mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.25 1.97 0.62 0.00 2.96 935.78 1.00 E0 8.27 10.74 4.43 0.00 20.69 155.16 1.00 H0 2.26 1.77 1.90 0.00 4.61 1275.02 1.00 I0 3.21 4.04 1.84 0.00 7.86 142.66 1.00 beta0 2.06 0.50 2.02 1.21 2.80 21.15 1.01 confirmed_dispersion 0.94 0.08 0.94 0.82 1.06 1389.79 1.00 death_dispersion 0.57 0.04 0.57 0.50 0.63 1172.86 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 979.32 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.07 642.18 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.40 1491.95 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 1591.11 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1795.88 1.00 rw[0] 0.17 0.94 0.17 -1.39 1.63 395.75 1.00 rw[1] 0.39 1.30 0.41 -1.71 2.69 205.67 1.00 rw[2] 0.71 1.58 0.71 -1.90 3.16 117.75 1.00 rw[3] 1.04 1.79 1.02 -1.82 4.04 94.68 1.00 rw[4] 1.40 1.99 1.42 -1.83 4.65 77.83 1.00 rw[5] 1.81 2.10 1.85 -1.49 5.42 65.67 1.00 rw[6] 2.20 2.28 2.17 -1.28 6.22 59.01 1.00 rw[7] 2.58 2.36 2.50 -1.24 6.36 49.69 1.00 rw[8] 2.91 2.42 2.88 -0.89 6.90 48.16 1.00 rw[9] 3.20 2.52 3.18 -1.12 7.14 43.49 1.00 rw[10] 3.35 2.59 3.24 -0.67 7.90 41.08 1.00 rw[11] 3.40 2.65 3.27 -0.94 7.54 36.77 1.00 rw[12] 3.27 2.74 3.17 -1.20 7.72 35.82 1.00 rw[13] 3.00 2.77 2.84 -1.64 7.40 33.64 1.00 rw[14] 2.47 2.77 2.41 -2.02 7.24 33.12 1.00 rw[15] 1.74 2.81 1.57 -2.83 6.49 31.47 1.00 rw[16] 0.81 2.80 0.73 -3.98 5.33 31.30 1.00 rw[17] -0.26 2.75 -0.30 -5.31 3.86 29.66 1.00 rw[18] -1.44 2.80 -1.55 -6.39 2.87 29.00 1.00 rw[19] -2.64 2.80 -2.68 -7.48 1.81 27.28 1.00 rw[20] -3.84 2.75 -3.91 -8.15 0.73 28.02 1.00 rw[21] -5.06 2.74 -5.02 -9.70 -0.55 28.13 1.00 rw[22] -6.29 2.71 -6.36 -11.03 -2.12 29.44 1.00 rw[23] -7.50 2.78 -7.47 -12.17 -3.01 28.57 1.00 rw[24] -8.60 2.80 -8.63 -13.58 -4.31 27.82 1.00 rw[25] -9.72 2.82 -9.65 -13.96 -4.61 27.67 1.00 rw[26] -10.76 2.84 -10.76 -15.31 -5.99 27.18 1.00 rw[27] -11.75 2.87 -11.70 -16.26 -6.72 27.61 1.00 rw[28] -12.65 2.90 -12.57 -17.18 -7.60 27.13 1.00 rw[29] -13.48 2.90 -13.47 -17.93 -8.39 27.10 1.00 rw[30] -14.30 2.92 -14.32 -19.08 -9.50 27.14 1.00 rw[31] -15.00 2.98 -14.96 -20.20 -10.18 26.38 1.00 rw[32] -15.71 3.01 -15.76 -20.92 -11.13 26.84 1.00 rw[33] -16.32 3.07 -16.48 -21.87 -11.52 27.69 1.00 rw[34] -16.90 3.03 -16.93 -21.95 -11.85 28.49 1.00 rw[35] -17.45 3.08 -17.51 -22.93 -12.81 28.92 1.00 rw[36] -17.84 3.14 -17.85 -23.07 -12.90 29.91 1.00 rw[37] -18.30 3.17 -18.31 -23.47 -13.14 29.90 1.00 rw[38] -18.67 3.16 -18.72 -24.37 -14.04 29.76 1.00 rw[39] -18.94 3.19 -18.93 -24.22 -13.88 31.80 1.00 rw[40] -19.19 3.19 -19.17 -24.24 -13.85 31.29 1.00 rw[41] -19.42 3.19 -19.45 -24.30 -13.84 31.05 1.00 rw[42] -19.59 3.17 -19.66 -24.19 -13.78 32.48 1.00 rw[43] -19.78 3.12 -19.90 -24.73 -14.62 31.41 1.00 rw[44] -19.88 3.08 -19.97 -24.91 -14.93 31.55 1.00 rw[45] -19.95 3.11 -20.01 -24.46 -14.34 30.55 1.00 rw[46] -19.93 3.05 -19.88 -24.74 -14.95 32.58 1.00 rw[47] -19.92 3.02 -19.99 -24.94 -15.06 32.53 1.00 rw[48] -19.90 2.99 -19.87 -25.01 -15.28 34.08 1.00 rw[49] -19.86 3.00 -19.90 -24.85 -15.12 34.19 1.00 rw[50] -19.78 3.02 -19.79 -24.65 -14.91 33.06 1.00 rw[51] -19.68 2.95 -19.75 -24.45 -14.92 33.77 1.00 rw[52] -19.54 2.99 -19.58 -24.64 -14.78 32.76 1.00 rw[53] -19.37 3.00 -19.30 -24.62 -14.82 33.41 1.00 rw[54] -19.18 2.96 -19.14 -23.57 -13.94 33.01 1.00 rw[55] -19.05 2.96 -19.07 -23.44 -13.94 33.53 1.00 rw[56] -18.86 2.93 -18.88 -22.99 -13.56 34.49 1.00 rw[57] -18.66 2.94 -18.61 -22.98 -13.42 34.59 1.00 rw[58] -18.48 2.91 -18.44 -23.39 -13.74 36.10 1.00 rw[59] -18.25 2.92 -18.28 -23.12 -13.56 37.61 1.00 rw[60] -18.05 2.96 -18.19 -23.33 -13.53 36.96 1.00 rw[61] -17.83 2.98 -17.85 -22.79 -13.03 35.94 1.00 rw[62] -17.72 2.90 -17.72 -22.34 -12.85 38.14 1.00 rw[63] -17.53 2.96 -17.63 -22.24 -12.61 37.55 1.00 rw[64] -17.37 2.96 -17.44 -22.28 -12.70 37.93 1.00 rw[65] -17.22 2.99 -17.41 -21.86 -12.06 37.32 1.00 rw[66] -17.09 2.97 -17.18 -22.10 -12.23 37.36 1.00 rw[67] -16.94 2.90 -17.09 -21.41 -11.89 37.53 1.00 rw[68] -16.86 2.93 -16.94 -21.94 -12.30 37.51 1.00 rw[69] -16.77 3.01 -16.72 -21.40 -11.41 37.49 1.00 rw[70] -16.70 3.03 -16.73 -21.31 -11.19 37.16 1.00 rw[71] -16.61 3.04 -16.72 -21.55 -11.58 36.65 1.00 rw[72] -16.59 2.99 -16.65 -21.47 -11.66 36.53 1.00 rw[73] -16.56 2.95 -16.58 -21.80 -12.15 35.15 1.00 rw[74] -16.50 2.95 -16.49 -21.16 -11.64 34.56 1.00 rw[75] -16.51 2.98 -16.52 -21.54 -11.86 33.94 1.00 rw[76] -16.53 2.97 -16.52 -21.65 -11.91 33.14 1.00 rw[77] -16.50 2.97 -16.55 -21.29 -11.61 32.77 1.00 rw[78] -16.49 2.96 -16.47 -21.17 -11.54 32.81 1.00 rw[79] -16.52 2.98 -16.55 -20.93 -11.19 32.97 1.00 rw[80] -16.52 2.99 -16.54 -21.36 -11.55 30.51 1.00 rw[81] -16.48 2.99 -16.54 -21.23 -11.58 30.08 1.00 rw[82] -16.50 2.99 -16.62 -21.16 -11.51 29.46 1.00 rw[83] -16.53 3.02 -16.60 -21.40 -11.69 28.45 1.00 rw[84] -16.52 3.05 -16.55 -21.57 -11.57 27.03 1.00 rw[85] -16.43 3.03 -16.41 -21.35 -11.54 27.24 1.00 rw[86] -16.40 3.02 -16.30 -21.06 -11.13 26.97 1.00 rw[87] -16.28 2.97 -16.29 -21.10 -11.58 27.28 1.00 rw[88] -16.19 3.02 -16.06 -21.04 -11.26 26.59 1.00 rw[89] -16.15 3.04 -16.07 -21.30 -11.29 26.17 1.00 rw[90] -16.03 2.99 -16.00 -20.63 -11.07 26.34 1.00 rw[91] -15.92 3.01 -15.93 -20.81 -11.19 25.52 1.00 rw[92] -15.73 2.99 -15.86 -20.45 -10.69 24.24 1.00 rw[93] -15.52 2.97 -15.57 -20.61 -10.90 24.76 1.00 rw[94] -15.27 2.98 -15.41 -20.16 -10.68 25.95 1.00 rw[95] -15.05 3.03 -15.09 -19.70 -9.88 24.83 1.00 rw[96] -14.82 3.05 -14.82 -19.40 -9.63 27.84 1.00 rw[97] -14.57 3.03 -14.53 -19.33 -9.66 28.34 1.00 rw[98] -14.29 3.07 -14.21 -18.53 -8.94 29.31 1.00 rw[99] -14.02 3.04 -13.98 -18.39 -8.82 29.55 1.00 rw[100] -13.75 2.98 -13.67 -18.70 -9.05 30.61 1.00 rw[101] -13.43 2.92 -13.37 -18.00 -8.38 30.25 1.00 rw[102] -13.21 2.92 -13.12 -17.77 -8.20 30.27 1.00 rw[103] -12.99 2.91 -13.05 -17.72 -8.24 30.61 1.00 rw[104] -12.80 2.91 -12.78 -17.45 -7.98 30.40 1.00 rw[105] -12.65 2.95 -12.61 -17.63 -7.87 31.80 1.00 rw[106] -12.49 2.93 -12.46 -17.28 -7.70 33.51 1.00 rw[107] -12.40 2.94 -12.31 -16.92 -7.01 33.63 1.00 rw[108] -12.30 2.97 -12.30 -16.78 -6.96 34.19 1.00 rw[109] -12.25 2.96 -12.19 -17.09 -7.33 33.14 1.00 rw[110] -12.16 2.98 -12.23 -17.55 -7.91 33.95 1.00 rw[111] -12.16 3.01 -12.20 -17.04 -7.26 32.99 1.00 rw[112] -12.19 3.00 -12.18 -17.64 -7.68 32.31 1.00 rw[113] -12.17 2.99 -12.18 -16.94 -7.03 32.58 1.00 rw[114] -12.20 2.97 -12.16 -17.25 -7.60 31.77 1.00 rw[115] -12.29 2.97 -12.37 -17.53 -7.74 31.66 1.00 rw[116] -12.34 2.96 -12.41 -17.83 -7.99 30.71 1.00 rw[117] -12.41 2.91 -12.49 -17.11 -7.50 31.47 1.00 rw[118] -12.51 2.91 -12.54 -17.20 -7.77 32.23 1.00 rw[119] -12.61 2.87 -12.56 -17.22 -7.82 33.08 1.00 rw[120] -12.69 2.83 -12.75 -17.36 -7.98 31.94 1.00 rw[121] -12.77 2.82 -12.80 -17.33 -7.96 32.10 1.00 rw[122] -12.85 2.83 -12.89 -17.60 -8.25 31.42 1.00 rw[123] -12.94 2.86 -13.01 -18.06 -8.58 30.61 1.00 rw[124] -13.09 2.87 -13.17 -17.57 -8.15 29.32 1.00 rw[125] -13.15 2.85 -13.19 -17.51 -8.23 29.35 1.00 rw[126] -13.20 2.89 -13.31 -17.90 -8.53 30.67 1.00 rw[127] -13.27 2.91 -13.36 -17.98 -8.51 30.42 1.00 rw[128] -13.27 2.97 -13.35 -18.00 -8.41 30.20 1.00 rw[129] -13.25 2.95 -13.41 -18.63 -8.90 30.04 1.00 rw[130] -13.20 2.91 -13.31 -17.47 -7.67 30.65 1.00 rw[131] -13.17 2.82 -13.30 -18.07 -8.66 31.35 1.00 rw[132] -13.14 2.82 -13.32 -17.27 -8.11 32.22 1.00 rw[133] -13.14 2.80 -13.19 -17.71 -8.67 31.70 1.00 rw[134] -13.08 2.80 -13.22 -17.65 -8.52 32.02 1.00 rw[135] -13.03 2.81 -13.17 -17.66 -8.47 32.43 1.00 rw[136] -12.92 2.82 -13.00 -17.14 -8.01 32.23 1.00 rw[137] -12.89 2.85 -13.07 -17.72 -8.42 31.35 1.00 rw[138] -12.86 2.83 -12.98 -17.51 -8.23 30.46 1.00 rw[139] -12.74 2.85 -12.81 -17.21 -7.88 30.06 1.00 rw[140] -12.70 2.89 -12.74 -17.02 -7.51 30.61 1.00 rw[141] -12.65 2.94 -12.61 -17.61 -8.00 31.99 1.00 rw[142] -12.61 