mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.82 1.18 0.49 0.00 1.92 1328.01 1.00 E0 63.54 60.46 44.68 0.18 144.69 52.60 1.03 H0 1.90 2.03 1.29 0.00 4.40 1568.04 1.00 I0 36.51 24.28 30.44 6.08 69.81 41.15 1.04 beta0 2.93 0.83 2.76 1.73 4.26 12.31 1.10 confirmed_dispersion 0.44 0.05 0.43 0.35 0.52 1303.40 1.00 death_dispersion 0.32 0.02 0.32 0.28 0.35 1330.07 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 1005.20 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.07 723.48 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.41 1426.41 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 1309.46 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1288.78 1.00 rw[0] 0.03 1.01 -0.00 -1.61 1.66 96.09 1.01 rw[1] 0.12 1.44 0.12 -2.04 2.74 46.84 1.03 rw[2] 0.31 1.75 0.36 -2.41 3.35 32.35 1.04 rw[3] 0.56 2.04 0.61 -2.54 4.16 25.57 1.06 rw[4] 0.76 2.25 0.81 -2.96 4.50 21.10 1.07 rw[5] 0.89 2.48 0.88 -3.49 4.78 16.60 1.08 rw[6] 1.00 2.66 1.10 -3.33 5.53 15.05 1.09 rw[7] 0.94 2.82 1.02 -4.00 5.29 13.63 1.09 rw[8] 0.62 2.92 0.64 -4.44 5.00 13.30 1.09 rw[9] 0.14 2.98 0.23 -4.65 4.98 13.05 1.10 rw[10] -0.52 3.05 -0.38 -5.64 4.30 12.30 1.10 rw[11] -1.30 3.10 -1.11 -6.09 4.36 12.48 1.10 rw[12] -2.15 3.07 -1.96 -7.52 2.63 12.32 1.10 rw[13] -3.08 3.08 -2.94 -8.04 2.08 11.94 1.10 rw[14] -3.97 3.12 -3.80 -9.50 1.01 11.78 1.10 rw[15] -4.84 3.09 -4.73 -10.30 -0.22 11.64 1.10 rw[16] -5.80 3.09 -5.68 -10.82 -0.64 12.18 1.10 rw[17] -6.79 3.06 -6.74 -11.57 -1.60 11.68 1.11 rw[18] -7.82 3.07 -7.78 -12.97 -2.93 11.92 1.10 rw[19] -8.88 3.00 -8.77 -14.06 -4.11 12.25 1.10 rw[20] -10.05 2.98 -9.98 -15.07 -5.30 12.37 1.10 rw[21] -11.29 3.04 -11.24 -15.92 -5.86 12.01 1.11 rw[22] -12.52 3.01 -12.49 -17.71 -7.70 11.86 1.11 rw[23] -13.77 3.06 -13.67 -19.32 -9.20 12.22 1.10 rw[24] -15.03 3.03 -14.89 -19.97 -10.20 12.41 1.11 rw[25] -16.27 3.05 -16.14 -21.31 -11.36 12.21 1.11 rw[26] -17.43 3.08 -17.25 -22.75 -12.56 11.98 1.11 rw[27] -18.56 3.12 -18.37 -23.87 -13.66 13.18 1.10 rw[28] -19.60 3.13 -19.38 -24.69 -14.27 13.06 1.10 rw[29] -20.53 3.16 -20.32 -26.39 -15.88 13.46 1.09 rw[30] -21.37 3.15 -21.23 -27.16 -16.69 14.11 1.08 rw[31] -22.15 3.21 -22.01 -27.66 -16.87 14.64 1.07 rw[32] -22.83 3.24 -22.73 -28.82 -17.98 15.33 1.07 rw[33] -23.44 3.21 -23.32 -28.73 -18.38 15.97 1.06 