mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.72 0.80 0.50 0.00 1.61 1288.66 1.00 E0 30.24 33.38 20.50 0.39 67.78 223.52 1.00 H0 4.54 3.51 3.75 0.00 9.29 1038.88 1.00 I0 9.55 11.71 5.89 0.01 22.81 139.22 1.00 beta0 2.18 0.50 2.12 1.40 2.88 20.97 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.65 0.08 0.64 0.53 0.78 490.54 1.00 death_dispersion 0.24 0.02 0.24 0.20 0.27 1236.09 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 590.14 1.00 death_rate 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.04 0.05 168.85 1.01 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.40 2329.66 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 1323.17 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 3036.88 1.00 rw[0] 0.18 0.98 0.16 -1.26 1.90 876.88 1.00 rw[1] 0.44 1.35 0.41 -1.85 2.57 195.53 1.00 rw[2] 0.78 1.64 0.74 -1.76 3.53 107.42 1.00 rw[3] 1.10 1.87 1.08 -1.72 4.45 83.59 1.00 rw[4] 1.41 2.05 1.35 -1.98 4.79 73.14 1.00 rw[5] 1.73 2.16 1.71 -1.89 5.35 70.47 1.00 rw[6] 1.98 2.27 2.00 -1.98 5.59 56.95 1.00 rw[7] 2.15 2.35 2.15 -1.64 6.19 47.59 1.00 rw[8] 2.24 2.42 2.30 -1.55 6.42 45.04 1.00 rw[9] 2.15 2.45 2.22 -2.33 5.87 39.37 1.00 rw[10] 1.96 2.46 2.00 -2.43 5.73 36.67 1.00 rw[11] 1.58 2.53 1.57 -2.83 5.63 31.58 1.00 rw[12] 1.14 2.53 1.18 -2.76 5.56 30.45 1.00 rw[13] 0.57 2.56 0.62 -3.40 5.10 26.46 1.00 rw[14] 0.01 2.55 0.07 -4.10 4.32 25.79 1.00 rw[15] -0.62 2.54 -0.51 -4.86 3.55 24.92 1.00 rw[16] -1.25 2.55 -1.18 -5.50 2.74 24.55 1.00 rw[17] -1.91 2.54 -1.87 -6.13 1.98 24.38 1.00 rw[18] -2.58 2.58 -2.53 -6.55 1.84 25.65 1.00 rw[19] -3.26 2.55 -3.26 -7.27 1.02 25.66 1.00 rw[20] -3.96 2.55 -3.90 -7.66 0.65 23.99 1.00 rw[21] -4.66 2.53 -4.64 -8.82 -0.69 24.69 1.00 rw[22] -5.45 2.52 -5.44 -9.76 -1.55 25.60 1.00 rw[23] -6.26 2.50 -6.16 -9.67 -1.36 25.09 1.00 rw[24] -7.16 2.49 -7.04 -10.78 -2.37 25.09 1.00 rw[25] -8.13 2.47 -8.10 -12.30 -4.25 25.48 1.00 rw[26] -9.12 2.46 -9.13 -13.13 -5.14 25.46 1.00 rw[27] -10.17 2.51 -10.16 -14.24 -6.12 24.77 1.00 rw[28] -11.19 2.52 -11.15 -14.89 -6.61 24.62 1.01 rw[29] -12.18 2.56 -12.12 -16.20 -7.86 24.55 1.00 rw[30] -13.13 2.58 -13.05 -17.62 -9.14 26.17 1.00 rw[31] -13.93 2.58 -13.84 -17.87 -9.53 26.70 1.00 rw[32] -14.78 2.62 -14.68 -19.11 -10.47 26.28 1.00 rw[33] -15.58 2.62 -15.59 -19.40 -10.87 26.48 1.01 rw[34] -16.29 2.72 -16.16 -21.14 -12.22 27.09 1.00 rw[35] -16.93 2.78 -16.85 -21.39 -12.46 27.50 1.00 rw[36] -17.52 2.85 -17.37 -22.16 -13.00 29.46 1.00 rw[37] -18.08 2.85 -17.87 -22.69 -13.54 30.29 1.00 rw[38] -18.55 2.87 -18.50 -23.42 -13.84 31.08 1.00 rw[39] -19.02 2.89 -18.95 -23.61 -13.95 32.89 1.00 rw[40] -19.41 2.89 -19.28 -23.76 -14.24 34.10 1.01 rw[41] -19.74 2.97 -19.57 -25.22 -15.27 35.43 1.00 rw[42] -20.08 2.98 -19.92 -25.61 -15.67 35.34 1.00 rw[43] -20.32 2.99 -20.20 -25.29 -15.44 36.30 1.00 rw[44] -20.48 2.99 -20.46 -25.47 -15.49 35.14 1.00 rw[45] -20.61 2.94 -20.53 -25.46 -15.71 34.71 1.00 rw[46] -20.74 2.95 -20.66 -25.50 -15.68 34.91 1.00 rw[47] -20.77 2.94 -20.69 -25.89 -16.25 33.59 1.00 rw[48] -20.83 2.92 -20.75 -25.86 -16.28 35.55 1.00 rw[49] -20.80 2.92 -20.70 -26.09 -16.47 36.23 1.00 rw[50] -20.82 2.92 -20.61 -25.79 -16.09 36.55 1.00 rw[51] -20.74 2.93 -20.54 -26.00 -16.36 37.26 1.00 rw[52] -20.70 2.94 -20.50 -25.74 -16.02 36.00 1.00 rw[53] -20.62 2.95 -20.53 -25.41 -15.82 36.19 1.00 rw[54] -20.48 2.94 -20.38 -25.14 -15.52 36.51 1.00 rw[55] -20.36 2.90 -20.33 -25.57 -16.00 34.25 1.00 rw[56] -20.20 2.87 -20.11 -25.19 -15.88 35.21 1.00 rw[57] -20.04 2.83 -19.96 -24.87 -15.84 35.22 1.00 rw[58] -19.89 2.81 -19.85 -24.67 -15.54 36.34 1.00 rw[59] -19.68 2.85 -19.67 -23.91 -14.63 34.40 1.00 rw[60] -19.49 2.83 -19.41 -24.20 -15.10 33.58 1.00 rw[61] -19.26 2.84 -19.21 -23.73 -14.61 33.26 1.00 rw[62] -19.05 2.80 -18.89 -23.49 -14.27 32.69 1.00 rw[63] -18.82 2.79 -18.71 -23.86 -14.69 32.99 1.00 rw[64] -18.57 2.78 -18.45 -23.51 -14.47 32.80 1.00 rw[65] -18.33 2.79 -18.29 -23.25 -14.11 32.67 1.00 rw[66] -18.11 2.76 -18.04 -22.45 -13.44 32.23 1.00 rw[67] -17.83 2.80 -17.79 -22.42 -13.28 31.94 1.00 rw[68] -17.55 2.80 -17.60 -21.71 -12.55 31.19 1.00 rw[69] -17.29 2.81 -17.20 -21.55 -12.34 31.71 1.00 rw[70] -17.08 2.84 -17.01 -21.91 -12.61 33.64 1.00 rw[71] -16.87 2.82 -16.93 -21.30 -12.31 34.16 1.00 rw[72] -16.68 2.88 -16.67 -20.95 -11.50 36.08 1.00 rw[73] -16.44 2.90 -16.48 -21.48 -11.70 36.46 1.00 rw[74] -16.28 2.93 -16.29 -21.99 -12.34 34.51 1.00 rw[75] -16.09 2.92 -16.04 -20.15 -10.37 34.55 1.00 rw[76] -15.93 2.87 -15.90 -20.49 -11.12 34.09 1.00 rw[77] -15.76 2.88 -15.75 -20.09 -10.97 31.93 1.00 rw[78] -15.65 2.83 -15.62 -20.01 -11.01 32.37 1.00 rw[79] -15.53 2.83 -15.48 -19.97 -10.91 32.40 1.00 rw[80] -15.45 2.84 -15.47 -20.18 -11.14 32.71 1.00 rw[81] -15.40 2.90 -15.43 -19.91 -10.70 32.53 1.00 rw[82] -15.36 2.89 -15.33 -20.34 -10.90 32.65 1.00 rw[83] -15.31 2.89 -15.19 -20.07 -10.66 33.63 1.00 rw[84] -15.23 2.90 -15.29 -20.26 -10.82 32.68 1.00 rw[85] -15.17 2.94 -15.11 -19.73 -10.34 32.03 1.00 rw[86] -15.20 2.92 -15.06 -19.41 -10.34 31.08 1.00 rw[87] -15.21 2.90 -15.20 -20.33 -10.96 31.19 1.00 rw[88] -15.18 