2.95 -12.60 -17.37 -7.75 31.30 1.00 rw[143] -12.59 2.89 -12.67 -17.16 -7.96 29.95 1.00 rw[144] -12.57 2.90 -12.55 -17.06 -7.43 29.75 1.00 rw[145] -12.55 2.83 -12.51 -17.05 -7.65 28.78 1.00 rw[146] -12.54 2.82 -12.46 -17.54 -8.37 29.09 1.00 rw[147] -12.54 2.84 -12.53 -17.56 -8.28 29.40 1.00 rw[148] -12.57 2.89 -12.61 -17.54 -8.01 28.85 1.00 rw[149] -12.58 2.88 -12.62 -17.82 -8.21 31.13 1.00 rw[150] -12.59 2.93 -12.56 -17.19 -7.29 28.97 1.00 rw[151] -12.62 2.92 -12.69 -17.48 -7.57 29.09 1.00 rw[152] -12.62 2.96 -12.68 -17.15 -7.17 27.87 1.00 rw[153] -12.74 2.96 -12.86 -17.64 -7.70 27.89 1.00 rw[154] -12.76 2.98 -12.82 -18.10 -8.29 26.85 1.00 rw[155] -12.81 2.99 -12.88 -17.40 -7.63 28.01 1.00 rw[156] -12.85 2.98 -12.94 -17.65 -7.87 27.42 1.00 rw[157] -12.92 2.96 -13.08 -17.73 -8.06 27.11 1.00 rw[158] -12.97 2.94 -13.05 -18.41 -8.75 27.82 1.00 rw[159] -13.01 2.89 -13.16 -17.37 -8.19 27.98 1.00 rw[160] -13.06 2.87 -13.21 -17.43 -8.34 30.65 1.00 rw[161] -13.15 2.85 -13.28 -18.04 -8.73 29.14 1.00 rw[162] -13.26 2.84 -13.36 -18.22 -8.90 28.69 1.00 rw[163] -13.35 2.86 -13.43 -17.89 -8.61 29.48 1.00 rw[164] -13.40 2.81 -13.51 -17.63 -8.34 28.24 1.00 rw[165] -13.39 2.81 -13.47 -18.35 -9.22 29.69 1.00 rw[166] -13.40 2.86 -13.47 -18.26 -9.09 30.63 1.00 rw[167] -13.43 2.88 -13.45 -17.99 -8.54 31.05 1.00 rw[168] -13.48 2.86 -13.48 -18.35 -9.03 31.51 1.00 rw[169] -13.50 2.88 -13.59 -18.07 -8.59 30.96 1.00 rw[170] -13.55 2.86 -13.63 -18.24 -8.86 31.01 1.00 rw[171] -13.65 2.88 -13.71 -18.29 -8.78 29.54 1.00 rw[172] -13.71 2.88 -13.71 -18.75 -9.06 29.20 1.00 rw[173] -13.72 2.88 -13.81 -18.44 -8.87 28.38 1.00 rw[174] -13.80 2.85 -13.85 -18.67 -9.09 29.03 1.00 rw[175] -13.83 2.86 -13.95 -18.30 -8.80 28.41 1.00 rw[176] -13.85 2.86 -13.92 -18.63 -9.22 28.55 1.00 rw[177] -13.88 2.89 -13.95 -18.54 -9.05 27.03 1.00 rw[178] -13.94 2.90 -13.87 -18.21 -8.79 28.75 1.00 rw[179] -13.95 2.90 -13.91 -18.79 -9.46 28.72 1.00 rw[180] -13.96 2.92 -14.00 -18.59 -9.11 28.46 1.00 rw[181] -13.98 2.92 -14.01 -18.63 -9.24 26.95 1.00 rw[182] -14.00 2.91 -13.97 -18.80 -9.28 28.33 1.00 rw[183] -14.01 2.89 -14.10 -18.80 -9.48 27.92 1.00 rw[184] -13.99 2.88 -13.99 -18.51 -9.15 28.05 1.00 rw[185] -13.95 2.86 -14.01 -18.37 -8.97 28.75 1.00 rw[186] -13.91 2.85 -13.98 -18.37 -9.06 29.46 1.00 rw[187] -13.86 2.86 -13.81 -18.67 -9.41 29.51 1.00 rw[188] -13.73 2.90 -13.79 -18.17 -8.62 29.48 1.00 rw[189] -13.64 2.88 -13.64 -18.47 -8.84 31.25 1.00 rw[190] -13.59 2.88 -13.54 -18.24 -8.63 32.09 1.00 rw[191] -13.47 2.87 -13.45 -18.45 -8.96 30.91 1.00 rw[192] -13.41 2.88 -13.35 -18.34 -8.87 31.22 