mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.81 1.14 0.44 0.00 1.86 997.13 1.00 E0 74.31 72.40 54.89 0.27 164.69 107.66 1.00 H0 1.87 1.98 1.34 0.00 4.23 1905.13 1.00 I0 38.01 25.71 30.49 4.86 74.71 109.68 1.00 beta0 2.59 0.59 2.51 1.69 3.59 15.65 1.03 confirmed_dispersion 0.43 0.05 0.43 0.34 0.50 1492.61 1.00 death_dispersion 0.31 0.02 0.30 0.26 0.34 1651.22 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 924.52 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.07 780.80 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.20 0.41 2111.55 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1250.88 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1925.69 1.00 rw[0] 0.18 1.01 0.18 -1.57 1.79 139.86 1.01 rw[1] 0.50 1.43 0.44 -1.52 3.21 68.69 1.02 rw[2] 0.89 1.68 0.82 -1.69 3.77 48.21 1.03 rw[3] 1.27 1.92 1.32 -1.81 4.54 35.37 1.03 rw[4] 1.60 2.14 1.68 -2.12 4.92 32.48 1.03 rw[5] 1.86 2.27 1.83 -1.80 5.58 28.86 1.03 rw[6] 2.06 2.36 2.04 -1.71 5.93 26.15 1.02 rw[7] 2.03 2.44 2.03 -1.92 6.02 22.98 1.02 rw[8] 1.81 2.52 1.85 -2.24 5.84 21.33 1.03 rw[9] 1.34 2.59 1.38 -3.15 5.24 20.73 1.02 rw[10] 0.65 2.64 0.59 -3.55 4.88 19.45 1.03 rw[11] -0.15 2.62 -0.13 -4.31 4.06 18.79 1.03 rw[12] -1.00 2.59 -0.97 -4.99 3.30 17.53 1.03 rw[13] -1.87 2.54 -1.75 -5.83 2.31 17.59 1.03 rw[14] -2.75 2.58 -2.64 -6.62 1.54 17.22 1.04 rw[15] -3.69 2.56 -3.64 -7.91 0.23 18.00 1.04 rw[16] -4.69 2.64 -4.64 -8.86 -0.44 17.97 1.04 rw[17] -5.71 2.59 -5.74 -9.90 -1.78 17.87 1.04 rw[18] -6.76 2.59 -6.66 -10.93 -2.80 16.77 1.04 rw[19] -7.88 2.62 -7.78 -12.20 -3.90 17.88 1.04 rw[20] -9.01 2.63 -8.87 -13.16 -4.70 18.35 1.04 rw[21] -10.19 2.66 -10.06 -14.81 -6.26 18.85 1.03 rw[22] -11.42 2.69 -11.33 -15.33 -6.76 19.39 1.04 rw[23] -12.73 2.74 -12.59 -17.05 -8.29 19.60 1.03 rw[24] -13.92 2.76 -13.75 -18.34 -9.48 20.20 1.03 rw[25] -15.18 2.78 -15.15 -19.55 -10.66 20.28 1.03 rw[26] -16.38 2.79 -16.24 -20.83 -11.98 21.09 1.03 rw[27] -17.46 2.81 -17.38 -21.80 -12.80 20.16 1.04 rw[28] -18.52 2.80 -18.55 -23.58 -14.55 21.45 1.03 rw[29] -19.54 2.85 -19.53 -24.43 -15.14 22.36 1.03 rw[30] -20.37 2.85 -20.32 -25.13 -16.05 22.56 1.03 rw[31] -21.18 2.85 -21.13 -25.75 -16.64 22.00 1.03 rw[32] -21.84 2.87 -21.83 -26.46 -17.18 22.54 1.02 rw[33] -22.42 2.84 -22.44 -27.00 -18.13 22.18 1.02 rw[34] -22.88 2.85 -22.80 -27.57 -18.36 23.25 1.02 rw[35] -23.30 