mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.08 2.38 0.53 0.00 2.32 548.12 1.00 E0 12.08 12.80 8.00 0.00 26.85 271.65 1.00 H0 2.57 2.60 1.90 0.00 5.61 625.87 1.00 I0 8.52 6.99 6.62 0.65 18.12 57.64 1.00 beta0 1.79 0.53 1.66 1.16 2.44 7.96 1.06 confirmed_dispersion 0.34 0.05 0.34 0.27 0.42 444.38 1.00 death_dispersion 0.45 0.03 0.44 0.40 0.50 498.94 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 464.01 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.01 0.07 0.05 0.10 474.09 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.20 0.42 591.66 1.01 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 459.79 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.52 630.38 1.00 rw[0] 0.11 0.97 0.09 -1.44 1.64 135.13 1.01 rw[1] 0.33 1.35 0.35 -1.86 2.65 85.69 1.01 rw[2] 0.58 1.62 0.57 -2.23 3.16 48.28 1.02 rw[3] 0.93 1.90 0.95 -1.79 4.47 30.93 1.02 rw[4] 1.27 1.99 1.31 -1.55 5.12 22.65 1.02 rw[5] 1.56 2.17 1.59 -1.71 5.29 17.32 1.02 rw[6] 1.76 2.35 1.90 -1.84 5.80 14.80 1.02 rw[7] 1.90 2.50 2.05 -2.24 5.86 11.95 1.03 rw[8] 1.92 2.62 2.17 -2.22 6.25 10.55 1.04 rw[9] 1.78 2.75 1.95 -2.32 6.62 10.02 1.04 rw[10] 1.44 2.84 1.69 -2.88 5.94 9.16 1.04 rw[11] 0.86 2.86 1.14 -4.12 5.02 8.77 1.04 rw[12] 0.23 2.94 0.55 -4.40 5.04 8.76 1.04 rw[13] -0.57 2.97 -0.15 -4.77 4.79 8.53 1.05 rw[14] -1.40 3.00 -0.99 -6.31 3.12 8.31 1.05 rw[15] -2.29 2.97 -1.89 -7.36 2.07 7.98 1.04 rw[16] -3.08 2.99 -2.73 -7.63 1.49 8.18 1.04 rw[17] -3.88 3.01 -3.55 -8.53 0.74 8.26 1.03 rw[18] -4.60 3.07 -4.24 -8.83 0.45 8.15 1.03 rw[19] -5.36 3.02 -5.14 -9.75 -0.52 8.60 1.03 rw[20] -6.12 3.01 -5.73 -10.33 -1.04 8.44 1.02 rw[21] -6.82 2.98 -6.53 -11.37 -2.00 8.53 1.02 rw[22] -7.44 2.99 -7.19 -12.34 -2.79 8.64 1.03 rw[23] -8.13 3.00 -7.75 -12.97 -3.43 8.87 1.02 rw[24] -8.73 3.03 -8.39 -13.61 -4.01 8.95 1.02 rw[25] -9.40 3.06 -8.95 -14.29 -4.63 9.12 1.02 rw[26] -9.95 3.02 -9.66 -14.80 -5.42 9.40 1.03 rw[27] -10.53 3.02 -10.19 -14.96 -5.57 9.91 1.02 rw[28] -10.99 2.96 -10.62 -15.78 -6.10 9.80 1.03 rw[29] -11.41 2.98 -11.13 -16.53 -7.08 9.67 1.03 rw[30] -11.84 2.98 -11.56 -16.29 -6.79 9.61 1.03 rw[31] -12.24 2.99 -11.84 -17.09 -7.62 9.89 1.03 rw[32] -12.56 2.99 -12.29 -17.24 -7.68 9.36 1.03 rw[33] -12.86 2.99 -12.51 -16.90 -7.49 9.16 1.02 rw[34] -13.15 2.97 -12.84 -17.30 -8.04 9.69 1.02 rw[35] -13.34 2.93 -13.10 -17.63 -8.47 9.79 1.02 rw[36] -13.53 2.97 -13.41 -17.73 -8.39 9.77 1.01 rw[37] -13.76 2.98 -13.49 -18.06 -8.70 9.25 1.02 rw[38] -13.87 3.04 -13.59 -18.71 -9.13 9.25 1.02 rw[39] -13.98 2.97 -13.73 -18.62 -9.16 9.02 1.02 rw[40] -14.04 2.99 -13.76 -19.02 -9.42 8.86 1.02 rw[41] -14.12 3.02 -13.83 -18.67 -9.03 9.10 1.02 rw[42] -14.17 3.01 -13.89 -18.95 -9.43 9.16 1.02 rw[43] -14.23 3.05 -13.87 -19.69 -9.99 9.37 1.02 rw[44] -14.24 3.02 -13.84 -20.03 -10.15 9.42 1.03 rw[45] -14.23 3.01 -13.94 -18.85 -9.34 8.78 1.03 rw[46] -14.24 3.04 -13.95 -18.69 -8.95 9.12 1.03 rw[47] -14.22 3.03 -14.03 -19.05 -9.34 8.93 1.04 rw[48] -14.11 3.02 -13.77 -19.11 -9.42 8.77 1.04 rw[49] -14.04 2.97 -13.74 -18.65 -9.46 8.71 1.03 rw[50] -13.97 2.98 -13.76 -18.25 -8.93 9.28 1.04 rw[51] -13.90 2.96 -13.73 -18.26 -8.98 9.19 1.04 rw[52] -13.81 2.91 -13.55 -18.48 -9.27 8.72 1.05 rw[53] -13.76 2.99 -13.42 -17.78 -8.56 9.02 1.04 rw[54] -13.61 2.93 -13.14 -18.66 -9.38 9.29 1.04 rw[55] -13.50 2.93 -13.22 -17.93 -8.78 9.43 1.04 rw[56] -13.33 3.00 -13.03 -17.92 -8.58 9.84 1.04 rw[57] -13.19 3.03 -12.79 -17.49 -8.02 9.22 1.05 rw[58] -13.11 3.04 -12.69 -17.81 -8.38 9.56 1.04 rw[59] -12.99 3.02 -12.61 -17.74 -8.26 9.30 1.04 rw[60] -12.89 3.01 -12.59 -17.77 -8.14 9.17 1.03 rw[61] -12.76 3.06 -12.39 -17.98 -8.39 9.36 1.04 rw[62] -12.65 3.05 -12.36 -17.27 -7.84 9.54 1.03 rw[63] -12.59 3.02 -12.35 -17.13 -7.77 9.31 1.03 rw[64] -12.50 3.01 -12.19 -17.19 -7.83 9.30 1.02 rw[65] -12.38 2.97 -12.01 -16.73 -7.47 9.68 1.02 rw[66] -12.30 2.99 -11.90 -17.10 -7.88 9.76 1.02 rw[67] -12.30 2.98 -11.92 -16.76 -7.34 9.71 1.02 rw[68] -12.26 3.01 -11.86 -17.20 -7.56 9.92 1.02 rw[69] -12.21 2.98 -11.91 -17.03 -7.63 9.61 1.02 rw[70] -12.20 2.93 -11.83 -16.85 -7.59 9.90 1.01 rw[71] -12.22 2.93 -11.90 -16.90 -7.48 9.67 1.02 rw[72] -12.25 2.93 -11.90 -16.57 -6.93 10.01 1.02 rw[73] -12.25 2.97 -11.95 -16.94 -7.19 9.97 1.02 rw[74] -12.25 2.95 -11.93 -17.16 -7.69 9.68 1.02 rw[75] -12.33 3.00 -12.01 -17.74 -8.05 9.52 1.02 rw[76] -12.32 2.99 -11.95 -17.04 -7.48 9.69 1.02 rw[77] -12.39 2.95 -12.09 -17.05 -7.64 9.47 1.02 rw[78] -12.48 2.94 -12.13 -17.37 -7.99 9.47 1.03 rw[79] -12.54 2.98 -12.20 -16.98 -7.40 9.52 1.03 rw[80] -12.61 2.98 -12.23 -17.69 -7.92 9.57 1.03 