mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.75 0.98 0.45 0.00 1.68 1353.01 1.00 E0 19.29 21.22 12.75 0.03 44.35 122.19 1.00 H0 5.20 3.80 4.47 0.11 10.25 1200.52 1.00 I0 5.91 7.00 3.66 0.00 14.35 148.43 1.00 beta0 2.67 0.70 2.51 1.68 3.80 23.37 1.03 confirmed_dispersion 0.59 0.07 0.59 0.48 0.69 861.06 1.00 death_dispersion 0.25 0.02 0.25 0.22 0.29 1601.37 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 665.05 1.00 death_rate 0.05 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.05 279.25 1.01 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.40 2104.74 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1736.22 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1924.84 1.00 rw[0] -0.01 0.97 -0.02 -1.52 1.60 327.38 1.00 rw[1] 0.05 1.32 0.04 -2.04 2.22 149.41 1.01 rw[2] 0.17 1.61 0.23 -2.30 2.92 100.24 1.01 rw[3] 0.39 1.82 0.49 -2.46 3.19 80.08 1.01 rw[4] 0.55 1.98 0.66 -2.67 3.63 63.13 1.02 rw[5] 0.73 2.17 0.82 -2.96 4.04 51.57 1.02 rw[6] 0.88 2.27 1.00 -2.43 4.89 49.08 1.02 rw[7] 0.96 2.38 1.09 -2.80 4.89 47.75 1.02 rw[8] 0.94 2.45 1.12 -3.28 4.82 44.11 1.02 rw[9] 0.74 2.58 0.76 -3.36 5.21 39.84 1.02 rw[10] 0.48 2.66 0.55 -3.72 5.05 37.31 1.02 rw[11] 0.06 2.73 0.16 -4.81 4.27 35.33 1.02 rw[12] -0.45 2.74 -0.25 -4.63 4.71 34.61 1.03 rw[13] -1.02 2.76 -0.79 -5.72 3.53 31.63 1.03 rw[14] -1.68 2.76 -1.50 -5.80 3.30 30.20 1.02 rw[15] -2.36 2.78 -2.04 -6.70 2.22 28.83 1.02 rw[16] -3.04 2.78 -2.85 -7.80 1.18 29.52 1.02 rw[17] -3.73 2.79 -3.62 -8.18 0.91 29.71 1.02 rw[18] -4.40 2.80 -4.29 -8.26 0.77 29.05 1.02 rw[19] -5.12 2.81 -4.93 -9.68 -0.61 28.57 1.02 rw[20] -5.84 2.82 -5.66 -10.27 -1.12 29.34 1.02 rw[21] -6.60 2.85 -6.36 -11.44 -2.05 29.41 1.02 rw[22] -7.39 2.86 -7.17 -12.38 -3.13 29.61 1.02 rw[23] -8.27 2.82 -7.98 -12.90 -3.83 29.62 1.02 rw[24] -9.13 2.80 -8.87 -14.37 -5.07 29.44 1.02 rw[25] -10.14 2.80 -9.88 -14.71 -5.58 29.71 1.03 rw[26] -11.16 2.79 -10.92 -16.02 -6.99 30.87 1.03 rw[27] -12.17 2.79 -12.07 -16.86 -7.89 30.49 1.03 rw[28] -13.20 2.81 -13.05 -17.72 -8.64 31.36 1.02 rw[29] -14.14 2.82 -14.00 -18.80 -9.43 30.83 1.02 rw[30] -15.04 2.84 -14.76 -20.36 -11.01 31.45 1.02 rw[31] -15.91 2.83 -15.68 -20.37 -11.37 31.01 1.02 rw[32] -16.81 2.89 -16.53 -21.89 -12.49 32.47 1.02 rw[33] -17.62 2.91 -17.41 -22.32 -12.93 33.77 1.01 