mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.86 1.09 0.54 0.00 2.02 794.83 1.00 E0 62.43 63.29 44.87 0.00 136.71 86.91 1.01 H0 1.83 2.03 1.24 0.00 4.27 1025.46 1.00 I0 34.31 23.88 28.49 4.33 64.01 143.30 1.00 beta0 2.84 0.56 2.87 2.07 3.90 18.53 1.01 confirmed_dispersion 0.45 0.05 0.45 0.36 0.53 1093.58 1.00 death_dispersion 0.34 0.03 0.34 0.30 0.38 1662.04 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 1056.05 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.00 0.07 0.06 0.07 901.85 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.20 0.41 1657.65 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1416.67 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1830.94 1.00 rw[0] 0.05 0.90 0.09 -1.41 1.53 194.96 1.00 rw[1] 0.19 1.31 0.22 -1.98 2.26 87.72 1.00 rw[2] 0.45 1.54 0.49 -2.15 2.74 57.07 1.00 rw[3] 0.70 1.72 0.73 -2.28 3.37 39.48 1.00 rw[4] 0.92 1.87 0.92 -2.44 3.83 32.77 1.00 rw[5] 1.11 2.02 1.00 -2.20 4.41 27.58 1.01 rw[6] 1.22 2.18 1.10 -2.45 4.62 25.68 1.01 rw[7] 1.10 2.30 1.02 -2.45 5.17 25.29 1.00 rw[8] 0.81 2.35 0.71 -2.79 4.87 23.90 1.01 rw[9] 0.33 2.40 0.22 -3.82 3.75 22.50 1.01 rw[10] -0.35 2.42 -0.57 -4.49 3.19 22.43 1.02 rw[11] -1.14 2.46 -1.34 -5.21 2.47 21.05 1.01 rw[12] -2.05 2.50 -2.29 -5.97 2.04 21.68 1.01 rw[13] -2.92 2.51 -3.20 -6.77 1.30 20.58 1.01 rw[14] -3.85 2.46 -3.94 -7.86 0.11 20.14 1.01 rw[15] -4.78 2.46 -4.98 -8.85 -0.97 20.47 1.01 rw[16] -5.69 2.47 -5.87 -9.51 -1.61 19.72 1.02 rw[17] -6.70 2.46 -6.91 -10.53 -2.64 21.04 1.02 rw[18] -7.72 2.44 -7.87 -11.54 -3.71 21.45 1.01 rw[19] -8.80 2.46 -8.94 -12.91 -5.14 20.83 1.01 rw[20] -10.02 2.45 -10.23 -13.70 -5.79 21.52 1.01 rw[21] -11.17 2.46 -11.30 -15.28 -7.40 21.83 1.01 rw[22] -12.41 2.49 -12.51 -16.15 -7.97 22.49 1.01 rw[23] -13.65 2.56 -13.75 -18.31 -10.03 23.80 1.01 rw[24] -14.90 2.59 -15.04 -19.26 -10.92 25.16 1.01 rw[25] -16.12 2.60 -16.25 -20.85 -12.36 26.49 1.01 rw[26] -17.28 2.60 -17.26 -21.36 -12.93 29.17 1.01 rw[27] -18.41 2.63 -18.49 -22.38 -13.78 29.84 1.01 rw[28] -19.38 2.65 -19.46 -23.47 -14.71 28.64 1.00 rw[29] -20.29 2.63 -20.34 -24.48 -15.75 28.48 1.01 rw[30] -21.16 2.64 -21.18 -25.91 -17.14 29.06 1.01 rw[31] -22.00 2.63 -22.04 -26.33 -17.54 31.69 1.01 rw[32] -22.62 2.65 -22.62 -27.17 -18.53 33.92 1.01 rw[33] -23.17 2.64 -23.20 -27.74 -19.00 35.28 1.01 rw[34] -23.59 2.57 -23.68 -28.38 -19.85 34.56 1.01 rw[35] -23.94 2.60 -24.06 -28.07 -19.69 35.19 1.01 rw[36] -24.30 2.72 -24.31 -28.61 -19.74 36.52 1.01 rw[37] -24.53 2.73 -24.61 -28.89 -20.10 35.15 1.02 rw[38] -24.72 2.69 -24.90 -28.98 -20.22 35.39 1.01 rw[39] -24.83 2.69 -24.98 -28.97 -20.29 33.61 1.01 rw[40] -24.87 2.72 -25.10 -28.83 -20.05 32.49 1.01 rw[41] -24.86 2.78 -25.14 -29.14 -20.06 32.02 1.01 rw[42] -24.77 2.80 -24.97 -29.69 -20.49 30.94 1.01 rw[43] -24.64 2.80 -24.81 -28.93 -19.68 28.73 1.01 rw[44] -24.58 2.78 -24.72 -29.07 -19.92 28.19 1.01 rw[45] -24.39 2.83 -24.51 -29.23 -20.19 28.45 1.01 rw[46] -24.22 2.84 -24.35 -28.64 -19.63 27.23 1.01 rw[47] -23.95 2.80 -24.03 -28.38 -19.80 25.03 1.01 rw[48] -23.71 2.77 -23.85 -28.10 -19.32 25.39 1.02 rw[49] -23.45 2.81 -23.60 -28.10 -19.15 25.23 1.02 rw[50] -23.26 2.79 -23.43 -27.79 -18.95 24.43 1.02 rw[51] -23.05 2.75 -23.24 -27.58 -18.71 25.84 1.02 rw[52] -22.78 2.75 -22.97 -27.15 -18.07 23.91 1.02 rw[53] -22.52 2.74 -22.60 -27.23 -18.22 23.59 1.02 rw[54] -22.23 2.75 -22.43 -27.00 -17.89 24.53 1.02 rw[55] -21.96 2.76 -22.19 -25.98 -16.83 24.37 1.02 rw[56] -21.78 2.75 -21.89 -26.44 -17.51 24.92 1.01 rw[57] -21.53 2.76 -21.77 -25.96 -16.86 25.48 1.01 rw[58] -21.28 2.72 -21.45 -25.64 -16.53 25.40 1.01 rw[59] -21.08 2.72 -21.21 -25.15 -16.24 26.47 1.01 rw[60] -20.80 2.73 -20.93 -25.26 -16.37 27.17 1.01 rw[61] -20.57 2.77 -20.67 -25.27 -16.19 26.54 1.01 rw[62] -20.30 2.72 -20.45 -24.82 -15.90 28.82 1.01 rw[63] -20.13 2.73 -20.20 -24.51 -15.46 28.81 1.01 rw[64] -19.92 2.69 -20.04 -24.57 -15.82 28.07 1.01 rw[65] -19.71 2.68 -19.91 -24.31 -15.76 28.70 1.01 rw[66] -19.57 2.69 -19.79 -23.91 -15.26 26.88 1.01 rw[67] -19.38 2.67 -19.50 -23.64 -14.95 25.89 1.01 rw[68] -19.25 2.68 -19.36 -23.43 -14.85 25.47 1.00 rw[69] -19.14 2.66 -19.21 -23.22 -14.74 26.62 1.00 rw[70] -19.02 2.69 -19.01 -23.01 -14.31 27.73 1.00 rw[71] -18.91 2.67 -18.94 -23.38 -14.91 27.87 1.01 rw[72] -18.78 2.62 -18.90 -23.17 -14.80 28.24 1.01 rw[73] -18.68 2.66 -18.66 -22.91 -14.23 30.39 1.01 rw[74] -18.64 2.70 -18.64 -23.26 -14.20 29.53 1.01 rw[75] -18.52 2.71 -18.52 -22.58 -13.60 28.88 1.01 rw[76] -18.44 2.74 -18.54 -23.09 -14.03 29.34 1.01 rw[77] -18.42 2.78 -18.48 -23.37 -14.08 28.45 1.01 rw[78] -18.41 2.74 -18.45 -22.78 -13.82 28.61 1.00 rw[79] -18.30 2.73 -18.25 -22.72 -13.99 27.94 1.01 rw[80] -18.28 2.73 -18.36 -22.56 -13.88 26.57 1.01 rw[81] -18.30 2.72 -18.39 -22.64 -13.80 25.96 1.01 rw[82] -18.28 2.73 -18.43 -22.83 -13.88 25.45 1.01 rw[83] -18.26 2.74 -18.46 -22.64 -13.76 25.09 1.02 rw[84] -18.22 2.71 -18.47 -22.37 -13.65 25.58 1.01 rw[85] -18.23 2.68 -18.40 -22.81 -14.06 26.16 1.01 rw[86] -18.16 2.68 -18.36 -22.58 -13.95 25.48 1.01 rw[87] -18.17 2.64 -18.31 -22.63 -13.97 23.56 1.01 rw[88] -18.11 2.67 -18.21 -22.78 -14.09 23.21 1.01 rw[89] -18.10 2.61 -18.30 -22.39 -13.89 22.53 1.01 rw[90] -18.12 2.62 -18.30 -22.73 -14.10 21.42 1.01 rw[91] -18.06 2.66 -18.18 -22.21 -13.40 23.34 1.01 rw[92] -18.04 2.61 -18.16 -22.34 -13.78 24.03 1.01 rw[93] -17.97 2.61 -18.20 -22.73 -14.15 24.18 1.01 rw[94] -17.90 2.64 -18.07 -22.43 -13.70 24.07 1.01 rw[95] -17.81 2.63 -17.97 -22.33 -13.38 24.41 1.01 rw[96] -17.71 2.65 -17.92 -21.84 -13.30 24.61 1.01 rw[97] -17.60 2.70 -17.84 -21.42 -12.51 26.93 1.01 rw[98] -17.46 2.69 -17.65 -21.41 -12.73 27.47 1.01 rw[99] -17.39 2.64 -17.52 -22.09 -13.46 27.31 1.01 rw[100] -17.28 2.65 -17.41 -21.67 -13.11 27.19 1.02 rw[101] -17.22 2.57 -17.33 -21.68 -13.23 27.31 1.02 rw[102] -17.10 2.58 -17.27 -21.14 -12.76 27.27 1.01 rw[103] -16.98 2.58 -17.20 -21.15 -12.72 25.77 1.01 rw[104] -16.87 2.60 -17.05 -21.23 -12.78 25.51 1.01 rw[105] -16.81 2.61 -16.94 -21.21 -12.74 25.85 1.01 rw[106] -16.71 2.63 -16.85 -21.15 -12.80 27.32 1.01 rw[107] -16.66 2.62 -16.82 -20.62 -12.15 26.69 1.01 rw[108] -16.63 2.63 -16.78 -21.03 -12.43 26.61 1.01 rw[109] -16.59 2.65 -16.68 -20.61 -12.07 26.40 1.01 rw[110] -16.52 2.64 -16.61 -20.46 -11.87 26.90 1.01 rw[111] -16.45 2.68 -16.55 -20.63 -11.77 25.52 1.01 rw[112] -16.43 2.68 -16.61 -20.53 -11.89 24.43 1.01 rw[113] -16.40 2.69 -16.50 -21.07 -12.19 24.71 1.01 rw[114] -16.41 2.73 -16.62 -20.88 -11.92 25.11 1.01 rw[115] -16.43 2.68 -16.72 -20.42 -11.83 24.98 1.01 rw[116] -16.44 2.63 -16.68 -20.95 -12.46 24.95 1.01 