mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.73 0.81 0.47 0.00 1.70 1117.63 1.00 E0 1.41 1.25 1.06 0.00 3.27 898.94 1.00 H0 0.82 0.75 0.63 0.00 1.79 1481.38 1.00 I0 2.10 1.60 1.68 0.00 4.71 1056.60 1.00 beta0 0.11 0.10 0.08 0.00 0.25 470.67 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.33 0.13 0.33 0.12 0.54 783.11 1.00 death_dispersion 0.33 0.13 0.33 0.11 0.51 875.20 1.00 death_prob 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 1296.04 1.00 death_rate 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.06 1371.83 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.29 0.20 0.41 908.74 1.00 det_prob_d 0.89 0.03 0.90 0.84 0.94 1135.82 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1072.77 1.01 rw[0] -0.09 0.98 -0.09 -1.75 1.50 901.29 1.00 rw[1] -0.10 1.40 -0.06 -2.39 1.96 686.99 1.00 rw[2] -0.13 1.75 -0.10 -2.98 2.68 514.38 1.00 rw[3] -0.19 1.96 -0.18 -3.23 3.06 430.71 1.00 rw[4] -0.21 2.20 -0.20 -3.98 3.25 401.39 1.00 rw[5] -0.20 2.39 -0.20 -4.16 3.55 356.77 1.00 rw[6] -0.25 2.56 -0.21 -4.08 4.12 373.41 1.00 rw[7] -0.31 2.77 -0.39 -4.77 4.29 369.70 1.00 rw[8] -0.32 2.97 -0.33 -5.24 4.44 345.48 1.00 rw[9] -0.30 3.13 -0.34 -5.22 5.09 333.31 1.00 rw[10] -0.38 3.28 -0.45 -5.95 4.89 314.98 1.00 rw[11] -0.40 3.43 -0.49 -5.20 6.17 304.24 1.00 rw[12] -0.40 3.55 -0.47 -6.14 5.41 285.78 1.00 rw[13] -0.40 3.64 -0.50 -6.62 5.28 271.70 1.00 rw[14] -0.41 3.81 -0.58 -7.57 5.21 272.78 1.00 rw[15] -0.44 3.95 -0.53 -6.63 6.46 264.09 1.00 rw[16] -0.47 4.10 -0.60 -6.85 6.42 249.54 1.00 rw[17] -0.45 4.21 -0.53 -7.06 6.73 248.19 1.00 rw[18] -0.47 4.35 -0.77 -7.66 6.52 227.72 1.00 rw[19] -0.47 4.50 -0.61 -7.74 6.90 223.81 1.00 rw[20] -0.47 4.58 -0.63 -8.52 6.32 215.24 1.00 rw[21] -0.49 4.72 -0.56 -7.73 7.37 196.12 1.00 rw[22] -0.47 4.81 -0.61 -8.38 7.29 198.07 1.00 rw[23] -0.48 4.84 -0.49 -8.23 7.70 183.31 1.00 rw[24] -0.53 4.95 -0.56 -7.86 8.32 181.14 1.00 rw[25] -0.55 5.05 -0.77 -8.32 8.15 186.82 1.00 rw[26] -0.60 5.10 -0.65 -8.93 7.77 186.46 1.00 rw[27] -0.61 5.16 -0.59 -8.31 8.23 185.98 1.00 rw[28] -0.61 5.21 -0.63 -8.59 7.91 193.93 1.00 rw[29] -0.65 5.30 -0.62 -8.51 8.41 195.01 1.00 rw[30] -0.66 5.37 -0.56 -8.46 8.82 179.16 1.00 rw[31] -0.65 