2.82 -23.27 -27.71 -18.59 24.41 1.02 rw[36] -23.58 2.84 -23.60 -28.44 -19.21 23.93 1.02 rw[37] -23.81 2.85 -23.79 -28.28 -19.11 23.71 1.02 rw[38] -23.95 2.82 -23.95 -28.29 -19.34 22.95 1.02 rw[39] -24.03 2.84 -23.96 -28.47 -19.28 23.04 1.02 rw[40] -24.06 2.79 -24.01 -28.67 -19.45 22.71 1.02 rw[41] -24.06 2.79 -24.01 -28.49 -19.44 23.56 1.02 rw[42] -24.01 2.83 -23.91 -29.06 -19.81 23.53 1.02 rw[43] -23.89 2.84 -23.89 -28.27 -19.20 24.15 1.02 rw[44] -23.69 2.87 -23.56 -28.65 -19.29 23.87 1.02 rw[45] -23.50 2.88 -23.45 -28.30 -19.00 24.15 1.02 rw[46] -23.25 2.86 -23.14 -28.01 -18.69 23.93 1.02 rw[47] -23.04 2.90 -22.91 -27.54 -18.18 24.02 1.03 rw[48] -22.79 2.86 -22.75 -27.55 -18.14 23.45 1.03 rw[49] -22.50 2.92 -22.45 -27.31 -17.79 22.48 1.02 rw[50] -22.21 2.90 -22.13 -27.01 -17.61 23.19 1.02 rw[51] -21.99 2.88 -21.83 -26.56 -17.45 23.59 1.02 rw[52] -21.78 2.90 -21.66 -26.39 -17.10 23.73 1.02 rw[53] -21.55 2.87 -21.56 -26.25 -17.08 22.86 1.02 rw[54] -21.33 2.86 -21.27 -25.97 -16.79 21.83 1.03 rw[55] -21.08 2.81 -21.07 -25.79 -16.63 22.67 1.03 rw[56] -20.82 2.85 -20.82 -25.36 -16.12 22.74 1.03 rw[57] -20.55 2.80 -20.57 -25.19 -16.23 23.80 1.03 rw[58] -20.35 2.85 -20.30 -24.91 -15.53 22.64 1.02 rw[59] -20.18 2.85 -20.17 -25.21 -15.86 22.67 1.03 rw[60] -19.91 2.90 -19.81 -24.67 -15.22 23.64 1.02 rw[61] -19.67 2.91 -19.67 -24.36 -15.03 22.73 1.02 rw[62] -19.47 2.89 -19.55 -24.30 -14.99 22.75 1.03 rw[63] -19.24 2.90 -19.22 -24.08 -14.81 22.79 1.03 rw[64] -19.03 2.89 -18.93 -24.13 -14.55 22.20 1.03 rw[65] -18.82 2.91 -18.83 -23.38 -14.06 21.20 1.04 rw[66] -18.66 2.92 -18.75 -23.04 -13.69 22.12 1.03 rw[67] -18.49 2.94 -18.41 -23.36 -13.95 21.06 1.04 rw[68] -18.31 2.85 -18.26 -22.85 -13.72 20.92 1.04 rw[69] -18.17 2.88 -18.16 -22.73 -13.63 22.05 1.03 rw[70] -18.00 2.90 -18.04 -22.44 -13.08 21.62 1.03 rw[71] -17.88 2.84 -17.98 -22.78 -13.66 22.56 1.03 rw[72] -17.82 2.84 -17.91 -21.80 -12.61 21.83 1.04 rw[73] -17.71 2.84 -17.73 -22.52 -13.58 21.48 1.03 rw[74] -17.66 2.84 -17.70 -22.26 -13.14 22.21 1.03 rw[75] -17.56 2.83 -17.61 -21.92 -12.80 23.09 1.03 rw[76] -17.48 2.81 -17.58 -21.96 -12.79 22.51 1.03 rw[77] -17.37 2.84 -17.34 -21.87 -12.92 21.84 1.03 rw[78] -17.28 2.82 -17.29 -21.52 -12.44 21.67 1.03 rw[79] -17.24 2.81 -17.16 -21.91 -12.79 22.76 1.03 rw[80] -17.28 2.84 -17.16 -21.58 -12.79 23.20 1.03 rw[81] -17.19 2.85 -17.17 -21.54 -12.52 22.38 1.03 rw[82] -17.17 2.88 -17.13 -21.58 -12.49 22.52 1.02 rw[83] -17.18 2.89 -17.07 -21.99 -12.74 23.20 1.02 rw[84] -17.17 2.88 -17.11 -21.68 -12.43 22.28 1.02 rw[85] -17.11 2.84 -17.05 -21.96 -12.66 22.65 1.03 rw[86] -17.08 2.83 -17.02 -22.07 -12.95 21.49 1.03 rw[87] -17.02 2.85 -17.08 -21.65 -12.46 21.20 1.03 rw[88] -17.01 2.79 -17.11 -21.43 -12.47 21.68 1.03 rw[89] -16.99 2.77 -16.92 -21.80 -12.76 21.08 1.03 rw[90] -16.97 2.79 -17.04 -21.39 -12.34 21.39 1.03 rw[91] -16.94 2.79 -16.80 -21.54 -12.41 21.39 1.03 rw[92] -16.87 2.81 -16.87 -21.60 -12.49 21.19 1.03 rw[93] -16.87 2.83 -16.79 -21.68 -12.44 21.30 1.03 rw[94] -16.86 2.77 -16.84 -21.78 -12.92 21.47 1.03 rw[95] -16.78 2.79 -16.73 -21.17 -12.34 21.95 1.03 rw[96] -16.71 2.77 -16.54 -21.20 -12.37 21.76 1.03 rw[97] -16.62 2.75 -16.47 -21.47 -12.53 23.28 1.03 rw[98] -16.56 2.73 -16.35 -20.86 -11.97 23.96 1.02 rw[99] -16.46 2.71 -16.28 -20.92 -12.10 23.12 1.03 rw[100] -16.31 2.75 -16.25 -20.95 -11.94 22.49 1.02 rw[101] -16.24 2.76 -16.16 -21.19 -12.02 22.09 1.02 rw[102] -16.14 2.75 -16.17 -20.93 -12.04 23.09 1.02 rw[103] -16.05 2.72 -16.00 -20.68 -11.82 22.75 1.02 rw[104] -15.98 2.74 -15.87 -21.13 -11.97 22.31 1.02 rw[105] -15.87 2.77 -15.75 -20.50 -11.37 20.73 1.02 rw[106] -15.74 2.76 -15.54 -20.29 -11.27 20.88 1.02 rw[107] -15.67 2.76 -15.53 -20.28 -11.35 20.72 1.02 rw[108] -15.55 2.78 -15.54 -20.41 -11.17 21.20 1.02 rw[109] -15.52 2.81 -15.50 -20.10 -11.08 20.11 1.02 rw[110] -15.48 2.82 -15.45 -20.51 -11.38 20.79 1.02 rw[111] -15.47 2.81 -15.48 -19.80 -10.76 19.97 1.03 rw[112] -15.46 2.79 -15.55 -20.25 -11.16 20.29 1.03 rw[113] -15.44 2.79 -15.42 -20.14 -11.10 20.57 1.03 rw[114] -15.47 2.80 -15.46 -20.18 -11.12 21.26 1.02 rw[115] -15.51 2.78 -15.46 -19.88 -10.86 22.30 1.02 rw[116] -15.57 2.78 -15.55 -20.24 -11.10 22.15 1.03 rw[117] -15.61 2.74 -15.48 -20.00 -11.17 21.80 1.03 rw[118] -15.68 2.68 -15.63 -20.01 -11.36 22.35 1.02 rw[119] -15.75 2.67 -15.77 -19.62 -11.00 22.82 1.03 rw[120] -15.83 2.72 -15.85 -20.14 -11.44 22.23 1.03 rw[121] -15.89 2.69 -15.91 -20.40 -11.86 22.50 1.03 rw[122] -16.00 2.67 -16.01 -20.45 -11.92 22.69 1.03 rw[123] -16.07 2.69 -16.12 -19.95 -11.32 22.02 1.03 rw[124] -16.10 2.69 -16.07 -20.42 -11.98 21.27 1.03 rw[125] -16.14 2.68 -16.09 -20.67 -12.10 21.23 1.04 rw[126] -16.20 2.69 -16.22 -20.65 -12.16 20.65 1.04 rw[127] -16.24 