rw[34] -23.94 3.26 -23.85 -29.21 -18.42 16.36 1.06 rw[35] -24.32 3.30 -24.18 -29.24 -18.52 16.22 1.06 rw[36] -24.66 3.34 -24.62 -30.00 -19.16 17.87 1.05 rw[37] -24.90 3.28 -24.79 -29.92 -19.19 16.86 1.05 rw[38] -25.05 3.30 -24.93 -30.01 -19.39 16.56 1.05 rw[39] -25.10 3.31 -25.11 -30.31 -19.64 16.52 1.05 rw[40] -25.13 3.30 -25.09 -30.31 -19.71 15.34 1.05 rw[41] -25.14 3.32 -25.10 -30.14 -19.33 15.31 1.06 rw[42] -25.05 3.28 -25.02 -30.01 -19.52 15.79 1.06 rw[43] -24.94 3.30 -24.75 -29.97 -19.55 15.40 1.06 rw[44] -24.77 3.31 -24.61 -29.93 -19.45 16.44 1.06 rw[45] -24.62 3.29 -24.50 -29.82 -19.15 15.77 1.07 rw[46] -24.40 3.27 -24.26 -29.86 -19.33 15.99 1.06 rw[47] -24.14 3.31 -24.00 -29.62 -18.78 14.35 1.08 rw[48] -23.89 3.33 -23.74 -30.03 -19.24 15.15 1.08 rw[49] -23.60 3.34 -23.45 -29.36 -18.42 16.02 1.08 rw[50] -23.35 3.30 -23.12 -28.70 -17.98 16.10 1.08 rw[51] -23.11 3.28 -22.87 -28.26 -17.52 15.78 1.07 rw[52] -22.84 3.30 -22.73 -28.54 -17.61 15.26 1.08 rw[53] -22.60 3.29 -22.32 -27.70 -16.89 15.00 1.07 rw[54] -22.33 3.31 -22.13 -27.56 -16.79 14.50 1.08 rw[55] -22.11 3.33 -22.00 -27.28 -16.48 13.82 1.09 rw[56] -21.84 3.28 -21.72 -27.04 -16.42 13.57 1.08 rw[57] -21.63 3.30 -21.49 -27.21 -16.44 13.38 1.09 rw[58] -21.41 3.20 -21.41 -26.77 -16.22 13.46 1.09 rw[59] -21.20 3.19 -21.15 -25.99 -15.75 13.06 1.09 rw[60] -21.01 3.14 -21.00 -25.89 -15.69 13.06 1.10 rw[61] -20.78 3.16 -20.74 -25.66 -15.42 13.35 1.09 rw[62] -20.59 3.12 -20.48 -25.61 -15.31 12.85 1.10 rw[63] -20.42 3.13 -20.38 -25.87 -15.44 12.58 1.10 rw[64] -20.18 3.18 -20.15 -25.37 -15.03 12.42 1.10 rw[65] -20.01 3.18 -19.99 -25.42 -14.84 12.76 1.10 rw[66] -19.88 3.18 -19.79 -25.30 -14.80 12.75 1.11 rw[67] -19.67 3.15 -19.52 -24.92 -14.51 13.27 1.10 rw[68] -19.47 3.14 -19.39 -24.43 -14.20 13.69 1.10 rw[69] -19.32 3.16 -19.17 -24.86 -14.51 13.51 1.11 rw[70] -19.14 3.16 -19.02 -24.16 -13.89 13.40 1.12 rw[71] -19.07 3.22 -18.94 -24.01 -13.49 13.00 1.12 rw[72] -18.95 3.24 -18.74 -24.66 -13.92 12.91 1.12 rw[73] -18.87 3.26 -18.65 -24.45 -13.75 12.76 1.12 rw[74] -18.77 3.23 -18.52 -23.93 -13.24 12.78 1.12 rw[75] -18.72 3.28 -18.57 -24.07 -13.56 12.63 1.11 rw[76] -18.61 3.31 -18.53 -23.77 -13.22 12.57 1.11 rw[77] -18.55 3.24 -18.38 -23.81 -13.33 13.10 1.12 rw[78] -18.48 3.24 -18.35 -23.85 -13.18 13.34 1.11 rw[79] -18.42 