mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.64 0.68 0.42 0.00 1.57 1100.79 1.00 E0 8.58 9.26 6.00 0.02 19.06 72.51 1.01 H0 1.52 1.57 1.06 0.00 3.49 733.99 1.00 I0 3.24 3.65 2.19 0.00 7.50 45.79 1.00 beta0 2.38 0.57 2.25 1.51 3.26 5.08 1.06 confirmed_dispersion 0.51 0.06 0.51 0.40 0.60 502.91 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 1010.08 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 452.66 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.01 0.07 0.05 0.09 290.05 1.00 det_prob0 0.29 0.07 0.29 0.18 0.39 685.18 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 439.26 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 430.74 1.00 rw[0] -0.06 0.98 -0.08 -1.51 1.68 331.76 1.02 rw[1] -0.02 1.28 0.00 -2.04 2.18 112.40 1.03 rw[2] 0.12 1.54 0.15 -2.40 2.61 64.42 1.03 rw[3] 0.27 1.72 0.22 -2.56 3.01 33.74 1.03 rw[4] 0.41 1.89 0.32 -2.48 3.76 20.93 1.03 rw[5] 0.54 2.07 0.48 -2.43 4.25 17.39 1.03 rw[6] 0.61 2.22 0.65 -2.71 4.55 13.76 1.04 rw[7] 0.57 2.37 0.59 -2.99 4.60 11.28 1.04 rw[8] 0.38 2.49 0.43 -3.33 4.85 9.95 1.04 rw[9] 0.08 2.57 0.16 -4.80 3.65 8.94 1.04 rw[10] -0.35 2.64 -0.31 -5.04 3.57 8.39 1.04 rw[11] -0.94 2.71 -0.77 -5.26 3.58 7.85 1.04 rw[12] -1.71 2.75 -1.54 -6.47 2.48 7.29 1.04 rw[13] -2.53 2.79 -2.33 -6.73 2.36 7.04 1.03 rw[14] -3.46 2.76 -3.21 -7.79 1.13 6.89 1.04 rw[15] -4.37 2.77 -4.24 -8.67 0.38 6.92 1.03 rw[16] -5.33 2.75 -5.11 -9.84 -0.96 6.77 1.04 rw[17] -6.26 2.72 -6.02 -10.92 -2.13 6.80 1.04 rw[18] -7.15 2.73 -6.94 -11.64 -2.79 6.99 1.03 rw[19] -7.99 2.70 -7.83 -12.49 -3.85 7.32 1.04 rw[20] -8.89 2.71 -8.71 -13.89 -5.02 7.04 1.04 rw[21] -9.78 2.67 -9.58 -14.17 -5.60 6.84 1.04 rw[22] -10.68 2.65 -10.58 -15.14 -6.55 6.87 1.04 rw[23] -11.53 2.65 -11.34 -16.34 -7.89 6.76 1.05 rw[24] -12.34 2.65 -12.10 -16.89 -8.34 6.65 1.05 rw[25] -13.10 2.65 -12.90 -17.36 -8.65 6.62 1.06 rw[26] -13.85 2.70 -13.62 -18.38 -9.73 6.59 1.05 rw[27] -14.47 2.67 -14.31 -18.60 -9.94 6.65 1.05 rw[28] -14.99 2.68 -14.76 -19.65 -11.01 6.50 1.05 rw[29] -15.40 2.68 -15.25 -20.30 -11.44 6.68 1.04 rw[30] -15.71 2.67 -15.54 -20.06 -11.38 6.70 1.04 rw[31] -15.93 2.67 -15.80 -20.67 -11.92 6.93 1.04 rw[32] -16.10 2.71 -15.95 -20.59 -11.71 6.98 1.03 rw[33] -16.18 2.76 -16.09 -20.66 -11.59 7.31 