mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.83 0.92 0.52 0.00 1.94 1203.14 1.01 E0 88.19 82.30 66.83 0.31 189.90 270.43 1.00 H0 1.91 1.97 1.27 0.00 4.49 1397.29 1.00 I0 45.55 31.60 37.95 6.45 85.40 195.01 1.00 beta0 2.32 0.50 2.32 1.45 3.02 28.15 1.08 confirmed_dispersion 0.45 0.05 0.44 0.37 0.53 1484.50 1.00 death_dispersion 0.33 0.02 0.33 0.29 0.36 1550.05 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 1080.81 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.07 999.79 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.19 0.40 1015.13 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1355.43 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1390.76 1.00 rw[0] 0.30 1.02 0.26 -1.30 2.10 284.00 1.01 rw[1] 0.77 1.41 0.72 -1.74 2.90 165.74 1.02 rw[2] 1.27 1.63 1.28 -1.51 3.79 107.05 1.02 rw[3] 1.73 1.90 1.71 -1.23 4.87 85.49 1.03 rw[4] 2.20 2.09 2.12 -1.00 5.63 63.88 1.03 rw[5] 2.57 2.23 2.48 -1.41 5.83 52.01 1.04 rw[6] 2.81 2.34 2.77 -1.23 6.33 50.79 1.04 rw[7] 2.88 2.41 2.81 -0.89 6.95 48.47 1.04 rw[8] 2.75 2.50 2.71 -0.94 7.25 44.07 1.05 rw[9] 2.35 2.57 2.16 -1.84 6.47 36.66 1.06 rw[10] 1.68 2.58 1.44 -2.64 5.86 38.08 1.05 rw[11] 1.01 2.56 0.75 -3.00 5.18 37.22 1.05 rw[12] 0.11 2.58 -0.09 -4.10 4.33 37.89 1.05 rw[13] -0.73 2.59 -0.95 -4.68 3.64 37.53 1.05 rw[14] -1.65 2.58 -1.89 -5.17 3.22 36.05 1.04 rw[15] -2.64 2.61 -2.78 -6.65 1.64 35.39 1.04 rw[16] -3.59 2.62 -3.70 -7.83 0.52 35.88 1.05 rw[17] -4.62 2.61 -4.87 -8.60 -0.10 35.26 1.05 rw[18] -5.63 2.56 -5.80 -9.72 -1.43 36.66 1.05 rw[19] -6.75 2.55 -6.95 -10.43 -1.98 39.37 1.05 rw[20] -7.95 2.52 -8.12 -11.62 -3.55 37.96 1.04 rw[21] -9.11 2.55 -9.22 -13.29 -5.10 36.25 1.04 rw[22] -10.36 2.54 -10.52 -14.43 -6.33 33.99 1.04 rw[23] -11.63 2.58 -11.78 -15.31 -6.94 34.78 1.04 rw[24] -12.90 2.59 -13.09 -16.93 -8.64 35.70 1.05 rw[25] -14.09 2.59 -14.28 -18.09 -9.75 36.42 1.05 rw[26] -15.26 2.61 -15.39 -19.14 -10.76 40.68 1.05 rw[27] -16.32 2.62 -16.55 -20.56 -12.02 41.53 1.03 rw[28] -17.33 2.66 -17.45 -21.47 -12.65 41.21 1.04 rw[29] -18.27 2.71 -18.45 -22.77 -13.88 40.24 1.04 rw[30] -19.12 2.75 -19.33 -23.20 -14.25 39.56 1.04 rw[31] -19.87 2.77 -20.06 -24.01 -15.02 43.02 1.04 rw[32] -20.52 2.79 -20.67 -24.97 -15.81 42.58 