5.43 -0.57 -9.41 7.98 182.66 1.00 rw[32] -0.65 5.47 -0.51 -9.37 8.22 176.27 1.00 rw[33] -0.66 5.47 -0.75 -9.20 8.63 172.18 1.00 rw[34] -0.68 5.51 -0.70 -10.00 7.72 163.43 1.00 rw[35] -0.70 5.53 -0.56 -9.14 8.25 167.15 1.00 rw[36] -0.69 5.58 -0.53 -9.56 8.54 162.64 1.00 rw[37] -0.72 5.67 -0.52 -9.63 8.63 164.30 1.00 rw[38] -0.72 5.75 -0.50 -9.89 8.86 168.78 1.00 rw[39] -0.74 5.77 -0.71 -10.02 8.57 163.24 1.00 rw[40] -0.76 5.87 -0.76 -9.74 9.26 160.42 1.00 rw[41] -0.71 5.90 -0.57 -9.39 9.35 151.25 1.00 rw[42] -0.67 5.99 -0.55 -9.60 9.40 150.34 1.00 rw[43] -0.66 6.09 -0.55 -10.00 9.43 153.15 1.00 rw[44] -0.60 6.14 -0.39 -10.17 9.82 159.77 1.00 rw[45] -0.62 6.21 -0.56 -10.14 9.90 157.56 1.00 rw[46] -0.53 6.25 -0.41 -9.79 10.80 162.74 1.00 rw[47] -0.56 6.32 -0.66 -10.95 9.68 166.54 1.00 rw[48] -0.56 6.38 -0.73 -10.05 10.62 166.00 1.00 rw[49] -0.60 6.39 -0.66 -10.12 10.31 157.79 1.00 rw[50] -0.60 6.43 -0.68 -10.36 10.39 154.76 1.00 rw[51] -0.56 6.48 -0.58 -10.41 10.65 154.02 1.00 rw[52] -0.57 6.49 -0.63 -9.99 11.06 153.01 1.00 rw[53] -0.59 6.58 -0.67 -10.71 10.67 146.11 1.00 rw[54] -0.58 6.63 -0.61 -11.22 10.41 148.28 1.00 rw[55] -0.61 6.71 -0.73 -12.10 9.71 141.62 1.00 rw[56] -0.62 6.78 -0.84 -12.05 9.98 139.95 1.00 rw[57] -0.58 6.89 -0.75 -11.26 11.23 133.77 1.00 rw[58] -0.55 6.90 -0.60 -11.60 10.53 138.66 1.00 rw[59] -0.53 6.94 -0.55 -11.68 10.80 139.79 1.00 rw[60] -0.60 6.94 -0.70 -11.86 10.81 138.88 1.00 rw[61] -0.61 6.99 -0.74 -12.38 10.36 135.89 1.00 rw[62] -0.63 7.03 -0.85 -12.01 10.39 141.75 1.00 rw[63] -0.72 7.01 -1.07 -11.95 10.84 136.13 1.00 rw[64] -0.73 7.09 -0.96 -13.45 9.63 138.33 1.00 rw[65] -0.77 7.15 -1.18 -11.63 11.66 139.52 1.00 rw[66] -0.78 7.22 -1.10 -13.33 9.92 138.64 1.00 rw[67] -0.80 7.29 -1.02 -12.29 11.45 135.48 1.00 rw[68] -0.74 7.36 -0.97 -11.99 11.50 133.54 1.00 rw[69] -0.74 7.37 -0.86 -12.88 10.97 133.00 1.00 rw[70] -0.74 7.36 -0.77 -12.57 11.32 130.94 1.00 rw[71] -0.73 7.42 -0.85 -12.76 11.01 129.61 1.00 rw[72] -0.76 7.41 -0.84 -13.29 10.44 126.97 1.00 rw[73] -0.76 7.39 -0.74 -11.81 12.20 129.88 1.00 rw[74] -0.82 7.42 -1.11 -13.80 10.02 130.42 1.00 rw[75] -0.79 7.53 -0.99 -13.76 10.57 130.55 1.00 rw[76] -0.84 7.57 -1.00 -13.69 10.94 