mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 13.18 63.58 1.32 0.00 18.37 600.89 1.01 E0 25.73 29.68 15.80 0.01 60.88 61.01 1.02 H0 2.32 2.03 1.77 0.00 5.20 1289.54 1.00 I0 10.53 14.93 5.28 0.00 27.79 58.84 1.02 beta0 1.91 0.56 1.81 1.06 2.78 7.53 1.05 confirmed_dispersion 1.46 0.07 1.46 1.34 1.57 1601.22 1.00 death_dispersion 1.10 0.05 1.10 1.02 1.18 816.41 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 1174.32 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.07 939.93 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.19 0.40 1707.82 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 1399.06 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1755.18 1.00 rw[0] 0.11 1.04 0.13 -1.60 1.78 257.12 1.01 rw[1] 0.25 1.43 0.24 -2.25 2.47 86.71 1.01 rw[2] 0.48 1.70 0.50 -2.28 3.31 33.68 1.02 rw[3] 0.71 1.92 0.70 -2.46 3.71 24.78 1.03 rw[4] 0.96 2.12 1.01 -2.63 4.10 20.14 1.03 rw[5] 1.23 2.29 1.35 -2.30 4.98 16.41 1.03 rw[6] 1.55 2.46 1.49 -2.44 5.56 14.28 1.04 rw[7] 1.82 2.59 1.94 -2.57 5.78 13.02 1.04 rw[8] 2.08 2.69 2.20 -2.11 6.41 11.70 1.04 rw[9] 2.31 2.82 2.48 -2.03 6.89 10.70 1.05 rw[10] 2.44 2.95 2.51 -2.43 7.00 10.55 1.04 rw[11] 2.52 3.00 2.59 -2.36 7.00 10.18 1.05 rw[12] 2.42 3.06 2.59 -2.79 6.98 9.92 1.05 rw[13] 2.19 3.15 2.27 -2.72 7.26 9.74 1.05 rw[14] 1.86 3.16 2.03 -3.37 6.74 9.04 1.05 rw[15] 1.39 3.16 1.42 -3.05 7.24 8.90 1.05 rw[16] 0.67 3.20 0.78 -4.90 5.69 8.61 1.05 rw[17] -0.18 3.25 -0.11 -5.63 4.86 8.31 1.05 rw[18] -1.15 3.28 -1.03 -6.82 3.72 8.06 1.05 rw[19] -2.14 3.32 -2.02 -7.22 3.43 8.03 1.05 rw[20] -3.15 3.32 -3.16 -8.99 1.92 8.04 1.06 rw[21] -4.26 3.34 -4.27 -9.78 1.10 8.19 1.05 rw[22] -5.28 3.35 -5.29 -10.40 0.39 8.13 1.06 rw[23] -6.31 3.33 -6.27 -11.68 -1.03 8.20 1.05 rw[24] -7.41 3.32 -7.41 -12.86 -2.13 8.35 1.06 rw[25] -8.42 3.31 -8.41 -14.02 -3.23 8.44 1.06 rw[26] -9.40 3.30 -9.34 -14.52 -4.09 8.50 1.06 rw[27] -10.36 3.32 -10.32 -15.95 -5.26 8.37 1.06 rw[28] -11.27 3.32 -11.19 -16.06 -5.33 8.22 1.06 rw[29] -12.09 3.37 -12.02 -17.25 -6.37 8.59 1.06 rw[30] -12.88 3.36 -12.89 -18.09 -7.20 8.94 1.05 rw[31] -13.58 3.39 -13.59 -19.03 -7.98 9.16 1.05 rw[32] -14.26 3.42 -14.23 -19.71 -8.78 9.24 1.05 rw[33] -14.91 3.43 -14.97 -20.39 -9.25 9.09 1.05 rw[34] -15.48 3.46 -15.32 -20.65 -9.58 9.21 1.06 rw[35] -15.99 3.46 -15.90 -20.77 -9.54 9.26 