mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.81 0.93 0.50 0.00 1.99 862.50 1.00 E0 1.44 1.24 1.12 0.00 3.29 917.46 1.00 H0 0.83 0.76 0.61 0.00 1.87 1342.16 1.00 I0 2.11 1.54 1.80 0.00 4.55 950.45 1.00 beta0 0.11 0.11 0.08 0.00 0.26 390.22 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.33 0.13 0.33 0.11 0.51 733.05 1.00 death_dispersion 0.33 0.13 0.32 0.10 0.52 576.46 1.00 death_prob 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 1199.50 1.00 death_rate 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.06 1220.17 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.29 0.17 0.40 1427.14 1.00 det_prob_d 0.89 0.03 0.90 0.84 0.94 1020.63 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 1248.65 1.00 rw[0] -0.06 1.01 -0.05 -1.96 1.39 928.39 1.00 rw[1] -0.18 1.38 -0.20 -2.34 2.18 538.31 1.00 rw[2] -0.23 1.72 -0.20 -2.95 2.51 467.85 1.00 rw[3] -0.28 1.95 -0.22 -3.56 2.89 371.06 1.00 rw[4] -0.33 2.19 -0.30 -3.93 3.22 310.54 1.00 rw[5] -0.40 2.42 -0.39 -4.42 3.26 290.82 1.00 rw[6] -0.47 2.61 -0.38 -5.05 3.41 279.01 1.00 rw[7] -0.50 2.80 -0.49 -5.27 3.93 272.11 1.00 rw[8] -0.56 2.95 -0.46 -5.47 4.00 249.58 1.00 rw[9] -0.59 3.14 -0.49 -5.66 4.58 242.19 1.00 rw[10] -0.60 3.30 -0.45 -6.21 4.84 221.00 1.00 rw[11] -0.60 3.45 -0.49 -6.55 4.90 212.37 1.00 rw[12] -0.68 3.63 -0.61 -6.50 5.54 213.13 1.00 rw[13] -0.73 3.77 -0.63 -6.66 5.55 201.13 1.00 rw[14] -0.74 3.93 -0.58 -7.58 5.32 176.29 1.00 rw[15] -0.74 4.09 -0.57 -7.98 5.74 170.30 1.00 rw[16] -0.79 4.20 -0.56 -8.34 5.60 160.68 1.00 rw[17] -0.82 4.32 -0.71 -8.13 5.98 160.51 1.00 rw[18] -0.87 4.42 -0.76 -8.23 6.16 158.63 1.00 rw[19] -0.91 4.52 -0.76 -8.80 6.01 156.34 1.00 rw[20] -0.93 4.61 -0.70 -8.70 6.65 151.42 1.00 rw[21] -0.92 4.77 -0.63 -9.33 6.73 146.60 1.00 rw[22] -0.98 4.80 -0.76 -8.56 7.43 142.65 1.00 rw[23] -1.13 4.91 -0.93 -9.81 6.67 138.28 1.00 rw[24] -1.13 5.00 -1.00 -9.85 6.58 135.43 1.00 rw[25] -1.16 5.11 -0.95 -10.16 6.83 125.24 1.01 rw[26] -1.17 5.18 -0.98 -9.58 7.51 123.59 1.01 rw[27] -1.21 5.25 -1.06 -10.53 6.82 116.46 1.00 rw[28] -1.23 5.30 -1.13 -10.29 7.28 116.44 1.00 rw[29] -1.25 5.40 -1.10 -11.05 6.82 114.87 1.00 rw[30] -1.26 5.48 -1.25 -10.08 7.82 115.68 1.00 rw[31] -1.33 5.57 -1.30 -9.90 8.53 113.00 1.00 rw[32] -1.27 5.66 -1.19 -10.46 7.91 111.06 1.00 