132.26 1.00 rw[77] -0.86 7.60 -0.77 -12.76 11.77 131.56 1.00 rw[78] -0.82 7.62 -0.85 -13.25 11.60 130.32 1.00 rw[79] -0.82 7.67 -0.77 -12.99 11.64 130.30 1.00 rw[80] -0.82 7.74 -0.85 -12.76 12.31 130.09 1.00 rw[81] -0.84 7.79 -0.88 -12.57 12.64 131.41 1.00 rw[82] -0.83 7.82 -0.97 -13.54 11.72 128.16 1.00 rw[83] -0.78 7.87 -0.91 -14.14 11.81 126.53 1.00 rw[84] -0.79 7.86 -1.02 -14.16 11.91 125.91 1.00 rw[85] -0.84 7.95 -0.79 -14.69 11.66 124.33 1.00 rw[86] -0.86 8.00 -0.88 -13.43 13.02 125.49 1.00 rw[87] -0.86 8.08 -1.04 -14.17 12.50 124.16 1.00 rw[88] -0.89 8.17 -1.02 -15.68 10.95 123.15 1.00 rw[89] -0.87 8.23 -0.91 -14.16 12.81 121.28 1.00 rw[90] -0.89 8.30 -0.89 -14.82 12.94 119.84 1.00 rw[91] -0.87 8.38 -0.90 -14.52 13.37 122.11 1.00 rw[92] -0.88 8.43 -0.97 -14.92 13.34 122.80 1.00 rw[93] -0.87 8.44 -0.94 -14.27 13.69 122.31 1.00 rw[94] -0.83 8.44 -0.85 -15.59 12.66 121.99 1.00 rw[95] -0.86 8.48 -0.79 -14.03 14.16 122.62 1.00 rw[96] -0.89 8.57 -0.94 -16.00 12.38 120.29 1.00 rw[97] -0.89 8.62 -1.00 -14.28 13.65 120.15 1.00 rw[98] -0.91 8.69 -1.17 -15.37 12.61 120.36 1.00 rw[99] -0.94 8.74 -1.13 -15.46 13.20 121.55 1.00 rw[100] -0.96 8.76 -1.29 -16.02 12.99 119.90 1.00 rw[101] -0.94 8.75 -1.11 -15.26 13.64 119.63 1.00 rw[102] -0.91 8.78 -1.26 -14.59 14.20 120.42 1.00 rw[103] -0.93 8.85 -1.26 -14.88 13.51 117.20 1.00 rw[104] -0.91 8.91 -1.24 -14.99 13.60 118.15 1.00 rw[105] -0.93 8.95 -1.36 -15.09 13.75 115.81 1.00 rw[106] -0.96 8.98 -1.29 -15.54 12.88 116.12 1.00 rw[107] -0.95 9.04 -1.23 -16.51 12.80 115.66 1.00 rw[108] -0.99 9.07 -1.37 -17.36 11.85 117.10 1.00 rw[109] -1.00 9.11 -1.34 -16.80 12.87 116.43 1.00 rw[110] -0.98 9.13 -1.29 -16.45 12.91 116.84 1.00 rw[111] -1.01 9.14 -1.31 -16.96 12.92 115.31 1.00 rw[112] -0.95 9.17 -1.35 -16.12 13.59 112.58 1.00 rw[113] -0.96 9.21 -1.29 -16.66 13.48 112.21 1.00 rw[114] -0.98 9.26 -1.30 -19.13 11.38 111.62 1.00 rw[115] -0.94 9.30 -1.32 -17.13 13.08 110.26 1.00 rw[116] -1.01 9.36 -1.26 -16.53 13.71 108.76 1.00 rw[117] -1.06 9.38 -1.26 -16.66 13.67 107.56 1.00 rw[118] -1.07 9.40 -1.29 -16.65 13.64 108.50 1.00 rw[119] -1.02 9.43 -1.32 -15.77 14.55 109.54 1.00 rw[120] -1.02 9.42 -1.38 -17.26 12.74 109.66 1.00 