3.25 -18.19 -23.87 -13.25 14.01 1.10 rw[80] -18.44 3.28 -18.23 -23.47 -12.85 13.66 1.10 rw[81] -18.37 3.22 -18.33 -23.54 -13.10 13.77 1.10 rw[82] -18.31 3.25 -18.17 -23.89 -13.22 13.43 1.10 rw[83] -18.26 3.25 -18.22 -23.75 -13.18 13.24 1.09 rw[84] -18.21 3.20 -18.18 -23.19 -12.71 14.29 1.08 rw[85] -18.17 3.23 -18.03 -23.63 -13.26 13.84 1.08 rw[86] -18.17 3.24 -18.03 -23.97 -13.39 14.70 1.08 rw[87] -18.14 3.23 -18.06 -23.75 -13.33 14.67 1.08 rw[88] -18.07 3.21 -18.01 -23.54 -13.14 13.70 1.07 rw[89] -18.04 3.20 -18.03 -23.55 -13.24 13.87 1.07 rw[90] -18.04 3.23 -18.03 -23.82 -13.31 13.92 1.07 rw[91] -18.02 3.22 -17.92 -23.64 -13.10 13.68 1.07 rw[92] -17.99 3.20 -17.96 -23.74 -13.02 13.20 1.08 rw[93] -18.02 3.18 -18.00 -23.48 -12.95 14.02 1.07 rw[94] -17.93 3.15 -17.85 -23.53 -13.16 13.97 1.06 rw[95] -17.88 3.20 -17.75 -22.76 -12.10 13.62 1.07 rw[96] -17.82 3.18 -17.68 -23.67 -13.13 13.33 1.07 rw[97] -17.75 3.20 -17.66 -23.14 -12.48 13.76 1.07 rw[98] -17.63 3.19 -17.46 -22.82 -12.05 14.23 1.07 rw[99] -17.57 3.21 -17.49 -22.38 -11.69 15.14 1.07 rw[100] -17.43 3.22 -17.29 -22.71 -12.08 14.13 1.08 rw[101] -17.37 3.16 -17.21 -22.47 -12.18 14.77 1.08 rw[102] -17.22 3.22 -17.16 -22.30 -11.87 15.15 1.07 rw[103] -17.13 3.24 -17.00 -22.69 -12.18 15.37 1.06 rw[104] -17.05 3.27 -16.82 -22.76 -11.98 15.32 1.06 rw[105] -16.94 3.25 -16.71 -22.40 -11.76 15.21 1.07 rw[106] -16.80 3.24 -16.64 -22.13 -11.56 14.83 1.07 rw[107] -16.69 3.17 -16.57 -21.92 -11.56 15.38 1.07 rw[108] -16.68 3.19 -16.54 -21.81 -11.20 14.88 1.07 rw[109] -16.61 3.15 -16.55 -21.69 -11.44 14.92 1.08 rw[110] -16.55 3.14 -16.37 -22.26 -11.77 14.81 1.07 rw[111] -16.46 3.12 -16.30 -21.77 -11.34 13.83 1.08 rw[112] -16.48 3.19 -16.26 -21.58 -10.91 14.27 1.08 rw[113] -16.50 3.18 -16.36 -21.48 -11.00 15.00 1.08 rw[114] -16.51 3.13 -16.38 -21.12 -10.88 14.64 1.09 rw[115] -16.54 3.14 -16.44 -21.72 -11.50 14.69 1.09 rw[116] -16.57 3.12 -16.52 -22.24 -12.05 14.42 1.09 rw[117] -16.60 3.13 -16.51 -22.16 -12.00 13.76 1.09 rw[118] -16.71 3.13 -16.74 -21.49 -11.19 13.88 1.10 rw[119] -16.79 3.14 -16.86 -22.01 -11.66 13.79 1.10 rw[120] -16.86 3.15 -16.89 -21.87 -11.33 13.79 1.10 rw[121] -17.00 3.17 -17.01 -22.83 -12.16 14.02 1.09 rw[122] -17.08 3.13 -17.00 -22.25 -11.79 13.62 1.09 rw[123] -17.17 3.14 -17.05 -21.98 -11.55 13.51 