mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.84 0.96 0.50 0.00 2.08 641.32 1.00 E0 1.45 1.29 1.06 0.00 3.52 1404.97 1.00 H0 0.81 0.72 0.63 0.00 1.71 1312.53 1.00 I0 2.13 1.59 1.83 0.00 4.58 1123.90 1.00 beta0 0.11 0.10 0.08 0.00 0.22 590.93 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.33 0.14 0.32 0.10 0.51 706.30 1.00 death_dispersion 0.34 0.13 0.33 0.11 0.52 708.47 1.00 death_prob 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 1278.70 1.00 death_rate 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.06 1319.45 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.29 0.19 0.40 1907.02 1.00 det_prob_d 0.89 0.03 0.90 0.84 0.94 1700.86 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.52 2065.39 1.00 rw[0] -0.05 1.00 -0.05 -1.70 1.52 691.07 1.00 rw[1] -0.14 1.39 -0.14 -2.63 1.95 587.09 1.00 rw[2] -0.20 1.70 -0.16 -2.93 2.69 414.26 1.00 rw[3] -0.24 1.94 -0.21 -3.24 2.95 346.19 1.00 rw[4] -0.27 2.17 -0.32 -3.90 3.17 327.28 1.00 rw[5] -0.28 2.35 -0.21 -3.76 3.72 361.28 1.00 rw[6] -0.31 2.53 -0.28 -4.56 3.51 297.15 1.00 rw[7] -0.32 2.67 -0.38 -4.44 4.08 264.71 1.00 rw[8] -0.33 2.83 -0.32 -4.78 4.36 224.35 1.00 rw[9] -0.31 2.97 -0.35 -5.02 4.55 214.67 1.00 rw[10] -0.32 3.06 -0.35 -5.45 4.59 190.77 1.00 rw[11] -0.38 3.15 -0.45 -6.07 4.36 167.20 1.00 rw[12] -0.43 3.27 -0.50 -6.14 4.75 150.70 1.00 rw[13] -0.43 3.39 -0.50 -6.75 4.48 140.64 1.00 rw[14] -0.46 3.52 -0.41 -5.86 5.99 134.10 1.00 rw[15] -0.42 3.69 -0.50 -6.79 5.60 127.54 1.00 rw[16] -0.37 3.80 -0.43 -6.79 5.97 121.68 1.00 rw[17] -0.35 3.88 -0.51 -6.17 6.40 119.42 1.00 rw[18] -0.33 3.99 -0.55 -6.78 6.32 110.08 1.00 rw[19] -0.36 4.06 -0.59 -7.14 6.16 101.59 1.00 rw[20] -0.34 4.16 -0.57 -6.77 6.91 102.30 1.00 rw[21] -0.33 4.25 -0.53 -7.58 6.17 101.64 1.00 rw[22] -0.33 4.34 -0.49 -7.07 6.63 102.79 1.00 rw[23] -0.32 4.43 -0.35 -7.29 7.01 106.14 1.00 rw[24] -0.35 4.51 -0.52 -7.75 6.96 105.32 1.00 rw[25] -0.39 4.60 -0.64 -6.93 8.02 101.05 1.00 rw[26] -0.38 4.69 -0.60 -7.51 7.42 98.55 1.00 rw[27] -0.37 4.74 -0.62 -8.04 7.12 93.87 1.00 rw[28] -0.36 4.81 -0.40 -8.48 6.91 90.28 1.00 rw[29] -0.35 4.88 -0.33 -8.40 7.26 86.54 1.01 rw[30] -0.31 4.98 -0.22 -8.22 7.81 82.33 1.01 rw[31] -0.31 5.05 -0.18 -8.52 7.79 81.43 1.01 rw[32] -0.34 5.15 -0.36 -9.14 7.55 79.73 1.01 rw[33] -0.30 5.24 -0.18 -8.74 8.08 79.14 1.01 rw[34] -0.33 