1.00 rw[193] -13.25 2.86 -13.15 -18.07 -8.85 31.34 1.00 rw[194] -13.14 2.89 -13.10 -17.90 -8.48 31.57 1.00 rw[195] -13.02 2.89 -13.02 -17.63 -8.30 32.97 1.00 rw[196] -12.91 2.90 -12.93 -17.49 -8.10 31.25 1.00 rw[197] -12.72 2.89 -12.76 -17.11 -7.82 29.99 1.00 rw[198] -12.60 2.88 -12.54 -17.01 -7.88 29.22 1.00 rw[199] -12.48 2.90 -12.45 -17.34 -7.79 28.83 1.00 rw[200] -12.44 2.84 -12.46 -17.29 -7.97 27.64 1.00 rw[201] -12.38 2.88 -12.43 -17.49 -7.97 30.52 1.00 rw[202] -12.27 2.93 -12.39 -16.93 -7.55 31.35 1.00 rw[203] -12.14 2.96 -12.16 -17.31 -7.48 29.31 1.00 rw[204] -12.07 2.94 -12.22 -16.89 -7.37 29.56 1.00 rw[205] -12.02 2.88 -12.01 -16.83 -7.64 29.65 1.00 rw[206] -11.94 2.90 -11.97 -16.45 -7.09 29.42 1.00 rw[207] -11.89 2.87 -11.85 -17.27 -7.83 28.45 1.00 rw[208] -11.83 2.88 -11.85 -16.35 -7.10 29.64 1.00 rw[209] -11.75 2.86 -11.78 -16.23 -6.84 30.13 1.00 rw[210] -11.67 2.83 -11.76 -16.44 -7.20 29.33 1.00 rw[211] -11.54 2.88 -11.47 -16.57 -7.11 29.26 1.00 rw[212] -11.51 2.86 -11.47 -16.28 -6.86 29.00 1.00 rw[213] -11.48 2.87 -11.48 -15.91 -6.67 28.50 1.00 rw[214] -11.40 2.86 -11.46 -16.14 -6.81 28.70 1.00 rw[215] -11.29 2.85 -11.39 -15.58 -6.28 28.42 1.00 rw[216] -11.21 2.81 -11.33 -15.69 -6.57 30.16 1.00 rw[217] -11.18 2.85 -11.23 -15.58 -6.22 30.94 1.00 rw[218] -11.16 2.89 -11.22 -15.97 -6.58 31.46 1.00 rw[219] -11.16 2.88 -11.30 -15.83 -6.44 32.00 1.00 rw[220] -11.12 2.87 -11.14 -15.33 -6.13 30.97 1.00 rw[221] -11.06 2.85 -11.09 -16.15 -6.86 31.28 1.00 rw[222] -11.10 2.87 -11.04 -15.58 -6.35 30.57 1.00 rw[223] -11.11 2.94 -11.09 -15.62 -6.13 30.50 1.00 rw[224] -11.07 2.94 -11.10 -15.80 -6.11 30.10 1.00 rw[225] -11.10 2.91 -11.09 -15.57 -6.16 28.54 1.00 rw[226] -11.16 2.91 -11.32 -15.94 -6.66 28.83 1.00 rw[227] -11.16 2.91 -11.23 -15.31 -6.10 29.83 1.00 rw[228] -11.18 2.84 -11.17 -15.93 -6.77 27.67 1.00 rw[229] -11.18 2.84 -11.21 -15.61 -6.41 27.34 1.00 rw[230] -11.13 2.88 -11.19 -15.91 -6.49 28.90 1.00 rw[231] -11.05 2.81 -11.14 -15.66 -6.13 28.84 1.00 rw[232] -11.00 2.83 -10.99 -15.66 -6.16 28.57 1.00 rw[233] -10.93 2.87 -10.99 -15.58 -6.13 28.40 1.00 rw[234] -10.89 2.87 -10.92 -15.27 -5.71 28.16 1.00 rw[235] -10.84 2.87 -10.82 -15.80 -5.94 27.22 1.00 rw[236] -10.82 2.84 -10.73 -15.42 -6.02 27.00 1.00 rw[237] -10.78 2.81 -10.82 -15.03 -5.91 26.61 1.00 rw[238] -10.79 2.75 -10.78 -14.81 -5.88 25.54 1.00 rw[239] -10.80 2.70 -10.79 -14.58 -5.82 25.43 1.00 rw[240] -10.87 2.59 -10.93 -14.98 -6.41 23.66 1.00 rw[241] -10.92 2.47 -11.08 -14.65 -6.43 23.30 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1076.23 1.00 Number of divergences: 0