mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.76 0.94 0.45 0.00 1.89 1274.97 1.00 E0 25.62 31.01 14.94 0.00 67.05 52.88 1.01 H0 4.83 3.36 4.06 0.01 9.50 914.83 1.00 I0 9.19 12.67 5.11 0.01 22.25 68.69 1.01 beta0 2.38 0.66 2.35 1.40 3.44 15.33 1.04 confirmed_dispersion 0.63 0.07 0.63 0.52 0.74 515.20 1.00 death_dispersion 0.24 0.02 0.24 0.21 0.27 1117.72 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 535.40 1.00 death_rate 0.05 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.05 256.82 1.00 det_prob0 0.29 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.40 1298.93 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1192.27 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1031.70 1.00 rw[0] 0.17 0.94 0.18 -1.42 1.64 409.68 1.00 rw[1] 0.36 1.29 0.36 -1.66 2.55 145.74 1.01 rw[2] 0.67 1.57 0.71 -1.81 3.30 94.24 1.00 rw[3] 0.90 1.83 0.95 -1.96 4.08 62.53 1.01 rw[4] 1.19 2.07 1.21 -2.26 4.51 45.12 1.01 rw[5] 1.45 2.24 1.49 -2.03 5.06 39.36 1.01 rw[6] 1.71 2.35 1.81 -2.32 5.22 37.16 1.01 rw[7] 1.83 2.51 1.93 -2.22 5.93 33.57 1.01 rw[8] 1.85 2.61 1.88 -2.53 5.88 28.73 1.01 rw[9] 1.71 2.73 1.73 -2.85 5.91 24.67 1.02 rw[10] 1.47 2.82 1.49 -3.14 5.81 24.12 1.01 rw[11] 1.08 2.92 1.03 -4.08 5.42 21.91 1.02 rw[12] 0.55 3.01 0.52 -3.88 5.88 21.51 1.02 rw[13] -0.05 3.06 -0.14 -5.15 4.72 19.47 1.02 rw[14] -0.65 3.15 -0.63 -5.71 4.41 19.05 1.02 rw[15] -1.31 3.16 -1.46 -7.13 3.19 18.26 1.03 rw[16] -1.97 3.16 -2.12 -7.09 2.94 18.01 1.04 rw[17] -2.60 3.16 -2.79 -7.31 2.66 17.80 1.03 rw[18] -3.24 3.13 -3.39 -8.00 1.91 17.27 1.03 rw[19] -3.92 3.08 -4.00 -8.68 1.14 16.84 1.02 rw[20] -4.64 3.12 -4.72 -9.96 0.11 16.18 1.02 rw[21] -5.39 3.12 -5.60 -10.45 -0.67 16.73 1.02 rw[22] -6.18 3.16 -6.36 -10.84 -0.91 17.18 1.02 rw[23] -6.98 3.17 -7.13 -11.94 -1.91 16.75 1.02 rw[24] -7.87 3.21 -8.10 -12.77 -2.35 16.64 1.02 rw[25] -8.80 3.25 -9.07 -14.35 -3.98 16.61 1.03 rw[26] -9.82 3.28 -9.86 -14.88 -4.42 17.31 1.03 rw[27] -10.84 3.28 -11.06 -15.89 -5.54 17.84 1.03 rw[28] -11.82 3.26 -11.99 -16.82 -6.59 18.32 1.03 rw[29] -12.84 3.19 -13.06 -17.70 -7.43 19.12 1.03 rw[30] -13.76 3.22 -14.00 -19.44 -8.88 18.42 1.04 rw[31] -14.69 3.23 -14.89 -19.60 -9.24 18.02 1.04 rw[32] -15.55 3.24 -15.75 -21.23 -10.61 18.69 1.03 rw[33] -16.32 3.25 -16.48 -21.62 -10.99 19.15 1.03 rw[34] -17.07 3.31 -17.24 -23.05 -12.01 19.55 1.03 rw[35] -17.77 3.30 -17.93 -23.54 -12.57 19.34 1.03 rw[36] -18.42 3.35 -18.56 -23.97 -13.15 19.78 1.03 rw[37] -18.95 3.38 -19.00 -24.30 -13.37 20.12 1.02 rw[38] -19.48 3.44 -19.54 -25.35 -14.33 19.96 1.03 rw[39] -19.93 3.44 -20.00 -25.73 -14.82 20.43 1.03 rw[40] -20.34 3.43 -20.43 -25.58 -14.34 20.05 1.03 rw[41] -20.69 3.47 -20.81 -26.74 -15.25 20.09 1.03 rw[42] -20.99 3.49 -21.17 -26.99 -15.68 20.56 1.03 rw[43] -21.25 3.51 -21.24 -26.66 -14.95 21.60 1.03 rw[44] -21.43 3.49 -21.53 -27.62 -16.26 20.92 1.03 rw[45] -21.59 3.48 -21.64 -27.29 -15.93 22.28 1.02 rw[46] -21.70 3.51 -21.61 -27.50 -16.15 23.83 1.02 rw[47] -21.73 3.52 -21.72 -27.38 -16.01 22.91 1.02 rw[48] -21.80 3.54 -21.96 -28.04 -16.51 22.29 1.02 rw[49] -21.79 3.51 -21.94 -27.94 -16.67 21.59 1.02 rw[50] -21.79 3.51 -21.95 -27.76 -16.33 21.51 1.02 rw[51] -21.72 3.45 -22.00 -27.46 -16.46 20.79 1.02 rw[52] -21.65 3.46 -21.77 -27.69 -16.69 20.77 1.02 rw[53] -21.52 3.46 -21.76 -27.25 -15.96 22.07 1.02 rw[54] -21.41 3.48 -21.54 -27.42 -16.09 21.37 1.01 rw[55] -21.21 3.49 -21.37 -26.90 -15.50 20.74 1.02 rw[56] -21.05 3.50 -21.23 -26.79 -15.08 20.68 1.01 rw[57] -20.86 3.48 -20.94 -26.37 -14.99 20.76 1.02 rw[58] -20.67 3.47 -20.78 -26.29 -15.21 20.88 1.02 rw[59] -20.46 3.53 -20.61 -26.37 -15.06 21.25 1.01 rw[60] -20.23 3.55 -20.43 -26.06 -14.84 20.65 1.02 rw[61] -19.99 3.51 -20.08 -25.89 -14.66 21.17 1.02 rw[62] -19.76 3.53 -19.83 -25.05 -13.78 21.24 1.02 rw[63] -19.52 3.52 -19.58 -25.11 -13.93 21.62 1.02 rw[64] -19.30 3.50 -19.17 -25.38 -14.62 21.60 1.02 rw[65] -19.11 3.53 -19.06 -24.60 -13.56 21.39 1.02 rw[66] -18.89 3.53 -18.89 -24.66 -13.64 20.36 1.02 rw[67] -18.63 3.48 -18.68 -24.21 -13.03 21.25 1.02 rw[68] -18.33 3.50 -18.44 -24.41 -12.97 21.17 1.02 rw[69] -18.07 3.51 -18.15 -24.11 -12.77 20.39 1.02 rw[70] -17.83 3.48 -17.95 -23.80 -12.56 20.62 1.02 rw[71] -17.59 3.46 -17.71 -22.87 -11.49 21.62 1.02 rw[72] -17.39 3.47 -17.39 -23.66 -12.16 21.62 1.02 rw[73] -17.19 3.54 -17.33 -22.98 -11.47 21.25 1.02 