5.33 -0.38 -8.85 8.27 76.56 1.01 rw[35] -0.37 5.38 -0.49 -8.67 8.92 76.76 1.01 rw[36] -0.37 5.41 -0.49 -9.12 8.23 75.70 1.01 rw[37] -0.38 5.54 -0.51 -9.66 8.36 75.27 1.01 rw[38] -0.44 5.61 -0.49 -9.98 8.34 75.07 1.01 rw[39] -0.43 5.68 -0.50 -9.90 8.80 75.15 1.01 rw[40] -0.47 5.76 -0.70 -9.51 9.52 73.95 1.01 rw[41] -0.50 5.80 -0.79 -8.81 10.09 73.44 1.01 rw[42] -0.44 5.87 -0.65 -9.06 10.25 72.71 1.01 rw[43] -0.46 5.98 -0.57 -9.31 10.07 74.00 1.01 rw[44] -0.47 5.98 -0.52 -10.74 8.81 75.27 1.01 rw[45] -0.48 6.04 -0.64 -8.84 10.93 73.92 1.01 rw[46] -0.50 6.11 -0.60 -9.99 9.92 74.84 1.01 rw[47] -0.49 6.21 -0.71 -10.29 9.79 74.85 1.01 rw[48] -0.46 6.27 -0.72 -9.37 11.15 73.10 1.01 rw[49] -0.52 6.31 -0.75 -10.17 10.43 73.11 1.01 rw[50] -0.47 6.37 -0.68 -10.35 10.47 74.05 1.01 rw[51] -0.46 6.39 -0.68 -10.27 10.60 74.52 1.01 rw[52] -0.44 6.50 -0.68 -9.43 11.71 73.05 1.01 rw[53] -0.47 6.53 -0.92 -10.95 10.31 72.81 1.01 rw[54] -0.47 6.62 -0.78 -10.71 11.03 72.39 1.01 rw[55] -0.48 6.66 -0.90 -11.72 10.20 71.99 1.01 rw[56] -0.47 6.72 -0.86 -12.36 9.79 71.76 1.01 rw[57] -0.50 6.76 -0.78 -11.20 11.21 71.05 1.01 rw[58] -0.53 6.79 -1.02 -11.45 10.81 71.81 1.01 rw[59] -0.59 6.87 -0.84 -10.96 11.70 71.38 1.01 rw[60] -0.57 6.92 -0.93 -11.27 11.58 70.99 1.01 rw[61] -0.61 6.97 -1.02 -11.25 11.67 70.81 1.01 rw[62] -0.61 7.02 -1.06 -12.86 10.10 72.09 1.01 rw[63] -0.58 7.07 -0.94 -12.03 10.96 73.06 1.01 rw[64] -0.55 7.13 -0.96 -11.98 11.08 72.76 1.01 rw[65] -0.52 7.19 -0.96 -12.35 10.78 73.17 1.01 rw[66] -0.51 7.24 -1.02 -12.91 10.67 72.89 1.01 rw[67] -0.46 7.28 -0.89 -12.21 10.87 71.95 1.01 rw[68] -0.49 7.33 -1.15 -11.86 11.39 72.58 1.01 rw[69] -0.51 7.37 -1.07 -13.29 10.37 72.92 1.01 rw[70] -0.56 7.40 -1.27 -12.10 11.76 71.30 1.01 rw[71] -0.57 7.41 -1.17 -12.52 11.23 69.03 1.01 rw[72] -0.58 7.45 -1.12 -13.10 10.61 65.80 1.01 rw[73] -0.52 7.49 -1.20 -12.34 11.82 63.93 1.01 rw[74] -0.52 7.54 -1.11 -13.43 10.87 62.49 1.01 rw[75] -0.55 7.58 -1.21 -12.67 12.15 62.89 1.01 rw[76] -0.57 7.63 -1.26 -14.08 10.77 63.79 1.01 rw[77] -0.56 7.66 -1.08 -14.55 10.19 63.00 1.01 rw[78] -0.50 7.66 -1.06 -13.05 11.62 62.85 1.01 rw[79] -0.50 7.69 -1.08 -13.33 11.31 61.84 1.01 rw[80] -0.49 7.72 -1.16 -13.47 11.22 61.30 1.01 rw[81] -0.53 7.71 -1.15 -13.79 10.97 61.12 1.01 rw[82] -0.54 7.78 -1.18 -12.61 12.26 61.06 1.01 rw[83] -0.58 7.83 -1.07 -14.51 10.45 62.07 1.01 rw[84] -0.57 7.86 -1.15 -13.14 12.17 60.96 1.01 rw[85] -0.63 7.90 -1.12 -14.09 10.94 60.80 1.01 rw[86] -0.61 7.98 -1.08 -13.66 12.05 60.37 1.01 rw[87] -0.60 7.97 -1.17 -14.35 11.29 60.19 1.01 rw[88] -0.57 7.97 -1.16 -14.67 10.66 60.50 1.01 rw[89] -0.60 7.95 -1.01 -15.28 10.81 62.86 1.01 rw[90] -0.61 7.99 -1.18 -14.05 11.94 60.67 1.01 rw[91] -0.62 8.01 -1.13 -13.63 12.52 60.01 1.01 rw[92] -0.66 8.10 -1.19 -13.73 12.81 59.48 1.01 rw[93] -0.65 8.22 -1.11 -13.24 13.54 59.96 1.01 rw[94] -0.67 8.26 -1.31 -13.93 13.28 61.35 1.01 rw[95] -0.69 8.28 -1.27 -13.04 14.17 61.62 1.01 rw[96] -0.71 8.30 -1.21 -15.30 12.19 62.27 1.01 rw[97] -0.74 8.32 -1.17 -14.11 13.10 62.23 1.01 rw[98] -0.71 8.38 -1.27 -14.73 12.78 62.18 1.01 rw[99] -0.65 8.41 -0.97 -13.85 13.84 63.61 1.01 rw[100] -0.68 8.47 -0.87 -13.51 14.46 62.39 1.01 rw[101] -0.67 8.52 -1.04 -14.72 13.25 60.08 1.01 rw[102] -0.64 8.58 -1.09 -14.80 13.23 59.14 1.01 rw[103] -0.64 8.67 -0.97 -15.12 13.36 58.69 1.01 rw[104] -0.67 8.67 -1.12 -14.51 13.73 58.09 1.01 rw[105] -0.70 8.72 -0.80 -15.04 13.41 57.63 1.01 rw[106] -0.72 8.73 -0.98 -13.81 14.52 59.56 1.01 rw[107] -0.74 8.73 -0.91 -13.95 14.11 59.02 1.01 rw[108] -0.74 8.72 -1.22 -14.80 13.55 61.10 1.01 rw[109] -0.74 8.75 -1.07 -13.88 14.85 62.52 1.01 rw[110] -0.73 8.79 -1.10 -15.02 13.78 63.00 1.00 rw[111] -0.75 8.86 -1.26 -15.60 13.56 62.51 1.00 rw[112] -0.83 8.90 -1.09 -15.81 13.42 63.22 1.00 rw[113] -0.90 9.00 -1.28 -15.93 13.41 63.91 1.00 rw[114] -0.88 8.97 -1.21 -14.89 14.35 63.40 1.00 rw[115] -0.90 9.00 -1.19 -14.87 14.53 64.60 1.00 rw[116] -0.85 9.04 -1.14 -14.85 14.78 63.24 1.00 rw[117] -0.84 9.12 -1.07 -15.47 14.66 64.25 1.00 rw[118] -0.89 9.22 -1.22 -15.30 14.93 64.59 1.00 rw[119] -0.94 9.27 -1.23 -15.68 14.81 63.95 1.00 rw[120] -1.01 9.29 -1.37 -16.51 14.23 63.42 1.00 rw[121] -1.04 9.34 -1.07 -18.47 12.82 65.44 1.00 rw[122] -1.05 9.38 -1.17 -17.36 14.00 65.62 1.00 rw[123] -1.02 9.40 -1.06 -16.35 15.07 63.54 1.00 rw[124] -1.07 9.43 -1.08 -16.87 14.44 66.00 1.00 rw[125] -1.05 9.47 -1.21 -17.07 14.11 65.24 1.00 rw[126] -1.08 9.46 -1.14 -16.69 14.32 66.76 1.00 rw[127] -1.06 9.48 -1.15 -15.78 15.45 67.09 1.00 rw[128] -1.04 9.48 -1.33 -16.51 14.72 70.46 1.00 rw[129] -1.04 9.51 -1.20 -16.88 14.60 73.27 1.00 rw[130] -1.04 9.50 -1.34 -18.06 13.35 71.88 1.00 rw[131] -1.06 9.51 -1.06 -16.38 14.58 71.48 1.00 rw[132] -1.08 9.53 -1.25 -16.80 14.32 74.83 1.00 rw[133] -1.07 9.59 -1.40 -17.16 14.54 75.04 1.00 rw[134] -1.10 9.61 -1.50 -18.02 13.88 73.93 1.00 rw[135] -1.08 9.64 -1.44 -17.67 14.38 75.03 1.00 rw[136] -1.09 9.72 -1.42 -17.07 15.21 77.09 1.00 rw[137] -1.12 9.76 -1.18 -17.91 14.74 81.16 1.00 rw[138] -1.16 9.81 -1.17 -17.38 15.29 83.26 1.00 rw[139] -1.14 9.83 -1.43 -17.30 15.57 84.11 1.00 rw[140] -1.14 9.82 -1.48 -17.60 14.49 84.84 1.00 rw[141] -1.16 9.85 -1.44 -17.22 15.25 84.15 1.00 rw[142] -1.17 9.84 -1.50 -16.76 15.75 84.22 1.00 rw[143] -1.17 9.90 -1.33 -16.82 15.70 84.50 1.00 rw[144] -1.15 9.89 -1.30 -16.76 15.66 84.72 1.00 rw[145] -1.14 9.95 -1.36 -18.90 14.38 84.92 1.00 rw[146] -1.18 10.02 -1.22 -18.64 14.49 86.23 1.00 rw[147] -1.19 10.08 -1.29 -18.69 14.32 86.69 1.00 rw[148] -1.20 10.11 -1.34 -19.17 14.17 86.92 1.00 rw[149] -1.18 10.14 -1.27 -18.64 14.98 86.57 1.00 rw[150] -1.19 10.21 -1.44 -18.23 15.85 87.07 1.00 rw[151] -1.15 10.23 -1.36 -18.09 16.13 86.97 1.00 rw[152] -1.14 10.24 -1.16 -19.59 14.89 87.75 1.00 rw[153] -1.16 10.35 -1.56 -18.34 16.20 87.38 1.00 rw[154] -1.10 10.38 -1.31 -19.47 15.25 87.82 1.00 rw[155] -1.11 10.40 -1.32 -17.97 16.61 87.71 1.00 rw[156] -1.15 10.42 -1.31 -19.75 14.66 87.95 1.00 rw[157] -1.14 10.44 -1.22 -18.25 16.24 87.11 1.00 rw[158] -1.12 10.44 -1.33 -17.53 16.76 86.78 1.00 rw[159] -1.15 10.42 -0.97 -17.78 16.95 86.48 1.00 rw[160] -1.17 10.44 -1.19 -19.52 15.36 86.01 1.00 rw[161] -1.25 10.45 -1.22 -19.06 15.39 85.69 1.00 rw[162] -1.22 10.46 -1.23 -18.60 15.62 87.23 1.00 rw[163] -1.25 10.48 -1.31 -18.62 15.64 86.82 1.00 rw[164] -1.21 10.51 -1.24 -19.10 15.35 86.00 1.00 rw[165] -1.20 10.53 -1.34 -19.21 15.35 85.61 1.00 rw[166] -1.13 10.59 -1.22 -18.35 16.50 85.56 1.00 rw[167] -1.14 10.65 -1.26 -20.24 14.52 86.40 1.00 rw[168] -1.20 10.67 -1.17 -18.49 16.63 86.84 1.00 rw[169] -1.23 10.77 -1.20 -20.20 14.85 86.91 1.00 rw[170] -1.21 10.82 -1.34 -21.13 14.42 86.99 1.00 rw[171] -1.21 10.87 -1.31 -20.42 14.85 86.14 1.00 rw[172] -1.21 10.95 -1.12 -21.13 14.97 86.69 1.00 rw[173] -1.23 10.96 -1.09 -19.53 16.27 86.25 1.00 rw[174] -1.23 10.96 -1.25 -19.63 16.03 87.45 1.00 rw[175] -1.18 11.00 -1.33 -19.90 16.04 87.54 1.00 rw[176] -1.21 11.04 -1.35 -19.09 17.40 87.70 1.00 rw[177] -1.17 11.05 -1.28 -19.41 17.18 88.36 1.00 rw[178] -1.24 