1.03 rw[34] -16.18 2.76 -16.10 -20.90 -12.02 7.55 1.02 rw[35] -16.15 2.77 -16.03 -20.49 -11.45 7.23 1.03 rw[36] -16.12 2.80 -16.00 -20.57 -11.52 7.28 1.04 rw[37] -16.09 2.81 -15.93 -21.18 -12.15 7.28 1.04 rw[38] -16.00 2.81 -15.86 -20.65 -11.32 7.33 1.04 rw[39] -15.99 2.79 -15.70 -20.87 -11.87 7.14 1.04 rw[40] -15.96 2.81 -15.61 -20.52 -11.50 7.18 1.05 rw[41] -15.92 2.78 -15.56 -20.48 -11.41 7.24 1.05 rw[42] -15.92 2.75 -15.71 -20.44 -11.59 7.20 1.06 rw[43] -15.90 2.74 -15.81 -20.21 -11.50 7.28 1.06 rw[44] -15.97 2.76 -15.91 -20.45 -11.73 7.03 1.06 rw[45] -15.98 2.76 -15.80 -20.49 -11.63 7.19 1.07 rw[46] -16.02 2.73 -15.88 -20.05 -11.40 7.19 1.07 rw[47] -16.01 2.70 -15.88 -20.33 -11.68 7.11 1.06 rw[48] -16.08 2.74 -15.99 -20.14 -11.48 7.24 1.06 rw[49] -16.21 2.74 -16.19 -20.71 -12.09 7.41 1.06 rw[50] -16.33 2.73 -16.23 -20.67 -11.99 7.33 1.06 rw[51] -16.40 2.66 -16.34 -20.21 -11.53 7.33 1.05 rw[52] -16.56 2.70 -16.49 -20.71 -11.79 7.29 1.05 rw[53] -16.76 2.70 -16.70 -21.42 -12.65 7.70 1.04 rw[54] -16.92 2.71 -16.86 -21.91 -13.12 7.59 1.04 rw[55] -17.07 2.72 -16.95 -21.54 -12.81 7.44 1.03 rw[56] -17.22 2.73 -17.04 -21.49 -12.51 7.42 1.03 rw[57] -17.35 2.77 -17.22 -21.71 -12.70 7.46 1.03 rw[58] -17.49 2.78 -17.34 -21.84 -12.70 7.65 1.03 rw[59] -17.57 2.83 -17.47 -22.11 -12.93 7.38 1.03 rw[60] -17.61 2.81 -17.48 -22.12 -12.86 7.36 1.03 rw[61] -17.73 2.81 -17.61 -22.31 -13.17 7.13 1.03 rw[62] -17.83 2.83 -17.71 -22.04 -12.80 7.34 1.03 rw[63] -17.94 2.82 -17.85 -22.55 -13.43 7.55 1.03 rw[64] -18.01 2.83 -17.83 -22.41 -13.34 7.58 1.03 rw[65] -18.07 2.86 -18.03 -23.00 -13.74 7.42 1.04 rw[66] -18.05 2.84 -17.83 -22.72 -13.60 7.39 1.04 rw[67] -18.08 2.81 -17.84 -22.49 -13.35 7.41 1.04 rw[68] -18.04 2.78 -17.81 -22.84 -13.67 7.35 1.04 rw[69] -17.95 2.79 -17.75 -22.61 -13.50 7.57 1.04 rw[70] -17.91 2.77 -17.74 -22.49 -13.65 7.52 1.04 rw[71] -17.82 2.76 -17.66 -22.18 -13.18 7.41 1.04 rw[72] -17.71 2.73 -17.55 -21.75 -13.08 7.48 1.04 rw[73] -17.60 2.79 -17.46 -21.97 -12.81 7.35 1.05 rw[74] -17.52 2.75 -17.34 -22.10 -13.22 7.31 1.04 rw[75] -17.40 2.76 -17.23 -21.83 -12.82 7.09 1.04 rw[76] -17.18 2.78 -17.02 -21.62 -12.60 6.97 1.05 rw[77] -17.06 2.75 -16.94 -21.84 -13.07 6.97 1.04 rw[78] -16.85 2.75 -16.63 -21.65 -12.90 6.94 1.03 