rw[74] -17.01 3.49 -17.18 -22.90 -11.55 21.86 1.02 rw[75] -16.83 3.46 -17.04 -22.56 -11.15 22.36 1.02 rw[76] -16.63 3.47 -16.78 -22.61 -11.34 21.06 1.02 rw[77] -16.53 3.50 -16.67 -22.35 -11.05 20.51 1.02 rw[78] -16.43 3.52 -16.54 -22.74 -11.21 20.39 1.02 rw[79] -16.30 3.49 -16.51 -22.22 -11.01 19.42 1.03 rw[80] -16.26 3.51 -16.43 -21.79 -10.53 19.61 1.03 rw[81] -16.24 3.51 -16.34 -22.01 -10.62 20.30 1.02 rw[82] -16.18 3.52 -16.33 -21.79 -10.70 19.94 1.02 rw[83] -16.15 3.51 -16.33 -21.70 -10.46 19.37 1.03 rw[84] -16.05 3.48 -16.21 -21.48 -10.48 19.09 1.03 rw[85] -16.02 3.48 -16.34 -21.38 -10.34 19.07 1.03 rw[86] -15.98 3.50 -16.16 -21.41 -10.35 19.70 1.03 rw[87] -16.00 3.50 -16.24 -21.63 -10.38 19.63 1.03 rw[88] -16.01 3.47 -16.31 -21.32 -10.14 18.83 1.03 rw[89] -15.95 3.51 -16.09 -21.90 -10.42 18.78 1.03 rw[90] -15.93 3.49 -16.12 -21.26 -9.83 19.05 1.03 rw[91] -15.89 3.44 -16.27 -21.52 -10.34 18.68 1.04 rw[92] -15.95 3.45 -16.28 -21.20 -10.18 18.92 1.04 rw[93] -15.91 3.49 -16.21 -21.62 -10.63 19.28 1.04 rw[94] -15.89 3.45 -16.20 -21.33 -10.44 18.62 1.04 rw[95] -15.82 3.41 -16.08 -21.39 -10.52 19.23 1.04 rw[96] -15.72 3.41 -15.89 -21.00 -10.02 19.27 1.04 rw[97] -15.65 3.44 -15.74 -21.12 -10.00 19.88 1.04 rw[98] -15.57 3.41 -15.68 -21.53 -10.45 20.11 1.04 rw[99] -15.58 3.41 -15.68 -21.90 -10.84 20.53 1.04 rw[100] -15.48 3.40 -15.56 -21.78 -10.66 20.90 1.04 rw[101] -15.41 3.42 -15.63 -21.47 -10.67 21.47 1.04 rw[102] -15.32 3.38 -15.39 -21.02 -9.99 21.87 1.03 rw[103] -15.29 3.30 -15.29 -21.25 -9.98 24.25 1.02 rw[104] -15.23 3.33 -15.22 -20.73 -9.61 23.48 1.03 rw[105] -15.27 3.39 -15.23 -20.80 -9.66 21.83 1.03 rw[106] -15.28 3.38 -15.21 -21.03 -9.87 21.98 1.03 rw[107] -15.34 3.41 -15.34 -21.25 -9.87 22.56 1.03 rw[108] -15.35 3.40 -15.34 -21.46 -10.13 23.67 1.02 rw[109] -15.34 3.36 -15.39 -21.29 -10.14 24.56 1.02 rw[110] -15.39 3.38 -15.42 -20.85 -9.81 24.06 1.02 rw[111] -15.42 3.32 -15.43 -20.50 -9.79 23.14 1.02 rw[112] -15.47 3.34 -15.48 -21.56 -10.55 22.98 1.02 rw[113] -15.61 3.32 -15.69 -21.36 -10.46 22.15 1.01 rw[114] -15.67 3.28 -15.69 -21.62 -10.70 22.04 1.02 rw[115] -15.78 3.27 -15.85 -21.10 -10.28 21.96 1.01 rw[116] -15.91 3.27 -16.07 -20.80 -9.76 21.58 1.02 rw[117] -16.02 3.29 -16.16 -21.79 -10.95 23.06 1.01 rw[118] -16.13 3.29 -16.26 -21.84 -11.09 24.04 1.01 rw[119] -16.21 3.30 -16.46 -20.87 -10.31 23.22 1.01 rw[120] -16.35 3.31 -16.49 -21.51 -10.94 21.76 1.01 rw[121] -16.45 3.32 -16.63 -21.86 -11.22 20.73 1.01 rw[122] -16.50 3.37 -16.68 -22.35 -11.33 21.35 1.01 rw[123] -16.55 3.38 -16.64 -22.46 -11.24 21.71 1.01 rw[124] -16.57 3.37 -16.73 -21.37 -10.47 21.37 1.01 rw[125] -16.61 3.38 -16.82 -21.97 -11.15 21.16 1.01 rw[126] -16.58 3.41 -16.79 -21.45 -10.34 21.09 1.01 rw[127] -16.48 3.43 -16.59 -21.27 -10.23 21.08 1.01 rw[128] -16.40 3.41 -16.44 -21.68 -10.74 20.50 1.01 rw[129] -16.28 3.43 -16.49 -21.83 -10.86 20.86 1.01 rw[130] -16.16 3.37 -16.43 -21.33 -10.67 21.11 1.01 rw[131] -15.96 3.36 -16.12 -21.46 -10.56 20.78 1.02 rw[132] -15.83 3.32 -16.07 -21.39 -10.63 19.95 1.02 rw[133] -15.65 3.32 -15.86 -20.61 -9.84 19.98 1.02 rw[134] -15.40 3.33 -15.50 -20.53 -9.70 20.17 1.02 rw[135] -15.13 3.33 -15.26 -19.96 -9.10 20.32 1.02 rw[136] -14.90 3.30 -15.05 -20.98 -10.29 20.25 1.03 rw[137] -14.68 3.30 -14.89 -20.27 -9.77 20.47 1.03 rw[138] -14.42 3.30 -14.57 -19.87 -9.60 20.06 1.03 rw[139] -14.25 3.27 -14.39 -19.45 -8.97 19.44 1.03 rw[140] -14.04 3.24 -14.19 -19.04 -8.62 19.65 1.03 rw[141] -13.90 3.20 -14.09 -18.82 -8.82 18.50 1.03 rw[142] -13.81 3.27 -13.99 -18.90 -8.51 18.66 1.04 rw[143] -13.80 3.26 -13.93 -19.07 -8.58 18.88 1.03 rw[144] -13.76 3.26 -13.97 -19.03 -8.53 18.16 1.03 rw[145] -13.78 3.29 -13.96 -19.07 -8.40 18.49 1.03 rw[146] -13.80 3.32 -14.02 -18.76 -7.97 18.71 1.02 rw[147] -13.80 3.26 -13.96 -18.91 -8.28 18.44 1.02 rw[148] -13.84 3.22 -14.07 -18.94 -8.60 18.45 1.03 rw[149] -13.91 3.25 -14.15 -19.02 -8.40 19.54 1.02 rw[150] -13.97 3.27 -14.16 -18.85 -8.35 19.09 1.02 rw[151] -13.98 3.29 -13.99 -19.52 -8.94 18.80 1.02 rw[152] -13.96 3.29 -14.09 -18.93 -8.49 19.31 1.02 rw[153] -13.94 3.26 -14.18 -19.53 -9.10 19.31 1.02 rw[154] -13.95 3.26 -13.97 -18.99 -8.62 19.07 1.02 rw[155] -13.91 3.25 -13.92 -19.08 -8.73 18.68 1.02 rw[156] -13.87 3.22 -13.91 -19.13 -8.86 19.86 1.02 rw[157] -13.88 3.23 -14.06 -18.94 -8.43 19.87 1.02 rw[158] -13.87 3.25 -13.96 -19.62 -9.13 18.87 1.03 rw[159] -13.79 3.24 -13.84 -18.76 -8.35 18.78 1.03 rw[160] -13.75 3.27 -13.89 -19.57 -8.98 18.11 1.03 rw[161] -13.73 3.28 -13.91 -19.08 -8.61 18.65 1.03 rw[162] -13.64 3.27 -13.74 -19.19 -8.74 18.67 1.03 rw[163] -13.57 3.27 -13.77 -18.18 -7.59 19.29 1.03 rw[164] -13.49 3.28 -13.66 -19.07 -8.50 19.08 1.03 rw[165] -13.30 3.26 -13.47 -19.15 -8.55 18.46 1.03 rw[166] -13.16 3.23 -13.40 -18.02 -7.78 18.52 1.03 rw[167] -12.98 3.26 -13.22 -18.04 -7.54 18.09 1.03 rw[168] -12.83 3.26 -13.05 -18.34 -7.81 18.35 1.03 rw[169] -12.71 3.28 -13.01 -18.14 -7.47 19.16 1.03 rw[170] -12.58 3.26 -12.86 -17.83 -7.06 18.49 1.03 rw[171] -12.45 3.26 -12.64 -17.86 -6.99 18.15 1.03 rw[172] -12.33 3.21 -12.53 -17.11 -6.57 18.36 1.03 rw[173] -12.29 3.19 -12.53 -17.00 -6.80 18.86 1.03 rw[174] -12.25 3.22 -12.51 -17.32 -6.91 19.58 1.02 rw[175] -12.29 3.27 -12.48 -17.52 -6.90 19.34 1.02 rw[176] -12.40 3.26 -12.56 -17.84 -7.18 20.17 1.02 rw[177] -12.51 3.23 -12.57 -17.79 -7.02 20.67 1.02 rw[178] -12.63 3.23 -12.86 -17.69 -7.20 20.28 1.02 rw[179] -12.77 3.26 -12.97 -18.12 -7.67 19.95 1.03 rw[180] -12.90 3.29 -13.00 -18.32 -7.69 20.22 1.02 rw[181] -13.01 3.26 -13.20 -18.59 -7.89 19.22 1.02 rw[182] -13.16 3.26 -13.24 -18.24 -7.61 19.06 1.02 rw[183] -13.29 3.32 -13.28 -18.81 -8.24 19.36 1.02 rw[184] -13.44 3.33 -13.40 -18.88 -8.26 18.97 1.03 rw[185] -13.50 3.34 -13.47 -18.81 -8.01 18.26 1.03 rw[186] -13.62 3.37 -13.57 -19.30 -8.53 18.54 1.02 rw[187] -13.74 3.39 -13.89 -19.49 -8.57 18.38 1.02 rw[188] -13.79 3.35 -13.94 -18.67 -8.01 18.04 1.03 rw[189] -13.81 3.33 -13.92 -19.12 -8.76 17.61 1.03 rw[190] -13.90 3.29 -14.13 -18.90 -8.33 17.80 1.03 rw[191] -13.92 3.27 -14.20 -18.90 -8.21 18.04 1.03 rw[192] -13.88 3.27 -14.16 -19.06 -8.57 18.47 1.03 rw[193] -13.83 3.20 -14.00 -18.65 -8.53 18.78 1.03 rw[194] -13.76 3.20 -13.90 -18.94 -8.75 18.33 1.03 rw[195] -13.68 3.18 -13.75 -19.31 -9.12 18.40 1.03 rw[196] -13.60 3.20 -13.72 -18.55 -8.39 19.09 1.03 rw[197] -13.51 3.17 -13.67 -18.49 -8.60 18.51 1.03 rw[198] -13.38 3.12 -13.47 -18.31 -8.40 18.55 1.03 rw[199] -13.25 3.13 -13.43 -18.29 -8.12 17.88 1.04 rw[200] -13.13 3.17 -13.26 -18.41 -8.03 18.51 1.04 rw[201] -12.99 