rw[117] -16.42 2.66 -16.54 -20.92 -12.42 23.88 1.01 rw[118] -16.48 2.64 -16.63 -20.63 -11.94 24.45 1.01 rw[119] -16.57 2.70 -16.88 -20.73 -12.14 24.78 1.01 rw[120] -16.65 2.68 -16.88 -21.11 -12.47 25.21 1.01 rw[121] -16.81 2.66 -16.95 -21.45 -12.86 25.01 1.01 rw[122] -16.88 2.66 -17.06 -21.18 -12.42 24.28 1.01 rw[123] -16.96 2.70 -16.99 -22.03 -13.25 26.94 1.01 rw[124] -17.07 2.69 -17.22 -22.13 -13.13 27.13 1.00 rw[125] -17.11 2.65 -17.23 -22.01 -13.30 27.77 1.00 rw[126] -17.21 2.66 -17.37 -21.58 -12.75 28.90 1.00 rw[127] -17.27 2.62 -17.40 -21.60 -13.06 28.41 1.00 rw[128] -17.30 2.62 -17.43 -21.73 -13.27 29.08 1.01 rw[129] -17.36 2.62 -17.43 -21.65 -13.14 29.59 1.00 rw[130] -17.40 2.63 -17.53 -22.06 -13.59 28.45 1.00 rw[131] -17.43 2.56 -17.59 -21.58 -13.31 27.80 1.00 rw[132] -17.47 2.56 -17.70 -21.82 -13.45 26.04 1.00 rw[133] -17.57 2.58 -17.82 -21.42 -13.17 25.50 1.00 rw[134] -17.61 2.58 -17.84 -21.64 -13.46 25.89 1.00 rw[135] -17.64 2.54 -17.87 -21.93 -13.74 25.78 1.00 rw[136] -17.64 2.53 -17.82 -21.80 -13.53 24.84 1.01 rw[137] -17.61 2.54 -17.74 -21.85 -13.59 24.17 1.01 rw[138] -17.63 2.58 -17.78 -21.95 -13.42 24.46 1.01 rw[139] -17.55 2.59 -17.62 -21.92 -13.57 23.31 1.01 rw[140] -17.50 2.62 -17.65 -21.75 -13.25 24.58 1.01 rw[141] -17.48 2.62 -17.55 -22.15 -13.71 25.03 1.01 rw[142] -17.37 2.60 -17.48 -21.84 -13.56 25.64 1.01 rw[143] -17.27 2.57 -17.30 -21.80 -13.46 23.60 1.01 rw[144] -17.20 2.53 -17.31 -21.41 -13.13 24.24 1.01 rw[145] -17.09 2.53 -17.31 -21.53 -12.99 24.49 1.01 rw[146] -17.02 2.56 -17.27 -21.41 -13.08 23.29 1.02 rw[147] -16.93 2.58 -17.13 -21.16 -12.73 24.75 1.02 rw[148] -16.85 2.61 -17.08 -21.43 -12.98 24.22 1.02 rw[149] -16.74 2.59 -17.00 -20.94 -12.61 24.33 1.02 rw[150] -16.67 2.55 -16.79 -20.63 -12.60 25.83 1.02 rw[151] -16.53 2.58 -16.75 -20.72 -12.38 23.62 1.02 rw[152] -16.42 2.56 -16.69 -20.46 -12.28 21.91 1.02 rw[153] -16.29 2.59 -16.54 -20.57 -12.16 22.65 1.02 rw[154] -16.20 2.56 -16.41 -20.31 -11.91 24.07 1.01 rw[155] -16.12 2.62 -16.27 -20.17 -11.80 24.89 1.01 rw[156] -16.02 2.59 -16.25 -20.01 -11.80 25.26 1.01 rw[157] -15.92 2.61 -16.08 -20.65 -12.05 25.52 1.01 rw[158] -15.81 2.62 -15.93 -20.24 -11.76 25.88 1.01 rw[159] -15.69 