rw[33] -1.34 5.71 -1.30 -11.50 7.00 110.07 1.00 rw[34] -1.34 5.78 -1.36 -10.01 9.02 110.15 1.00 rw[35] -1.36 5.88 -1.39 -10.71 8.49 108.26 1.00 rw[36] -1.37 5.97 -1.46 -11.23 8.35 108.13 1.00 rw[37] -1.36 6.04 -1.42 -11.33 8.31 107.63 1.00 rw[38] -1.44 6.14 -1.64 -12.16 8.01 105.56 1.00 rw[39] -1.45 6.22 -1.60 -11.97 8.54 102.87 1.00 rw[40] -1.48 6.28 -1.54 -11.96 8.47 101.17 1.00 rw[41] -1.48 6.37 -1.46 -12.18 8.41 101.28 1.00 rw[42] -1.51 6.38 -1.53 -11.94 8.93 100.89 1.00 rw[43] -1.56 6.47 -1.65 -12.19 8.86 98.88 1.01 rw[44] -1.58 6.54 -1.65 -13.56 7.55 97.47 1.01 rw[45] -1.57 6.58 -1.65 -13.32 7.80 95.02 1.01 rw[46] -1.56 6.65 -1.63 -11.93 9.37 94.40 1.01 rw[47] -1.57 6.70 -1.71 -12.51 8.92 92.76 1.01 rw[48] -1.52 6.76 -1.73 -12.98 8.43 94.44 1.01 rw[49] -1.51 6.82 -1.87 -12.41 9.17 92.12 1.01 rw[50] -1.52 6.80 -1.85 -12.39 9.01 91.41 1.01 rw[51] -1.53 6.86 -1.81 -12.76 9.00 89.93 1.01 rw[52] -1.56 6.89 -1.96 -12.43 9.40 88.90 1.01 rw[53] -1.62 6.90 -1.84 -12.64 9.24 89.90 1.01 rw[54] -1.59 6.96 -2.00 -13.02 9.62 90.78 1.01 rw[55] -1.58 7.00 -1.81 -11.93 10.73 89.39 1.01 rw[56] -1.57 7.04 -1.85 -13.45 9.11 87.71 1.01 rw[57] -1.58 7.09 -1.78 -12.72 10.33 87.23 1.01 rw[58] -1.59 7.09 -1.83 -13.70 8.99 84.96 1.01 rw[59] -1.65 7.19 -1.69 -13.94 8.82 82.81 1.02 rw[60] -1.64 7.26 -2.01 -13.79 9.06 80.88 1.01 rw[61] -1.66 7.36 -1.74 -14.10 9.07 77.96 1.02 rw[62] -1.63 7.44 -1.76 -13.60 10.22 75.57 1.02 rw[63] -1.65 7.49 -1.99 -14.20 9.82 73.88 1.02 rw[64] -1.69 7.59 -1.99 -14.08 10.56 77.84 1.02 rw[65] -1.72 7.62 -1.90 -14.38 10.20 76.51 1.01 rw[66] -1.74 7.67 -2.16 -13.73 10.79 77.11 1.02 rw[67] -1.78 7.76 -2.03 -14.23 10.65 76.61 1.02 rw[68] -1.74 7.83 -2.06 -14.30 10.82 72.65 1.02 rw[69] -1.73 7.87 -1.87 -14.69 10.72 73.05 1.02 rw[70] -1.76 7.92 -1.91 -14.61 10.79 74.50 1.02 rw[71] -1.71 7.93 -2.13 -14.27 11.27 76.13 1.02 rw[72] -1.70 8.05 -2.01 -14.86 11.81 76.92 1.01 rw[73] -1.72 8.10 -2.15 -15.38 11.13 76.15 1.01 rw[74] -1.73 8.14 -2.20 -14.55 12.46 74.46 1.01 rw[75] -1.76 8.18 -2.41 -15.25 11.87 73.00 1.01 rw[76] -1.73 8.26 -2.27 -15.78 11.69 72.92 1.01 rw[77] -1.72 8.33 -2.21 -15.43 12.20 72.56 1.01 rw[78] -1.69 8.38 -2.21 -16.46 11.14 73.77 1.01 rw[79] -1.62 8.42 -2.02 -16.20 11.12 73.42 1.02 rw[80] -1.64 8.49 -2.22 -16.74 11.24 74.32 