mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.91 1.24 1.65 0.13 3.43 373.83 1.00 E0 2.87 3.16 1.99 0.00 6.20 68.95 1.03 H0 1.35 1.39 0.95 0.00 3.01 428.59 1.00 I0 1.14 1.29 0.76 0.00 2.53 33.78 1.03 beta0 2.63 0.65 2.56 1.70 3.58 4.78 1.23 confirmed_dispersion 0.39 0.05 0.38 0.30 0.46 332.51 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 646.27 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 278.05 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.10 225.33 1.00 det_prob0 0.29 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.39 395.12 1.01 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 275.81 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 212.21 1.00 rw[0] -0.15 0.98 -0.19 -1.65 1.51 213.77 1.05 rw[1] -0.17 1.29 -0.16 -2.22 2.04 71.78 1.07 rw[2] -0.10 1.58 -0.10 -2.73 2.51 33.89 1.09 rw[3] 0.00 1.73 0.02 -2.78 2.89 22.59 1.10 rw[4] 0.12 1.90 0.03 -2.85 3.22 15.18 1.12 rw[5] 0.23 2.08 0.12 -3.25 3.47 12.23 1.13 rw[6] 0.30 2.26 0.36 -3.16 4.04 10.33 1.15 rw[7] 0.31 2.47 0.34 -3.65 4.09 8.79 1.16 rw[8] 0.18 2.58 0.30 -3.94 4.48 8.08 1.16 rw[9] -0.05 2.67 -0.04 -4.63 3.97 7.38 1.17 rw[10] -0.40 2.74 -0.51 -5.08 3.92 6.99 1.16 rw[11] -0.98 2.80 -0.94 -5.70 3.34 6.62 1.16 rw[12] -1.68 2.88 -1.58 -6.62 2.65 6.38 1.16 rw[13] -2.44 2.91 -2.33 -7.37 1.90 6.28 1.15 rw[14] -3.35 2.92 -3.16 -8.05 1.22 6.10 1.16 rw[15] -4.29 2.90 -4.24 -8.97 0.09 6.16 1.15 rw[16] -5.30 2.88 -5.23 -9.59 -0.51 5.99 1.16 rw[17] -6.36 2.87 -6.24 -10.68 -1.73 6.09 1.17 rw[18] -7.41 2.88 -7.26 -12.09 -3.07 6.28 1.16 rw[19] -8.43 2.87 -8.36 -12.95 -4.00 6.34 1.17 rw[20] -9.45 2.80 -9.35 -13.75 -5.10 6.11 1.17 rw[21] -10.43 2.78 -10.35 -14.81 -6.17 5.99 1.17 rw[22] -11.34 2.74 -11.32 -15.75 -7.19 5.88 1.19 rw[23] -12.12 2.77 -12.01 -16.68 -8.03 5.79 1.21 rw[24] -12.79 2.77 -12.68 -17.68 -8.90 5.82 1.20 rw[25] -13.36 2.75 -13.31 -17.88 -9.18 5.63 1.22 rw[26] -13.85 2.79 -13.70 -18.31 -9.57 5.75 1.21 rw[27] -14.24 2.76 -14.15 -18.87 -10.25 5.63 1.21 rw[28] -14.58 2.76 -14.45 -19.29 -10.60 5.76 1.20 rw[29] -14.82 2.78 -14.73 -19.06 -10.11 5.91 1.18 rw[30] -14.99 2.77 -14.94 -19.34 -10.59 5.86 1.19 rw[31] -15.12 2.77 -15.09 -19.33 -10.68 6.07 1.19 rw[32] -15.24 2.81 -15.22 -20.00 -11.04 6.30 1.15 rw[33] -15.32 2.83 -15.30 -19.66 -10.60 6.42 1.15 rw[34] -15.34 2.80 -15.25 -20.16 -11.14 6.51 1.15 rw[35] -15.41 2.85 -15.32 -20.05 -11.06 6.33 1.17 rw[36] -15.48 2.87 -15.45 -19.89 -10.86 6.17 1.17 rw[37] -15.61 2.88 -15.54 -20.34 -11.08 6.28 1.16 rw[38] -15.67 2.87 -15.52 -20.49 -11.42 6.19 1.17 rw[39] -15.82 2.85 -15.63 -20.47 -11.34 6.05 1.17 rw[40] -15.96 2.89 -15.73 -20.80 -11.56 6.04 1.18 rw[41] -16.10 2.87 -16.08 -20.87 -11.73 6.13 1.18 rw[42] -16.25 2.87 -16.15 -20.52 -11.57 5.99 1.20 rw[43] -16.44 2.85 -16.55 -20.81 -12.01 5.83 1.20 rw[44] -16.64 2.87 -16.77 -21.21 -12.08 5.73 1.21 rw[45] -16.78 2.82 -16.86 -21.42 -12.55 5.81 1.21 rw[46] -16.95 2.83 -17.01 -21.14 -12.27 5.86 1.22 rw[47] -17.11 2.81 -17.12 -21.50 -12.64 5.62 1.23 rw[48] -17.24 2.83 -17.25 -21.54 -12.77 5.83 1.22 rw[49] -17.39 2.84 -17.39 -22.01 -13.06 6.04 1.21 rw[50] -17.49 2.84 -17.52 -21.88 -13.04 5.77 1.22 rw[51] -17.58 2.77 -17.70 -21.68 -12.99 5.95 1.21 rw[52] -17.66 2.76 -17.63 -21.95 -13.00 6.00 1.21 rw[53] -17.75 2.80 -17.74 -22.33 -13.29 6.15 1.21 rw[54] -17.78 2.79 -17.70 -22.46 -13.55 6.21 1.19 rw[55] -17.79 2.77 -17.75 -22.23 -13.39 6.25 1.18 rw[56] -17.78 2.82 -17.71 -22.41 -13.47 6.42 1.17 rw[57] -17.76 2.83 -17.65 -22.30 -13.44 6.36 1.16 rw[58] -17.75 2.86 -17.77 -22.20 -13.14 6.36 1.15 rw[59] -17.67 2.89 -17.52 -22.53 -13.29 6.43 1.14 rw[60] -17.65 2.88 -17.52 -22.22 -12.95 6.46 1.14 rw[61] -17.65 2.89 -17.54 -22.39 -13.41 6.28 1.15 rw[62] -17.66 2.91 -17.55 -22.05 -13.02 6.31 1.16 rw[63] -17.69 2.89 -17.55 -22.00 -12.81 6.43 1.15 rw[64] -17.77 2.92 -17.66 -22.47 -13.17 6.71 1.15 rw[65] -17.85 2.97 -17.74 -22.60 -13.26 6.63 1.15 rw[66] -17.89 2.96 -17.63 -22.31 -12.87 6.57 1.16 rw[67] -17.97 2.91 -18.00 -22.61 -13.25 6.54 1.16 rw[68] -18.05 2.93 -17.94 -22.60 -13.15 6.51 1.16 rw[69] -18.12 2.88 -18.00 -22.88 -13.69 6.48 1.16 rw[70] -18.26 2.90 -18.24 -22.92 -13.86 6.56 1.16 rw[71] -18.38 2.89 -18.31 -23.12 -13.97 6.31 1.17 rw[72] -18.49 2.86 -18.35 -22.95 -13.95 6.30 1.18 rw[73] -18.61 2.88 -18.64 -23.00 -13.92 6.30 1.18 rw[74] -18.76 2.87 -18.73 -23.20 -14.00 6.18 1.18 rw[75] -18.87 2.88 -18.87 -23.40 -14.27 6.06 1.19 rw[76] -18.95 2.87 -18.83 -23.27 -14.30 6.02 1.19 rw[77] -19.03 2.86 -18.86 -23.47 -14.50 5.88 1.18 rw[78] -19.06 2.81 -18.85 -23.64 -14.76 