 -22.47 -13.74 5.46 1.34 rw[77] -18.13 2.83 -17.94 -22.52 -13.67 5.35 1.35 rw[78] -18.18 2.86 -18.05 -22.62 -13.53 5.47 1.35 rw[79] -18.19 2.86 -17.99 -22.82 -13.86 5.58 1.33 rw[80] -18.23 2.85 -18.01 -23.06 -14.15 5.49 1.33 rw[81] -18.17 2.84 -18.16 -22.77 -13.89 5.44 1.33 rw[82] -18.15 2.81 -18.00 -22.69 -13.92 5.50 1.33 rw[83] -18.16 2.79 -18.10 -22.75 -13.82 5.48 1.32 rw[84] -18.16 2.82 -18.21 -22.39 -13.58 5.49 1.32 rw[85] -18.11 2.80 -18.05 -22.45 -13.59 5.42 1.31 rw[86] -18.06 2.80 -18.06 -22.76 -13.92 5.49 1.30 rw[87] -17.99 2.78 -17.93 -22.19 -13.22 5.58 1.30 rw[88] -17.94 2.76 -17.73 -22.52 -13.69 5.45 1.30 rw[89] -17.86 2.78 -17.65 -22.50 -13.71 5.47 1.28 rw[90] -17.71 2.81 -17.52 -22.30 -13.35 5.76 1.27 rw[91] -17.56 2.86 -17.25 -22.37 -13.19 5.80 1.27 rw[92] -17.39 2.81 -17.18 -22.20 -13.34 5.57 1.29 rw[93] -17.20 2.82 -16.92 -21.90 -13.03 5.69 1.27 rw[94] -16.94 2.87 -16.64 -22.02 -13.00 5.66 1.27 rw[95] -16.73 2.89 -16.52 -21.30 -12.36 5.65 1.28 rw[96] -16.50 2.93 -16.32 -20.89 -11.88 5.70 1.29 rw[97] -16.26 2.92 -16.06 -20.93 -11.77 5.79 1.29 rw[98] -15.99 2.90 -15.77 -20.65 -11.48 5.77 1.29 rw[99] -15.70 2.90 -15.53 -20.14 -10.96 5.71 1.28 rw[100] -15.41 2.87 -15.17 -19.87 -10.80 5.70 1.30 rw[101] -15.07 2.83 -14.89 -19.53 -10.61 5.70 1.30 rw[102] -14.81 2.79 -14.61 -19.55 -10.78 5.61 1.30 rw[103] -14.52 2.76 -14.27 -19.07 -10.37 5.36 1.32 rw[104] -14.22 2.72 -14.04 -18.36 -9.72 5.45 1.31 rw[105] -13.97 2.72 -13.71 -18.63 -10.00 5.34 1.33 rw[106] -13.77 2.68 -13.56 -17.78 -9.28 5.24 1.33 rw[107] -13.63 2.73 -13.50 -18.01 -9.39 5.22 1.34 rw[108] -13.51 2.72 -13.35 -17.73 -9.27 5.44 1.32 rw[109] -13.34 2.74 -13.09 -17.65 -9.04 5.38 1.33 rw[110] -13.28 2.77 -13.09 -17.82 -8.94 5.23 1.33 rw[111] -13.26 2.72 -13.18 -17.25 -8.67 5.00 1.37 rw[112] -13.21 2.71 -12.97 -17.56 -8.94 5.05 1.36 rw[113] -13.30 2.72 -13.09 -17.62 -9.16 5.10 1.36 rw[114] -13.27 2.73 -13.26 -17.39 -9.09 5.10 1.36 rw[115] -13.25 2.73 -13.15 -17.41 -8.86 5.21 1.35 rw[116] -13.29 2.72 -13.22 -17.54 -8.98 5.15 1.35 rw[117] -13.29 2.76 -13.19 -18.08 -9.36 5.13 1.36 rw[118] -13.29 2.73 -13.17 -17.76 -9.18 5.29 1.34 rw[119] -13.35 2.74 -13.23 -17.66 -9.16 5.48 1.31 rw[120] -13.36 2.70 -13.32 -17.38 -9.13 5.37 1.32 rw[121] -13.37 2.73 -13.33 -17.63 -9.31 5.35 1.32 rw[122] -13.34 2.75 -13.14 -17.77 -9.30 5.42 1.30 rw[123] -13.33 2.78 -13.13 -17.74 -9.10 5.23 1.31 rw[124] -13.31 2.79 -13.11 -17.54 -8.79 5.17 1.32 rw[125] -13.35 2.76 -13.24 -17.82 -9.34 5.08 1.33 rw[126] -13.40 2.77 -13.28 -17.92 -9.23 5.26 1.31 rw[127] -13.46 2.80 -13.25 -17.68 -8.94 5.16 1.32 