rw[121] -1.01 9.42 -1.37 -16.98 13.15 107.24 1.00 rw[122] -1.04 9.48 -1.47 -17.17 13.41 107.87 1.00 rw[123] -1.05 9.49 -1.11 -18.33 12.16 110.34 1.00 rw[124] -1.03 9.45 -1.18 -17.31 12.59 110.40 1.00 rw[125] -1.04 9.50 -1.16 -17.08 13.36 108.31 1.00 rw[126] -1.02 9.52 -1.10 -16.60 13.83 108.57 1.00 rw[127] -1.03 9.54 -1.18 -18.60 11.98 109.12 1.00 rw[128] -1.00 9.58 -1.03 -18.48 12.19 108.27 1.00 rw[129] -1.02 9.60 -1.05 -16.47 14.41 108.70 1.00 rw[130] -1.04 9.66 -0.89 -18.37 12.69 106.75 1.00 rw[131] -1.06 9.69 -1.05 -18.57 12.45 107.29 1.00 rw[132] -1.04 9.70 -1.06 -18.46 12.99 109.09 1.00 rw[133] -1.04 9.76 -1.10 -16.87 15.23 110.15 1.00 rw[134] -1.08 9.81 -1.08 -19.09 12.57 108.01 1.00 rw[135] -1.08 9.86 -0.99 -17.49 14.28 109.89 1.00 rw[136] -1.06 9.95 -0.82 -19.30 13.15 108.21 1.00 rw[137] -1.08 9.95 -0.48 -19.10 13.38 106.78 1.00 rw[138] -1.09 9.97 -0.56 -17.71 14.21 106.06 1.00 rw[139] -1.07 10.03 -0.77 -18.51 13.86 105.57 1.00 rw[140] -1.10 10.12 -0.89 -19.24 13.77 106.02 1.00 rw[141] -1.10 10.17 -0.73 -18.26 14.97 105.52 1.00 rw[142] -1.06 10.19 -0.95 -18.88 14.27 106.00 1.00 rw[143] -1.08 10.27 -0.78 -18.76 15.04 106.28 1.00 rw[144] -1.08 10.32 -0.69 -19.26 14.87 105.69 1.00 rw[145] -1.10 10.40 -0.48 -17.75 16.52 108.28 1.00 rw[146] -1.05 10.43 -0.58 -18.87 15.47 109.65 1.00 rw[147] -1.03 10.44 -0.54 -17.46 16.64 108.53 1.00 rw[148] -1.02 10.51 -0.64 -17.27 16.92 108.13 1.00 rw[149] -1.08 10.57 -0.65 -18.67 15.73 107.14 1.00 rw[150] -1.11 10.67 -0.67 -18.25 16.39 107.28 1.00 rw[151] -1.12 10.76 -0.76 -17.98 17.28 106.45 1.00 rw[152] -1.11 10.80 -0.51 -19.12 16.48 105.43 1.00 rw[153] -1.15 10.79 -0.75 -18.42 17.13 103.25 1.00 rw[154] -1.17 10.88 -0.79 -18.80 16.53 103.79 1.00 rw[155] -1.13 10.93 -0.77 -18.97 16.54 104.39 1.00 rw[156] -1.11 10.99 -0.76 -18.28 17.27 104.93 1.00 rw[157] -1.14 11.02 -0.66 -19.20 16.50 105.60 1.00 rw[158] -1.13 11.10 -0.59 -18.68 17.41 104.59 1.00 rw[159] -1.09 11.11 -0.55 -19.07 17.21 103.28 1.00 rw[160] -1.09 11.16 -0.62 -21.12 15.31 104.73 1.00 rw[161] -1.12 11.13 -0.59 -20.92 15.10 105.26 1.00 rw[162] -1.09 11.18 -0.49 -19.93 16.53 105.57 1.00 rw[163] -1.04 11.22 -0.55 -19.94 15.96 104.96 1.00 rw[164] -1.07 11.26 -0.58 -20.16 15.91 104.59 1.00 rw[165] -1.07 11.30 -0.72 -19.54 16.61 104.71 1.00 rw[166] -1.04 11.35 -0.64 -19.42 17.13 104.41 1.00 rw[167] -1.03 11.38 -0.64 -20.70 15.85 104.04 1.00 rw[168] -1.06 11.39 -0.78 -20.13 16.32 104.22 1.00 rw[169] -1.09 11.44 -0.57 -20.18 16.80 102.85 1.00 rw[170] -1.09 11.48 -0.60 -20.96 16.50 104.37 1.00 rw[171] -1.13 11.56 -0.64 -21.83 15.70 104.45 1.00 rw[172] -1.08 11.59 -0.77 -20.00 17.59 103.64 1.00 rw[173] -1.07 11.58 -0.68 -19.27 18.53 102.68 1.00 rw[174] -1.10 11.61 -0.77 -19.61 18.18 103.19 1.00 rw[175] -1.14 11.65 -0.61 -20.80 17.27 103.47 1.00 rw[176] -1.10 11.70 -0.61 -21.72 16.60 102.41 1.00 rw[177] -1.04 11.70 -0.86 -19.73 18.44 102.43 1.00 rw[178] -1.05 11.72 -0.76 -21.33 16.93 102.39 1.00 rw[179] -1.08 11.72 -0.78 -21.60 16.93 101.30 1.00 rw[180] -1.09 11.76 -0.83 -19.53 19.47 102.18 1.00 rw[181] -1.14 11.87 -0.72 -19.67 19.86 102.91 1.00 rw[182] -1.15 11.92 -0.87 -19.63 20.21 105.13 1.00 rw[183] -1.17 11.98 -1.25 -20.62 18.91 105.11 1.00 rw[184] -1.20 12.04 -1.23 -20.46 18.69 105.31 1.00 rw[185] -1.23 12.11 -1.38 -20.53 19.03 105.44 1.00 rw[186] -1.18 12.14 -1.26 -20.80 18.87 105.76 1.00 rw[187] -1.20 12.15 -1.22 -20.30 19.07 107.43 1.00 rw[188] -1.20 12.16 -1.26 -20.49 19.50 107.02 1.00 rw[189] -1.22 12.18 -1.26 -21.25 17.94 107.40 1.00 rw[190] -1.25 12.25 -1.32 -21.36 18.61 106.99 1.00 rw[191] -1.26 12.31 -1.35 -21.49 18.79 107.85 1.00 rw[192] -1.25 12.36 -1.26 -20.68 19.57 107.89 1.00 rw[193] -1.27 12.35 -1.40 -21.21 19.23 109.62 1.00 rw[194] -1.27 12.34 -1.35 -22.02 18.64 110.33 1.00 rw[195] -1.25 12.37 -1.37 -23.07 17.78 110.27 1.00 rw[196] -1.29 12.41 -1.11 -23.07 17.86 110.62 1.00 rw[197] -1.30 12.40 -1.00 -22.41 18.10 112.08 1.00 rw[198] -1.31 12.44 -1.11 -21.31 19.55 112.68 1.00 rw[199] -1.30 12.55 -1.28 -21.31 19.70 112.66 1.00 rw[200] -1.30 12.57 -1.22 -21.71 19.43 113.21 1.00 rw[201] -1.27 12.60 -1.19 -20.28 21.29 113.85 1.00 rw[202] -1.27 12.65 -1.36 -21.84 20.02 114.56 1.00 rw[203] -1.32 12.68 -1.35 -22.32 19.51 114.64 1.00 rw[204] -1.30 12.71 -1.32 -22.00 19.48 113.49 1.00 rw[205] -1.39 12.74 -1.36 -22.73 19.23 112.99 1.00 rw[206] -1.38 12.75 -1.50 -22.13 19.66 113.58 1.00 rw[207] -1.37 12.77 -1.36 -21.21 