1.01 rw[81] -1.56 8.50 -2.17 -16.30 11.30 74.47 1.02 rw[82] -1.60 8.58 -2.02 -15.80 12.05 74.59 1.02 rw[83] -1.64 8.55 -2.18 -16.61 11.23 73.48 1.02 rw[84] -1.64 8.53 -2.22 -17.43 10.76 72.44 1.02 rw[85] -1.63 8.55 -2.30 -16.60 11.49 71.41 1.01 rw[86] -1.61 8.59 -1.97 -16.66 11.91 69.53 1.02 rw[87] -1.60 8.67 -2.21 -16.25 12.30 69.62 1.02 rw[88] -1.63 8.75 -2.22 -16.80 12.14 69.09 1.02 rw[89] -1.64 8.79 -2.19 -16.11 12.61 67.79 1.02 rw[90] -1.67 8.85 -2.09 -16.82 12.37 68.57 1.02 rw[91] -1.67 8.90 -2.24 -16.79 12.17 68.12 1.02 rw[92] -1.65 8.94 -2.34 -16.94 12.33 67.97 1.02 rw[93] -1.66 9.02 -2.16 -17.01 12.36 68.01 1.02 rw[94] -1.67 9.05 -2.37 -17.18 12.49 68.03 1.02 rw[95] -1.70 9.10 -2.21 -17.55 12.17 67.43 1.02 rw[96] -1.75 9.08 -2.26 -17.16 12.52 64.96 1.02 rw[97] -1.79 9.14 -2.16 -16.17 13.74 66.89 1.01 rw[98] -1.75 9.19 -2.18 -16.74 12.99 65.04 1.01 rw[99] -1.74 9.21 -2.16 -17.32 12.63 64.04 1.01 rw[100] -1.68 9.28 -2.04 -17.84 12.54 63.69 1.01 rw[101] -1.70 9.29 -2.27 -18.06 12.36 64.98 1.01 rw[102] -1.66 9.43 -2.09 -17.04 14.01 64.75 1.01 rw[103] -1.71 9.45 -2.16 -17.33 13.60 64.39 1.01 rw[104] -1.71 9.45 -1.96 -17.87 13.03 64.97 1.01 rw[105] -1.67 9.53 -2.13 -17.44 13.57 64.98 1.01 rw[106] -1.73 9.55 -2.30 -16.67 14.79 65.45 1.01 rw[107] -1.70 9.55 -2.34 -18.49 13.20 66.29 1.01 rw[108] -1.71 9.60 -2.25 -17.12 14.43 65.03 1.01 rw[109] -1.70 9.62 -2.18 -16.79 14.94 64.98 1.01 rw[110] -1.67 9.65 -1.89 -16.10 15.70 65.10 1.01 rw[111] -1.71 9.67 -2.21 -16.62 15.10 65.10 1.01 rw[112] -1.73 9.74 -2.23 -17.24 15.06 65.67 1.01 rw[113] -1.69 9.76 -2.04 -18.00 14.10 65.79 1.01 rw[114] -1.64 9.80 -2.07 -19.12 12.93 64.19 1.01 rw[115] -1.60 9.80 -1.50 -17.61 14.59 65.04 1.01 rw[116] -1.56 9.89 -1.72 -17.89 14.97 64.36 1.01 rw[117] -1.59 9.91 -1.92 -17.63 15.24 63.80 1.02 rw[118] -1.56 9.95 -1.98 -18.20 14.81 62.26 1.02 rw[119] -1.55 9.98 -1.98 -17.51 15.63 62.48 1.02 rw[120] -1.53 10.00 -1.78 -17.94 15.03 61.43 1.02 rw[121] -1.57 10.06 -1.92 -17.67 15.41 60.46 1.02 rw[122] -1.56 10.08 -1.89 -17.25 15.56 61.36 1.02 rw[123] -1.55 10.07 -1.91 -16.77 16.13 60.18 1.02 rw[124] -1.52 10.08 -1.78 -17.02 15.69 60.70 1.02 rw[125] -1.50 10.18 -1.73 -18.38 15.21 61.54 1.02 rw[126] -1.52 10.23 -1.66 -19.69 13.99 62.62 1.02 rw[127] -1.50 10.25 -1.81 -19.89 13.95 