1.05 rw[36] -16.52 3.47 -16.50 -22.35 -10.97 8.96 1.06 rw[37] -17.04 3.53 -16.89 -22.59 -11.26 9.07 1.06 rw[38] -17.40 3.50 -17.39 -22.74 -11.46 9.37 1.05 rw[39] -17.75 3.50 -17.72 -23.53 -12.41 9.71 1.05 rw[40] -18.07 3.52 -17.89 -23.80 -12.55 9.77 1.05 rw[41] -18.35 3.49 -18.33 -24.07 -12.98 9.54 1.05 rw[42] -18.59 3.56 -18.56 -24.46 -12.99 10.09 1.05 rw[43] -18.76 3.49 -18.64 -24.63 -13.33 10.02 1.04 rw[44] -18.93 3.46 -18.89 -24.14 -12.97 9.88 1.04 rw[45] -19.09 3.51 -19.04 -24.56 -13.28 9.76 1.04 rw[46] -19.19 3.51 -19.10 -24.68 -13.46 9.87 1.04 rw[47] -19.23 3.48 -19.18 -24.27 -13.21 9.72 1.04 rw[48] -19.20 3.49 -19.24 -24.53 -13.27 9.99 1.04 rw[49] -19.20 3.49 -19.28 -24.61 -13.23 9.77 1.04 rw[50] -19.12 3.43 -19.05 -24.59 -13.38 9.46 1.04 rw[51] -19.07 3.46 -19.08 -24.76 -13.52 9.76 1.04 rw[52] -19.03 3.47 -19.04 -24.81 -13.68 9.90 1.03 rw[53] -18.96 3.49 -18.88 -24.99 -13.58 10.09 1.03 rw[54] -18.85 3.54 -18.64 -24.27 -12.82 10.03 1.04 rw[55] -18.71 3.55 -18.70 -24.59 -13.08 10.35 1.04 rw[56] -18.56 3.49 -18.56 -24.16 -12.77 10.52 1.03 rw[57] -18.40 3.53 -18.33 -24.22 -13.05 10.15 1.04 rw[58] -18.22 3.52 -18.36 -23.65 -12.54 10.19 1.04 rw[59] -18.05 3.56 -17.93 -23.64 -12.12 10.12 1.04 rw[60] -17.90 3.54 -17.93 -23.42 -11.93 10.16 1.04 rw[61] -17.76 3.54 -17.69 -23.49 -12.12 9.97 1.04 rw[62] -17.57 3.50 -17.55 -23.13 -11.98 9.79 1.05 rw[63] -17.45 3.52 -17.42 -23.33 -12.10 9.70 1.05 rw[64] -17.23 3.55 -17.13 -22.90 -11.27 9.75 1.05 rw[65] -17.08 3.55 -16.91 -23.17 -11.60 9.75 1.05 rw[66] -16.96 3.53 -16.69 -23.33 -11.91 9.94 1.05 rw[67] -16.80 3.52 -16.53 -23.13 -11.55 10.06 1.05 rw[68] -16.66 3.54 -16.42 -22.64 -10.95 9.86 1.05 rw[69] -16.48 3.53 -16.34 -22.00 -10.29 9.99 1.05 rw[70] -16.39 3.51 -16.32 -22.05 -10.51 10.13 1.05 rw[71] -16.33 3.50 -16.24 -21.99 -10.60 10.04 1.06 rw[72] -16.23 3.46 -16.08 -21.68 -10.57 10.16 1.05 rw[73] -16.15 3.47 -16.06 -21.77 -10.36 9.48 1.06 rw[74] -16.03 3.43 -15.97 -21.62 -10.39 9.92 1.05 rw[75] -15.92 3.46 -15.76 -21.35 -10.01 9.51 1.05 rw[76] -15.84 3.46 -15.77 -21.00 -9.89 9.32 1.05 rw[77] -15.81 3.45 -15.74 -21.05 -9.80 9.01 1.05 rw[78] -15.68 3.48 -15.65 -21.50 -10.08 9.01 1.06 rw[79] -15.58 3.47 -15.59 -20.72 -9.15 8.62 1.06 rw[80] -15.53 3.48 -15.62 -20.88 -9.57 8.60 1.05 rw[81] -15.47 3.44 -15.49 -20.39 -9.09 8.75 1.05 rw[82] -15.35 