6.03 1.17 rw[79] -19.09 2.81 -18.94 -23.31 -14.50 5.87 1.16 rw[80] -19.12 2.77 -18.90 -23.46 -14.89 5.74 1.17 rw[81] -19.14 2.79 -19.04 -23.34 -14.66 5.67 1.17 rw[82] -19.14 2.80 -18.92 -23.72 -14.96 5.90 1.17 rw[83] -19.12 2.84 -18.94 -23.89 -14.88 6.11 1.16 rw[84] -19.11 2.78 -19.05 -23.77 -14.84 6.13 1.16 rw[85] -19.03 2.79 -18.87 -23.46 -14.75 6.32 1.16 rw[86] -18.96 2.77 -18.80 -23.39 -14.59 6.39 1.17 rw[87] -18.85 2.80 -18.78 -23.19 -14.19 6.51 1.17 rw[88] -18.74 2.85 -18.74 -23.48 -14.40 6.79 1.18 rw[89] -18.57 2.89 -18.72 -23.05 -13.84 7.21 1.18 rw[90] -18.41 2.91 -18.46 -22.58 -13.38 7.38 1.17 rw[91] -18.23 2.91 -18.25 -23.24 -13.88 7.40 1.18 rw[92] -18.01 2.93 -18.09 -22.70 -13.29 7.27 1.18 rw[93] -17.80 2.91 -17.80 -22.10 -12.73 7.25 1.18 rw[94] -17.60 2.91 -17.54 -22.50 -13.17 7.07 1.17 rw[95] -17.35 2.94 -17.30 -21.96 -12.65 6.86 1.17 rw[96] -17.09 2.91 -17.05 -21.85 -12.72 6.61 1.18 rw[97] -16.92 2.90 -16.89 -21.17 -11.78 6.49 1.18 rw[98] -16.64 2.89 -16.56 -21.02 -11.91 6.31 1.18 rw[99] -16.40 2.88 -16.38 -21.25 -11.98 6.25 1.18 rw[100] -16.18 2.89 -16.14 -21.23 -11.90 6.16 1.18 rw[101] -15.90 2.89 -15.93 -20.67 -11.61 6.13 1.18 rw[102] -15.61 2.87 -15.58 -19.81 -10.78 6.19 1.16 rw[103] -15.36 2.82 -15.26 -19.83 -11.05 6.11 1.16 rw[104] -15.07 2.80 -14.84 -19.51 -10.65 5.82 1.18 rw[105] -14.82 2.85 -14.74 -19.52 -10.48 5.89 1.18 rw[106] -14.67 2.83 -14.55 -19.20 -10.26 6.14 1.17 rw[107] -14.50 2.79 -14.47 -19.03 -10.17 6.08 1.18 rw[108] -14.37 2.80 -14.34 -18.87 -10.08 5.93 1.18 rw[109] -14.28 2.75 -14.18 -18.39 -9.75 6.00 1.18 rw[110] -14.21 2.81 -14.14 -18.61 -9.84 5.96 1.19 rw[111] -14.19 2.80 -14.22 -18.50 -9.72 6.09 1.18 rw[112] -14.22 2.79 -14.21 -18.72 -9.98 6.10 1.19 rw[113] -14.20 2.80 -14.18 -19.00 -10.11 6.04 1.18 rw[114] -14.19 2.79 -14.10 -19.37 -10.44 6.02 1.18 rw[115] -14.17 2.82 -14.13 -18.88 -9.91 6.11 1.18 rw[116] -14.16 2.79 -14.14 -18.58 -9.83 6.09 1.19 rw[117] -14.10 2.78 -14.05 -18.39 -9.62 6.11 1.19 rw[118] -14.12 2.75 -13.97 -18.14 -9.52 6.06 1.18 rw[119] -14.10 2.75 -14.06 -18.40 -9.72 6.17 1.18 rw[120] -14.11 2.79 -14.07 -19.03 -10.05 6.29 1.17 rw[121] -14.11 2.79 -14.07 -18.60 -9.75 6.39 1.18 rw[122] -14.18 2.77 -14.13 -18.79 -9.94 6.27 1.18 rw[123] -14.14 2.80 -14.15 -18.53 -9.69 