11.08 -1.16 -20.80 15.80 88.89 1.00 rw[179] -1.24 11.13 -1.36 -18.91 17.42 89.39 1.00 rw[180] -1.29 11.17 -1.23 -18.81 17.43 89.32 1.00 rw[181] -1.28 11.18 -1.24 -18.94 17.32 88.90 1.00 rw[182] -1.26 11.24 -1.16 -19.26 16.64 88.95 1.00 rw[183] -1.22 11.29 -1.11 -19.16 16.52 89.33 1.00 rw[184] -1.25 11.33 -1.03 -19.28 16.48 89.61 1.00 rw[185] -1.22 11.33 -0.91 -20.35 15.53 90.36 1.00 rw[186] -1.25 11.33 -1.11 -20.74 15.50 90.37 1.00 rw[187] -1.27 11.39 -1.19 -19.32 17.29 89.77 1.00 rw[188] -1.25 11.44 -1.03 -18.92 17.51 89.35 1.00 rw[189] -1.20 11.42 -1.05 -20.58 15.77 89.77 1.00 rw[190] -1.22 11.43 -0.95 -20.32 16.01 89.82 1.00 rw[191] -1.21 11.50 -1.07 -19.53 17.06 89.31 1.00 rw[192] -1.24 11.49 -0.91 -19.92 16.62 89.45 1.00 rw[193] -1.24 11.45 -0.69 -19.00 17.67 89.10 1.00 rw[194] -1.20 11.48 -0.97 -20.13 16.87 90.16 1.00 rw[195] -1.17 11.47 -0.94 -20.54 16.62 91.06 1.00 rw[196] -1.19 11.49 -0.90 -20.68 16.49 90.23 1.00 rw[197] -1.20 11.51 -0.92 -23.13 14.15 89.93 1.00 rw[198] -1.18 11.60 -0.87 -22.52 14.98 90.86 1.00 rw[199] -1.20 11.64 -1.02 -20.88 16.89 91.18 1.00 rw[200] -1.18 11.69 -0.96 -22.09 15.85 90.78 1.00 rw[201] -1.22 11.71 -0.75 -20.08 18.02 91.62 1.00 rw[202] -1.24 11.72 -0.95 -21.54 16.51 92.31 1.00 rw[203] -1.22 11.75 -1.23 -21.99 16.34 92.31 1.00 rw[204] -1.25 11.76 -1.24 -20.91 17.64 91.90 1.00 rw[205] -1.23 11.83 -1.21 -22.43 15.95 91.85 1.00 rw[206] -1.16 11.88 -1.20 -22.77 15.70 92.02 1.00 rw[207] -1.13 11.98 -1.18 -21.18 17.86 91.80 1.00 rw[208] -1.19 11.98 -1.14 -21.32 17.69 90.87 1.00 rw[209] -1.16 12.06 -1.18 -22.01 17.30 90.28 1.00 rw[210] -1.14 12.11 -1.16 -21.03 18.00 90.35 1.00 rw[211] -1.10 12.11 -1.02 -21.91 16.60 89.78 1.00 rw[212] -1.05 12.11 -0.87 -20.62 18.41 89.53 1.00 rw[213] -1.06 12.14 -0.74 -20.52 18.21 89.00 1.00 rw[214] -1.04 12.16 -0.88 -21.74 17.14 89.15 1.00 rw[215] -1.08 12.19 -1.03 -21.94 17.26 88.72 1.00 rw[216] -1.02 12.21 -1.11 -21.74 17.03 88.31 1.00 rw[217] -1.01 12.21 -1.23 -21.50 17.40 88.67 1.00 rw[218] -1.07 12.18 -1.17 -22.16 17.05 89.25 1.00 rw[219] -1.06 12.20 -1.17 -19.64 19.67 89.12 1.00 rw[220] -1.04 12.16 -1.29 -19.97 19.32 88.81 1.00 rw[221] -1.06 12.18 -1.13 -20.36 18.93 89.54 1.00 rw[222] -1.06 12.20 -1.34 -19.37 19.70 90.19 1.00 rw[223] -1.07 12.24 -1.30 -19.90 19.17 90.37 1.00 rw[224] -1.07 12.22 -1.24 -18.92 20.30 90.12 1.00 