3.46 -15.30 -21.12 -9.81 8.61 1.05 rw[83] -15.26 3.46 -15.19 -20.79 -9.45 8.41 1.05 rw[84] -15.19 3.50 -15.14 -20.58 -9.03 8.70 1.05 rw[85] -15.06 3.50 -15.12 -20.48 -9.39 8.97 1.05 rw[86] -14.98 3.51 -15.03 -20.79 -9.52 9.04 1.05 rw[87] -14.91 3.50 -15.04 -20.48 -8.95 9.13 1.04 rw[88] -14.81 3.41 -14.92 -20.10 -9.14 9.24 1.05 rw[89] -14.72 3.37 -14.87 -19.91 -9.24 9.35 1.04 rw[90] -14.59 3.39 -14.66 -20.21 -9.42 9.15 1.05 rw[91] -14.46 3.41 -14.56 -19.41 -8.58 9.17 1.05 rw[92] -14.24 3.46 -14.24 -19.79 -8.83 9.16 1.05 rw[93] -14.12 3.47 -14.12 -19.66 -8.62 9.30 1.05 rw[94] -13.95 3.48 -13.81 -19.29 -8.10 9.35 1.05 rw[95] -13.74 3.44 -13.66 -19.27 -7.99 9.35 1.05 rw[96] -13.47 3.47 -13.44 -19.50 -8.32 9.55 1.05 rw[97] -13.26 3.45 -13.17 -19.27 -8.21 9.60 1.05 rw[98] -13.00 3.40 -12.80 -18.31 -7.33 9.45 1.05 rw[99] -12.82 3.38 -12.69 -18.82 -7.68 9.78 1.05 rw[100] -12.66 3.39 -12.49 -18.44 -7.50 9.51 1.05 rw[101] -12.47 3.42 -12.38 -18.22 -6.84 9.44 1.04 rw[102] -12.28 3.34 -12.14 -17.96 -6.83 9.85 1.04 rw[103] -12.12 3.34 -11.93 -18.15 -7.16 9.85 1.04 rw[104] -11.99 3.34 -11.80 -17.73 -6.89 9.48 1.05 rw[105] -11.81 3.40 -11.64 -17.32 -6.29 9.39 1.04 rw[106] -11.69 3.37 -11.60 -17.16 -6.23 9.10 1.05 rw[107] -11.59 3.38 -11.52 -17.50 -6.62 8.98 1.05 rw[108] -11.50 3.39 -11.44 -16.96 -6.05 9.41 1.05 rw[109] -11.37 3.41 -11.28 -16.73 -5.51 9.08 1.05 rw[110] -11.29 3.38 -11.15 -16.30 -5.14 8.85 1.06 rw[111] -11.26 3.35 -11.23 -16.44 -5.58 8.73 1.05 rw[112] -11.24 3.41 -11.30 -16.95 -5.92 9.24 1.05 rw[113] -11.30 3.39 -11.30 -16.76 -5.75 8.71 1.05 rw[114] -11.36 3.38 -11.27 -17.10 -6.11 8.89 1.05 rw[115] -11.35 3.41 -11.22 -17.09 -5.99 8.88 1.05 rw[116] -11.36 3.39 -11.37 -17.03 -6.00 9.20 1.05 rw[117] -11.40 3.41 -11.29 -16.51 -5.46 9.01 1.05 rw[118] -11.45 3.47 -11.40 -16.77 -5.69 8.99 1.05 rw[119] -11.48 3.43 -11.39 -17.11 -6.08 9.55 1.04 rw[120] -11.54 3.44 -11.39 -17.09 -6.22 9.47 1.04 rw[121] -11.58 3.48 -11.53 -17.35 -6.14 9.05 1.04 rw[122] -11.66 3.48 -11.63 -17.76 -6.36 9.36 1.04 rw[123] -11.79 3.48 -11.68 -16.97 -5.86 9.24 1.04 rw[124] -11.83 3.46 -11.66 -17.24 -6.17 9.36 1.04 rw[125] -11.89 3.45 -11.73 -17.59 -6.25 9.11 1.05 rw[126] -11.90 3.44 -11.83 -17.48 -6.47 9.08 1.05 rw[127] -11.94 3.40 -11.87 -17.67 -6.73 8.84 1.05 rw[128] -11.95 3.42 -11.98 -17.82 -6.68 9.16 1.05 