6.21 1.19 rw[124] -14.17 2.79 -14.13 -18.15 -9.26 6.04 1.19 rw[125] -14.19 2.79 -14.13 -18.58 -9.74 5.99 1.19 rw[126] -14.19 2.78 -14.20 -18.98 -10.14 6.13 1.19 rw[127] -14.25 2.80 -14.25 -18.58 -9.49 6.03 1.19 rw[128] -14.35 2.79 -14.24 -18.88 -10.08 5.86 1.20 rw[129] -14.49 2.76 -14.51 -18.95 -10.22 5.82 1.19 rw[130] -14.62 2.73 -14.47 -18.93 -10.49 5.62 1.20 rw[131] -14.80 2.74 -14.69 -19.31 -10.66 5.74 1.19 rw[132] -14.99 2.78 -14.85 -19.14 -10.43 5.91 1.18 rw[133] -15.24 2.79 -15.05 -19.73 -10.97 6.03 1.17 rw[134] -15.53 2.79 -15.37 -19.84 -10.88 5.84 1.18 rw[135] -15.79 2.80 -15.51 -20.21 -11.29 5.85 1.18 rw[136] -16.06 2.78 -15.91 -20.09 -11.46 5.91 1.17 rw[137] -16.29 2.82 -16.15 -20.78 -11.93 5.92 1.17 rw[138] -16.58 2.86 -16.43 -21.10 -12.11 5.94 1.17 rw[139] -16.77 2.85 -16.71 -21.87 -12.74 5.92 1.18 rw[140] -16.93 2.84 -16.83 -21.59 -12.60 5.87 1.18 rw[141] -17.09 2.86 -16.91 -21.62 -12.55 5.85 1.18 rw[142] -17.20 2.84 -17.00 -21.48 -12.47 5.96 1.18 rw[143] -17.25 2.84 -17.17 -22.08 -13.11 5.95 1.20 rw[144] -17.22 2.86 -17.04 -21.80 -12.79 6.01 1.20 rw[145] -17.19 2.86 -16.95 -21.65 -12.48 6.27 1.20 rw[146] -17.12 2.88 -17.01 -22.16 -12.83 6.31 1.19 rw[147] -17.02 2.85 -16.91 -21.67 -12.65 6.34 1.19 rw[148] -16.93 2.83 -16.71 -21.80 -12.79 6.19 1.19 rw[149] -16.81 2.83 -16.72 -21.30 -12.53 6.35 1.19 rw[150] -16.69 2.81 -16.68 -21.18 -12.48 6.10 1.20 rw[151] -16.57 2.79 -16.31 -20.83 -12.10 6.26 1.19 rw[152] -16.49 2.80 -16.28 -21.07 -12.32 6.22 1.19 rw[153] -16.38 2.84 -16.28 -21.08 -12.06 6.26 1.18 rw[154] -16.32 2.84 -16.19 -20.97 -11.86 6.16 1.18 rw[155] -16.29 2.87 -16.18 -20.85 -11.59 6.28 1.18 rw[156] -16.25 2.87 -16.20 -21.07 -11.90 6.17 1.17 rw[157] -16.23 2.87 -16.21 -20.95 -11.75 6.26 1.16 rw[158] -16.22 2.87 -16.15 -20.60 -11.31 6.29 1.17 rw[159] -16.27 2.91 -16.18 -21.09 -11.74 6.46 1.16 rw[160] -16.30 2.87 -16.20 -20.68 -11.74 6.35 1.17 rw[161] -16.35 2.83 -16.27 -20.88 -11.96 6.40 1.17 rw[162] -16.47 2.82 -16.33 -20.97 -12.12 6.51 1.17 rw[163] -16.50 2.81 -16.35 -21.12 -12.15 6.13 1.19 rw[164] -16.57 2.78 -16.52 -21.29 -12.58 5.97 1.19 rw[165] -16.66 2.76 -16.68 -20.82 -12.35 6.10 1.17 rw[166] -16.70 2.75 -16.63 -20.63 -12.18 5.83 1.19 rw[167] -16.77 2.75 -16.72 -21.31 -12.76 5.71 1.20 rw[168] -16.80 