mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.14 1.74 0.63 0.00 2.59 1019.28 1.00 E0 10.05 14.03 5.06 0.00 24.23 92.09 1.01 H0 2.33 1.95 1.88 0.00 4.90 1219.82 1.00 I0 4.38 5.49 2.55 0.00 10.82 65.16 1.00 beta0 1.80 0.52 1.78 0.87 2.53 11.93 1.05 confirmed_dispersion 0.90 0.07 0.89 0.78 1.03 1010.66 1.00 death_dispersion 0.52 0.04 0.51 0.46 0.59 1198.41 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 730.87 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.07 450.50 1.01 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.19 0.40 1058.23 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1098.52 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 945.60 1.00 rw[0] 0.33 0.99 0.31 -1.34 1.87 191.93 1.00 rw[1] 0.76 1.41 0.77 -1.59 2.89 111.16 1.00 rw[2] 1.26 1.72 1.29 -1.53 3.88 79.94 1.00 rw[3] 1.72 1.93 1.67 -1.59 4.68 53.20 1.00 rw[4] 2.24 2.18 2.15 -1.05 6.01 42.53 1.00 rw[5] 2.78 2.33 2.83 -0.77 6.79 35.84 1.01 rw[6] 3.23 2.50 3.20 -1.17 6.99 31.14 1.01 rw[7] 3.74 2.63 3.63 -0.88 7.80 28.05 1.02 rw[8] 4.18 2.71 4.12 0.18 8.97 24.72 1.02 rw[9] 4.53 2.80 4.54 0.03 9.08 22.47 1.03 rw[10] 4.79 2.89 4.75 -0.11 9.15 23.06 1.02 rw[11] 4.89 2.95 4.81 0.44 9.81 21.80 1.02 rw[12] 4.88 3.04 4.77 -0.11 9.75 20.05 1.02 rw[13] 4.61 3.04 4.46 -0.51 9.42 18.72 1.02 rw[14] 4.10 3.06 3.94 -1.01 8.83 18.00 1.03 rw[15] 3.37 3.17 3.19 -1.95 8.32 16.98 1.03 rw[16] 2.45 3.21 2.29 -2.63 7.88 16.27 1.03 rw[17] 1.40 3.19 1.31 -4.01 6.37 16.12 1.03 rw[18] 0.19 3.21 0.06 -4.98 5.60 15.78 1.03 rw[19] -1.02 3.21 -1.14 -6.42 4.11 15.87 1.03 rw[20] -2.23 3.24 -2.48 -7.39 3.43 15.56 1.03 rw[21] -3.51 3.23 -3.75 -9.29 1.40 15.74 1.03 rw[22] -4.77 3.25 -5.00 -10.59 0.10 15.46 1.03 rw[23] -6.00 3.21 -6.13 -11.51 -0.96 15.58 1.03 rw[24] -7.15 3.25 -7.33 -12.36 -1.52 15.84 1.03 rw[25] -8.30 3.26 -8.49 -13.52 -3.02 15.71 1.03 rw[26] -9.34 3.24 -9.47 -14.24 -3.76 15.67 1.04 rw[27] -10.32 3.26 -10.50 -15.81 -5.36 15.61 1.04 rw[28] -11.17 3.33 -11.35 -15.85 -4.99 15.72 1.04 rw[29] -12.09 3.33 -12.32 -17.05 -6.36 16.14 1.04 rw[30] -12.94 3.31 -13.02 -18.28 -7.25 15.90 1.05 rw[31] -13.69 3.33 -13.75 -18.63 -7.78 15.66 1.05 rw[32] -14.40 3.36 -14.51 -19.52 -8.61 16.15 1.04 rw[33] -14.98 3.36 -15.08 -20.41 -9.32 15.87 1.04 rw[34] -15.58 3.40 -15.76 -20.53 -9.44 16.51 1.04 rw[35] -16.04 3.47 -16.26 -21.18 -9.90 16.18 1.05 rw[36] -16.51 3.48 -16.79 -21.35 -10.16 16.16 1.04 rw[37] -16.92 3.47 -17.10 -22.42 -11.30 16.45 1.05 rw[38] -17.26 3.50 -17.49 -23.01 -11.70 16.55 1.05 