rw[225] -1.04 12.21 -1.45 -22.37 16.71 90.23 1.00 rw[226] -1.09 12.23 -1.68 -21.48 17.55 89.19 1.00 rw[227] -1.03 12.21 -1.46 -19.95 19.31 89.64 1.00 rw[228] -0.98 12.24 -1.34 -20.11 19.36 89.17 1.00 rw[229] -0.99 12.31 -1.19 -19.94 19.37 89.42 1.00 rw[230] -0.99 12.36 -1.18 -21.41 18.12 89.82 1.00 rw[231] -0.99 12.39 -1.10 -22.05 17.26 90.44 1.00 rw[232] -1.00 12.40 -0.98 -19.57 19.63 89.86 1.00 rw[233] -1.07 12.48 -1.20 -22.77 17.52 90.20 1.00 rw[234] -1.09 12.51 -1.08 -21.72 18.41 90.24 1.00 rw[235] -1.05 12.52 -1.16 -22.18 17.50 90.75 1.00 rw[236] -1.04 12.55 -1.16 -21.09 18.80 90.65 1.00 rw[237] -1.05 12.51 -1.03 -20.44 19.60 91.19 1.00 rw[238] -1.05 12.52 -1.08 -22.72 17.29 91.23 1.00 rw[239] -1.03 12.63 -0.90 -21.48 18.77 91.58 1.00 rw[240] -1.01 12.60 -0.69 -21.86 18.42 92.58 1.00 rw[241] -0.99 12.68 -0.94 -20.93 19.42 91.83 1.00 rw[242] -1.05 12.71 -1.01 -21.16 19.21 90.60 1.00 rw[243] -1.06 12.73 -0.90 -21.92 18.56 90.76 1.00 rw[244] -1.05 12.78 -1.20 -21.95 18.48 90.31 1.00 rw[245] -1.05 12.82 -1.06 -21.93 18.75 91.32 1.00 rw[246] -1.10 12.85 -1.19 -22.80 18.35 91.82 1.00 rw[247] -1.11 12.93 -1.31 -22.06 19.20 92.46 1.00 rw[248] -1.17 12.99 -1.41 -21.50 20.13 92.52 1.01 rw[249] -1.24 12.99 -1.42 -21.70 19.77 92.44 1.01 rw[250] -1.21 12.98 -1.33 -20.94 20.60 91.89 1.01 rw[251] -1.20 12.98 -1.40 -21.11 20.47 92.13 1.01 rw[252] -1.23 13.01 -1.38 -21.37 19.76 92.70 1.01 rw[253] -1.26 13.05 -1.28 -22.65 18.83 92.96 1.01 rw[254] -1.19 13.04 -1.32 -21.37 19.48 93.84 1.01 rw[255] -1.17 13.13 -1.32 -21.92 19.13 93.94 1.01 rw[256] -1.21 13.15 -1.42 -22.67 18.93 94.13 1.00 rw[257] -1.18 13.24 -1.37 -22.94 19.04 93.62 1.00 rw[258] -1.20 13.27 -1.63 -22.07 19.74 93.51 1.00 rw[259] -1.18 13.30 -1.51 -23.26 18.95 93.52 1.00 rw[260] -1.27 13.35 -1.62 -21.73 20.60 93.38 1.00 rw[261] -1.27 13.36 -1.69 -22.59 19.72 93.85 1.00 rw[262] -1.30 13.47 -1.66 -22.41 20.51 93.93 1.00 rw[263] -1.27 13.51 -1.29 -23.11 20.08 93.51 1.00 rw[264] -1.29 13.56 -1.26 -22.94 20.60 94.94 1.00 rw[265] -1.27 13.59 -1.26 -23.62 20.14 95.57 1.00 rw[266] -1.26 13.64 -1.04 -23.00 20.27 95.72 1.00 rw[267] -1.26 13.67 -1.02 -22.18 21.57 95.86 1.00 rw[268] -1.27 13.70 -1.22 -22.18 21.91 96.86 1.00 rw[269] -1.24 13.75 -1.06 -23.92 20.69 97.22 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1857.71 1.00 Number of divergences: 1