2.88 -15.16 -19.84 -10.38 30.80 1.00 rw[89] -15.17 2.88 -15.21 -19.71 -10.46 31.23 1.00 rw[90] -15.17 2.84 -15.20 -19.27 -10.10 28.90 1.00 rw[91] -15.15 2.84 -15.17 -19.27 -10.11 31.23 1.00 rw[92] -15.12 2.88 -14.99 -19.53 -10.39 32.19 1.00 rw[93] -15.11 2.88 -15.14 -20.09 -10.75 32.11 1.00 rw[94] -15.07 2.91 -15.01 -19.86 -10.41 32.69 1.00 rw[95] -15.02 2.94 -14.93 -19.97 -10.23 32.15 1.00 rw[96] -14.97 2.91 -14.94 -19.54 -9.83 32.71 1.00 rw[97] -14.94 2.92 -14.88 -20.16 -10.39 34.20 1.00 rw[98] -14.89 2.92 -14.80 -19.26 -9.68 35.35 1.00 rw[99] -14.78 2.96 -14.71 -19.59 -9.98 34.77 1.00 rw[100] -14.76 2.93 -14.74 -19.32 -9.86 33.45 1.00 rw[101] -14.69 2.92 -14.70 -19.64 -10.16 33.80 1.00 rw[102] -14.63 2.93 -14.60 -19.28 -10.13 33.64 1.00 rw[103] -14.60 2.89 -14.64 -19.34 -9.95 32.55 1.00 rw[104] -14.57 2.89 -14.58 -18.71 -9.46 34.41 1.00 rw[105] -14.55 2.82 -14.57 -18.90 -10.03 34.44 1.00 rw[106] -14.47 2.80 -14.37 -18.99 -9.93 33.41 1.00 rw[107] -14.51 2.78 -14.41 -18.55 -9.71 33.52 1.00 rw[108] -14.57 2.76 -14.53 -19.04 -10.23 33.34 1.00 rw[109] -14.61 2.77 -14.56 -18.74 -9.92 33.74 1.00 rw[110] -14.63 2.78 -14.69 -18.56 -9.77 35.02 1.00 rw[111] -14.74 2.81 -14.78 -18.72 -9.59 33.13 1.00 rw[112] -14.82 2.80 -14.77 -19.47 -10.24 33.94 1.00 rw[113] -14.91 2.81 -14.83 -19.35 -10.45 35.04 1.00 rw[114] -15.08 2.82 -14.92 -19.66 -10.56 32.03 1.00 rw[115] -15.22 2.82 -15.26 -19.65 -10.62 30.60 1.00 rw[116] -15.39 2.87 -15.32 -20.23 -10.87 30.70 1.00 rw[117] -15.50 2.89 -15.41 -19.96 -10.65 31.36 1.00 rw[118] -15.64 2.91 -15.61 -19.94 -10.52 32.40 1.00 rw[119] -15.80 2.91 -15.93 -19.95 -10.66 31.72 1.00 rw[120] -15.93 2.96 -16.05 -20.81 -11.25 30.91 1.00 rw[121] -16.05 2.90 -16.11 -20.21 -10.93 31.53 1.00 rw[122] -16.16 2.88 -16.23 -20.66 -11.40 32.29 1.00 rw[123] -16.22 2.94 -16.31 -21.05 -11.51 31.78 1.00 rw[124] -16.25 2.98 -16.34 -21.02 -11.27 32.30 1.00 rw[125] -16.24 2.98 -16.23 -21.35 -11.41 32.58 1.00 rw[126] -16.25 2.97 -16.30 -21.06 -11.26 33.83 1.00 rw[127] -16.17 2.95 -16.15 -21.15 -11.41 33.26 1.00 rw[128] -16.07 2.91 -16.05 -20.56 -11.00 33.04 1.00 rw[129] -15.97 2.88 -15.86 -20.46 -11.12 32.79 1.00 rw[130] -15.80 2.89 -15.71 -20.76 -11.42 32.95 1.00 rw[131] -15.64 2.88 -15.46 -19.95 -10.61 31.47 1.00 rw[132] -15.45 2.87 -15.41 -20.12 -10.71 30.37 1.00 rw[133] -15.20 2.81 -15.14 -19.68 -10.70 29.94 1.00 rw[134] -14.94 2.80 -14.84 -20.01 -10.75 30.06 1.00 rw[135] -14.65 2.74 -14.58 -19.55 -10.50 29.39 1.00 rw[136] -14.38 2.75 -14.32 -18.96 -9.89 29.02 1.00 rw[137] -14.14 