rw[39] -17.58 3.49 -17.84 -23.12 -11.92 16.73 1.05 rw[40] -17.79 3.50 -18.01 -23.30 -11.78 16.91 1.05 rw[41] -17.98 3.56 -18.20 -23.46 -11.91 16.86 1.04 rw[42] -18.16 3.52 -18.31 -24.21 -12.58 16.46 1.04 rw[43] -18.27 3.52 -18.43 -23.64 -11.97 16.60 1.04 rw[44] -18.35 3.49 -18.49 -24.65 -12.93 16.93 1.04 rw[45] -18.44 3.44 -18.56 -24.37 -12.95 17.20 1.03 rw[46] -18.45 3.44 -18.59 -24.10 -12.53 17.27 1.03 rw[47] -18.46 3.46 -18.60 -23.94 -12.59 17.27 1.03 rw[48] -18.37 3.51 -18.49 -23.78 -12.29 17.66 1.03 rw[49] -18.30 3.52 -18.57 -23.97 -12.80 17.78 1.02 rw[50] -18.18 3.47 -18.38 -23.58 -12.53 18.48 1.02 rw[51] -18.10 3.54 -18.28 -23.63 -12.40 18.93 1.02 rw[52] -17.96 3.47 -18.13 -23.24 -12.17 18.64 1.02 rw[53] -17.80 3.49 -17.80 -23.64 -12.14 18.20 1.02 rw[54] -17.68 3.43 -17.75 -22.80 -11.50 18.83 1.02 rw[55] -17.46 3.42 -17.50 -22.98 -11.75 18.90 1.02 rw[56] -17.30 3.38 -17.46 -22.69 -11.66 18.92 1.02 rw[57] -17.09 3.35 -17.19 -22.96 -11.89 18.55 1.02 rw[58] -16.95 3.35 -17.00 -22.31 -11.28 18.99 1.02 rw[59] -16.77 3.36 -16.87 -22.45 -11.56 18.39 1.03 rw[60] -16.60 3.32 -16.67 -22.01 -11.33 18.60 1.03 rw[61] -16.36 3.33 -16.40 -21.88 -11.18 18.26 1.03 rw[62] -16.12 3.33 -16.27 -21.30 -10.53 18.29 1.03 rw[63] -15.97 3.42 -16.17 -21.07 -10.17 18.28 1.03 rw[64] -15.82 3.39 -16.03 -21.07 -10.20 18.45 1.04 rw[65] -15.67 3.39 -15.88 -20.95 -9.97 18.16 1.05 rw[66] -15.56 3.36 -15.68 -20.35 -9.54 17.95 1.04 rw[67] -15.44 3.36 -15.61 -20.93 -10.06 17.74 1.04 rw[68] -15.30 3.39 -15.48 -20.16 -9.48 18.04 1.04 rw[69] -15.25 3.39 -15.46 -20.74 -9.78 17.48 1.04 rw[70] -15.15 3.36 -15.34 -20.54 -9.73 17.73 1.04 rw[71] -15.04 3.38 -15.16 -19.85 -8.74 17.59 1.04 rw[72] -15.02 3.42 -15.20 -20.52 -9.63 17.78 1.04 rw[73] -15.00 3.40 -15.20 -20.14 -9.22 17.86 1.03 rw[74] -14.95 3.40 -15.22 -20.18 -9.49 18.05 1.03 rw[75] -14.97 3.39 -15.15 -20.17 -9.22 17.84 1.03 rw[76] -15.04 3.44 -15.19 -21.10 -9.75 18.20 1.03 rw[77] -15.08 3.46 -15.31 -20.56 -9.27 18.77 1.02 rw[78] -15.07 3.48 -15.18 -20.44 -9.35 18.93 1.02 rw[79] -15.07 3.48 -15.19 -20.90 -9.56 18.83 1.02 rw[80] -15.14 3.48 -15.23 -20.57 -9.07 18.70 1.02 rw[81] -15.08 3.45 -15.26 -20.51 -9.26 18.95 1.01 rw[82] -15.08 3.50 -15.13 -20.07 -8.47 18.49 1.02 rw[83] -15.06 3.45 -15.26 -20.04 -8.70 18.68 1.02 rw[84] -15.11 3.45 -15.22 -20.64 -9.30 18.80 1.01 rw[85] -15.05 3.44 -15.20 -20.69 -9.34 18.09 1.01 rw[86] -15.01 3.38 -15.15 -20.71 -9.65 17.94 1.02 rw[87] -14.97 3.34 -15.07 -20.59 -9.49 18.28 1.02 rw[88] -14.89 3.34 -15.03 -20.73 -9.61 17.94 1.01 rw[89] -14.75 3.35 -14.75 -20.08 -9.22 17.56 1.02 rw[90] -14.63 3.37 -14.67 -20.97 -9.81 17.46 1.02 rw[91] -14.46 3.44 -14.59 -20.29 -8.96 18.07 1.02 rw[92] -14.29 3.42 -14.39 -20.15 -8.94 17.99 1.02 rw[93] -14.16 3.42 -14.33 -19.59 -8.70 18.35 1.02 rw[94] -13.92 3.42 -14.08 -18.98 -7.78 17.85 1.03 rw[95] -13.64 3.36 -13.79 -18.92 -8.03 17.94 1.02 rw[96] -13.28 3.37 -13.53 -18.39 -7.51 17.90 1.03 rw[97] -13.01 3.44 -13.15 -18.64 -7.46 17.96 1.03 rw[98] -12.70 3.38 -12.93 -17.91 -6.97 17.94 1.03 rw[99] -12.45 3.46 -12.62 -18.04 -7.16 18.09 1.03 rw[100] -12.11 3.43 -12.25 -18.29 -7.11 18.22 1.03 rw[101] -11.87 3.40 -12.00 -17.93 -6.77 17.82 1.03 rw[102] -11.66 3.36 -11.92 -17.06 -6.17 18.09 1.03 rw[103] -11.44 3.33 -11.70 -16.82 -5.92 17.95 1.04 rw[104] -11.19 3.34 -11.46 -17.08 -6.11 17.64 1.04 rw[105] -11.03 3.33 -11.32 -15.69 -4.64 17.64 1.03 rw[106] -10.89 3.35 -11.24 -16.29 -5.28 17.37 1.03 rw[107] -10.75 3.33 -11.08 -16.00 -5.09 18.22 1.03 rw[108] -10.69 3.36 -10.99 -16.36 -5.36 17.63 1.03 rw[109] -10.64 3.35 -10.88 -16.11 -5.12 17.41 1.03 rw[110] -10.60 3.35 -10.83 -15.87 -4.89 17.06 1.04 rw[111] -10.61 3.31 -10.82 -16.40 -5.67 16.89 1.03 rw[112] -10.64 3.29 -10.88 -15.87 -5.00 17.08 1.03 rw[113] -10.72 3.32 -10.98 -15.13 -4.27 17.49 1.03 rw[114] -10.79 3.37 -11.06 -16.06 -4.89 17.74 1.03 rw[115] -10.85 3.37 -11.04 -15.83 -4.70 17.46 1.03 rw[116] -10.86 3.35 -11.04 -16.58 -5.59 17.85 1.02 rw[117] -10.89 3.34 -11.04 -15.99 -5.01 17.36 1.03 rw[118] -11.00 3.35 -11.12 -16.45 -5.54 16.99 1.03 rw[119] -11.10 3.32 -11.13 -16.69 -5.83 17.26 1.03 rw[120] -11.20 3.28 -11.33 -16.18 -5.37 17.96 1.03 rw[121] -11.38 3.26 -11.61 -16.11 -5.66 18.12 1.03 rw[122] -11.43 3.28 -11.53 -16.60 -6.03 17.82 1.03 rw[123] -11.56 3.31 -11.59 -17.16 -6.64 17.66 1.03 rw[124] -11.69 3.35 -11.66 -17.51 -6.56 17.26 1.03 rw[125] -11.71 3.34 -11.75 -16.80 -5.98 17.87 1.02 rw[126] -11.83 3.31 -11.87 -17.46 -6.78 17.47 1.02 rw[127] -11.88 3.34 -11.90 -17.28 -6.68 17.05 1.02 rw[128] -11.89 3.34 -11.88 -17.34 -6.89 17.10 1.03 rw[129] -11.89 3.31 -11.92 -17.55 -6.85 17.29 1.02 rw[130] -11.90 3.30 -11.83 -17.24 -6.42 17.79 1.02 rw[131] -11.86 3.31 -11.98 -17.16 -6.43 18.03 1.02 rw[132] -11.76 3.33 -11.86 -17.18 -6.46 17.90 1.02 rw[133] -11.68 3.29 -11.74 -17.20 -6.69 17.39 1.02 rw[134] -11.65 3.31 -11.87 -17.26 -6.40 17.45 1.03 rw[135] -11.59 3.31 -11.76 -16.97 -6.04 17.09 1.03 rw[136] -11.55 3.30 -11.64 -17.15 -6.24 17.12 1.03 rw[137] -11.49 3.29 -11.52 -16.73 -5.85 16.68 