rw[81] -12.69 2.96 -12.41 -17.15 -7.78 9.38 1.03 rw[82] -12.72 2.94 -12.43 -17.04 -7.33 9.16 1.03 rw[83] -12.77 2.96 -12.43 -16.96 -7.62 9.07 1.03 rw[84] -12.79 2.95 -12.44 -17.40 -7.95 9.52 1.02 rw[85] -12.87 3.04 -12.55 -17.79 -8.22 9.52 1.02 rw[86] -12.88 3.02 -12.67 -17.28 -7.78 9.62 1.02 rw[87] -12.91 3.03 -12.69 -17.56 -8.28 9.30 1.03 rw[88] -12.92 3.02 -12.58 -17.39 -8.01 9.39 1.02 rw[89] -12.95 3.03 -12.57 -17.03 -7.67 8.87 1.03 rw[90] -12.97 3.02 -12.71 -17.35 -7.91 8.93 1.03 rw[91] -12.98 2.99 -12.71 -17.29 -8.19 9.21 1.02 rw[92] -13.03 2.98 -12.84 -17.56 -8.12 8.93 1.02 rw[93] -13.11 2.95 -12.90 -17.33 -8.10 9.01 1.02 rw[94] -13.11 2.94 -12.86 -17.61 -8.37 8.80 1.03 rw[95] -13.14 2.98 -12.83 -17.64 -8.16 8.72 1.03 rw[96] -13.16 2.99 -12.83 -17.95 -8.73 9.18 1.03 rw[97] -13.09 2.97 -12.82 -17.38 -8.21 9.05 1.03 rw[98] -13.05 2.93 -12.82 -17.62 -8.35 9.10 1.03 rw[99] -12.98 2.92 -12.66 -17.40 -8.23 9.32 1.03 rw[100] -12.87 2.89 -12.51 -17.21 -8.15 9.41 1.03 rw[101] -12.70 2.93 -12.32 -17.66 -8.52 10.23 1.02 rw[102] -12.56 2.92 -12.19 -17.22 -8.01 9.87 1.03 rw[103] -12.37 2.88 -12.00 -17.08 -7.98 9.89 1.03 rw[104] -12.11 2.89 -11.82 -16.78 -7.74 9.16 1.04 rw[105] -11.82 2.90 -11.46 -16.55 -7.35 9.83 1.03 rw[106] -11.53 2.86 -11.25 -15.73 -6.91 10.06 1.04 rw[107] -11.28 2.88 -10.92 -16.15 -7.03 9.10 1.03 rw[108] -11.04 2.85 -10.65 -15.35 -6.30 9.23 1.04 rw[109] -10.84 2.87 -10.49 -15.69 -6.59 8.97 1.03 rw[110] -10.62 2.82 -10.25 -14.99 -6.23 8.66 1.04 rw[111] -10.39 2.88 -10.07 -15.11 -6.14 8.68 1.04 rw[112] -10.16 2.87 -9.82 -14.58 -5.41 8.72 1.03 rw[113] -10.02 2.86 -9.57 -14.27 -5.12 8.43 1.03 rw[114] -9.91 2.90 -9.64 -14.11 -4.75 8.45 1.03 rw[115] -9.79 2.86 -9.38 -14.54 -5.13 8.63 1.03 rw[116] -9.69 2.89 -9.30 -13.75 -4.44 8.72 1.03 rw[117] -9.60 2.88 -9.21 -13.68 -4.49 8.91 1.04 rw[118] -9.57 2.84 -9.20 -13.89 -5.12 8.79 1.03 rw[119] -9.50 2.85 -9.16 -13.95 -4.97 8.72 1.03 rw[120] -9.53 2.87 -9.05 -14.54 -5.49 8.59 1.03 rw[121] -9.51 2.88 -9.18 -13.82 -5.03 8.58 1.03 rw[122] -9.53 2.90 -9.15 -13.94 -5.01 8.66 1.03 rw[123] -9.52 2.87 -9.16 -13.86 -5.07 8.85 1.04 rw[124] -9.58 2.85 -9.15 -13.82 -5.00 8.68 1.04 rw[125] -9.68 2.86 -9.22 -13.90 -4.97 8.50 1.04 rw[126] -9.76 2.83 -9.42 -13.87 -5.02 8.44 1.03 rw[127] -9.83 2.81 -9.47 -14.11 -5.13 8.31 1.03 rw[128] -9.92 2.84 -9.57 -14.24 -5.36 8.54 1.03 rw[129] -10.03 2.85 -9.74 -14.96 -5.88 8.72 1.03 rw[130] -10.13 2.85 -9.74 -14.72 -5.63 8.60 1.03 rw[131] -10.27 2.93 -9.87 -14.57 -5.32 8.36 1.03 rw[132] -10.39 2.96 -10.03 -15.27 -5.87 8.63 1.03 rw[133] -10.54 2.95 -10.18 -15.02 -5.71 9.20 1.02 rw[134] -10.68 2.92 -10.34 -15.20 -6.16 9.29 1.02 rw[135] -10.80 2.88 -10.54 -15.59 -6.51 9.42 1.02 rw[136] -10.94 2.89 -10.72 -15.29 -6.25 9.15 1.03 rw[137] -11.05 2.86 -10.65 -15.49 -6.67 9.12 1.03 rw[138] -11.20 2.88 -10.92 -15.40 -6.45 8.74 1.03 rw[139] -11.32 2.93 -11.02 -16.12 -6.77 8.81 1.03 rw[140] -11.42 2.93 -11.07 -16.54 -7.21 8.50 1.03 rw[141] -11.53 2.92 -11.10 -15.62 -6.46 8.66 1.03 rw[142] -11.62 2.91 -11.19 -15.96 -6.87 8.78 1.04 rw[143] -11.69 2.92 -11.33 -16.31 -7.12 8.80 1.03 rw[144] -11.78 2.89 -11.43 -16.11 -7.05 8.79 1.03 rw[145] -11.81 2.89 -11.37 -16.77 -7.66 8.61 1.03 rw[146] -11.80 2.88 -11.37 -16.79 -7.69 8.47 1.03 rw[147] -11.86 2.93 -11.46 -16.53 -7.38 8.45 1.04 rw[148] -11.97 2.96 -11.52 -16.81 -7.36 8.53 1.04 rw[149] -12.04 2.96 -11.65 -16.38 -6.94 8.69 1.03 rw[150] -12.09 2.91 -11.75 -16.13 -6.83 9.19 1.03 rw[151] -12.10 2.90 -11.80 -17.11 -7.68 9.37 1.03 rw[152] -12.14 2.93 -11.79 -16.93 -7.59 9.13 1.03 rw[153] -12.20 2.92 -11.94 -16.98 -7.73 8.96 1.03 rw[154] -12.32 2.96 -12.04 -17.33 -8.02 9.08 1.03 rw[155] -12.40 2.97 -12.10 -16.86 -7.59 9.24 1.03 rw[156] -12.53 2.93 -12.19 -17.08 -7.67 9.60 1.02 rw[157] -12.66 2.93 -12.35 -17.15 -7.83 9.52 1.03 rw[158] -12.77 2.93 -12.48 -17.21 -8.17 9.33 1.02 rw[159] -12.88 2.93 -12.61 -17.02 -7.77 9.34 1.02 rw[160] -12.92 2.90 -12.63 -17.03 -8.03 9.14 1.02 rw[161] -12.98 2.98 -12.66 -17.29 -7.85 9.24 1.02 rw[162] -13.06 2.92 -12.64 -17.29 -7.91 9.42 1.02 rw[163] -13.15 2.94 -12.80 -17.85 -8.54 9.74 1.02 rw[164] -13.21 2.94 -12.81 -18.37 -9.03 9.46 1.02 rw[165] -13.20 2.94 -12.90 -17.96 -8.68 9.50 1.02 rw[166] -13.23 2.90 -12.97 -17.45 -8.22 9.60 1.02 rw[167] -13.29 2.94 -12.98 -17.94 -8.55 9.47 1.02 rw[168] -13.34 2.94 -13.12 -17.93 -8.80 9.22 1.02 rw[169] -13.34 2.93 -13.05 -18.25 -8.88 9.17 1.02 rw[170] -13.34 2.95 -13.09 -18.13 -8.83 9.04 1.03 rw[171] -13.33 2.93 -13.00 -17.41 -8.37 8.93 1.03 rw[172] -13.28 2.90 -12.93 -17.77 -8.76 8.78 1.03 rw[173] -13.22 2.90 -12.89 -17.43 -8.28 8.81 1.03 rw[174] -13.15 2.91 -12.72 -17.14 -7.96 8.59 1.03 rw[175] -13.15 2.91 -12.76 -17.02 -7.86 8.81 1.04 rw[176] -13.11 2.91 -12.63 -17.92 -8.61 8.76 1.03 rw[177] -13.02 2.92 -12.73 -17.57 -8.33 8.64 1.03 rw[178] -12.94 2.98 -12.59 -17.80 -8.21 8.74 1.03 rw[179] -12.84 3.00 -12.54 -17.71 -8.35 9.01 1.03 rw[180] -12.79 3.03 -12.42 -17.24 -7.75 9.02 1.03 rw[181] -12.69 2.98 -12.39 -17.47 -8.13 9.12 1.03 rw[182] -12.59 2.98 -12.27 -16.91 -7.60 9.27 1.03 rw[183] -12.55 2.92 -12.17 -16.50 -7.32 9.38 1.03 rw[184] -12.52 2.92 -12.22 -16.62 -7.62 9.06 1.03 rw[185] -12.46 2.99 -12.18 -17.33 -7.75 9.04 1.02 rw[186] -12.46 2.97 -12.20 -17.02 -7.38 8.63 1.03 rw[187] -12.44 2.92 -12.10 -17.65 -8.12 9.11 1.03 rw[188] -12.45 2.93 -12.21 -16.92 -7.58 9.41 1.03 rw[189] -12.43 2.89 -12.23 -16.81 -7.67 10.25 1.03 rw[190] -12.49 2.91 -12.30 -16.77 -7.60 9.43 1.03 rw[191] -12.52 2.93 -12.21 -16.57 -7.49 9.35 1.03 rw[192] -12.55 2.94 -12.17 -17.12 -7.92 9.36 1.04 rw[193] -12.62 2.97 -12.25 -16.96 -7.89 9.37 1.04 rw[194] -12.72 2.93 -12.35 -17.51 -8.30 9.48 1.04 rw[195] -12.82 2.93 -12.43 -16.97 -7.78 9.90 1.04 rw[196] -12.90 2.93 -12.47 -17.45 -8.23 9.61 1.04 rw[197] -13.03 2.94 -12.64 -17.36 -8.46 9.28 1.04 rw[198] -13.06 2.95 -12.74 -17.55 -8.51 9.26 1.03 rw[199] -13.15 2.96 -12.73 -17.86 -8.51 9.57 1.03 rw[200] -13.21 2.94 -12.90 -17.94 -8.59 9.98 1.03 rw[201] -13.21 2.93 -12.85 -17.37 -8.33 9.63 1.03 rw[202] -13.16 2.95 -12.83 -17.65 -8.54 9.54 1.03 rw[203] -13.18 2.93 -12.89 -17.83 -8.71 9.62 1.02 rw[204] -13.15 2.94 -12.86 -17.42 -8.00 9.25 1.03 rw[205] -13.08 2.96 -12.76 -17.48 -8.07 8.75 1.03 rw[206] -13.01 2.95 -12.68 -18.06 -8.63 8.79 1.02 rw[207] -12.95 2.98 -12.54 -17.14 -7.68 8.73 1.02 rw[208] -12.87 2.96 -12.52 -17.15 -7.76 8.88 1.02 rw[209] -12.83 2.96 -12.49 -17.86 -8.31 9.00 1.03 rw[210] -12.77 2.93 -12.37 -16.99 -7.65 8.65 1.03 rw[211] -12.69 2.92 -12.27 -17.45 -8.16 8.67 1.03 rw[212] -12.57 2.94 -12.23 -17.00 -7.69 8.60 1.03 rw[213] -12.52 2.97 -12.13 -17.30 -7.98 8.57 1.02 rw[214] -12.44 2.94 -11.92 -17.10 -7.84 8.35 1.03 rw[215] -12.37 2.92 -11.94 -17.16 -7.99 8.55 1.03 rw[216] -12.28 2.94 -12.00 -17.06 -7.84 9.00 1.03 rw[217] -12.22 2.95 -11.92 -16.72 -7.61 9.36 1.03 rw[218] -12.18 2.97 -11.77 -16.65 -7.58 9.56 1.02 