2.71 -14.02 -18.59 -9.72 27.86 1.00 rw[138] -13.88 2.71 -13.79 -18.29 -9.44 28.51 1.00 rw[139] -13.66 2.66 -13.67 -17.59 -9.03 28.96 1.00 rw[140] -13.49 2.68 -13.50 -17.77 -9.25 27.98 1.00 rw[141] -13.33 2.68 -13.21 -17.63 -9.04 26.23 1.00 rw[142] -13.24 2.69 -13.19 -17.54 -8.81 26.10 1.00 rw[143] -13.12 2.70 -13.11 -17.38 -8.75 25.97 1.00 rw[144] -13.12 2.69 -13.11 -17.58 -8.98 27.31 1.00 rw[145] -13.13 2.64 -13.14 -17.32 -8.75 26.73 1.00 rw[146] -13.11 2.65 -13.02 -17.22 -8.61 27.75 1.00 rw[147] -13.11 2.63 -13.08 -16.82 -8.06 27.42 1.00 rw[148] -13.15 2.63 -13.15 -17.55 -9.03 27.99 1.00 rw[149] -13.23 2.66 -13.29 -17.50 -9.05 28.45 1.00 rw[150] -13.26 2.72 -13.15 -17.41 -8.59 27.54 1.00 rw[151] -13.23 2.72 -13.21 -18.01 -8.91 27.04 1.00 rw[152] -13.23 2.66 -13.23 -17.63 -8.81 27.62 1.00 rw[153] -13.23 2.59 -13.22 -17.26 -8.83 28.72 1.00 rw[154] -13.21 2.58 -13.20 -16.86 -8.46 28.83 1.00 rw[155] -13.25 2.59 -13.21 -17.24 -8.85 28.06 1.00 rw[156] -13.26 2.56 -13.24 -16.99 -8.63 28.46 1.00 rw[157] -13.21 2.50 -13.20 -16.98 -8.95 29.29 1.00 rw[158] -13.16 2.52 -13.10 -16.78 -8.58 28.24 1.00 rw[159] -13.15 2.59 -13.09 -17.06 -8.77 29.44 1.00 rw[160] -13.12 2.62 -13.14 -17.06 -8.52 29.88 1.00 rw[161] -13.08 2.64 -12.96 -17.41 -8.78 29.45 1.00 rw[162] -13.00 2.68 -13.00 -17.13 -8.37 28.09 1.00 rw[163] -12.92 2.67 -12.94 -17.31 -8.66 27.48 1.00 rw[164] -12.80 2.65 -12.83 -16.57 -8.17 28.39 1.00 rw[165] -12.69 2.66 -12.67 -17.14 -8.39 26.85 1.00 rw[166] -12.54 2.65 -12.52 -16.67 -8.18 27.38 1.00 rw[167] -12.35 2.63 -12.28 -16.32 -7.92 28.64 1.00 rw[168] -12.21 2.63 -12.17 -16.66 -8.03 27.82 1.00 rw[169] -11.99 2.68 -11.90 -16.26 -7.42 28.78 1.00 rw[170] -11.87 2.62 -11.83 -16.51 -7.88 28.62 1.00 rw[171] -11.71 2.64 -11.67 -16.14 -7.64 29.91 1.00 rw[172] -11.55 2.70 -11.57 -16.05 -7.35 29.62 1.00 rw[173] -11.54 2.70 -11.48 -15.72 -7.06 28.72 1.00 rw[174] -11.46 2.71 -11.39 -15.51 -6.64 27.79 1.01 rw[175] -11.51 2.72 -11.37 -16.15 -7.29 27.95 1.01 rw[176] -11.56 2.72 -11.61 -15.91 -7.26 29.23 1.00 rw[177] -11.69 2.63 -11.60 -15.94 -7.30 29.06 1.01 rw[178] -11.82 2.66 -11.75 -16.02 -7.27 30.00 1.00 rw[179] -11.95 2.61 -11.86 -16.01 -7.38 29.75 1.00 rw[180] -12.08 2.60 -12.05 -16.80 -8.11 29.37 1.00 rw[181] -12.26 2.61 -12.24 -16.24 -7.73 28.40 1.00 rw[182] -12.41 2.64 -12.31 -16.62 -8.06 28.57 1.00 rw[183] -12.57 2.63 -12.52 -16.08 -7.49 28.00 1.00 rw[184] -12.74 2.65 -12.70 -16.61 -8.49 28.30 1.00 rw[185] -12.86 2.63 -12.73 -17.43 -8.80 26.85 1.00 rw[186] -12.98 2.64 -12.95 -17.26 -8.61 27.46 1.00 