1.10 rw[124] -17.17 3.14 -17.08 -22.58 -12.14 12.70 1.12 rw[125] -17.21 3.17 -17.10 -22.39 -11.95 12.80 1.11 rw[126] -17.25 3.18 -17.28 -22.22 -11.64 13.02 1.11 rw[127] -17.35 3.22 -17.34 -22.56 -11.78 12.48 1.12 rw[128] -17.42 3.25 -17.43 -22.70 -12.14 11.89 1.12 rw[129] -17.48 3.22 -17.31 -22.61 -12.00 12.52 1.12 rw[130] -17.53 3.25 -17.38 -23.02 -12.69 12.16 1.11 rw[131] -17.55 3.25 -17.36 -23.05 -12.34 12.00 1.11 rw[132] -17.56 3.22 -17.35 -23.05 -12.52 13.16 1.10 rw[133] -17.61 3.27 -17.40 -23.20 -12.47 12.75 1.10 rw[134] -17.67 3.22 -17.58 -22.85 -12.57 12.49 1.11 rw[135] -17.69 3.20 -17.64 -22.86 -12.31 13.01 1.10 rw[136] -17.76 3.18 -17.60 -22.99 -12.66 12.61 1.10 rw[137] -17.79 3.14 -17.65 -22.56 -12.27 12.83 1.09 rw[138] -17.74 3.11 -17.61 -22.82 -12.85 13.06 1.09 rw[139] -17.69 3.15 -17.49 -22.79 -12.61 12.47 1.09 rw[140] -17.63 3.16 -17.53 -22.95 -12.90 12.80 1.08 rw[141] -17.56 3.12 -17.35 -22.67 -12.81 12.70 1.07 rw[142] -17.47 3.07 -17.35 -22.93 -13.00 12.97 1.08 rw[143] -17.43 3.08 -17.37 -22.31 -12.38 12.63 1.09 rw[144] -17.34 3.04 -17.39 -21.69 -11.77 13.06 1.09 rw[145] -17.19 3.09 -17.10 -22.00 -12.15 13.33 1.09 rw[146] -17.14 3.05 -17.05 -22.52 -12.64 13.43 1.09 rw[147] -17.02 3.01 -16.84 -22.01 -12.27 14.95 1.08 rw[148] -16.90 3.07 -16.86 -21.48 -11.45 15.16 1.07 rw[149] -16.84 3.05 -16.74 -22.46 -12.34 15.65 1.07 rw[150] -16.77 3.07 -16.58 -22.25 -12.02 15.24 1.07 rw[151] -16.64 3.03 -16.52 -21.32 -11.43 14.91 1.07 rw[152] -16.55 3.08 -16.47 -21.51 -11.52 14.73 1.08 rw[153] -16.50 3.07 -16.34 -21.49 -11.55 13.50 1.09 rw[154] -16.37 3.06 -16.32 -21.58 -11.43 12.38 1.10 rw[155] -16.28 3.07 -16.23 -20.88 -10.86 12.23 1.09 rw[156] -16.17 3.07 -16.03 -21.56 -11.44 12.35 1.10 rw[157] -16.03 3.08 -15.92 -20.86 -10.94 12.86 1.09 rw[158] -15.91 3.09 -15.81 -21.54 -11.41 13.04 1.08 rw[159] -15.84 3.10 -15.75 -21.21 -10.84 12.29 1.09 rw[160] -15.77 3.15 -15.60 -21.24 -10.57 12.34 1.10 rw[161] -15.64 3.16 -15.52 -21.40 -10.84 12.60 1.10 rw[162] -15.55 3.16 -15.32 -20.70 -10.21 12.83 1.10 rw[163] -15.47 3.21 -15.39 -20.72 -10.19 12.66 1.09 rw[164] -15.36 3.20 -15.20 -20.46 -10.12 13.04 1.10 rw[165] -15.26 3.17 -15.16 -20.30 -9.94 13.17 1.10 rw[166] -15.24 3.19 -15.14 -20.64 -10.22 12.70 1.10 rw[167] -15.17 3.21 -15.03 -20.02 -9.53 12.63 1.10 rw[168] -15.15 