rw[219] -12.08 2.98 -11.72 -16.49 -7.41 9.60 1.02 rw[220] -12.05 3.00 -11.88 -16.59 -7.04 9.19 1.02 rw[221] -11.96 2.98 -11.61 -16.71 -7.37 9.41 1.02 rw[222] -11.90 2.95 -11.57 -16.33 -6.99 9.85 1.02 rw[223] -11.94 2.94 -11.56 -15.99 -6.75 9.83 1.02 rw[224] -11.88 2.91 -11.48 -16.24 -7.11 9.58 1.02 rw[225] -11.83 2.87 -11.44 -16.40 -7.32 9.38 1.03 rw[226] -11.75 2.84 -11.38 -15.71 -6.82 9.43 1.03 rw[227] -11.75 2.88 -11.37 -16.24 -7.24 9.00 1.03 rw[228] -11.69 2.88 -11.29 -16.00 -7.07 9.20 1.03 rw[229] -11.64 2.85 -11.23 -16.04 -7.08 9.39 1.03 rw[230] -11.62 2.88 -11.19 -15.83 -7.12 8.80 1.04 rw[231] -11.58 2.89 -11.20 -15.94 -6.85 9.11 1.03 rw[232] -11.51 2.93 -11.06 -15.87 -6.71 9.51 1.03 rw[233] -11.50 2.92 -11.06 -16.00 -6.72 9.38 1.03 rw[234] -11.49 2.92 -11.16 -16.17 -6.93 8.74 1.03 rw[235] -11.47 2.97 -11.12 -16.30 -6.98 8.97 1.04 rw[236] -11.48 2.96 -11.04 -16.38 -6.88 9.11 1.03 rw[237] -11.46 2.98 -11.09 -16.45 -7.06 9.05 1.03 rw[238] -11.51 3.01 -11.19 -16.13 -6.41 8.94 1.03 rw[239] -11.54 3.00 -11.18 -16.29 -6.54 8.70 1.03 rw[240] -11.52 3.02 -11.19 -16.53 -6.89 8.75 1.03 rw[241] -11.59 2.96 -11.30 -16.62 -7.26 8.48 1.03 rw[242] -11.56 2.93 -11.23 -16.46 -7.15 8.33 1.03 rw[243] -11.50 2.91 -11.19 -16.04 -6.82 8.54 1.03 rw[244] -11.55 2.89 -11.22 -16.22 -7.04 8.38 1.03 rw[245] -11.56 2.88 -11.25 -16.41 -7.26 8.38 1.03 rw[246] -11.59 2.90 -11.20 -15.89 -6.93 8.28 1.03 rw[247] -11.61 2.89 -11.28 -15.59 -6.41 8.68 1.03 rw[248] -11.64 2.89 -11.22 -15.75 -6.53 8.77 1.03 rw[249] -11.60 2.81 -11.19 -16.05 -7.36 8.46 1.03 rw[250] -11.61 2.83 -11.23 -16.03 -7.39 8.57 1.03 rw[251] -11.56 2.86 -11.15 -15.69 -6.50 8.94 1.02 rw[252] -11.49 2.84 -11.11 -15.72 -6.78 9.03 1.03 rw[253] -11.43 2.85 -11.07 -16.09 -7.10 9.03 1.03 rw[254] -11.40 2.86 -11.12 -15.78 -6.85 9.24 1.03 rw[255] -11.24 2.88 -10.89 -16.03 -6.80 9.61 1.02 rw[256] -11.10 2.87 -10.83 -15.53 -6.66 9.71 1.02 rw[257] -10.96 2.86 -10.65 -15.29 -6.39 9.59 1.02 rw[258] -10.80 2.88 -10.45 -15.39 -6.38 8.91 1.03 rw[259] -10.66 2.88 -10.36 -14.72 -5.66 8.61 1.03 rw[260] -10.52 2.84 -10.09 -14.81 -6.00 8.33 1.03 rw[261] -10.29 2.76 -9.81 -14.47 -6.19 7.88 1.03 rw[262] -10.11 2.61 -9.64 -13.78 -6.09 6.89 1.04 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 635.38 1.00 Number of divergences: 0