rw[34] -18.40 2.99 -18.16 -23.32 -13.69 33.94 1.01 rw[35] -19.06 3.01 -18.81 -24.07 -14.43 33.60 1.01 rw[36] -19.71 3.04 -19.50 -24.77 -14.98 34.27 1.01 rw[37] -20.27 3.05 -20.10 -25.79 -15.80 34.82 1.01 rw[38] -20.74 3.08 -20.51 -25.97 -15.85 34.95 1.01 rw[39] -21.20 3.13 -21.08 -26.64 -16.49 34.27 1.01 rw[40] -21.57 3.14 -21.40 -26.65 -16.79 36.41 1.01 rw[41] -21.92 3.13 -21.80 -26.98 -17.00 36.64 1.01 rw[42] -22.21 3.12 -22.12 -27.65 -17.35 37.11 1.01 rw[43] -22.45 3.20 -22.33 -27.44 -17.01 37.26 1.00 rw[44] -22.62 3.18 -22.49 -27.82 -17.51 36.99 1.00 rw[45] -22.76 3.23 -22.73 -27.56 -17.15 37.69 1.00 rw[46] -22.90 3.19 -22.82 -28.18 -17.77 37.87 1.00 rw[47] -22.99 3.19 -22.86 -27.60 -17.34 36.03 1.01 rw[48] -23.00 3.19 -22.90 -28.61 -18.08 35.71 1.01 rw[49] -22.97 3.18 -22.81 -28.45 -18.11 35.11 1.01 rw[50] -22.93 3.20 -22.77 -28.01 -17.44 33.72 1.01 rw[51] -22.89 3.21 -22.73 -28.14 -17.54 34.03 1.01 rw[52] -22.80 3.20 -22.52 -28.08 -17.71 33.13 1.01 rw[53] -22.75 3.20 -22.67 -27.92 -17.43 33.45 1.01 rw[54] -22.62 3.18 -22.44 -27.52 -17.25 33.49 1.01 rw[55] -22.48 3.17 -22.35 -27.21 -17.23 34.48 1.01 rw[56] -22.39 3.11 -22.23 -27.70 -17.70 34.09 1.01 rw[57] -22.24 3.09 -22.11 -27.17 -17.26 33.95 1.02 rw[58] -22.03 3.07 -21.93 -27.04 -17.07 34.96 1.01 rw[59] -21.82 3.03 -21.64 -26.82 -17.04 35.03 1.02 rw[60] -21.58 3.05 -21.39 -26.80 -16.90 34.81 1.02 rw[61] -21.39 3.08 -21.23 -26.51 -16.71 35.59 1.02 rw[62] -21.15 3.04 -21.06 -26.05 -16.10 35.87 1.02 rw[63] -20.94 3.04 -20.76 -25.94 -15.86 36.78 1.02 rw[64] -20.62 3.07 -20.46 -26.07 -15.83 37.41 1.02 rw[65] -20.36 3.09 -20.12 -25.83 -15.40 37.05 1.02 rw[66] -20.14 3.04 -19.90 -25.26 -15.13 36.26 1.03 rw[67] -19.85 3.06 -19.64 -24.70 -14.52 35.23 1.03 rw[68] -19.64 3.04 -19.46 -24.35 -14.40 35.37 1.03 rw[69] -19.42 3.01 -19.15 -24.06 -14.24 35.25 1.04 rw[70] -19.20 3.07 -18.91 -24.38 -14.44 35.93 1.04 rw[71] -18.97 3.04 -18.69 -23.85 -13.93 36.29 1.04 rw[72] -18.75 3.05 -18.53 -23.00 -13.27 35.58 1.04 rw[73] -18.54 3.01 -18.32 -23.25 -13.58 35.33 1.03 rw[74] -18.43 2.97 -18.23 -23.31 -13.74 34.74 1.03 rw[75] -18.23 3.06 -18.06 -23.53 -13.60 35.88 1.03 rw[76] -18.06 3.06 -17.88 -23.11 -13.31 36.36 1.03 rw[77] -17.92 3.05 -17.78 -23.01 -13.32 37.96 1.03 rw[78] -17.79 3.05 -17.63 -22.71 -12.98 38.80 1.02 