62.27 1.02 rw[128] -1.51 10.28 -1.66 -18.54 15.16 62.75 1.02 rw[129] -1.52 10.31 -1.72 -19.27 14.62 63.81 1.02 rw[130] -1.52 10.34 -1.93 -18.93 15.37 63.57 1.02 rw[131] -1.53 10.33 -1.87 -19.06 15.22 62.88 1.02 rw[132] -1.53 10.36 -1.71 -17.98 16.59 62.91 1.02 rw[133] -1.56 10.42 -1.61 -18.40 16.48 63.36 1.02 rw[134] -1.57 10.47 -1.65 -18.60 16.50 62.01 1.02 rw[135] -1.60 10.47 -1.60 -17.52 17.26 61.58 1.02 rw[136] -1.62 10.48 -1.62 -17.93 16.89 61.83 1.02 rw[137] -1.62 10.51 -1.66 -19.93 14.95 62.17 1.02 rw[138] -1.64 10.52 -1.83 -18.55 16.07 61.98 1.02 rw[139] -1.60 10.49 -1.81 -16.67 17.85 62.21 1.02 rw[140] -1.58 10.50 -1.71 -17.70 17.18 61.83 1.02 rw[141] -1.56 10.56 -1.67 -17.77 17.44 62.81 1.02 rw[142] -1.54 10.54 -1.62 -16.33 18.74 63.89 1.02 rw[143] -1.52 10.55 -1.56 -17.24 17.77 64.83 1.02 rw[144] -1.51 10.59 -1.59 -16.84 18.12 65.69 1.02 rw[145] -1.56 10.68 -1.75 -17.51 17.90 64.60 1.02 rw[146] -1.57 10.67 -1.80 -20.01 15.45 64.63 1.02 rw[147] -1.58 10.72 -1.77 -20.50 15.18 64.76 1.02 rw[148] -1.56 10.67 -2.01 -19.89 15.43 65.35 1.02 rw[149] -1.53 10.69 -1.94 -20.01 15.29 65.54 1.02 rw[150] -1.52 10.72 -1.94 -19.81 15.73 64.93 1.02 rw[151] -1.54 10.71 -2.13 -20.49 14.89 64.84 1.02 rw[152] -1.53 10.68 -1.98 -20.93 14.63 65.96 1.02 rw[153] -1.54 10.69 -2.06 -17.95 17.58 66.59 1.02 rw[154] -1.52 10.68 -2.24 -19.35 16.05 66.93 1.02 rw[155] -1.45 10.67 -1.88 -19.03 16.45 67.04 1.02 rw[156] -1.44 10.71 -1.79 -19.27 16.11 67.49 1.02 rw[157] -1.42 10.72 -1.75 -19.36 15.46 67.46 1.02 rw[158] -1.41 10.79 -1.68 -19.24 16.08 67.96 1.02 rw[159] -1.49 10.82 -1.74 -19.04 16.13 68.92 1.02 rw[160] -1.57 10.81 -1.79 -20.40 15.34 67.88 1.02 rw[161] -1.61 10.85 -1.60 -21.14 14.57 67.08 1.02 rw[162] -1.60 10.87 -1.57 -21.78 14.12 66.96 1.02 rw[163] -1.63 10.89 -1.63 -21.29 14.63 66.82 1.02 rw[164] -1.61 10.93 -1.58 -21.83 14.43 67.92 1.02 rw[165] -1.59 10.99 -1.62 -21.05 15.25 68.12 1.02 rw[166] -1.61 10.97 -1.80 -21.29 14.59 67.34 1.02 rw[167] -1.62 10.97 -1.82 -20.95 14.99 67.77 1.02 rw[168] -1.62 10.99 -1.66 -21.54 15.01 69.10 1.01 rw[169] -1.65 10.94 -1.82 -20.65 15.47 70.43 1.01 rw[170] -1.65 10.95 -2.02 -19.53 16.87 71.38 1.02 rw[171] -1.61 10.99 -1.92 -19.35 17.33 71.90 1.01 rw[172] -1.63 11.01 -2.12 -20.70 16.31 71.67 1.01 rw[173] -1.58 11.03 -2.12 -20.65 16.61 70.83 1.02 rw[174] -1.56 11.02 -2.01 -20.83 16.44 69.29 1.02 rw[175] -1.55 11.06 -2.19 -21.58 15.91 70.40 1.01 rw[176] -1.58 11.11 -2.24 -19.65 18.35 71.53 1.02 rw[177] -1.59 11.14 -2.07 -20.33 16.97 71.70 1.02 rw[178] -1.65 11.15 -2.07 -19.66 18.02 72.11 1.02 rw[179] -1.65 11.13 -2.04 -18.35 19.15 70.21 1.02 rw[180] -1.69 11.11 -2.26 -19.11 18.15 70.44 1.02 rw[181] -1.74 11.10 -2.33 -21.70 15.96 70.13 1.02 rw[182] -1.73 11.11 -2.10 -22.10 15.47 71.26 1.02 rw[183] -1.74 11.11 -2.02 -19.64 17.71 71.27 1.02 rw[184] -1.71 11.14 -2.18 -19.10 18.12 71.75 1.02 rw[185] -1.71 11.19 -2.02 -18.78 17.97 70.97 1.02 rw[186] -1.71 11.21 -2.29 -19.20 18.03 72.41 1.02 rw[187] -1.71 11.24 -2.18 -19.95 17.70 72.44 1.02 rw[188] -1.73 11.28 -2.06 -19.36 18.15 73.10 1.02 rw[189] -1.68 11.32 -2.08 -19.58 17.81 73.66 1.02 rw[190] -1.65 11.32 -1.91 -19.44 18.20 73.97 1.02 rw[191] -1.62 11.35 -1.92 -19.50 18.43 73.87 1.02 rw[192] -1.65 11.36 -1.80 -19.80 18.35 73.28 1.02 rw[193] -1.68 11.38 -2.04 -19.02 18.55 73.38 1.02 rw[194] -1.64 11.45 -2.08 -21.68 16.62 73.62 1.01 rw[195] -1.72 11.44 -2.13 -20.85 16.72 73.96 1.01 rw[196] -1.71 11.46 -1.97 -20.60 17.16 73.92 1.01 rw[197] -1.67 11.46 -1.98 -19.74 18.07 73.44 1.01 rw[198] -1.68 11.46 -1.74 -19.21 18.48 72.95 1.01 rw[199] -1.66 11.56 -2.12 -20.98 16.81 73.26 1.01 rw[200] -1.73 11.62 -2.03 -20.23 17.73 73.40 1.01 rw[201] -1.70 11.60 -2.03 -20.45 17.50 74.50 1.01 rw[202] -1.68 11.60 -2.21 -19.80 17.88 73.88 1.01 rw[203] -1.67 11.70 -2.16 -21.63 16.49 75.19 1.01 rw[204] -1.68 11.76 -1.81 -21.72 16.75 74.40 1.01 rw[205] -1.71 11.83 -1.91 -22.36 16.51 74.37 1.01 rw[206] -1.65 11.89 -2.03 -21.71 17.45 74.32 1.01 rw[207] -1.62 11.91 -2.02 -20.69 18.21 74.96 1.01 rw[208] -1.58 11.91 -1.76 -22.83 15.99 74.81 1.01 rw[209] -1.59 11.90 -1.76 -21.83 16.50 75.31 1.01 rw[210] -1.59 11.93 -2.01 -22.32 16.64 76.25 1.01 rw[211] -1.58 11.94 -1.91 -21.86 17.30 76.44 1.01 rw[212] -1.58 12.02 -1.92 -21.86 17.73 76.22 1.01 rw[213] -1.58 12.04 -1.86 -22.46 17.25 75.72 1.01 rw[214] -1.60 12.02 -1.79 -20.34 19.33 76.50 1.01 rw[215] -1.62 12.10 -1.97 -20.57 18.92 77.16 1.01 rw[216] -1.57 12.14 -1.96 -22.00 17.75 76.54 1.01 rw[217] -1.55 12.15 -1.84 -20.63 19.31 76.63 1.01 rw[218] -1.57 12.15 -1.85 -21.63 18.17 75.63 1.01 