1.03 rw[138] -11.38 3.32 -11.53 -17.42 -6.47 16.40 1.03 rw[139] -11.23 3.29 -11.37 -16.75 -5.97 16.35 1.03 rw[140] -11.21 3.28 -11.44 -15.81 -5.06 16.73 1.03 rw[141] -11.13 3.27 -11.32 -15.86 -5.18 16.53 1.04 rw[142] -11.07 3.27 -11.20 -16.08 -5.49 16.83 1.04 rw[143] -11.03 3.25 -11.17 -16.10 -5.61 16.11 1.04 rw[144] -11.07 3.27 -11.21 -16.08 -5.51 15.30 1.04 rw[145] -11.03 3.28 -11.21 -15.98 -5.19 15.04 1.04 rw[146] -11.02 3.30 -11.23 -16.23 -5.47 15.20 1.04 rw[147] -11.03 3.29 -11.22 -16.34 -5.75 15.95 1.03 rw[148] -11.07 3.30 -11.26 -16.71 -6.02 16.17 1.03 rw[149] -11.10 3.24 -11.21 -16.53 -6.04 16.65 1.03 rw[150] -11.09 3.25 -11.20 -16.05 -5.47 16.93 1.03 rw[151] -11.16 3.25 -11.30 -16.37 -5.92 16.94 1.04 rw[152] -11.15 3.23 -11.39 -16.20 -5.89 16.77 1.03 rw[153] -11.18 3.17 -11.34 -16.24 -5.87 16.22 1.03 rw[154] -11.22 3.17 -11.27 -16.91 -6.36 16.24 1.03 rw[155] -11.29 3.14 -11.42 -16.39 -6.00 16.48 1.03 rw[156] -11.35 3.18 -11.50 -16.66 -6.29 16.70 1.03 rw[157] -11.44 3.21 -11.54 -16.60 -6.17 17.46 1.03 rw[158] -11.49 3.21 -11.58 -16.46 -6.08 17.41 1.03 rw[159] -11.52 3.28 -11.61 -16.72 -6.22 17.43 1.03 rw[160] -11.60 3.28 -11.77 -16.36 -5.65 18.21 1.03 rw[161] -11.65 3.29 -11.70 -16.74 -5.99 17.00 1.03 rw[162] -11.74 3.31 -11.74 -17.09 -6.50 17.34 1.03 rw[163] -11.82 3.32 -11.84 -17.06 -6.40 16.97 1.03 rw[164] -11.87 3.31 -11.91 -17.50 -6.82 17.02 1.03 rw[165] -11.89 3.37 -11.94 -17.69 -6.62 16.89 1.03 rw[166] -11.92 3.36 -11.96 -17.55 -6.57 16.68 1.03 rw[167] -11.96 3.33 -12.12 -17.88 -6.83 17.28 1.03 rw[168] -12.00 3.35 -12.18 -17.24 -6.53 16.81 1.04 rw[169] -12.04 3.40 -12.20 -17.28 -6.20 16.86 1.03 rw[170] -12.12 3.35 -12.30 -17.53 -6.78 16.71 1.03 rw[171] -12.18 3.33 -12.34 -17.26 -6.65 16.40 1.03 rw[172] -12.20 3.32 -12.35 -17.45 -6.47 16.30 1.03 rw[173] -12.31 3.34 -12.46 -17.26 -6.45 16.30 1.03 rw[174] -12.31 3.27 -12.43 -17.78 -7.20 16.52 1.03 rw[175] -12.36 3.21 -12.53 -17.51 -6.93 16.40 1.03 rw[176] -12.43 3.23 -12.54 -17.59 -7.03 16.93 1.03 rw[177] -12.41 3.23 -12.43 -17.52 -6.81 16.31 1.03 rw[178] -12.43 3.25 -12.46 -17.69 -7.10 17.02 1.03 rw[179] -12.48 3.24 -12.57 -18.07 -7.50 17.14 1.03 rw[180] -12.48 3.22 -12.57 -17.51 -7.03 17.18 1.02 rw[181] -12.47 3.26 -12.53 -17.69 -7.02 17.15 1.02 rw[182] -12.46 3.26 -12.49 -17.20 -6.53 17.38 1.03 rw[183] -12.51 3.27 -12.52 -17.48 -6.74 16.93 1.03 rw[184] -12.49 3.27 -12.66 -19.05 -8.09 16.65 1.03 rw[185] -12.47 3.26 -12.64 -17.74 -6.92 16.45 1.03 rw[186] -12.40 3.23 -12.60 -17.70 -7.21 16.91 