rw[79] -17.68 3.06 -17.43 -22.77 -12.96 38.51 1.02 rw[80] -17.56 3.03 -17.37 -22.93 -13.16 38.44 1.02 rw[81] -17.50 3.08 -17.28 -22.89 -12.82 37.71 1.02 rw[82] -17.42 3.06 -17.13 -22.45 -12.75 36.67 1.02 rw[83] -17.34 3.13 -17.14 -22.67 -12.49 36.74 1.02 rw[84] -17.35 3.10 -17.10 -22.41 -12.32 36.94 1.02 rw[85] -17.27 3.10 -17.00 -22.07 -11.83 36.99 1.01 rw[86] -17.29 3.15 -17.18 -22.86 -12.48 37.95 1.01 rw[87] -17.24 3.12 -17.04 -22.69 -12.33 38.69 1.01 rw[88] -17.19 3.13 -16.95 -22.26 -11.76 37.34 1.01 rw[89] -17.18 3.14 -17.09 -22.63 -12.04 38.07 1.01 rw[90] -17.18 3.17 -17.10 -22.23 -11.82 38.07 1.01 rw[91] -17.17 3.20 -16.97 -21.80 -11.30 37.29 1.00 rw[92] -17.10 3.25 -16.97 -22.53 -12.15 38.07 1.00 rw[93] -17.12 3.23 -17.01 -22.03 -11.64 37.41 1.00 rw[94] -17.08 3.23 -16.86 -22.07 -11.64 37.05 1.00 rw[95] -17.02 3.20 -16.79 -22.29 -11.85 37.23 1.01 rw[96] -16.99 3.22 -16.84 -22.20 -12.01 37.97 1.01 rw[97] -16.93 3.22 -16.83 -22.18 -11.78 37.05 1.01 rw[98] -16.88 3.20 -16.74 -21.79 -11.41 36.84 1.01 rw[99] -16.82 3.15 -16.75 -21.88 -11.82 37.05 1.01 rw[100] -16.80 3.15 -16.74 -21.76 -11.74 35.73 1.01 rw[101] -16.76 3.15 -16.61 -21.65 -11.43 35.49 1.01 rw[102] -16.68 3.13 -16.71 -21.44 -11.26 35.06 1.01 rw[103] -16.59 3.14 -16.47 -21.67 -11.36 34.68 1.01 rw[104] -16.56 3.12 -16.39 -21.55 -11.28 34.23 1.00 rw[105] -16.51 3.10 -16.30 -21.52 -11.49 34.55 1.00 rw[106] -16.51 3.10 -16.32 -21.34 -11.31 34.31 1.01 rw[107] -16.51 3.07 -16.38 -22.13 -11.98 35.11 1.01 rw[108] -16.53 3.04 -16.46 -21.72 -11.67 35.51 1.01 rw[109] -16.56 3.04 -16.38 -21.53 -11.80 33.53 1.01 rw[110] -16.54 3.01 -16.44 -21.17 -11.32 33.64 1.01 rw[111] -16.60 3.02 -16.53 -21.56 -11.85 33.10 1.01 rw[112] -16.68 3.02 -16.49 -22.00 -12.05 34.35 1.01 rw[113] -16.73 3.01 -16.53 -21.34 -11.57 35.43 1.02 rw[114] -16.85 2.99 -16.71 -21.88 -11.92 36.53 1.02 rw[115] -16.97 3.01 -16.82 -21.98 -12.10 37.49 1.02 rw[116] -17.06 3.02 -16.94 -22.13 -12.07 38.36 1.02 rw[117] -17.15 3.06 -17.14 -22.55 -12.64 40.49 1.03 rw[118] -17.27 3.00 -17.19 -22.24 -12.39 39.27 1.03 rw[119] -17.40 3.06 -17.25 -22.64 -12.64 39.72 1.03 rw[120] -17.49 3.03 -17.39 -22.50 -12.76 39.57 1.03 rw[121] -17.60 2.96 -17.45 -22.49 -12.72 38.30 1.04 rw[122] -17.65 2.93 -17.52 -22.96 -13.26 38.46 1.04 rw[123] -17.72 2.98 -17.54 -22.27 -12.28 41.54 1.04 rw[124] -17.73 2.95 -17.56 -22.49 -12.81 39.31 1.04 rw[125] -17.72 2.98 -17.53 -22.75 -12.80 39.87 1.04 rw[126] -17.71 2.97 -17.58 -22.47 -12.69 40.42 1.04 rw[127] -17.58 2.97 -17.40 -21.75 -11.98 39.42 1.04 rw[128] -17.53 2.93 -17.35 -22.67 -13.14 38.05 1.04 rw[129] -17.40 2.95 -17.22 -22.22 -12.70 36.47 1.04 rw[130] -17.30 2.97 -17.05 -22.20 -12.73 36.86 1.04 rw[131] -17.12 2.97 -16.88 -21.42 -11.92 35.22 1.04 rw[132] -16.93 2.99 -16.73 -21.75 -12.39 35.97 1.03 rw[133] -16.69 2.95 -16.51 -21.00 -11.69 34.64 1.03 rw[134] -16.48 2.90 -16.24 -20.98 -11.78 34.60 1.03 rw[135] -16.30 2.92 -16.15 -21.07 -11.81 33.77 1.03 rw[136] -16.07 2.92 -15.96 -20.99 -11.65 33.95 1.03 rw[137] -15.86 2.90 -15.79 -20.49 -11.02 34.36 1.03 rw[138] -15.56 2.97 -15.44 -20.28 -10.73 32.86 1.02 rw[139] -15.29 2.99 -15.17 -19.86 -10.19 32.26 1.02 rw[140] -15.09 2.98 -14.92 -19.99 -10.20 31.47 1.02 rw[141] -14.99 2.98 -14.71 -19.59 -9.84 32.45 1.02 rw[142] -14.94 2.93 -14.61 -19.97 -10.26 32.46 1.01 rw[143] -14.91 2.99 -14.72 -20.32 -10.52 32.76 1.02 rw[144] -14.89 2.98 -14.81 -19.59 -9.82 31.68 1.02 rw[145] -14.97 2.94 -14.87 -19.77 -10.08 31.67 1.02 rw[146] -15.04 2.96 -14.87 -19.74 -10.07 32.27 1.02 rw[147] -15.05 2.91 -14.93 -19.93 -10.43 33.14 1.02 rw[148] -15.09 2.89 -14.99 -19.94 -10.63 33.23 1.01 rw[149] -15.16 2.86 -15.00 -19.84 -10.49 33.32 1.01 rw[150] -15.22 2.88 -15.08 -19.92 -10.51 31.83 1.01 rw[151] -15.22 2.89 -15.01 -19.61 -10.21 31.31 1.02 rw[152] -15.27 2.86 -15.16 -19.93 -10.80 31.35 1.02 rw[153] -15.28 2.80 -15.27 -19.98 -10.73 30.65 1.02 rw[154] -15.30 2.73 -15.22 -20.12 -11.21 31.80 1.02 rw[155] -15.29 2.78 -15.12 -19.68 -10.61 32.33 1.02 rw[156] -15.30 2.82 -15.14 -19.65 -10.59 33.28 1.02 rw[157] -15.28 2.85 -14.99 -20.39 -11.04 33.25 1.02 rw[158] -15.26 2.80 -15.05 -20.13 -10.93 30.94 1.02 rw[159] -15.18 2.84 -14.99 -20.03 -10.75 32.19 1.02 rw[160] -15.18 2.88 -14.92 -20.58 -11.24 31.98 1.02 rw[161] -15.15 2.94 -14.98 -20.03 -10.38 31.40 1.02 rw[162] -15.16 2.93 -14.90 -20.02 -10.47 30.88 1.02 rw[163] -15.04 2.93 -14.80 -20.10 -10.53 31.72 1.02 rw[164] -14.91 2.97 -14.66 -19.52 -9.89 31.61 1.02 rw[165] -14.73 2.96 -14.55 -19.60 -9.98 32.30 1.02 rw[166] -14.60 2.97 -14.37 -19.55 -9.83 31.84 1.02 rw[167] -14.48 2.99 -14.27 -19.57 -10.00 32.56 