rw[128] -13.49 2.81 -13.25 -17.87 -9.18 5.15 1.33 rw[129] -13.64 2.82 -13.55 -18.10 -9.29 5.17 1.33 rw[130] -13.78 2.81 -13.56 -18.34 -9.47 5.14 1.34 rw[131] -13.98 2.82 -13.81 -18.38 -9.66 5.21 1.31 rw[132] -14.14 2.79 -13.93 -18.72 -9.94 5.25 1.32 rw[133] -14.39 2.78 -14.23 -19.13 -10.38 5.40 1.30 rw[134] -14.65 2.73 -14.47 -18.83 -10.30 5.31 1.31 rw[135] -14.93 2.74 -14.72 -19.41 -10.78 5.43 1.31 rw[136] -15.18 2.79 -14.94 -19.78 -10.89 5.31 1.33 rw[137] -15.45 2.72 -15.31 -19.55 -11.14 5.31 1.32 rw[138] -15.61 2.74 -15.42 -19.92 -11.35 5.19 1.34 rw[139] -15.80 2.72 -15.55 -20.11 -11.59 5.05 1.34 rw[140] -15.98 2.77 -15.90 -20.45 -11.74 5.21 1.33 rw[141] -16.13 2.78 -16.04 -20.62 -11.72 5.32 1.32 rw[142] -16.26 2.76 -16.14 -20.70 -12.10 5.26 1.33 rw[143] -16.33 2.77 -16.18 -20.49 -11.86 5.16 1.32 rw[144] -16.32 2.84 -16.01 -20.74 -11.72 5.15 1.33 rw[145] -16.33 2.84 -16.27 -21.08 -12.11 5.01 1.34 rw[146] -16.31 2.84 -16.26 -21.05 -12.18 5.02 1.35 rw[147] -16.23 2.86 -16.16 -20.46 -11.53 5.17 1.34 rw[148] -16.15 2.86 -16.02 -20.64 -11.65 5.09 1.36 rw[149] -16.05 2.89 -15.92 -20.46 -11.27 5.18 1.36 rw[150] -15.94 2.86 -15.77 -20.33 -11.38 5.14 1.36 rw[151] -15.82 2.85 -15.74 -20.31 -11.53 5.01 1.36 rw[152] -15.68 2.84 -15.60 -20.41 -11.44 5.19 1.35 rw[153] -15.61 2.78 -15.54 -20.45 -11.59 5.10 1.36 rw[154] -15.55 2.81 -15.40 -19.91 -11.00 5.18 1.36 rw[155] -15.49 2.80 -15.29 -19.35 -10.46 5.16 1.36 rw[156] -15.46 2.82 -15.33 -19.79 -10.91 5.07 1.36 rw[157] -15.38 2.85 -15.14 -19.39 -10.34 5.06 1.35 rw[158] -15.39 2.80 -15.22 -19.69 -10.87 5.21 1.33 rw[159] -15.40 2.86 -15.20 -20.02 -11.02 5.25 1.34 rw[160] -15.37 2.83 -15.15 -19.90 -11.13 5.29 1.33 rw[161] -15.40 2.86 -15.14 -19.78 -10.99 5.34 1.32 rw[162] -15.43 2.82 -15.28 -20.03 -11.16 5.48 1.32 rw[163] -15.49 2.78 -15.37 -20.52 -11.44 5.44 1.31 rw[164] -15.52 2.79 -15.39 -19.70 -10.81 5.51 1.30 rw[165] -15.59 2.78 -15.37 -19.87 -11.00 5.35 1.30 rw[166] -15.69 2.82 -15.60 -20.02 -11.34 5.20 1.32 rw[167] -15.71 2.82 -15.57 -20.01 -11.24 5.44 1.29 rw[168] -15.79 2.78 -15.63 -19.93 -11.28 5.52 1.30 rw[169] -15.86 2.79 -15.77 -19.98 -11.27 5.54 1.31 rw[170] -16.00 2.77 -15.89 -20.32 -11.75 5.40 1.33 rw[171] -15.99 2.76 -15.71 -20.36 -11.67 5.27 1.36 rw[172] -16.09 2.77 -16.00 -20.65 -11.87 5.32 1.35 rw[173] -16.12 2.78 -16.01 -20.80 -11.92 5.43 1.34 rw[174] -16.20 2.77 -16.17 -20.40 -11.69 5.40 1.35 rw[175] -16.23 2.75 -16.15 -20.57 -11.84 5.32 1.35 rw[176] -16.26 2.77 -16.12 -20.38 -11.68 5.16 1.34 rw[177] -16.32 2.77 -16.22 -20.66 -12.00 5.21 1.34 rw[178] -16.30 2.80 -16.12 -20.54 -11.83 5.38 1.33 rw[179] -16.29 2.82 -16.15 -20.34 -11.45 5.31 1.32 rw[180] -16.34 2.84 -16.14 -20.74 -11.73 5.26 1.33 rw[181] -16.34 2.82 -16.21 -20.99 -12.14 5.25 1.33 rw[182] -16.26 2.85 -16.11 -20.55 -11.72 5.45 1.31 rw[183] -16.22 2.86 -16.12 -20.62 -11.87 5.14 1.32 rw[184] -16.15 2.85 -15.88 -20.58 -11.80 5.05 1.33 rw[185] -16.10 2.84 -15.93 -20.36 -11.53 5.19 1.33 rw[186] -16.08 2.86 -15.90 -20.53 -11.73 5.23 1.31 rw[187] -15.92 2.85 -15.78 -20.70 -11.54 5.28 1.31 rw[188] -15.81 2.83 -15.68 -20.86 -11.74 5.37 1.31 rw[189] -15.77 2.85 -15.62 -20.19 -11.39 5.55 1.30 rw[190] -15.69 2.85 -15.40 -20.10 -11.03 5.53 1.30 rw[191] -15.60 2.84 -15.35 -19.85 -10.87 5.83 1.28 rw[192] -15.47 2.79 -15.17 -19.96 -11.18 5.61 1.30 rw[193] -15.33 2.83 -15.19 -19.72 -10.76 5.66 1.30 rw[194] -15.20 2.80 -15.02 -19.49 -10.72 5.76 1.29 rw[195] -15.11 2.85 -14.95 -19.66 -10.78 5.70 1.28 rw[196] -14.96 2.82 -14.74 -19.31 -10.48 5.58 1.30 rw[197] -14.89 2.81 -14.60 -19.75 -10.74 5.51 1.32 rw[198] -14.77 2.79 -14.47 -19.18 -10.37 5.42 1.34 rw[199] -14.66 2.83 -14.46 -18.95 -10.23 5.29 1.35 rw[200] -14.55 2.84 -14.32 -19.38 -10.51 5.17 1.35 rw[201] -14.46 2.82 -14.19 -18.88 -10.22 5.09 1.34 rw[202] -14.31 2.81 -14.10 -19.13 -10.11 5.21 1.33 rw[203] -14.25 2.76 -14.09 -18.81 -10.03 5.17 1.35 rw[204] -14.19 2.79 -14.04 -18.49 -9.56 5.05 1.36 rw[205] -14.05 2.79 -13.86 -18.48 -9.78 5.02 1.36 rw[206] -13.92 2.76 -13.56 -18.30 -9.54 5.20 1.33 rw[207] -13.82 2.73 -13.60 -18.36 -9.82 4.98 1.35 rw[208] -13.74 2.74 -13.49 -18.31 -9.75 4.91 1.34 rw[209] -13.66 2.76 -13.48 -18.10 -9.42 4.91 1.34 rw[210] -13.53 2.74 -13.39 -17.64 -9.02 4.92 1.35 rw[211] -13.49 2.70 -13.42 -17.72 -9.26 5.00 1.33 rw[212] -13.45 2.74 -13.51 -17.59 -8.95 5.18 1.31 rw[213] -13.43 2.68 -13.46 -17.47 -9.04 5.17 1.32 rw[214] -13.37 2.65 -13.22 -17.23 -9.01 5.12 1.32 rw[215] -13.35 2.67 -13.20 -17.60 -9.24 5.15 1.33 rw[216] -13.31 2.68 -13.31 -17.77 -9.35 5.29 1.32 rw[217] -13.32 2.68 -13.22 -17.48 -9.11 5.44 1.30 rw[218] -13.31 2.70 -13.18 -17.60 -9.12 5.55 1.30 rw[219] -13.27 2.72 -13.10 -17.34 -8.93 5.48 1.32 rw[220] -13.20 2.74 -12.91 -17.30 -8.90 5.39 1.33 rw[221] -13.17 2.76 -12.94 -17.88 -9.29 5.46 1.31 rw[222] -13.06 2.81 -12.82 -17.76 -8.91 5.36 1.32 rw[223] -12.94 2.81 -12.75 -17.72 -8.88 5.25 1.33 rw[224] -12.86 2.78 -12.61 -17.27 -8.74 5.13 1.35 rw[225] -12.72 2.71 -12.54 -16.83 -8.55 4.83 1.37 rw[226] -12.56 2.60 -12.40 -16.52 -8.65 4.57 1.38 rw[227] -12.32 2.48 -12.01 -16.16 -8.76 4.14 1.44 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 278.48 1.00 Number of divergences: 0