1.04 rw[33] -21.15 2.81 -21.33 -25.74 -16.89 40.91 1.04 rw[34] -21.62 2.82 -21.78 -26.17 -17.25 40.84 1.04 rw[35] -22.01 2.84 -22.17 -26.56 -17.47 41.96 1.04 rw[36] -22.33 2.90 -22.43 -26.95 -17.52 44.03 1.04 rw[37] -22.59 2.86 -22.65 -27.22 -18.13 45.39 1.03 rw[38] -22.69 2.86 -22.80 -27.38 -18.10 45.26 1.03 rw[39] -22.81 2.85 -22.96 -27.20 -18.12 43.40 1.04 rw[40] -22.90 2.85 -22.97 -27.86 -18.65 45.44 1.04 rw[41] -22.87 2.82 -23.05 -27.08 -17.82 47.09 1.04 rw[42] -22.85 2.81 -22.99 -27.44 -18.51 47.02 1.04 rw[43] -22.73 2.81 -22.91 -27.22 -18.14 48.36 1.04 rw[44] -22.59 2.82 -22.69 -27.77 -18.32 46.23 1.05 rw[45] -22.44 2.80 -22.50 -27.03 -17.89 44.61 1.04 rw[46] -22.22 2.81 -22.30 -26.68 -17.25 47.49 1.04 rw[47] -21.96 2.77 -21.94 -26.46 -17.33 46.95 1.04 rw[48] -21.74 2.73 -21.81 -26.31 -17.36 45.98 1.04 rw[49] -21.53 2.74 -21.66 -25.82 -16.93 44.59 1.04 rw[50] -21.27 2.76 -21.38 -25.66 -16.60 46.10 1.04 rw[51] -21.01 2.75 -21.10 -25.34 -16.31 42.42 1.04 rw[52] -20.74 2.74 -20.85 -24.74 -15.69 43.86 1.05 rw[53] -20.50 2.76 -20.61 -24.99 -15.92 45.21 1.05 rw[54] -20.28 2.81 -20.33 -24.50 -15.29 43.63 1.05 rw[55] -20.02 2.81 -20.07 -24.19 -14.91 43.95 1.04 rw[56] -19.75 2.78 -19.88 -24.16 -14.93 43.10 1.04 rw[57] -19.48 2.80 -19.60 -24.29 -14.93 43.61 1.04 rw[58] -19.21 2.78 -19.31 -23.39 -14.42 44.34 1.04 rw[59] -19.02 2.81 -19.08 -23.36 -14.15 44.47 1.04 rw[60] -18.83 2.82 -18.93 -23.02 -13.86 44.93 1.04 rw[61] -18.52 2.81 -18.65 -23.42 -14.19 43.59 1.04 rw[62] -18.33 2.78 -18.45 -22.74 -13.75 44.93 1.04 rw[63] -18.11 2.80 -18.35 -22.39 -13.31 46.26 1.04 rw[64] -17.89 2.82 -18.11 -22.71 -13.42 47.00 1.03 rw[65] -17.71 2.81 -17.77 -22.29 -13.14 46.11 1.03 rw[66] -17.51 2.82 -17.66 -21.82 -12.72 45.35 1.03 rw[67] -17.38 2.86 -17.53 -21.34 -12.08 43.50 1.03 rw[68] -17.21 2.82 -17.33 -21.88 -12.71 44.30 1.03 rw[69] -17.01 2.80 -17.14 -21.69 -12.66 43.55 1.03 rw[70] -16.91 2.81 -17.04 -21.06 -11.78 43.21 1.04 rw[71] -16.77 2.79 -16.82 -21.20 -12.05 47.12 1.04 rw[72] -16.64 2.78 -16.81 -21.11 -12.35 47.81 1.04 rw[73] -16.52 2.73 -16.67 -20.69 -11.88 45.26 1.05 rw[74] -16.42 2.71 -16.49 -20.50 -11.73 44.12 1.05 rw[75] -16.31 2.72 -16.39 -20.45 -11.72 45.85 1.05 rw[76] -16.25 2.75 -16.34 -20.48 -11.67 47.92 1.05 rw[77] -16.21 2.75 -16.26 -20.67 -11.73 51.50 1.04 rw[78] -16.20 2.73 -16.27 -20.28 -11.35 46.62 1.05 rw[79] -16.14 2.70 -16.20 -20.57 -11.84 46.39 1.04 rw[80] -16.13 2.74 -16.24 -20.30 -11.36 45.89 1.04 rw[81] -16.13 2.73 -16.31 -20.39 -11.65 44.62 1.04 rw[82] -16.18 2.71 -16.32 -20.83 -12.06 41.31 1.04 rw[83] -16.11 2.70 -16.28 -20.12 -11.41 41.81 1.04 rw[84] -16.08 2.69 -16.21 -20.05 -11.60 42.21 1.04 rw[85] -16.06 2.71 -16.14 -20.44 -11.83 39.58 1.05 rw[86] -16.10 2.74 -16.25 -20.57 -11.82 40.30 1.05 rw[87] -16.11 2.74 -16.20 -20.26 -11.48 38.75 1.05 rw[88] -16.14 2.77 -16.20 -20.57 -11.65 40.74 1.04 rw[89] -16.14 2.83 -16.20 -20.72 -11.46 43.43 1.04 rw[90] -16.07 2.84 -16.15 -20.61 -11.55 42.66 1.04 rw[91] -16.04 2.85 -16.15 -20.70 -11.45 44.16 1.04 rw[92] -16.01 2.84 -16.07 -20.72 -11.41 43.51 1.04 rw[93] -15.94 2.82 -16.15 -20.60 -11.68 42.23 1.04 rw[94] -15.90 2.81 -16.08 -20.28 -11.42 42.95 1.04 rw[95] -15.82 2.79 -15.94 -20.24 -11.13 43.94 1.03 rw[96] -15.73 2.84 -15.86 -20.42 -10.98 43.14 1.03 rw[97] -15.63 2.83 -15.66 -20.03 -10.81 44.34 1.03 rw[98] -15.53 2.81 -15.53 -20.11 -10.76 41.38 1.03 rw[99] -15.38 2.76 -15.38 -19.64 -10.52 42.80 1.03 rw[100] -15.28 2.73 -15.44 -19.18 -10.38 42.48 1.03 rw[101] -15.16 2.67 -15.30 -19.59 -10.81 39.07 1.04 rw[102] -15.01 2.64 -15.08 -18.94 -10.36 39.77 1.04 rw[103] -14.90 2.68 -14.95 -19.65 -10.96 43.36 1.04 rw[104] -14.84 2.70 -14.98 -19.35 -10.71 41.98 1.03 rw[105] -14.73 2.70 -14.91 -18.97 -10.32 44.38 1.03 rw[106] -14.62 2.77 -14.76 -19.01 -10.14 43.86 1.03 rw[107] -14.58 2.79 -14.72 -19.13 -10.05 44.22 1.03 rw[108] -14.52 2.77 -14.58 -18.77 -9.79 47.38 1.03 rw[109] -14.43 2.69 -14.50 -18.83 -10.15 45.67 1.03 rw[110] -14.33 2.68 -14.38 -18.72 -10.03 45.30 1.03 rw[111] -14.30 2.68 -14.29 -18.94 -10.11 45.97 1.04 rw[112] -14.31 2.74 -14.45 -18.61 -9.74 45.71 1.04 rw[113] -14.27 2.75 -14.27 -18.76 -9.89 44.33 1.03 rw[114] -14.30 2.74 -14.36 -18.86 -9.94 43.69 1.03 rw[115] -14.34 2.74 -14.44 -18.59 -9.67 45.45 1.03 rw[116] -14.39 2.75 -14.53 -19.05 -10.04 44.72 1.04 rw[117] -14.45 2.70 -14.54 -18.40 -9.53 43.93 1.05 rw[118] -14.47 2.71 -14.66 -19.03 -10.20 42.26 1.05 rw[119] -14.53 2.71 -14.71 -19.00 -9.99 41.92 1.05 rw[120] -14.64 