rw[79] -16.68 2.72 -16.38 -20.98 -12.34 6.69 1.03 rw[80] -16.55 2.67 -16.16 -20.82 -12.55 6.56 1.04 rw[81] -16.45 2.71 -16.12 -20.78 -12.26 6.43 1.04 rw[82] -16.34 2.72 -16.06 -20.82 -12.19 6.73 1.04 rw[83] -16.27 2.76 -16.04 -20.95 -12.09 7.06 1.03 rw[84] -16.24 2.72 -16.06 -20.75 -12.13 7.05 1.03 rw[85] -16.21 2.74 -15.93 -21.06 -12.16 7.33 1.03 rw[86] -16.22 2.72 -16.03 -20.96 -12.34 7.38 1.03 rw[87] -16.22 2.73 -16.00 -20.66 -11.74 7.69 1.04 rw[88] -16.25 2.78 -16.14 -20.40 -11.40 8.11 1.04 rw[89] -16.25 2.80 -16.24 -20.20 -10.78 8.76 1.04 rw[90] -16.28 2.83 -16.20 -20.75 -11.51 9.05 1.04 rw[91] -16.35 2.81 -16.29 -20.63 -11.36 9.20 1.05 rw[92] -16.42 2.87 -16.38 -21.26 -12.02 8.98 1.05 rw[93] -16.47 2.84 -16.35 -21.50 -12.19 8.91 1.05 rw[94] -16.55 2.82 -16.38 -21.26 -11.98 8.38 1.05 rw[95] -16.63 2.87 -16.48 -21.61 -12.21 8.14 1.04 rw[96] -16.67 2.84 -16.57 -21.31 -11.86 7.88 1.05 rw[97] -16.72 2.83 -16.62 -21.53 -12.13 7.65 1.04 rw[98] -16.75 2.84 -16.64 -21.66 -12.47 7.46 1.05 rw[99] -16.80 2.83 -16.70 -21.87 -12.71 7.29 1.05 rw[100] -16.82 2.84 -16.68 -21.76 -12.49 7.17 1.05 rw[101] -16.78 2.84 -16.66 -21.79 -12.74 7.13 1.04 rw[102] -16.73 2.82 -16.62 -21.40 -12.41 7.24 1.04 rw[103] -16.67 2.80 -16.57 -21.30 -12.19 7.20 1.04 rw[104] -16.56 2.79 -16.30 -21.42 -12.32 6.72 1.05 rw[105] -16.38 2.78 -16.26 -20.71 -11.71 6.84 1.05 rw[106] -16.21 2.77 -16.03 -21.24 -12.32 7.22 1.04 rw[107] -16.04 2.75 -15.85 -21.18 -12.10 7.30 1.04 rw[108] -15.87 2.73 -15.78 -20.05 -11.26 7.14 1.04 rw[109] -15.66 2.72 -15.55 -19.90 -11.08 7.11 1.04 rw[110] -15.45 2.76 -15.37 -19.74 -10.90 7.10 1.04 rw[111] -15.30 2.73 -15.14 -19.79 -10.97 7.15 1.04 rw[112] -15.15 2.73 -14.96 -20.08 -11.25 7.17 1.04 rw[113] -14.96 2.72 -14.82 -19.43 -10.56 7.14 1.04 rw[114] -14.86 2.73 -14.71 -19.31 -10.39 7.16 1.04 rw[115] -14.70 2.76 -14.61 -19.43 -10.49 7.18 1.04 rw[116] -14.57 2.74 -14.52 -19.24 -10.43 7.37 1.04 rw[117] -14.43 2.72 -14.25 -19.20 -10.44 7.37 1.05 rw[118] -14.33 2.69 -14.18 -18.97 -10.22 7.41 1.04 rw[119] -14.24 2.70 -14.04 -18.94 -10.19 7.47 1.04 rw[120] -14.19 2.73 -14.04 -18.31 -9.18 7.65 1.04 rw[121] -14.15 2.71 -13.98 -18.64 -9.78 7.74 1.04 rw[122] -14.18 2.68 -14.09 -18.60 -9.89 7.68 1.05 rw[123] -14.12 2.69 -13.96 -18.63 -9.93 7.54 1.05 rw[124] -14.09 2.69 -13.94 -18.45 -9.63 7.22 1.05 rw[125] -14.04 2.71 -13.97 -18.46 -9.63 7.26 1.04 rw[126] -14.00 2.67 -13.88 -18.84 -10.01 7.36 1.05 rw[127] -13.92 2.70 -13.93 -18.46 -9.56 7.36 1.04 rw[128] -13.96 2.69 -13.92 -18.20 -9.53 7.23 1.05 rw[129] -14.01 2.69 -13.84 -18.41 -9.94 6.97 1.04 rw[130] -14.02 2.67 -13.82 -18.63 -10.01 6.77 1.04 rw[131] -14.00 2.66 -13.87 -18.54 -9.89 6.93 1.04 rw[132] -14.02 2.70 -13.84 -18.77 -9.95 6.92 1.04 rw[133] -14.05 2.72 -13.91 -18.96 -10.02 6.87 1.04 rw[134] -14.11 2.70 -13.99 -18.74 -9.98 6.77 1.04 rw[135] -14.15 2.70 -14.07 -18.58 -9.91 6.79 1.03 rw[136] -14.23 2.71 -14.04 -18.59 -9.97 6.77 1.04 rw[137] -14.25 2.72 -14.05 -18.56 -9.91 6.76 1.03 rw[138] -14.34 2.76 -14.18 -18.75 -9.92 6.91 1.04 rw[139] -14.36 2.76 -14.24 -19.25 -10.35 6.95 1.04 rw[140] -14.38 2.76 -14.18 -18.80 -10.06 6.73 1.04 rw[141] -14.41 2.75 -14.18 -19.01 -10.23 6.81 1.04 rw[142] -14.44 2.76 -14.24 -19.27 -10.37 6.84 1.05 rw[143] -14.49 2.76 -14.32 -18.78 -9.91 6.94 1.05 rw[144] -14.46 2.75 -14.28 -19.29 -10.30 7.05 1.06 rw[145] -14.46 2.75 -14.28 -19.25 -10.36 7.32 1.05 rw[146] -14.47 2.78 -14.39 -19.50 -10.38 7.41 1.05 rw[147] -14.48 2.75 -14.28 -19.17 -10.15 7.47 1.05 rw[148] -14.51 2.75 -14.38 -19.06 -10.17 7.32 1.05 rw[149] -14.55 2.70 -14.39 -18.89 -10.36 7.53 1.04 rw[150] -14.60 2.70 -14.46 -19.21 -10.44 7.23 1.05 rw[151] -14.68 2.70 -14.32 -19.23 -10.64 7.35 1.05 rw[152] -14.82 2.70 -14.47 -19.18 -10.48 7.27 1.04 rw[153] -14.91 2.73 -14.62 -19.42 -10.63 7.26 1.04 rw[154] -15.07 2.73 -14.82 -20.13 -11.21 7.31 1.04 rw[155] -15.26 2.75 -15.05 -20.09 -11.17 7.31 1.04 rw[156] -15.44 2.74 -15.20 -20.12 -11.27 7.10 1.04 rw[157] -15.62 2.74 -15.53 -20.61 -11.78 7.30 1.03 rw[158] -15.79 2.72 -15.60 -20.36 -11.47 7.33 1.04 rw[159] -15.98 2.78 -15.83 -20.57 -11.46 7.12 1.04 rw[160] -16.09 2.74 -15.90 -20.98 -12.01 7.01 1.04 rw[161] -16.19 2.67 -16.02 -20.39 -11.80 7.32 1.03 rw[162] -16.27 2.70 -16.11 -20.61 -12.01 7.53 1.04 rw[163] -16.26 2.66 -16.15 -20.76 -12.21 7.11 1.05 rw[164] -16.26 2.68 -16.08 -20.48 -11.84 6.82 1.05 rw[165] -16.22 2.67 -16.15 -20.37 -11.84 7.14 1.04 rw[166] -16.08 2.61 -15.92 -20.27 -11.97 6.85 1.05 rw[167] -15.92 2.60 -15.78 -20.26 -12.02 6.85 1.05 