3.14 -13.23 -18.39 -8.13 18.74 1.04 rw[202] -12.87 3.15 -13.02 -18.13 -7.98 19.18 1.03 rw[203] -12.77 3.18 -12.97 -17.48 -7.22 18.67 1.03 rw[204] -12.66 3.17 -12.84 -17.82 -7.49 18.32 1.03 rw[205] -12.54 3.16 -12.74 -17.29 -6.91 18.51 1.02 rw[206] -12.46 3.15 -12.68 -17.45 -7.46 18.30 1.02 rw[207] -12.31 3.17 -12.56 -17.22 -7.02 18.24 1.02 rw[208] -12.21 3.19 -12.37 -17.10 -6.93 18.79 1.01 rw[209] -12.13 3.20 -12.27 -17.30 -7.11 18.57 1.01 rw[210] -12.07 3.19 -12.29 -16.81 -6.92 18.48 1.01 rw[211] -12.01 3.17 -12.27 -16.84 -6.69 17.59 1.02 rw[212] -11.90 3.21 -12.14 -16.97 -6.65 18.42 1.02 rw[213] -11.82 3.18 -11.90 -17.16 -6.96 18.44 1.02 rw[214] -11.76 3.23 -11.78 -16.79 -6.57 18.69 1.02 rw[215] -11.69 3.22 -11.78 -17.10 -6.73 19.33 1.03 rw[216] -11.62 3.20 -11.69 -16.69 -6.57 18.59 1.03 rw[217] -11.61 3.22 -11.75 -17.09 -6.68 18.13 1.03 rw[218] -11.59 3.22 -11.75 -16.74 -6.14 17.99 1.03 rw[219] -11.60 3.20 -11.80 -16.64 -6.09 18.45 1.03 rw[220] -11.62 3.23 -11.80 -16.76 -6.35 18.63 1.03 rw[221] -11.61 3.26 -11.76 -17.15 -6.71 19.10 1.03 rw[222] -11.62 3.26 -11.70 -17.12 -6.78 19.14 1.03 rw[223] -11.59 3.24 -11.60 -17.04 -6.91 18.75 1.02 rw[224] -11.65 3.26 -11.65 -17.53 -7.08 19.00 1.02 rw[225] -11.71 3.21 -11.82 -16.70 -6.42 18.23 1.03 rw[226] -11.73 3.22 -11.78 -17.28 -7.02 17.93 1.02 rw[227] -11.79 3.21 -11.81 -17.14 -6.93 18.89 1.02 rw[228] -11.82 3.15 -11.85 -17.01 -6.95 19.24 1.03 rw[229] -11.89 3.19 -11.77 -17.08 -6.69 19.40 1.02 rw[230] -11.89 3.16 -11.98 -16.51 -6.38 19.20 1.02 rw[231] -11.79 3.18 -11.89 -16.78 -6.54 18.76 1.02 rw[232] -11.78 3.15 -11.89 -17.07 -7.19 17.94 1.03 rw[233] -11.74 3.14 -11.82 -17.49 -7.22 18.41 1.02 rw[234] -11.63 3.17 -11.67 -16.53 -6.10 18.11 1.02 rw[235] -11.55 3.21 -11.65 -16.21 -5.52 18.14 1.02 rw[236] -11.49 3.20 -11.54 -16.89 -6.50 17.66 1.02 rw[237] -11.38 3.17 -11.52 -16.30 -6.21 18.10 1.03 rw[238] -11.33 3.15 -11.49 -16.20 -6.13 17.70 1.03 rw[239] -11.30 3.10 -11.54 -16.39 -6.53 16.65 1.03 rw[240] -11.28 3.04 -11.43 -15.85 -6.35 15.62 1.03 rw[241] -11.32 2.91 -11.60 -15.80 -6.80 14.57 1.04 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 984.25 1.00 Number of divergences: 1