2.69 -14.65 -18.88 -10.06 40.05 1.05 rw[121] -14.75 2.72 -14.87 -19.11 -10.06 38.46 1.06 rw[122] -14.84 2.69 -15.02 -18.96 -10.22 38.14 1.06 rw[123] -14.93 2.70 -14.95 -19.58 -10.79 38.39 1.05 rw[124] -14.96 2.66 -15.01 -19.51 -10.66 40.39 1.05 rw[125] -15.00 2.70 -15.15 -19.80 -10.90 41.04 1.05 rw[126] -15.06 2.71 -15.13 -19.14 -10.29 39.90 1.05 rw[127] -15.08 2.69 -15.19 -19.14 -10.27 39.65 1.05 rw[128] -15.13 2.64 -15.31 -19.27 -10.53 38.60 1.05 rw[129] -15.23 2.62 -15.40 -19.00 -10.36 37.11 1.04 rw[130] -15.26 2.63 -15.28 -19.41 -11.04 41.22 1.04 rw[131] -15.34 2.64 -15.45 -19.48 -11.00 40.45 1.04 rw[132] -15.40 2.69 -15.54 -19.94 -11.19 40.78 1.04 rw[133] -15.48 2.62 -15.60 -19.87 -11.43 40.06 1.04 rw[134] -15.55 2.55 -15.56 -20.15 -11.81 45.00 1.04 rw[135] -15.60 2.63 -15.67 -20.11 -11.57 40.62 1.04 rw[136] -15.58 2.65 -15.72 -19.88 -11.34 44.39 1.03 rw[137] -15.62 2.68 -15.75 -19.69 -10.87 45.32 1.03 rw[138] -15.56 2.66 -15.67 -19.59 -10.98 46.85 1.03 rw[139] -15.58 2.64 -15.73 -19.65 -11.12 48.25 1.02 rw[140] -15.50 2.66 -15.56 -20.06 -11.48 46.86 1.02 rw[141] -15.43 2.67 -15.56 -19.16 -10.48 44.41 1.04 rw[142] -15.39 2.62 -15.46 -19.69 -11.24 43.17 1.04 rw[143] -15.27 2.62 -15.32 -19.22 -10.96 42.07 1.04 rw[144] -15.18 2.64 -15.22 -19.38 -11.05 43.08 1.04 rw[145] -15.13 2.65 -15.23 -19.38 -10.80 42.92 1.03 rw[146] -15.00 2.71 -15.17 -19.16 -10.42 41.97 1.03 rw[147] -14.95 2.71 -15.06 -19.27 -10.57 42.60 1.03 rw[148] -14.83 2.71 -14.97 -19.45 -10.67 44.57 1.03 rw[149] -14.75 2.72 -14.89 -19.38 -10.53 43.80 1.04 rw[150] -14.62 2.65 -14.71 -19.34 -10.74 43.24 1.04 rw[151] -14.48 2.66 -14.63 -18.67 -10.14 41.60 1.04 rw[152] -14.37 2.66 -14.46 -18.80 -10.22 38.67 1.04 rw[153] -14.31 2.64 -14.39 -18.35 -9.90 37.42 1.04 rw[154] -14.14 2.66 -14.30 -17.87 -9.35 37.16 1.04 rw[155] -14.08 2.67 -14.17 -18.19 -9.47 36.33 1.04 rw[156] -13.98 2.63 -14.06 -18.44 -9.89 35.59 1.04 rw[157] -13.86 2.63 -14.10 -18.04 -9.55 36.02 1.05 rw[158] -13.72 2.65 -13.82 -17.86 -9.22 37.20 1.05 rw[159] -13.63 2.70 -13.79 -17.36 -8.61 37.31 1.06 rw[160] -13.48 2.69 -13.53 -17.66 -8.92 36.52 1.06 rw[161] -13.38 2.67 -13.40 -17.57 -8.73 38.10 1.06 rw[162] -13.28 2.70 -13.30 -17.66 -8.94 37.93 1.06 rw[163] -13.24 2.65 -13.22 -17.64 -9.09 36.74 1.06 rw[164] -13.14 2.70 -13.26 -17.60 -9.02 38.18 1.05 rw[165] -13.07 2.66 -13.21 -17.00 -8.39 39.57 1.04 rw[166] -13.07 2.65 -13.10 -17.15 -8.59 41.73 1.04 rw[167] -13.03 2.70 -13.07 -17.68 -8.85 41.18 1.04 rw[168] -12.95 2.72 -12.96 -17.26 -8.38 40.55 1.05 rw[169] -12.98 2.68 -13.06 -17.23 -8.55 40.86 1.04 rw[170] -13.01 2.67 -13.11 -17.28 -8.60 38.42 1.05 rw[171] -13.05 2.66 -13.14 -17.59 -9.01 38.48 1.05 rw[172] -13.05 2.64 -13.14 -17.56 -8.96 39.29 1.04 rw[173] -13.00 2.66 -13.08 -17.53 -8.78 40.05 1.04 rw[174] -13.04 2.67 -13.11 -17.66 -8.94 41.91 1.04 rw[175] -13.02 2.64 -13.09 -17.15 -8.69 42.74 1.04 rw[176] -12.98 2.63 -13.12 -17.29 -8.78 45.60 1.04 rw[177] -12.98 2.60 -13.20 -17.38 -8.94 43.86 1.04 rw[178] -12.89 2.63 -13.10 -17.00 -8.60 42.99 1.04 rw[179] -12.81 2.60 -13.07 -17.49 -9.01 41.76 1.04 rw[180] -12.67 2.62 -12.91 -17.03 -8.51 40.38 1.04 rw[181] -12.51 2.62 -12.77 -16.83 -8.56 39.74 1.04 rw[182] -12.35 2.62 -12.51 -16.55 -8.34 39.44 1.04 rw[183] -12.21 2.64 -12.47 -16.28 -7.81 40.75 1.03 rw[184] -12.07 2.64 -12.23 -16.66 -8.13 41.30 1.03 rw[185] -11.95 2.65 -12.14 -16.27 -7.67 39.23 1.04 rw[186] -11.88 2.70 -11.90 -15.69 -6.99 39.97 1.04 rw[187] -11.83 2.68 -11.96 -15.87 -7.25 39.39 1.04 rw[188] -11.80 2.63 -11.98 -16.30 -7.84 40.66 1.03 rw[189] -11.95 2.63 -12.10 -15.69 -7.17 38.22 1.04 rw[190] -12.13 2.58 -12.24 -15.91 -7.62 39.06 1.04 rw[191] -12.42 2.58 -12.56 -16.62 -8.20 41.61 1.04 rw[192] -12.79 2.58 -12.86 -17.23 -8.70 41.30 1.05 rw[193] -13.15 2.59 -13.24 -17.20 -8.92 39.35 1.06 rw[194] -13.59 2.60 -13.64 -17.66 -9.26 41.46 1.05 rw[195] -14.03 2.60 -14.05 -18.39 -9.96 42.21 1.04 rw[196] -14.38 2.57 -14.57 -18.53 -10.18 41.19 1.05 rw[197] -14.73 2.59 -14.93 -18.79 -10.51 43.06 1.04 rw[198] -15.03 2.59 -15.20 -19.07 -10.72 45.28 1.04 rw[199] -15.24 2.56 -15.41 -19.36 -11.09 42.55 1.03 rw[200] -15.39 2.60 -15.43 -19.21 -10.77 42.03 1.04 rw[201] -15.45 2.60 -15.57 -19.48 -11.10 43.89 1.04 rw[202] -15.43 2.62 -15.50 -19.33 -10.73 44.63 1.04 rw[203] -15.33 2.64 -15.48 -19.72 -11.11 45.40 1.05 rw[204] -15.23 2.60 -15.28 -19.47 -11.12 44.05 1.04 rw[205] -15.13 2.63 -15.27 -19.50 -11.04 43.95 1.04 rw[206] -15.01 2.65 -15.10 -19.32 -10.76 41.51 1.05 