1.03 rw[187] -12.36 3.25 -12.41 -17.60 -6.97 16.90 1.03 rw[188] -12.29 3.26 -12.39 -17.89 -7.21 17.25 1.03 rw[189] -12.20 3.28 -12.31 -17.56 -6.89 17.17 1.03 rw[190] -12.10 3.26 -12.20 -17.93 -7.05 17.14 1.03 rw[191] -11.99 3.31 -12.17 -17.51 -6.56 17.19 1.02 rw[192] -11.81 3.28 -12.05 -17.32 -6.58 17.24 1.02 rw[193] -11.73 3.31 -11.92 -16.34 -5.93 16.33 1.03 rw[194] -11.61 3.32 -11.78 -17.08 -6.36 16.50 1.03 rw[195] -11.52 3.37 -11.73 -17.12 -6.07 16.33 1.03 rw[196] -11.40 3.40 -11.59 -16.51 -5.52 16.57 1.03 rw[197] -11.29 3.38 -11.59 -16.89 -5.92 16.26 1.03 rw[198] -11.12 3.38 -11.35 -16.05 -5.08 16.61 1.03 rw[199] -11.06 3.36 -11.36 -16.63 -5.99 16.52 1.03 rw[200] -10.93 3.34 -11.26 -16.00 -5.26 16.41 1.03 rw[201] -10.86 3.35 -11.19 -16.33 -5.41 16.23 1.03 rw[202] -10.80 3.33 -10.99 -15.90 -5.27 16.09 1.04 rw[203] -10.67 3.31 -10.91 -15.57 -5.04 15.66 1.04 rw[204] -10.59 3.27 -10.74 -15.52 -5.08 16.15 1.04 rw[205] -10.58 3.29 -10.74 -16.04 -5.37 16.54 1.04 rw[206] -10.45 3.24 -10.58 -15.98 -5.25 16.14 1.05 rw[207] -10.33 3.23 -10.43 -15.29 -4.63 16.81 1.04 rw[208] -10.26 3.23 -10.49 -15.66 -4.96 16.97 1.03 rw[209] -10.19 3.26 -10.30 -15.77 -5.06 16.84 1.03 rw[210] -10.18 3.29 -10.41 -15.21 -4.44 17.09 1.03 rw[211] -10.10 3.31 -10.21 -15.11 -4.22 16.94 1.03 rw[212] -10.07 3.29 -10.21 -15.29 -4.54 17.15 1.03 rw[213] -9.99 3.29 -10.11 -15.29 -4.55 16.70 1.03 rw[214] -9.93 3.25 -9.99 -14.88 -4.18 16.78 1.03 rw[215] -9.87 3.24 -9.93 -16.14 -5.33 16.77 1.03 rw[216] -9.84 3.20 -9.95 -14.60 -4.10 16.45 1.03 rw[217] -9.76 3.22 -9.93 -14.94 -4.56 16.19 1.03 rw[218] -9.76 3.22 -9.87 -15.28 -4.90 16.65 1.03 rw[219] -9.75 3.18 -9.82 -14.63 -4.44 16.53 1.03 rw[220] -9.72 3.24 -9.87 -15.11 -4.67 16.82 1.03 rw[221] -9.74 3.27 -9.79 -15.05 -4.44 16.75 1.03 rw[222] -9.76 3.28 -9.88 -14.67 -3.97 16.68 1.03 rw[223] -9.80 3.26 -9.90 -14.72 -4.07 16.31 1.03 rw[224] -9.87 3.22 -9.88 -14.98 -4.40 16.93 1.03 rw[225] -9.86 3.25 -9.88 -14.81 -3.99 16.84 1.03 rw[226] -9.88 3.24 -10.00 -15.88 -5.09 17.10 1.03 rw[227] -9.82 3.25 -9.98 -14.98 -4.37 16.90 1.03 rw[228] -9.76 3.27 -9.92 -14.74 -4.10 16.70 1.03 rw[229] -9.70 3.25 -9.92 -14.42 -3.88 16.49 1.03 rw[230] -9.55 3.27 -9.67 -15.05 -4.38 16.32 1.03 rw[231] -9.48 3.22 -9.71 -14.60 -4.10 16.00 1.03 rw[232] -9.30 3.15 -9.49 -14.25 -4.21 15.81 1.03 rw[233] -9.14 3.12 -9.39 -13.97 -3.94 14.89 1.03 rw[234] -8.98 2.97 -9.28 -13.69 -4.01 13.77 1.04 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 907.64 1.00 Number of divergences: 0