rw[168] -15.74 2.66 -15.69 -19.78 -11.24 6.67 1.05 rw[169] -15.63 2.68 -15.48 -20.42 -11.67 7.02 1.05 rw[170] -15.48 2.68 -15.23 -20.05 -11.40 6.79 1.06 rw[171] -15.30 2.70 -15.21 -19.53 -10.83 6.98 1.05 rw[172] -15.22 2.69 -14.97 -19.82 -11.30 6.86 1.05 rw[173] -15.13 2.72 -14.92 -19.81 -11.19 6.88 1.06 rw[174] -15.01 2.74 -14.71 -19.32 -10.55 6.89 1.05 rw[175] -14.89 2.75 -14.65 -19.58 -10.85 6.81 1.04 rw[176] -14.78 2.76 -14.56 -19.32 -10.57 6.73 1.04 rw[177] -14.69 2.71 -14.55 -19.14 -10.40 6.89 1.04 rw[178] -14.60 2.71 -14.46 -19.14 -10.45 7.03 1.04 rw[179] -14.54 2.67 -14.41 -18.74 -10.17 7.46 1.04 rw[180] -14.47 2.67 -14.33 -19.04 -10.34 7.36 1.05 rw[181] -14.45 2.67 -14.33 -19.12 -10.41 7.56 1.05 rw[182] -14.45 2.69 -14.36 -18.94 -10.22 7.37 1.04 rw[183] -14.46 2.68 -14.35 -18.81 -10.16 7.33 1.04 rw[184] -14.44 2.67 -14.34 -18.69 -10.08 7.06 1.04 rw[185] -14.43 2.66 -14.30 -19.02 -10.39 6.89 1.04 rw[186] -14.37 2.66 -14.12 -18.83 -10.39 7.08 1.04 rw[187] -14.29 2.66 -13.98 -18.84 -10.16 6.90 1.04 rw[188] -14.26 2.64 -13.97 -18.42 -9.92 6.81 1.04 rw[189] -14.19 2.67 -14.01 -18.70 -10.23 6.84 1.04 rw[190] -14.12 2.68 -13.85 -18.62 -9.93 6.71 1.04 rw[191] -14.07 2.69 -13.86 -18.30 -9.77 6.69 1.04 rw[192] -13.97 2.66 -13.71 -18.64 -10.17 6.51 1.05 rw[193] -13.92 2.69 -13.73 -17.88 -9.32 6.50 1.05 rw[194] -13.82 2.72 -13.59 -18.08 -9.07 6.53 1.05 rw[195] -13.72 2.76 -13.54 -18.30 -9.41 6.65 1.05 rw[196] -13.62 2.73 -13.40 -18.28 -9.40 6.82 1.04 rw[197] -13.56 2.70 -13.30 -18.19 -9.56 7.11 1.05 rw[198] -13.48 2.68 -13.26 -18.06 -9.43 6.97 1.04 rw[199] -13.48 2.68 -13.29 -17.89 -9.16 6.91 1.04 rw[200] -13.44 2.69 -13.35 -17.90 -9.21 7.14 1.04 rw[201] -13.37 2.71 -13.21 -18.03 -9.29 7.34 1.04 rw[202] -13.34 2.72 -13.38 -17.76 -8.71 7.39 1.03 rw[203] -13.29 2.72 -13.23 -17.77 -8.75 7.48 1.03 rw[204] -13.29 2.71 -13.23 -17.65 -8.89 7.41 1.03 rw[205] -13.21 2.72 -13.16 -17.42 -8.43 7.26 1.04 rw[206] -13.18 2.75 -13.08 -17.81 -8.85 7.18 1.04 rw[207] -13.14 2.71 -13.06 -17.90 -9.19 7.20 1.03 rw[208] -13.08 2.69 -12.91 -17.86 -9.24 7.05 1.04 rw[209] -13.02 2.63 -12.82 -17.58 -9.25 6.96 1.05 rw[210] -12.94 2.66 -12.76 -17.36 -8.98 6.97 1.05 rw[211] -12.88 2.65 -12.77 -17.10 -8.85 7.05 1.05 rw[212] -12.89 2.65 -12.66 -17.18 -8.71 