3.20 -15.10 -20.70 -10.34 12.87 1.10 rw[169] -15.19 3.21 -15.09 -20.35 -9.89 13.99 1.09 rw[170] -15.21 3.19 -15.07 -20.20 -9.83 13.87 1.10 rw[171] -15.16 3.15 -14.95 -20.39 -10.13 13.60 1.09 rw[172] -15.19 3.15 -15.04 -20.57 -10.26 13.10 1.10 rw[173] -15.17 3.09 -14.98 -20.45 -10.51 13.25 1.10 rw[174] -15.17 3.07 -14.95 -19.86 -10.22 13.30 1.09 rw[175] -15.14 3.03 -14.97 -19.64 -9.89 13.65 1.09 rw[176] -15.15 3.06 -14.98 -20.83 -10.71 14.04 1.09 rw[177] -15.13 3.10 -14.97 -20.28 -10.21 13.86 1.08 rw[178] -15.05 3.10 -14.90 -20.47 -10.48 13.59 1.08 rw[179] -15.00 3.03 -14.82 -19.89 -10.42 13.05 1.09 rw[180] -14.84 3.06 -14.71 -19.90 -9.99 12.44 1.10 rw[181] -14.67 3.10 -14.53 -20.14 -10.20 12.81 1.09 rw[182] -14.51 3.09 -14.35 -19.68 -9.48 13.08 1.09 rw[183] -14.38 3.17 -14.20 -20.11 -9.73 13.30 1.08 rw[184] -14.23 3.20 -14.04 -19.84 -9.35 13.16 1.09 rw[185] -14.10 3.17 -13.89 -19.61 -9.41 12.90 1.09 rw[186] -14.01 3.16 -13.90 -19.51 -9.21 13.06 1.09 rw[187] -14.01 3.16 -13.93 -19.47 -9.09 13.39 1.08 rw[188] -13.98 3.13 -13.83 -19.62 -9.26 13.09 1.09 rw[189] -14.05 3.13 -13.86 -19.41 -8.98 12.28 1.09 rw[190] -14.30 3.14 -14.20 -19.55 -9.02 12.52 1.08 rw[191] -14.53 3.15 -14.53 -19.63 -9.30 12.09 1.08 rw[192] -14.84 3.11 -14.82 -19.90 -9.58 12.08 1.09 rw[193] -15.21 3.14 -15.11 -20.71 -10.31 12.60 1.09 rw[194] -15.66 3.12 -15.62 -20.73 -10.23 12.92 1.09 rw[195] -16.15 3.11 -16.06 -21.16 -10.68 12.68 1.09 rw[196] -16.54 3.08 -16.44 -21.69 -11.55 12.59 1.09 rw[197] -16.93 3.06 -16.89 -22.05 -12.11 12.52 1.11 rw[198] -17.25 3.02 -17.16 -22.12 -12.70 12.66 1.10 rw[199] -17.51 3.02 -17.36 -22.49 -12.65 12.71 1.10 rw[200] -17.68 3.04 -17.57 -22.29 -12.30 12.43 1.09 rw[201] -17.75 3.06 -17.69 -22.48 -12.47 12.40 1.10 rw[202] -17.73 3.04 -17.62 -22.42 -12.64 12.46 1.10 rw[203] -17.64 3.06 -17.55 -22.55 -12.53 13.17 1.10 rw[204] -17.50 3.08 -17.37 -22.14 -11.97 13.63 1.10 rw[205] -17.34 3.10 -17.11 -23.16 -12.72 13.94 1.10 rw[206] -17.21 3.09 -17.03 -22.74 -12.39 14.03 1.10 rw[207] -17.04 3.11 -16.85 -22.05 -11.82 13.29 1.09 rw[208] -16.89 3.07 -16.70 -22.06 -12.18 13.84 1.10 rw[209] -16.67 3.05 -16.59 -21.71 -11.70 13.27 1.10 rw[210] -16.48 3.04 -16.40 -21.62 -11.69 13.02 1.10 rw[211] -16.38 3.03 -16.28 -21.54 -11.77 13.91 1.10 rw[212] -16.24 3.01 -16.08 -21.58 -11.83 13.93 