2.70 -16.26 -20.84 -12.20 19.85 1.05 rw[128] -16.25 2.68 -16.26 -20.42 -11.78 20.69 1.04 rw[129] -16.32 2.74 -16.34 -20.88 -12.14 21.50 1.04 rw[130] -16.37 2.71 -16.33 -20.75 -12.03 20.95 1.04 rw[131] -16.41 2.75 -16.39 -21.24 -12.48 19.78 1.04 rw[132] -16.47 2.76 -16.43 -21.18 -12.32 20.23 1.04 rw[133] -16.49 2.81 -16.39 -20.88 -11.85 20.70 1.04 rw[134] -16.52 2.80 -16.49 -20.92 -12.02 20.35 1.03 rw[135] -16.59 2.80 -16.53 -21.31 -12.28 19.94 1.03 rw[136] -16.62 2.77 -16.55 -21.12 -12.05 19.77 1.03 rw[137] -16.61 2.78 -16.56 -21.53 -12.61 19.69 1.04 rw[138] -16.61 2.79 -16.52 -21.13 -12.08 20.31 1.04 rw[139] -16.59 2.76 -16.54 -21.18 -12.30 21.59 1.03 rw[140] -16.52 2.73 -16.55 -20.93 -12.01 20.71 1.03 rw[141] -16.46 2.73 -16.51 -20.47 -11.71 20.54 1.04 rw[142] -16.39 2.71 -16.47 -21.06 -12.20 20.21 1.04 rw[143] -16.34 2.69 -16.29 -20.46 -11.73 20.68 1.04 rw[144] -16.20 2.70 -16.15 -20.56 -11.96 21.20 1.03 rw[145] -16.11 2.69 -16.19 -20.64 -11.93 21.16 1.03 rw[146] -16.05 2.68 -16.05 -20.31 -11.66 21.45 1.02 rw[147] -15.95 2.69 -15.96 -20.80 -11.98 21.49 1.02 rw[148] -15.94 2.68 -15.80 -20.27 -11.54 22.10 1.02 rw[149] -15.81 2.65 -15.74 -20.13 -11.40 22.16 1.02 rw[150] -15.73 2.67 -15.79 -20.06 -11.35 20.94 1.02 rw[151] -15.59 2.68 -15.60 -20.00 -11.32 20.87 1.02 rw[152] -15.53 2.67 -15.44 -20.12 -11.46 20.88 1.01 rw[153] -15.43 2.68 -15.31 -20.19 -11.38 20.72 1.02 rw[154] -15.28 2.65 -15.10 -19.67 -11.19 20.22 1.01 rw[155] -15.18 2.66 -14.99 -19.57 -10.95 21.19 1.02 rw[156] -15.05 2.62 -14.92 -19.58 -10.99 20.42 1.02 rw[157] -14.93 2.66 -14.82 -19.27 -10.69 19.02 1.03 rw[158] -14.85 2.71 -14.70 -19.98 -11.09 19.10 1.03 rw[159] -14.69 2.68 -14.67 -19.06 -10.62 18.33 1.03 rw[160] -14.59 2.65 -14.56 -18.73 -10.28 19.00 1.03 rw[161] -14.47 2.69 -14.33 -18.62 -10.05 19.63 1.03 rw[162] -14.32 2.71 -14.27 -18.64 -10.09 20.27 1.03 rw[163] -14.28 2.68 -14.27 -18.25 -9.64 20.78 1.03 rw[164] -14.23 2.69 -14.18 -18.73 -10.11 21.54 1.03 rw[165] -14.13 2.69 -14.15 -18.75 -10.20 20.69 1.04 rw[166] -14.09 2.70 -14.18 -18.50 -9.86 21.17 1.03 rw[167] -14.07 2.72 -14.12 -18.45 -9.64 22.51 1.03 rw[168] -14.07 2.76 -14.13 -19.04 -10.11 21.77 1.03 rw[169] -14.06 2.74 -14.12 -18.92 -10.02 22.37 1.03 rw[170] -14.08 2.70 -14.12 -18.25 -9.52 21.84 1.03 rw[171] -14.12 2.72 -14.18 -18.78 -9.85 21.11 1.03 rw[172] -14.10 2.67 -14.15 -18.74 -10.16 