rw[129] -11.94 3.41 -11.89 -17.50 -6.42 9.33 1.05 rw[130] -11.91 3.41 -11.82 -17.46 -6.26 9.01 1.05 rw[131] -11.91 3.38 -11.81 -17.69 -6.81 8.90 1.06 rw[132] -11.94 3.34 -11.82 -17.59 -6.74 9.01 1.05 rw[133] -11.96 3.32 -11.90 -17.03 -6.30 9.14 1.05 rw[134] -11.92 3.31 -11.81 -17.42 -6.61 9.43 1.05 rw[135] -11.91 3.30 -11.87 -17.16 -6.80 9.47 1.05 rw[136] -11.87 3.30 -11.71 -17.07 -6.50 9.40 1.06 rw[137] -11.79 3.27 -11.57 -16.84 -6.03 9.72 1.06 rw[138] -11.71 3.22 -11.61 -16.57 -6.02 9.21 1.06 rw[139] -11.60 3.19 -11.60 -16.95 -6.60 8.68 1.07 rw[140] -11.61 3.25 -11.58 -16.99 -6.34 8.64 1.07 rw[141] -11.60 3.28 -11.49 -17.28 -6.62 8.93 1.06 rw[142] -11.60 3.27 -11.62 -17.25 -6.44 8.70 1.07 rw[143] -11.55 3.23 -11.58 -17.31 -6.84 8.66 1.06 rw[144] -11.57 3.26 -11.61 -16.70 -6.12 8.81 1.06 rw[145] -11.61 3.31 -11.66 -17.08 -6.21 8.62 1.06 rw[146] -11.64 3.32 -11.58 -16.48 -5.83 8.38 1.06 rw[147] -11.65 3.35 -11.56 -17.32 -6.35 8.65 1.05 rw[148] -11.63 3.35 -11.48 -17.45 -6.32 8.73 1.05 rw[149] -11.66 3.31 -11.59 -17.03 -6.40 8.54 1.06 rw[150] -11.65 3.35 -11.57 -17.06 -6.28 8.26 1.06 rw[151] -11.76 3.35 -11.54 -17.02 -5.99 8.42 1.06 rw[152] -11.77 3.41 -11.70 -16.90 -5.60 8.73 1.05 rw[153] -11.83 3.41 -11.83 -17.16 -6.09 8.53 1.05 rw[154] -11.86 3.47 -11.84 -17.67 -6.54 8.57 1.05 rw[155] -11.92 3.47 -11.92 -17.61 -6.67 8.72 1.05 rw[156] -11.91 3.46 -11.85 -17.61 -6.49 8.66 1.04 rw[157] -11.98 3.44 -11.89 -17.70 -6.36 8.76 1.05 rw[158] -12.07 3.41 -12.02 -17.74 -6.55 8.44 1.04 rw[159] -12.15 3.40 -12.03 -17.55 -6.46 8.39 1.05 rw[160] -12.23 3.41 -12.11 -17.55 -6.36 8.48 1.05 rw[161] -12.28 3.43 -12.22 -18.36 -6.97 8.74 1.05 rw[162] -12.37 3.40 -12.49 -18.29 -7.18 8.54 1.06 rw[163] -12.43 3.42 -12.38 -17.59 -6.61 8.65 1.05 rw[164] -12.48 3.41 -12.42 -17.59 -6.59 8.34 1.05 rw[165] -12.51 3.44 -12.67 -17.96 -6.94 8.30 1.05 rw[166] -12.51 3.42 -12.60 -18.12 -7.34 8.88 1.05 rw[167] -12.60 3.35 -12.70 -17.82 -7.37 9.34 1.05 rw[168] -12.61 3.36 -12.60 -17.60 -7.06 9.22 1.05 rw[169] -12.60 3.37 -12.53 -17.61 -6.96 8.97 1.05 rw[170] -12.62 3.37 -12.62 -18.28 -7.51 9.02 1.05 rw[171] -12.70 3.39 -12.62 -18.28 -7.55 9.12 1.05 rw[172] -12.79 3.39 -12.70 -18.63 -7.76 9.00 1.05 rw[173] -12.87 3.37 -12.85 -18.25 -7.46 8.93 1.05 rw[174] -12.90 3.32 -12.78 -18.04 -7.29 9.44 1.05 rw[175] -12.96 3.33 -12.86 -18.34 -7.80 9.23 1.05 rw[176] -12.97 3.33 -12.86 -18.68 -7.98 9.53 1.05 rw[177] -12.95 3.34 -12.93 -19.02 -8.19 9.55 1.05 rw[178] -12.93 3.33 -12.71 -18.01 -7.26 9.72 1.04 rw[179] -12.89 3.32 -12.89 -18.16 -7.44 9.60 1.04 rw[180] -12.91 3.35 -12.84 -18.00 -7.17 9.28 1.05 rw[181] -12.90 3.35 -12.91 -18.44 -7.57 9.33 1.05 rw[182] -12.94 3.34 -12.90 -18.61 -7.72 9.38 1.05 rw[183] -12.92 3.30 -12.85 -18.43 -7.88 9.29 1.04 rw[184] -12.96 3.37 -12.82 -18.88 -7.97 9.16 1.04 rw[185] -12.92 3.37 -12.94 -18.52 -7.65 9.05 1.04 rw[186] -12.87 3.35 -12.75 -18.13 -7.30 9.20 1.05 rw[187] -12.78 3.37 -12.72 -17.68 -6.60 8.83 1.05 rw[188] -12.77 3.34 -12.70 -18.11 -7.12 9.02 1.05 rw[189] -12.71 3.32 -12.66 -17.80 -6.87 9.27 1.05 rw[190] -12.59 3.33 -12.49 -17.84 -7.12 8.99 1.05 rw[191] -12.49 3.36 -12.54 -17.69 -6.73 9.14 1.05 rw[192] -12.41 3.41 -12.33 -17.81 -6.76 9.24 1.04 rw[193] -12.28 3.39 -12.19 -18.33 -7.14 9.01 1.04 rw[194] -12.18 3.35 -12.03 -17.73 -6.57 8.76 1.05 rw[195] -12.07 3.37 -11.94 -17.39 -6.44 9.02 1.05 rw[196] -11.93 3.36 -11.86 -17.60 -6.71 9.10 1.05 rw[197] -11.80 3.38 -11.81 -17.38 -6.41 9.35 1.04 rw[198] -11.73 3.38 -11.64 -17.13 -6.20 8.95 1.05 rw[199] -11.60 3.40 -11.33 -17.03 -6.02 9.45 1.05 rw[200] -11.52 3.38 -11.36 -16.83 -5.95 9.28 1.05 rw[201] -11.40 3.38 -11.15 -17.02 -5.97 8.72 1.06 rw[202] -11.27 3.37 -11.06 -16.58 -5.63 8.68 1.06 rw[203] -11.18 3.37 -11.04 -16.70 -5.86 8.58 1.06 rw[204] -11.06 3.39 -10.93 -16.60 -5.65 8.76 1.06 rw[205] -10.92 3.42 -10.79 -16.39 -5.50 8.37 1.06 rw[206] -10.84 3.34 -10.66 -15.89 -5.33 8.18 1.06 rw[207] -10.76 3.34 -10.76 -15.86 -5.42 8.18 1.06 rw[208] -10.64 3.32 -10.61 -15.82 -5.20 8.12 1.06 rw[209] -10.58 3.29 -10.39 -15.56 -5.19 8.36 1.06 rw[210] -10.54 3.28 -10.47 -15.67 -5.20 8.38 1.06 rw[211] -10.48 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-15.76 3.43 -15.68 -21.18 -9.90 9.48 1.04 rw[434] -15.82 3.46 -15.68 -21.30 -9.76 9.59 1.04 rw[435] -15.91 3.49 -15.80 -22.38 -10.87 9.73 1.04 rw[436] -16.03 3.45 -16.00 -21.35 -10.23 9.60 1.04 rw[437] -16.13 3.50 -16.03 -21.94 -10.72 9.93 1.04 rw[438] -16.22 3.49 -16.14 -21.65 -10.35 9.42 1.04 rw[439] -16.34 3.51 -16.16 -22.42 -10.82 9.13 1.04 rw[440] -16.43 3.51 -16.31 -22.39 -10.91 9.45 1.05 rw[441] -16.45 3.49 -16.32 -22.18 -10.99 9.24 1.05 rw[442] -16.49 3.45 -16.32 -22.30 -11.23 9.25 1.05 rw[443] -16.51 3.47 -16.40 -22.67 -11.40 9.36 1.05 rw[444] -16.53 3.46 -16.48 -22.26 -11.43 9.01 1.06 rw[445] -16.58 3.45 -16.34 -22.24 -11.21 9.00 1.05 rw[446] -16.61 3.49 -16.35 -22.33 -11.27 9.35 1.05 rw[447] -16.64 3.47 -16.41 -22.47 -11.41 9.24 1.05 rw[448] -16.63 3.46 -16.36 -22.24 -11.20 9.16 1.06 rw[449] -16.62 3.42 -16.44 -22.25 -11.35 9.34 1.06 rw[450] -16.63 3.41 -16.36 -22.22 -11.26 9.00 1.07 rw[451] -16.57 3.46 -16.35 -22.16 -11.00 9.11 1.07 rw[452] -16.55 3.41 -16.29 -22.14 -11.06 9.88 1.06 rw[453] -16.46 3.40 -16.10 -21.86 -10.82 10.17 1.05 rw[454] -16.43 3.44 -16.29 -21.89 -10.87 9.96 1.05 rw[455] -16.40 3.41 -16.35 -22.18 -10.86 9.62 1.05 rw[456] -16.33 3.37 -16.22 -22.22 -11.18 9.67 1.06 rw[457] -16.28 3.44 -16.22 -21.74 -10.75 9.70 1.06 rw[458] -16.20 3.43 -16.24 -21.92 -10.88 10.14 1.05 rw[459] -16.12 3.42 -16.19 -21.88 -10.75 9.83 1.05 rw[460] -15.99 3.47 -16.02 -22.06 -10.79 9.61 1.05 rw[461] -15.86 3.47 -15.79 -21.26 -9.91 9.76 1.05 rw[462] -15.72 3.48 -15.71 -21.13 -9.97 10.12 1.04 rw[463] -15.63 3.51 -15.59 -21.43 -10.23 10.28 1.04 rw[464] -15.43 3.48 -15.33 -21.11 -9.81 9.44 1.05 rw[465] -15.24 3.48 -15.20 -21.04 -9.71 9.53 1.04 rw[466] -15.05 3.47 -15.06 -20.89 -9.42 9.55 1.05 rw[467] -14.93 3.51 -14.85 -20.52 -9.17 9.36 1.05 rw[468] -14.68 3.50 -14.54 -20.46 -9.34 9.80 1.05 rw[469] -14.39 3.50 -14.27 -19.94 -8.79 9.57 1.05 rw[470] -14.14 3.53 -13.93 -19.99 -8.51 9.69 1.05 rw[471] -13.86 3.53 -13.68 -19.40 -7.87 9.60 1.05 rw[472] -13.55 3.51 -13.30 -19.66 -8.10 9.37 1.05 rw[473] -13.28 3.47 -13.07 -18.97 -7.74 9.30 1.05 rw[474] -12.98 3.49 -12.88 -19.11 -7.77 9.63 1.05 rw[475] -12.65 3.49 -12.56 -18.02 -6.82 9.22 1.06 rw[476] -12.31 3.44 -12.15 -17.54 -6.55 8.64 1.06 rw[477] -12.01 3.46 -11.98 -17.62 -6.51 8.75 1.05 rw[478] -11.66 3.45 -11.57 -17.25 -6.25 8.52 1.06 rw[479] -11.32 3.43 -11.16 -16.66 -5.47 8.26 1.06 rw[480] -11.00 3.43 -10.87 -16.53 -5.36 8.04 1.06 rw[481] -10.63 3.38 -10.47 -15.85 -4.86 7.99 1.06 rw[482] -10.32 3.39 -10.11 -15.53 -4.53 8.03 1.05 rw[483] -9.97 3.35 -9.87 -15.38 -4.54 7.78 1.05 rw[484] -9.60 3.26 -9.44 -14.46 -4.17 7.65 1.05 rw[485] -9.25 3.16 -9.24 -14.17 -4.06 7.57 1.06 rw[486] -8.91 3.10 -8.83 -13.57 -3.48 7.45 1.06 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1660.73 1.00 Number of divergences: 0