2.80 -16.80 -21.17 -12.46 5.69 1.21 rw[169] -16.89 2.81 -16.88 -21.61 -12.83 5.90 1.20 rw[170] -16.96 2.84 -16.93 -21.63 -12.63 5.74 1.21 rw[171] -16.96 2.84 -16.81 -21.28 -12.33 5.93 1.19 rw[172] -17.00 2.81 -16.77 -21.39 -12.51 5.82 1.20 rw[173] -17.02 2.84 -16.83 -21.54 -12.69 5.91 1.21 rw[174] -17.00 2.84 -16.75 -21.59 -12.61 6.08 1.19 rw[175] -16.98 2.83 -16.83 -21.48 -12.68 6.14 1.17 rw[176] -16.95 2.83 -16.86 -21.63 -12.70 6.10 1.17 rw[177] -16.96 2.81 -16.83 -21.27 -12.36 6.23 1.17 rw[178] -16.95 2.82 -16.86 -21.23 -12.43 6.46 1.17 rw[179] -16.95 2.80 -16.94 -21.65 -12.66 6.64 1.18 rw[180] -16.92 2.77 -16.84 -21.28 -12.59 6.53 1.19 rw[181] -16.94 2.78 -16.84 -21.62 -12.80 6.60 1.18 rw[182] -16.94 2.80 -16.96 -21.58 -12.85 6.50 1.18 rw[183] -16.95 2.80 -16.88 -21.51 -12.63 6.42 1.18 rw[184] -16.92 2.77 -16.83 -21.19 -12.44 6.20 1.18 rw[185] -16.90 2.77 -16.86 -21.42 -12.69 6.09 1.18 rw[186] -16.86 2.79 -16.82 -21.54 -12.73 6.23 1.17 rw[187] -16.76 2.80 -16.65 -21.38 -12.56 6.13 1.18 rw[188] -16.73 2.77 -16.59 -20.74 -12.04 5.96 1.19 rw[189] -16.64 2.78 -16.52 -21.29 -12.51 5.99 1.19 rw[190] -16.58 2.82 -16.49 -21.49 -12.63 5.93 1.18 rw[191] -16.52 2.80 -16.39 -20.67 -12.09 5.78 1.19 rw[192] -16.43 2.83 -16.34 -21.12 -12.19 5.69 1.20 rw[193] -16.32 2.81 -16.16 -20.72 -11.89 5.69 1.19 rw[194] -16.22 2.85 -16.09 -20.77 -11.79 5.72 1.19 rw[195] -16.14 2.87 -16.07 -20.86 -11.74 5.76 1.19 rw[196] -16.03 2.83 -15.95 -20.54 -11.60 5.86 1.18 rw[197] -15.91 2.82 -15.75 -20.37 -11.47 6.10 1.19 rw[198] -15.82 2.78 -15.72 -20.11 -11.38 5.93 1.18 rw[199] -15.72 2.78 -15.63 -20.04 -11.38 6.02 1.18 rw[200] -15.62 2.76 -15.57 -20.02 -11.38 6.24 1.16 rw[201] -15.42 2.80 -15.38 -19.63 -10.73 6.30 1.17 rw[202] -15.28 2.82 -15.27 -19.84 -10.62 6.46 1.15 rw[203] -15.13 2.84 -15.21 -19.10 -9.99 6.51 1.15 rw[204] -14.98 2.83 -15.03 -19.20 -10.45 6.45 1.16 rw[205] -14.77 2.83 -14.70 -19.35 -10.16 6.45 1.16 rw[206] -14.62 2.85 -14.51 -19.17 -10.14 6.15 1.16 rw[207] -14.50 2.80 -14.47 -18.79 -10.13 6.14 1.17 rw[208] -14.32 2.80 -14.25 -18.60 -9.84 6.18 1.18 rw[209] -14.20 2.74 -14.18 -18.67 -10.02 6.18 1.18 rw[210] -14.06 2.79 -13.92 -18.07 -9.29 6.03 1.20 rw[211] -14.00 2.80 -13.99 -18.40 -9.50 6.16 1.19 rw[212] -13.98 2.77 -13.86 -18.36 -9.48 5.99 1.22 rw[213] -13.90 2.81 -13.90 -18.34 -9.52 5.86 1.21 rw[214] -13.85 2.85 -13.82 -18.59 -9.76 5.98 1.20 rw[215] -13.84 2.78 -13.75 -18.07 -9.36 5.81 1.20 rw[216] -13.85 2.77 -13.74 -18.38 -9.52 5.85 1.20 rw[217] -13.83 2.75 -13.62 -18.60 -9.94 5.94 1.19 rw[218] -13.83 2.78 -13.66 -18.17 -9.53 5.93 1.19 rw[219] -13.90 2.79 -13.71 -18.62 -9.81 5.93 1.19 rw[220] -13.93 2.77 -13.75 -18.70 -10.06 5.89 1.19 rw[221] -13.95 2.71 -13.74 -17.97 -9.42 5.77 1.20 rw[222] -13.93 2.72 -13.74 -17.95 -9.40 5.73 1.20 rw[223] -13.97 2.71 -13.87 -18.41 -9.87 5.94 1.19 rw[224] -14.02 2.69 -13.85 -18.32 -10.03 5.91 1.19 rw[225] -14.11 2.72 -13.98 -18.52 -10.06 5.75 1.18 rw[226] -14.11 2.72 -14.04 -18.50 -9.89 5.78 1.18 rw[227] -14.10 2.67 -13.99 -18.68 -10.17 5.95 1.17 rw[228] -14.13 2.71 -14.05 -18.34 -9.88 5.87 1.18 rw[229] -14.13 2.76 -14.04 -18.54 -9.82 5.90 1.18 rw[230] -14.14 2.75 -14.18 -18.45 -9.69 6.17 1.16 rw[231] -14.04 2.76 -14.01 -18.61 -9.94 6.19 1.15 rw[232] -14.04 2.80 -14.09 -18.92 -9.82 6.15 1.16 rw[233] -14.00 2.80 -14.00 -18.51 -9.55 6.02 1.18 rw[234] -13.95 2.84 -13.89 -18.52 -9.50 5.96 1.18 rw[235] -13.85 2.81 -13.86 -18.20 -9.27 5.98 1.18 rw[236] -13.79 2.85 -13.85 -18.17 -9.11 6.21 1.19 rw[237] -13.71 2.85 -13.72 -18.13 -9.05 6.22 1.19 rw[238] -13.66 2.83 -13.66 -18.27 -9.34 6.08 1.18 rw[239] -13.59 2.83 -13.50 -18.24 -9.21 6.13 1.18 rw[240] -13.58 2.80 -13.47 -17.94 -9.06 6.10 1.18 rw[241] -13.55 2.73 -13.47 -17.77 -8.98 6.09 1.19 rw[242] -13.49 2.79 -13.39 -17.58 -8.85 5.95 1.20 rw[243] -13.48 2.80 -13.39 -17.85 -9.21 5.78 1.20 rw[244] -13.51 2.78 -13.44 -17.76 -8.95 5.84 1.20 rw[245] -13.51 2.74 -13.42 -17.95 -9.33 5.69 1.21 rw[246] -13.48 2.79 -13.53 -17.71 -8.88 5.81 1.20 rw[247] -13.44 2.76 -13.34 -17.80 -9.10 5.67 1.21 rw[248] -13.43 2.70 -13.40 -17.80 -9.26 5.61 1.20 rw[249] -13.39 2.70 -13.37 -17.46 -9.16 5.82 1.19 rw[250] -13.37 2.75 -13.30 -17.99 -9.21 6.07 1.17 rw[251] -13.40 2.74 -13.36 -17.27 -8.73 6.01 1.17 rw[252] -13.50 2.68 -13.47 -17.88 -9.63 5.78 1.19 rw[253] -13.65 2.64 -13.61 -17.86 -9.76 5.50 1.19 rw[254] -13.89 2.60 -13.85 -17.78 -9.76 5.42 1.19 rw[255] -14.15 2.54 -14.05 -18.02 -10.35 4.98 1.23 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 343.91 1.00 Number of divergences: 0