21.43 1.03 rw[173] -14.14 2.69 -14.14 -18.34 -9.87 21.12 1.03 rw[174] -14.15 2.63 -14.12 -18.22 -9.81 20.46 1.03 rw[175] -14.14 2.63 -14.15 -18.11 -9.93 19.07 1.03 rw[176] -14.09 2.63 -14.11 -17.91 -9.62 19.05 1.04 rw[177] -14.05 2.65 -13.99 -18.02 -9.51 18.07 1.04 rw[178] -13.98 2.63 -13.96 -18.45 -9.91 18.74 1.04 rw[179] -13.88 2.67 -13.91 -18.40 -9.69 19.58 1.03 rw[180] -13.71 2.70 -13.65 -17.89 -9.04 19.50 1.03 rw[181] -13.51 2.72 -13.41 -17.78 -8.94 19.83 1.03 rw[182] -13.36 2.70 -13.22 -18.45 -9.45 20.38 1.03 rw[183] -13.23 2.68 -13.12 -17.71 -8.82 19.38 1.03 rw[184] -13.03 2.76 -13.05 -17.30 -8.31 19.74 1.03 rw[185] -12.93 2.76 -12.77 -17.42 -8.40 19.63 1.03 rw[186] -12.87 2.70 -12.74 -16.98 -8.29 20.12 1.03 rw[187] -12.80 2.69 -12.70 -17.16 -8.52 20.08 1.03 rw[188] -12.87 2.73 -12.80 -17.63 -8.69 20.48 1.03 rw[189] -12.96 2.79 -12.94 -17.57 -8.51 20.22 1.03 rw[190] -13.16 2.75 -13.04 -17.49 -8.81 19.77 1.03 rw[191] -13.46 2.72 -13.41 -18.10 -9.34 20.32 1.02 rw[192] -13.88 2.72 -13.74 -18.07 -9.26 20.76 1.03 rw[193] -14.32 2.72 -14.21 -18.72 -10.14 20.91 1.03 rw[194] -14.75 2.71 -14.63 -19.17 -10.47 20.30 1.04 rw[195] -15.19 2.72 -15.11 -19.43 -10.87 21.04 1.04 rw[196] -15.58 2.64 -15.57 -19.74 -11.16 20.44 1.04 rw[197] -15.98 2.67 -15.96 -20.78 -12.07 20.60 1.04 rw[198] -16.25 2.71 -16.22 -20.69 -11.92 21.18 1.03 rw[199] -16.50 2.67 -16.51 -21.25 -12.53 21.59 1.04 rw[200] -16.61 2.67 -16.59 -20.81 -12.29 21.27 1.03 rw[201] -16.66 2.64 -16.64 -20.32 -11.82 21.13 1.03 rw[202] -16.59 2.68 -16.53 -20.45 -11.93 20.57 1.03 rw[203] -16.51 2.67 -16.45 -20.74 -12.12 20.91 1.03 rw[204] -16.35 2.65 -16.36 -20.95 -12.32 22.84 1.02 rw[205] -16.15 2.67 -16.18 -20.19 -11.83 21.14 1.02 rw[206] -16.03 2.68 -15.98 -20.10 -11.30 21.73 1.02 rw[207] -15.86 2.71 -15.82 -20.28 -11.52 21.47 1.02 rw[208] -15.67 2.68 -15.67 -20.12 -11.45 20.95 1.02 rw[209] -15.52 2.67 -15.48 -19.78 -11.30 20.71 1.02 rw[210] -15.41 2.71 -15.31 -19.69 -11.00 20.12 1.02 rw[211] -15.25 2.69 -15.18 -19.70 -11.23 20.52 1.03 rw[212] -15.17 2.70 -15.15 -19.14 -10.50 20.54 1.02 rw[213] -15.07 2.70 -14.91 -19.37 -10.49 20.19 1.03 rw[214] -14.99 2.66 -14.94 -19.32 -10.66 20.59 1.03 rw[215] -14.91 2.67 -14.84 -19.14 -10.40 21.04 1.03 rw[216] -14.85 2.66 -14.75 -19.00 -10.33 20.45 1.03 rw[217] -14.72 2.69 -14.68 -19.30 -10.41 19.77 1.03 rw[218] -14.67 2.65 -14.60 -19.32 -10.72 19.65 1.03 rw[219] -14.56 2.67 -14.44 -19.39 -10.52 20.43 1.03 rw[220] -14.45 2.66 -14.30 -18.94 -10.15 20.17 1.03 rw[221] -14.33 2.64 -14.19 -18.88 -10.55 20.03 1.03 rw[222] -14.22 2.61 -14.14 -18.46 -10.25 19.83 1.03 rw[223] -14.12 2.61 -14.11 -18.69 -10.31 20.33 1.03 rw[224] -14.01 2.60 -13.96 -18.79 -10.43 19.17 1.04 rw[225] -13.89 2.62 -13.87 -18.14 -9.90 19.00 1.03 rw[226] -13.77 2.64 -13.72 -18.51 -9.93 18.67 1.04 rw[227] -13.61 2.65 -13.68 -18.07 -9.44 18.07 1.04 rw[228] -13.48 2.64 -13.40 -17.85 -9.34 18.92 1.04 rw[229] -13.40 2.65 -13.35 -17.55 -9.07 18.89 1.04 rw[230] -13.31 2.63 -13.37 -17.37 -8.96 18.98 1.04 rw[231] -13.27 2.65 -13.25 -17.34 -9.00 19.23 1.04 rw[232] -13.15 2.68 -13.04 -17.18 -8.61 19.15 1.04 rw[233] -13.05 2.71 -12.92 -17.57 -8.84 20.37 1.03 rw[234] -12.94 2.73 -12.90 -17.34 -8.53 20.65 1.03 rw[235] -12.93 2.71 -12.84 -17.58 -8.80 20.77 1.03 rw[236] -12.87 2.68 -12.86 -17.20 -8.56 21.77 1.03 rw[237] -12.89 2.69 -12.84 -16.85 -8.03 20.51 1.03 rw[238] -12.82 2.70 -12.77 -17.33 -8.72 21.24 1.03 rw[239] -12.79 2.66 -12.69 -17.42 -8.91 20.34 1.03 rw[240] -12.80 2.60 -12.75 -16.87 -8.35 20.44 1.03 rw[241] -12.81 2.59 -12.74 -16.80 -8.51 20.00 1.03 rw[242] -12.81 2.60 -12.61 -17.77 -9.09 19.50 1.03 rw[243] -12.74 2.62 -12.65 -17.28 -8.75 19.30 1.03 rw[244] -12.69 2.61 -12.60 -16.90 -8.55 19.59 1.03 rw[245] -12.60 2.62 -12.54 -17.15 -8.57 20.55 1.03 rw[246] -12.59 2.63 -12.52 -16.89 -8.31 19.69 1.02 rw[247] -12.55 2.64 -12.53 -17.13 -8.59 19.34 1.03 rw[248] -12.56 2.65 -12.50 -17.16 -8.65 18.85 1.03 rw[249] -12.56 2.60 -12.52 -16.83 -8.45 18.74 1.02 rw[250] -12.57 2.61 -12.51 -17.21 -8.90 19.01 1.03 rw[251] -12.60 2.60 -12.53 -16.84 -8.42 19.08 1.03 rw[252] -12.61 2.64 -12.54 -16.69 -8.13 18.70 1.03 rw[253] -12.70 2.63 -12.67 -16.54 -8.24 18.99 1.04 rw[254] -12.81 2.65 -12.74 -17.56 -8.87 20.60 1.03 rw[255] -12.88 2.64 -12.74 -17.12 -8.57 20.26 1.03 rw[256] -12.92 2.62 -12.85 -16.66 -8.16 20.01 1.04 rw[257] -12.96 2.65 -12.93 -17.36 -8.93 19.77 1.03 rw[258] -12.92 2.60 -12.83 -17.65 -9.35 19.25 1.03 rw[259] -12.91 2.58 -12.75 -17.08 -8.81 18.43 1.03 rw[260] -12.80 2.55 -12.76 -16.77 -8.50 16.58 1.03 rw[261] -12.76 2.48 -12.67 -16.80 -8.83 16.30 1.04 rw[262] -12.65 2.32 -12.57 -16.72 -9.30 15.55 1.04 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1202.37 1.00 Number of divergences: 0