1.02 rw[168] -14.25 2.97 -14.00 -19.04 -9.40 33.09 1.02 rw[169] -14.08 2.96 -13.86 -18.84 -9.39 32.24 1.02 rw[170] -13.92 3.01 -13.72 -18.82 -9.03 32.18 1.02 rw[171] -13.82 3.00 -13.63 -18.26 -8.61 32.32 1.01 rw[172] -13.68 3.01 -13.53 -18.49 -8.76 32.92 1.02 rw[173] -13.60 2.99 -13.50 -18.40 -8.87 33.48 1.01 rw[174] -13.53 2.99 -13.26 -18.04 -8.38 33.30 1.02 rw[175] -13.59 2.97 -13.49 -18.83 -8.94 33.70 1.02 rw[176] -13.62 2.99 -13.42 -18.40 -8.90 33.29 1.02 rw[177] -13.65 2.97 -13.34 -18.16 -8.75 33.09 1.02 rw[178] -13.77 2.99 -13.56 -18.03 -8.48 34.15 1.02 rw[179] -13.88 2.98 -13.69 -18.96 -9.32 32.57 1.01 rw[180] -14.05 2.96 -13.92 -18.96 -9.49 34.49 1.01 rw[181] -14.21 2.97 -13.99 -19.25 -9.56 34.23 1.02 rw[182] -14.31 2.95 -14.04 -19.13 -9.83 34.17 1.02 rw[183] -14.48 2.91 -14.20 -19.04 -9.74 33.76 1.02 rw[184] -14.57 2.96 -14.38 -19.52 -9.86 32.80 1.02 rw[185] -14.71 2.94 -14.51 -19.32 -9.72 33.35 1.02 rw[186] -14.81 2.89 -14.68 -19.31 -10.05 33.38 1.02 rw[187] -14.88 2.90 -14.74 -19.73 -10.45 33.36 1.02 rw[188] -14.94 2.85 -14.70 -19.73 -10.50 32.51 1.02 rw[189] -15.00 2.81 -14.79 -19.55 -10.53 32.50 1.02 rw[190] -15.02 2.83 -14.91 -19.97 -10.61 32.20 1.02 rw[191] -14.96 2.81 -14.78 -19.71 -10.59 33.21 1.02 rw[192] -14.94 2.84 -14.76 -19.61 -10.36 32.58 1.02 rw[193] -14.86 2.82 -14.56 -19.68 -10.59 32.71 1.02 rw[194] -14.85 2.79 -14.58 -19.28 -10.39 32.92 1.02 rw[195] -14.86 2.84 -14.61 -19.67 -10.52 33.96 1.02 rw[196] -14.77 2.85 -14.58 -19.83 -10.53 33.33 1.02 rw[197] -14.71 2.83 -14.52 -19.47 -9.99 34.73 1.02 rw[198] -14.65 2.82 -14.49 -19.31 -10.12 34.19 1.03 rw[199] -14.51 2.85 -14.35 -19.51 -10.07 33.60 1.02 rw[200] -14.37 2.82 -14.18 -18.98 -9.68 32.42 1.02 rw[201] -14.32 2.83 -14.16 -19.14 -9.93 32.24 1.02 rw[202] -14.21 2.80 -14.14 -18.54 -9.34 33.05 1.02 rw[203] -14.09 2.78 -13.95 -18.82 -9.69 33.22 1.02 rw[204] -13.98 2.77 -13.85 -18.55 -9.56 33.52 1.02 rw[205] -13.93 2.80 -13.74 -18.95 -9.66 33.58 1.02 rw[206] -13.85 2.78 -13.76 -18.30 -9.22 32.79 1.02 rw[207] -13.70 2.82 -13.52 -18.22 -8.97 32.14 1.02 rw[208] -13.60 2.83 -13.40 -18.04 -8.89 32.98 1.02 rw[209] -13.50 2.84 -13.22 -17.98 -8.98 30.75 1.02 rw[210] -13.43 2.82 -13.23 -18.52 -9.45 30.39 1.02 rw[211] -13.32 2.81 -13.06 -18.08 -9.09 30.28 1.02 rw[212] -13.25 2.86 -12.99 -18.37 -8.97 30.71 1.02 rw[213] -13.20 2.86 -13.04 -18.46 -8.88 31.15 1.02 rw[214] -13.15 2.86 -13.00 -17.64 -8.39 31.19 1.02 rw[215] -13.05 2.90 -13.06 -17.81 -8.45 31.83 1.02 rw[216] -12.98 2.90 -12.81 -17.71 -8.38 31.54 1.01 rw[217] -12.93 2.91 -12.77 -17.86 -8.45 30.65 1.02 rw[218] -12.85 2.88 -12.75 -17.74 -8.25 29.87 1.02 rw[219] -12.82 2.86 -12.55 -17.57 -8.42 29.65 1.02 rw[220] -12.89 2.86 -12.67 -17.56 -8.41 30.16 1.02 rw[221] -12.92 2.88 -12.59 -17.73 -8.54 30.49 1.02 rw[222] -12.95 2.88 -12.69 -17.74 -8.44 31.15 1.02 rw[223] -12.97 2.90 -12.67 -18.00 -8.72 31.02 1.02 rw[224] -13.09 2.89 -12.83 -17.79 -8.50 30.85 1.03 rw[225] -13.15 2.94 -12.89 -18.25 -8.83 31.53 1.03 rw[226] -13.20 2.92 -12.90 -18.26 -8.85 32.10 1.02 rw[227] -13.22 2.85 -12.98 -18.46 -9.11 32.15 1.03 rw[228] -13.26 2.83 -12.95 -17.82 -8.78 32.69 1.02 rw[229] -13.36 2.80 -13.02 -18.03 -9.08 31.93 1.03 rw[230] -13.38 2.81 -13.10 -17.95 -9.10 32.44 1.03 rw[231] -13.35 2.81 -13.06 -18.06 -8.95 32.30 1.03 rw[232] -13.29 2.81 -13.04 -17.88 -8.60 32.46 1.03 rw[233] -13.23 2.78 -13.04 -17.63 -8.75 32.93 1.02 rw[234] -13.13 2.81 -12.91 -18.11 -9.02 32.56 1.03 rw[235] -13.00 2.79 -12.74 -17.89 -8.84 33.27 1.02 rw[236] -12.81 2.80 -12.65 -17.37 -8.36 32.56 1.02 rw[237] -12.63 2.82 -12.52 -17.36 -8.16 32.26 1.02 rw[238] -12.44 2.86 -12.24 -17.15 -7.97 30.24 1.03 rw[239] -12.30 2.85 -12.08 -17.11 -8.02 31.18 1.02 rw[240] -12.10 2.87 -11.83 -17.05 -7.88 30.41 1.02 rw[241] -11.97 2.84 -11.69 -16.42 -7.28 30.33 1.02 rw[242] -11.85 2.86 -11.61 -17.03 -7.77 30.72 1.02 rw[243] -11.74 2.89 -11.60 -16.65 -7.24 30.99 1.02 rw[244] -11.63 2.89 -11.38 -16.50 -7.22 31.50 1.01 rw[245] -11.57 2.91 -11.34 -16.38 -6.98 32.21 1.02 rw[246] -11.57 2.87 -11.33 -16.54 -7.31 32.33 1.01 rw[247] -11.62 2.85 -11.49 -16.18 -6.93 30.99 1.02 rw[248] -11.70 2.85 -11.58 -16.01 -6.57 31.21 1.02 rw[249] -11.83 2.85 -11.58 -16.71 -7.40 31.15 1.02 rw[250] -12.07 2.86 -11.89 -17.00 -7.79 31.22 1.02 rw[251] -12.26 2.85 -12.14 -17.01 -7.97 30.92 1.02 rw[252] -12.50 2.81 -12.32 -16.97 -7.91 29.94 1.02 rw[253] -12.78 2.82 -12.50 -17.20 -8.00 28.42 1.02 rw[254] -13.07 2.70 -12.81 -17.80 -9.10 27.13 1.02 rw[255] -13.42 2.53 -13.21 -17.42 -9.23 25.08 1.03 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1446.76 1.00 Number of divergences: 0