rw[219] -1.58 12.17 -1.80 -20.59 19.15 75.15 1.01 rw[220] -1.56 12.22 -1.83 -21.28 19.01 76.56 1.01 rw[221] -1.51 12.24 -1.88 -20.64 19.60 77.23 1.01 rw[222] -1.47 12.30 -1.73 -21.54 18.99 77.07 1.01 rw[223] -1.46 12.36 -1.74 -21.55 19.24 77.31 1.01 rw[224] -1.49 12.37 -1.90 -22.68 17.98 78.24 1.01 rw[225] -1.47 12.38 -1.74 -21.16 19.38 77.92 1.01 rw[226] -1.42 12.41 -1.83 -21.18 19.26 78.54 1.01 rw[227] -1.39 12.45 -1.84 -22.26 19.02 77.73 1.01 rw[228] -1.40 12.50 -1.85 -20.18 20.90 77.76 1.01 rw[229] -1.44 12.51 -1.64 -23.96 17.37 79.92 1.01 rw[230] -1.45 12.55 -1.78 -25.33 16.52 79.66 1.01 rw[231] -1.42 12.59 -1.76 -21.14 20.80 80.98 1.01 rw[232] -1.38 12.62 -1.68 -22.64 19.17 81.71 1.01 rw[233] -1.36 12.67 -1.52 -21.13 20.91 82.16 1.01 rw[234] -1.30 12.72 -1.50 -21.57 20.69 82.67 1.01 rw[235] -1.29 12.77 -1.49 -24.30 18.06 82.48 1.01 rw[236] -1.30 12.85 -1.78 -22.08 20.44 83.97 1.01 rw[237] -1.26 12.87 -1.59 -20.25 21.95 84.45 1.01 rw[238] -1.31 12.88 -1.43 -21.48 20.47 83.97 1.01 rw[239] -1.26 12.90 -1.49 -20.87 20.84 83.22 1.01 rw[240] -1.25 12.96 -1.55 -22.14 20.24 83.90 1.01 rw[241] -1.24 12.94 -1.49 -22.40 19.50 84.73 1.01 rw[242] -1.24 12.94 -1.34 -22.42 19.72 86.75 1.01 rw[243] -1.20 12.93 -1.41 -22.30 19.80 86.06 1.01 rw[244] -1.19 12.94 -1.44 -21.57 20.40 85.31 1.01 rw[245] -1.21 13.03 -1.27 -21.63 20.37 85.85 1.01 rw[246] -1.24 13.04 -1.12 -23.68 18.27 86.34 1.01 rw[247] -1.23 13.07 -1.20 -22.52 19.19 86.73 1.01 rw[248] -1.19 13.06 -1.26 -21.85 20.33 88.19 1.01 rw[249] -1.22 13.07 -1.13 -22.08 20.07 88.19 1.01 rw[250] -1.24 13.10 -1.16 -24.18 18.09 87.96 1.01 rw[251] -1.25 13.12 -1.36 -22.46 19.93 87.16 1.01 rw[252] -1.26 13.11 -1.27 -23.44 18.37 88.10 1.01 rw[253] -1.25 13.11 -1.40 -22.68 19.29 88.60 1.01 rw[254] -1.23 13.13 -1.19 -23.17 18.93 89.99 1.01 rw[255] -1.21 13.21 -1.14 -23.36 19.40 89.40 1.01 rw[256] -1.20 13.24 -1.04 -24.06 19.06 90.69 1.01 rw[257] -1.20 13.24 -0.99 -22.97 19.93 91.23 1.01 rw[258] -1.21 13.29 -0.66 -21.70 21.19 92.48 1.01 rw[259] -1.18 13.31 -0.85 -22.09 20.77 92.93 1.01 rw[260] -1.21 13.38 -0.73 -21.94 21.08 93.67 1.01 rw[261] -1.22 13.38 -0.88 -20.95 22.42 93.89 1.01 rw[262] -1.29 13.39 -0.88 -21.76 21.18 93.78 1.01 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1738.17 1.00 Number of divergences: 0