6.83 1.06 rw[213] -12.82 2.70 -12.72 -17.50 -8.97 6.87 1.06 rw[214] -12.80 2.73 -12.58 -17.49 -8.87 6.86 1.06 rw[215] -12.82 2.65 -12.68 -17.01 -8.80 6.80 1.05 rw[216] -12.84 2.65 -12.63 -17.27 -8.73 6.62 1.05 rw[217] -12.91 2.63 -12.61 -17.40 -8.89 6.74 1.05 rw[218] -13.02 2.67 -12.82 -17.38 -8.70 6.75 1.05 rw[219] -13.20 2.67 -13.04 -17.76 -9.23 6.79 1.05 rw[220] -13.34 2.64 -13.04 -17.71 -9.24 6.61 1.05 rw[221] -13.45 2.59 -13.20 -17.49 -9.21 6.60 1.05 rw[222] -13.51 2.59 -13.27 -18.02 -9.66 6.60 1.04 rw[223] -13.62 2.61 -13.31 -17.95 -9.57 6.79 1.05 rw[224] -13.71 2.60 -13.45 -18.25 -9.92 6.70 1.04 rw[225] -13.76 2.64 -13.58 -18.39 -9.96 6.63 1.04 rw[226] -13.76 2.63 -13.54 -18.28 -9.93 6.72 1.04 rw[227] -13.70 2.61 -13.49 -18.36 -9.97 6.87 1.04 rw[228] -13.69 2.63 -13.50 -18.15 -9.58 6.78 1.04 rw[229] -13.64 2.67 -13.47 -17.80 -9.18 6.78 1.04 rw[230] -13.60 2.70 -13.41 -17.83 -9.23 7.01 1.03 rw[231] -13.46 2.71 -13.34 -18.12 -9.32 7.03 1.03 rw[232] -13.42 2.74 -13.33 -18.12 -9.11 6.98 1.04 rw[233] -13.38 2.72 -13.22 -17.98 -9.11 7.10 1.04 rw[234] -13.32 2.72 -13.02 -18.14 -9.30 6.83 1.04 rw[235] -13.23 2.74 -13.08 -18.17 -9.29 6.94 1.04 rw[236] -13.19 2.77 -13.04 -17.47 -8.60 7.26 1.04 rw[237] -13.13 2.75 -12.96 -17.20 -8.31 7.26 1.05 rw[238] -13.07 2.73 -12.99 -17.77 -8.94 7.16 1.05 rw[239] -13.02 2.73 -12.88 -17.39 -8.55 7.07 1.04 rw[240] -13.02 2.73 -12.87 -17.34 -8.80 7.00 1.04 rw[241] -13.04 2.64 -12.91 -17.39 -8.88 7.07 1.05 rw[242] -13.00 2.68 -12.90 -17.33 -8.68 6.85 1.05 rw[243] -13.02 2.68 -12.74 -17.11 -8.65 6.65 1.05 rw[244] -13.08 2.67 -12.84 -17.81 -9.33 6.76 1.05 rw[245] -13.05 2.62 -12.85 -17.46 -9.08 6.62 1.06 rw[246] -13.11 2.65 -12.98 -17.47 -9.00 6.68 1.05 rw[247] -13.14 2.66 -12.94 -17.40 -8.85 6.67 1.05 rw[248] -13.16 2.62 -13.03 -17.31 -8.84 6.55 1.05 rw[249] -13.21 2.60 -13.10 -17.10 -8.67 6.66 1.05 rw[250] -13.25 2.64 -13.00 -17.65 -9.08 6.86 1.04 rw[251] -13.34 2.64 -13.25 -17.32 -8.76 6.88 1.04 rw[252] -13.50 2.57 -13.36 -17.63 -9.48 6.50 1.04 rw[253] -13.60 2.51 -13.40 -17.75 -9.75 6.18 1.05 rw[254] -13.80 2.46 -13.59 -18.26 -10.43 5.94 1.05 rw[255] -13.98 2.37 -13.74 -18.17 -10.77 5.45 1.06 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 704.40 1.00 Number of divergences: 0