rw[207] -14.84 2.65 -14.97 -19.39 -10.75 42.71 1.04 rw[208] -14.68 2.68 -14.73 -19.26 -10.46 43.09 1.03 rw[209] -14.49 2.65 -14.58 -18.76 -10.18 38.52 1.04 rw[210] -14.37 2.68 -14.60 -18.23 -9.69 39.74 1.04 rw[211] -14.21 2.66 -14.38 -18.23 -9.61 40.39 1.04 rw[212] -14.08 2.65 -14.17 -18.58 -9.90 39.78 1.04 rw[213] -14.03 2.65 -14.12 -18.00 -9.32 38.82 1.05 rw[214] -13.90 2.64 -14.12 -18.37 -9.62 39.54 1.05 rw[215] -13.79 2.69 -13.87 -18.00 -9.18 39.00 1.05 rw[216] -13.69 2.65 -13.81 -17.91 -9.18 40.66 1.05 rw[217] -13.65 2.70 -13.74 -18.19 -9.29 37.64 1.05 rw[218] -13.54 2.67 -13.59 -17.59 -8.90 35.34 1.05 rw[219] -13.48 2.65 -13.53 -17.59 -8.84 35.98 1.04 rw[220] -13.37 2.65 -13.43 -17.28 -8.52 37.14 1.04 rw[221] -13.24 2.70 -13.33 -17.56 -8.93 34.59 1.05 rw[222] -13.12 2.69 -13.24 -17.63 -8.89 34.61 1.05 rw[223] -12.97 2.67 -13.15 -17.60 -8.97 36.18 1.05 rw[224] -12.85 2.67 -13.09 -17.02 -8.30 37.00 1.05 rw[225] -12.76 2.65 -12.94 -16.69 -8.24 37.03 1.05 rw[226] -12.63 2.61 -12.97 -16.48 -8.00 38.12 1.04 rw[227] -12.53 2.60 -12.68 -16.20 -7.71 39.50 1.04 rw[228] -12.39 2.56 -12.56 -16.62 -8.42 41.88 1.04 rw[229] -12.27 2.59 -12.55 -16.31 -8.06 46.91 1.03 rw[230] -12.20 2.64 -12.29 -15.98 -7.44 46.01 1.03 rw[231] -12.11 2.60 -12.35 -16.02 -7.75 44.04 1.04 rw[232] -12.02 2.62 -12.19 -16.18 -7.89 42.03 1.04 rw[233] -11.97 2.61 -12.08 -15.77 -7.23 38.94 1.04 rw[234] -11.97 2.60 -12.13 -16.01 -7.59 37.71 1.04 rw[235] -11.94 2.55 -11.94 -16.26 -8.01 34.01 1.04 rw[236] -11.90 2.59 -12.04 -15.88 -7.25 34.11 1.05 rw[237] -11.86 2.54 -12.02 -15.82 -7.68 35.82 1.04 rw[238] -11.86 2.54 -11.94 -16.20 -7.95 36.82 1.05 rw[239] -11.82 2.51 -11.89 -15.67 -7.38 36.10 1.05 rw[240] -11.84 2.56 -11.99 -16.01 -7.69 38.94 1.04 rw[241] -11.82 2.53 -11.89 -15.65 -7.40 37.00 1.04 rw[242] -11.77 2.57 -11.90 -15.73 -7.45 36.08 1.05 rw[243] -11.74 2.57 -11.79 -15.43 -7.11 34.77 1.05 rw[244] -11.66 2.58 -11.73 -15.76 -7.44 33.21 1.05 rw[245] -11.65 2.53 -11.62 -15.43 -7.38 35.89 1.04 rw[246] -11.58 2.47 -11.68 -15.95 -7.99 34.66 1.04 rw[247] -11.54 2.40 -11.71 -15.36 -7.54 32.95 1.05 rw[248] -11.47 2.24 -11.72 -14.73 -7.50 30.07 1.06 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 2036.15 1.00 Number of divergences: 0