rw[187] -13.03 2.60 -12.88 -17.10 -8.70 27.22 1.00 rw[188] -13.10 2.62 -12.96 -17.18 -8.76 26.60 1.00 rw[189] -13.14 2.63 -13.03 -16.95 -8.58 26.87 1.00 rw[190] -13.18 2.64 -13.16 -17.11 -8.63 26.77 1.00 rw[191] -13.18 2.63 -13.10 -17.37 -9.08 27.38 1.00 rw[192] -13.15 2.65 -13.17 -17.49 -9.05 26.85 1.00 rw[193] -13.11 2.63 -13.03 -17.61 -9.18 27.18 1.00 rw[194] -13.09 2.68 -13.10 -17.94 -9.15 27.90 1.00 rw[195] -12.99 2.64 -13.00 -17.05 -8.51 27.87 1.00 rw[196] -12.91 2.68 -12.95 -17.09 -8.36 28.89 1.00 rw[197] -12.81 2.65 -12.80 -17.15 -8.48 28.87 1.00 rw[198] -12.73 2.63 -12.67 -16.96 -8.52 29.14 1.00 rw[199] -12.62 2.60 -12.58 -16.52 -8.07 27.33 1.00 rw[200] -12.51 2.57 -12.54 -16.50 -8.28 26.46 1.00 rw[201] -12.45 2.59 -12.45 -16.67 -8.27 26.53 1.00 rw[202] -12.33 2.58 -12.30 -16.56 -8.37 25.23 1.00 rw[203] -12.19 2.55 -12.19 -16.25 -8.14 26.12 1.00 rw[204] -12.05 2.59 -12.02 -16.19 -7.84 26.66 1.00 rw[205] -11.97 2.59 -12.08 -16.19 -7.83 27.15 1.00 rw[206] -11.91 2.59 -11.98 -15.90 -7.53 26.51 1.00 rw[207] -11.80 2.59 -11.82 -15.99 -7.69 26.88 1.00 rw[208] -11.68 2.60 -11.73 -16.02 -7.44 27.96 1.00 rw[209] -11.56 2.65 -11.49 -15.94 -7.43 28.45 1.00 rw[210] -11.54 2.65 -11.56 -15.53 -6.84 27.76 1.00 rw[211] -11.41 2.65 -11.42 -15.47 -6.72 28.06 1.00 rw[212] -11.37 2.60 -11.29 -15.29 -6.56 26.24 1.00 rw[213] -11.28 2.62 -11.25 -15.49 -6.80 26.87 1.00 rw[214] -11.24 2.59 -11.13 -15.79 -7.26 25.76 1.00 rw[215] -11.21 2.56 -11.08 -15.28 -6.87 26.40 1.00 rw[216] -11.16 2.53 -11.08 -15.13 -6.82 27.01 1.00 rw[217] -11.09 2.56 -11.10 -15.54 -7.10 27.10 1.00 rw[218] -11.06 2.60 -11.04 -15.21 -6.81 27.13 1.00 rw[219] -11.07 2.57 -11.02 -15.17 -6.65 26.95 1.00 rw[220] -11.10 2.61 -11.05 -15.08 -6.39 26.90 1.00 rw[221] -11.13 2.62 -11.15 -15.33 -6.70 25.47 1.00 rw[222] -11.14 2.64 -11.13 -15.34 -6.78 24.77 1.00 rw[223] -11.19 2.69 -11.14 -15.79 -7.06 25.04 1.00 rw[224] -11.21 2.69 -11.08 -15.62 -7.06 26.22 1.01 rw[225] -11.22 2.67 -11.03 -15.67 -7.04 26.65 1.00 rw[226] -11.28 2.65 -11.17 -15.36 -6.87 26.24 1.00 rw[227] -11.32 2.61 -11.25 -15.34 -7.01 27.10 1.00 rw[228] -11.27 2.59 -11.19 -15.40 -7.01 27.03 1.00 rw[229] -11.20 2.58 -11.14 -15.03 -6.56 26.14 1.00 rw[230] -11.10 2.55 -10.99 -15.06 -6.87 26.35 1.00 rw[231] -11.01 2.49 -10.84 -15.02 -7.28 25.48 1.00 rw[232] -10.78 2.47 -10.67 -14.39 -6.34 24.00 1.00 rw[233] -10.56 2.34 -10.48 -13.97 -6.48 22.35 1.00 rw[234] -10.24 2.22 -10.15 -13.81 -6.47 20.41 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1718.49 1.00 Number of divergences: 0