1.10 rw[213] -16.12 3.02 -16.03 -20.76 -11.05 13.62 1.09 rw[214] -15.98 3.05 -15.91 -21.06 -11.15 13.82 1.09 rw[215] -15.89 3.10 -15.79 -20.79 -10.96 13.57 1.09 rw[216] -15.79 3.11 -15.63 -20.76 -10.71 13.43 1.09 rw[217] -15.69 3.08 -15.61 -20.55 -10.50 12.87 1.08 rw[218] -15.67 3.04 -15.61 -20.73 -10.70 12.85 1.08 rw[219] -15.52 3.02 -15.42 -20.21 -10.40 13.38 1.08 rw[220] -15.46 3.05 -15.34 -20.46 -10.47 13.29 1.08 rw[221] -15.36 3.09 -15.24 -20.35 -10.39 12.96 1.08 rw[222] -15.27 3.09 -15.04 -20.43 -10.48 12.30 1.09 rw[223] -15.14 3.12 -14.95 -20.10 -10.01 12.48 1.09 rw[224] -15.06 3.11 -14.91 -19.95 -10.10 12.42 1.10 rw[225] -15.00 3.13 -15.00 -20.28 -10.21 12.88 1.09 rw[226] -14.85 3.13 -14.87 -19.90 -9.89 12.31 1.10 rw[227] -14.74 3.14 -14.61 -19.73 -9.62 12.79 1.09 rw[228] -14.64 3.15 -14.45 -19.56 -9.17 11.88 1.10 rw[229] -14.53 3.11 -14.32 -19.47 -9.30 11.63 1.10 rw[230] -14.45 3.07 -14.38 -19.17 -9.04 11.43 1.11 rw[231] -14.33 3.09 -14.21 -19.15 -8.66 12.02 1.10 rw[232] -14.29 3.10 -14.31 -19.42 -9.04 11.94 1.11 rw[233] -14.18 3.07 -14.13 -19.95 -9.57 12.41 1.10 rw[234] -14.14 3.07 -14.05 -19.22 -8.90 12.50 1.10 rw[235] -14.10 3.11 -13.92 -19.03 -8.69 13.24 1.09 rw[236] -14.09 3.11 -13.94 -19.30 -8.91 12.85 1.09 rw[237] -14.03 3.10 -13.98 -18.86 -8.66 12.71 1.09 rw[238] -14.02 3.15 -13.83 -19.73 -9.24 12.68 1.10 rw[239] -14.03 3.13 -13.93 -19.02 -8.60 12.92 1.09 rw[240] -14.02 3.11 -13.96 -19.58 -9.34 13.27 1.08 rw[241] -14.01 3.08 -13.88 -18.83 -8.77 13.48 1.09 rw[242] -13.98 3.06 -13.94 -19.51 -9.47 13.63 1.09 rw[243] -13.94 3.08 -13.84 -19.07 -9.00 13.91 1.09 rw[244] -13.87 3.07 -13.65 -18.86 -9.03 13.47 1.08 rw[245] -13.80 3.04 -13.57 -19.15 -9.20 13.60 1.09 rw[246] -13.78 3.07 -13.62 -19.23 -9.28 13.07 1.10 rw[247] -13.70 3.07 -13.54 -18.68 -8.52 13.08 1.09 rw[248] -13.70 3.02 -13.44 -18.88 -8.82 13.25 1.10 rw[249] -13.72 3.05 -13.55 -18.69 -8.65 13.29 1.10 rw[250] -13.67 3.05 -13.60 -18.65 -8.69 13.25 1.09 rw[251] -13.67 3.02 -13.49 -18.14 -8.24 12.22 1.11 rw[252] -13.68 2.96 -13.51 -18.20 -8.80 11.98 1.11 rw[253] -13.68 2.98 -13.57 -18.09 -8.47 11.41 1.11 rw[254] -13.67 2.91 -13.58 -18.31 -8.61 11.07 1.10 rw[255] -13.64 2.80 -13.50 -18.33 -9.08 10.01 1.12 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 680.61 1.00 Number of divergences: 0