20.78 113.92 1.00 rw[208] -1.40 12.79 -1.59 -22.80 19.31 114.30 1.00 rw[209] -1.40 12.83 -1.66 -25.25 16.98 116.43 1.00 rw[210] -1.43 12.87 -1.43 -24.34 18.51 118.36 1.00 rw[211] -1.37 12.88 -1.37 -21.63 21.20 118.51 1.00 rw[212] -1.43 12.89 -1.30 -23.18 19.72 119.07 1.00 rw[213] -1.42 12.83 -1.31 -24.07 18.51 120.85 1.00 rw[214] -1.44 12.80 -1.27 -24.14 18.00 121.26 1.00 rw[215] -1.44 12.89 -1.23 -24.04 18.33 122.17 1.00 rw[216] -1.47 12.95 -1.14 -23.33 19.27 124.04 1.00 rw[217] -1.47 12.97 -1.33 -23.54 19.49 125.72 1.00 rw[218] -1.49 12.99 -1.18 -22.99 20.06 125.66 1.00 rw[219] -1.49 13.04 -1.08 -22.82 20.41 125.16 1.00 rw[220] -1.52 13.07 -0.83 -22.31 20.59 124.14 1.00 rw[221] -1.51 13.15 -0.85 -22.59 20.66 124.70 1.00 rw[222] -1.52 13.19 -0.98 -23.10 20.39 125.98 1.00 rw[223] -1.51 13.22 -0.57 -22.88 20.63 126.28 1.00 rw[224] -1.51 13.31 -0.61 -22.70 21.72 128.97 1.00 rw[225] -1.48 13.32 -0.68 -23.15 20.58 126.48 1.00 rw[226] -1.51 13.31 -0.96 -23.81 20.10 126.17 1.00 rw[227] -1.51 13.28 -1.02 -23.76 20.34 126.22 1.00 rw[228] -1.53 13.34 -0.99 -23.78 19.92 128.29 1.00 rw[229] -1.58 13.43 -1.04 -24.73 19.29 128.65 1.00 rw[230] -1.58 13.47 -1.03 -24.90 19.56 127.96 1.00 rw[231] -1.53 13.47 -1.02 -25.51 19.39 128.42 1.00 rw[232] -1.54 13.49 -1.09 -24.79 20.32 128.57 1.00 rw[233] -1.53 13.48 -1.28 -25.57 19.01 128.05 1.00 rw[234] -1.58 13.51 -1.24 -23.69 20.80 129.03 1.00 rw[235] -1.54 13.59 -1.22 -24.49 20.36 129.15 1.00 rw[236] -1.55 13.64 -1.50 -24.50 20.67 129.26 1.00 rw[237] -1.58 13.64 -1.42 -25.97 19.11 132.82 1.00 rw[238] -1.58 13.65 -1.37 -27.30 18.16 134.60 1.00 rw[239] -1.55 13.60 -1.40 -25.35 19.57 134.23 1.00 rw[240] -1.53 13.67 -1.53 -25.49 19.84 132.10 1.00 rw[241] -1.52 13.69 -1.43 -26.61 19.00 131.94 1.00 rw[242] -1.50 13.72 -1.22 -24.79 20.90 133.36 1.00 rw[243] -1.54 13.74 -1.28 -26.66 19.16 135.08 1.00 rw[244] -1.47 13.77 -1.67 -23.43 22.32 136.01 1.00 rw[245] -1.43 13.89 -1.25 -24.69 21.60 137.23 1.00 rw[246] -1.43 13.97 -1.21 -25.83 20.59 137.38 1.00 rw[247] -1.49 13.98 -1.30 -25.97 20.65 136.28 1.00 rw[248] -1.52 13.96 -1.54 -26.03 20.19 137.97 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1157.93 1.00 Number of divergences: 1