2.58 -15.81 -20.23 -11.71 25.49 1.01 rw[160] -15.59 2.56 -15.80 -19.92 -11.61 24.87 1.01 rw[161] -15.48 2.53 -15.62 -19.89 -11.49 24.54 1.01 rw[162] -15.38 2.52 -15.49 -19.60 -11.44 25.91 1.01 rw[163] -15.32 2.54 -15.48 -19.78 -11.41 26.51 1.01 rw[164] -15.22 2.55 -15.34 -19.64 -11.36 26.51 1.01 rw[165] -15.15 2.56 -15.32 -19.44 -11.10 25.84 1.01 rw[166] -15.11 2.54 -15.35 -19.57 -11.30 24.77 1.01 rw[167] -15.05 2.54 -15.30 -18.97 -10.63 24.99 1.01 rw[168] -15.03 2.54 -15.23 -18.96 -10.62 24.46 1.01 rw[169] -15.03 2.55 -15.16 -19.46 -10.96 23.37 1.01 rw[170] -15.06 2.56 -15.23 -19.52 -10.96 23.26 1.01 rw[171] -15.10 2.56 -15.26 -18.88 -10.60 22.47 1.02 rw[172] -15.11 2.57 -15.26 -18.95 -10.86 22.80 1.01 rw[173] -15.08 2.52 -15.33 -19.15 -11.10 24.78 1.01 rw[174] -15.08 2.58 -15.23 -19.22 -11.05 24.12 1.01 rw[175] -15.11 2.59 -15.31 -19.39 -10.93 25.11 1.01 rw[176] -15.06 2.56 -15.22 -18.99 -10.82 24.83 1.01 rw[177] -15.07 2.58 -15.34 -19.42 -11.10 24.45 1.01 rw[178] -15.00 2.59 -15.21 -19.52 -11.25 26.76 1.01 rw[179] -14.86 2.61 -15.08 -19.14 -10.98 26.06 1.01 rw[180] -14.76 2.58 -14.95 -18.48 -10.21 24.61 1.00 rw[181] -14.61 2.57 -14.78 -19.25 -10.88 25.52 1.01 rw[182] -14.43 2.58 -14.54 -18.34 -10.16 25.29 1.01 rw[183] -14.34 2.57 -14.45 -18.23 -10.17 25.03 1.02 rw[184] -14.22 2.61 -14.40 -18.43 -10.07 24.15 1.02 rw[185] -14.07 2.60 -14.15 -18.18 -9.71 25.20 1.02 rw[186] -14.01 2.62 -14.16 -18.31 -9.71 24.88 1.01 rw[187] -13.95 2.66 -14.09 -18.79 -10.04 24.08 1.01 rw[188] -13.90 2.67 -13.98 -18.26 -9.82 25.74 1.01 rw[189] -14.01 2.72 -14.09 -18.87 -10.01 24.67 1.01 rw[190] -14.22 2.72 -14.39 -18.70 -9.85 25.06 1.01 rw[191] -14.50 2.69 -14.62 -18.93 -10.25 24.12 1.01 rw[192] -14.86 2.69 -14.92 -18.52 -9.73 24.26 1.01 rw[193] -15.27 2.68 -15.30 -19.77 -11.35 25.13 1.01 rw[194] -15.66 2.65 -15.79 -19.89 -11.61 24.91 1.01 rw[195] -16.04 2.66 -16.28 -20.17 -11.60 23.94 1.01 rw[196] -16.49 2.56 -16.61 -20.85 -12.53 24.37 1.01 rw[197] -16.84 2.49 -17.04 -21.02 -12.79 24.39 1.01 rw[198] -17.11 2.52 -17.41 -20.92 -12.80 24.75 1.01 rw[199] -17.32 2.49 -17.57 -21.43 -13.50 23.45 1.01 rw[200] -17.41 2.45 -17.54 -21.33 -13.60 24.63 1.01 rw[201] -17.43 2.50 -17.58 -21.73 -13.55 24.40 1.01 rw[202] -17.43 2.51 -17.54 -21.53 -13.31 25.65 1.01 rw[203] -17.35 2.55 -17.58 -21.55 -13.23 25.53 1.01 rw[204] -17.21 2.58 -17.43 -21.33 -13.12 26.19 1.01 rw[205] -17.12 2.59 -17.25 -21.51 -13.03 25.08 1.01 rw[206] -16.99 2.53 -17.11 -21.45 -13.17 25.44 1.01 rw[207] -16.87 2.51 -17.09 -21.12 -12.92 24.39 1.01 rw[208] -16.68 2.57 -16.86 -20.98 -12.58 25.79 1.01 rw[209] -16.51 2.60 -16.78 -20.37 -11.95 24.95 1.01 rw[210] -16.38 2.65 -16.65 -20.51 -12.01 24.41 1.01 rw[211] -16.29 2.65 -16.53 -20.23 -11.80 23.88 1.01 rw[212] -16.17 2.70 -16.40 -20.82 -12.08 24.23 1.01 rw[213] -16.10 2.62 -16.28 -20.45 -12.16 23.54 1.02 rw[214] -15.94 2.59 -16.06 -20.35 -12.08 23.84 1.01 rw[215] -15.85 2.57 -16.02 -20.37 -12.12 24.76 1.01 rw[216] -15.74 2.59 -15.89 -19.75 -11.46 23.81 1.01 rw[217] -15.65 2.60 -15.79 -19.95 -11.58 24.49 1.01 rw[218] -15.60 2.60 -15.68 -19.71 -11.34 24.72 1.02 rw[219] -15.50 2.59 -15.55 -19.48 -11.16 24.99 1.02 rw[220] -15.44 2.53 -15.52 -19.46 -11.48 23.96 1.02 rw[221] -15.35 2.53 -15.46 -19.51 -11.31 24.43 1.02 rw[222] -15.23 2.52 -15.33 -19.88 -11.76 24.10 1.02 rw[223] -15.08 2.50 -15.18 -19.26 -11.08 23.57 1.02 rw[224] -14.95 2.50 -15.07 -19.30 -11.28 23.93 1.01 rw[225] -14.87 2.48 -15.02 -18.93 -11.00 24.44 1.02 rw[226] -14.78 2.46 -14.93 -19.04 -11.06 22.75 1.02 rw[227] -14.64 2.48 -14.76 -18.63 -10.48 23.03 1.01 rw[228] -14.54 2.47 -14.66 -18.59 -10.71 22.73 1.01 rw[229] -14.37 2.48 -14.45 -18.83 -10.64 22.42 1.01 rw[230] -14.28 2.54 -14.31 -18.82 -10.64 23.87 1.01 rw[231] -14.15 2.53 -14.22 -18.64 -10.46 22.50 1.01 rw[232] -14.07 2.52 -14.17 -18.46 -10.34 21.90 1.00 rw[233] -13.99 2.49 -14.03 -18.38 -10.28 22.04 1.01 rw[234] -13.95 2.48 -14.13 -17.90 -9.80 22.09 1.01 rw[235] -13.84 2.48 -14.04 -18.22 -10.18 22.87 1.01 rw[236] -13.79 2.50 -13.96 -17.32 -9.30 21.61 1.01 rw[237] -13.74 2.48 -14.04 -17.73 -9.98 21.49 1.01 rw[238] -13.73 2.43 -14.01 -17.67 -9.86 21.28 1.01 rw[239] -13.68 2.36 -13.93 -17.43 -9.91 20.50 1.02 rw[240] -13.61 2.24 -13.80 -17.31 -10.03 20.03 1.01 rw[241] -13.61 2.14 -13.83 -17.07 -10.30 17.66 1.01 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1680.62 1.00 Number of divergences: 0